How worried should you be about an AI apocalypse? Fears that artificial intelligence could rise up to wipe out humanity are understandable given our steady diet of sci-fi stories depicting just that, but what is the real risk? Isaac Asimov's three laws of robotics are not a practical guide Super-intelligent artificial intelligence rising up and wiping out humanity has been a common trope in science fiction for decades. Now, we live in a world where real AI seems to be advancing faster than ever. Does that mean you should start worrying about an AI apocalypse?

We propose closed-form conditional diffusion models for data assimilation. Diffusion models use data to learn the score function (defined as the gradient of the log-probability density of a data distribution), allowing them to generate new samples from the data distribution by reversing a noise injection process. While it is common to train neural networks to approximate the score function, we leverage the analytical tractability of the score function to assimilate the states of a system with measurements. To enable the efficient evaluation of the score function, we use kernel density estimation to model the joint distribution of the states and their corresponding measurements. The proposed approach also inherits the capability of conditional diffusion models of operating in black-box settings, i.e., the proposed data assimilation approach can accommodate systems and measurement processes without their explicit knowledge. The ability to accommodate black-box systems combined with the superior capabilities of diffusion models in approximating complex, non-Gaussian probability distributions means that the proposed approach offers advantages over many widely used filtering methods. We evaluate the proposed method on nonlinear data assimilation problems based on the Lorenz-63 and Lorenz-96 systems of moderate dimensionality and nonlinear measurement models. Results show the proposed approach outperforms the widely used ensemble Kalman and particle filters when small to moderate ensemble sizes are used.

Preference-based many-objective optimization faces two obstacles: an expanding space of trade-offs and heterogeneous, context-dependent human value structures. Towards this, we propose a Bayesian framework that learns a small set of latent preference archetypes rather than assuming a single fixed utility function, modelling them as components of a Dirichlet-process mixture with uncertainty over both archetypes and their weights. To query efficiently, we designing hybrid queries that target information about (i) mode identity and (ii) within-mode trade-offs. Under mild assumptions, we provide a simple regret guarantee for the resulting mixture-aware Bayesian optimization procedure. Empirically, our method outperforms standard baselines on synthetic and real-world many-objective benchmarks, and mixture-aware diagnostics reveal structure that regret alone fails to capture.

Federated Learning (FL) is constrained by the communication and energy limitations of decentralized edge devices. While gradient sparsification via Top-K magnitude pruning effectively reduces the communication payload, it remains inherently energy-agnostic. It assumes all parameter updates incur identical downstream transmission and memory-update costs, ignoring hardware realities. We formalize the pruning process as an energy-constrained projection problem that accounts for the hardware-level disparities between memory-intensive and compute-efficient operations during the post-backpropagation phase. We propose Cost-Weighted Magnitude Pruning (CWMP), a selection rule that prioritizes parameter updates based on their magnitude relative to their physical cost. We demonstrate that CWMP is the optimal greedy solution to this constrained projection and provide a probabilistic analysis of its global energy efficiency. Numerical results on a non-IID CIFAR-10 benchmark show that CWMP consistently establishes a superior performance-energy Pareto frontier compared to the Top-K baseline.

Time-dependent reliability analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems under stochastic excitations is a critical yet computationally demanding task. Conventional approaches, such as Monte Carlo simulation, necessitate repeated evaluations of computationally expensive numerical solvers, leading to significant computational bottlenecks. To address this challenge, we propose \textit{CoNBONet}, a neuroscience-inspired surrogate model that enables fast, energy-efficient, and uncertainty-aware reliability analysis, providing a scalable alternative to techniques such as Monte Carlo simulations. CoNBONet, short for \textbf{Co}nformalized \textbf{N}euroscience-inspired \textbf{B}ayesian \textbf{O}perator \textbf{Net}work, leverages the expressive power of deep operator networks while integrating neuroscience-inspired neuron models to achieve fast, low-power inference. Unlike traditional surrogates such as Gaussian processes, polynomial chaos expansions, or support vector regression, that may face scalability challenges for high-dimensional, time-dependent reliability problems, CoNBONet offers \textit{fast and energy-efficient inference} enabled by a neuroscience-inspired network architecture, \textit{calibrated uncertainty quantification with theoretical guarantees} via split conformal prediction, and \textit{strong generalization capability} through an operator-learning paradigm that maps input functions to system response trajectories. Validation of the proposed CoNBONet for various nonlinear dynamical systems demonstrates that CoNBONet preserves predictive fidelity, and achieves reliable coverage of failure probabilities, making it a powerful tool for robust and scalable reliability analysis in engineering design.

We consider the problem of learning the underlying graph of an unknown Ising model on pspins from a collection of i.i.d.

While neural machine translation (NMT) is making good progress in the past two years, tens of millions of bilingual sentence pairs are needed for its training. However, human labeling is very costly. To tackle this training data bottleneck, we develop a dual-learning mechanism, which can enable an NMT system to automatically learn from unlabeled data through a dual-learning game. This mechanism is inspired by the following observation: any machine translation task has a dual task, e.g., English-to-French translation (primal) versus French-to-English translation (dual); the primal and dual tasks can form a closed loop, and generate informative feedback signals to train the translation models, even if without the involvement of a human labeler. In the dual-learning mechanism, we use one agent to represent the model for the primal task and the other agent to represent the model for the dual task, then ask them to teach each other through a reinforcement learning process. Based on the feedback signals generated during this process (e.g., the languagemodel likelihood of the output of a model, and the reconstruction error of the original sentence after the primal and dual translations), we can iteratively update the two models until convergence (e.g., using the policy gradient methods). We call the corresponding approach to neural machine translation dual-NMT. Experiments show that dual-NMT works very well on English French translation; especially, by learning from monolingual data (with 10% bilingual data for warm start), it achieves a comparable accuracy to NMT trained from the full bilingual data for the French-to-English translation task.

The AI Race Is Pressuring Utilities to Squeeze More From Europe's Power Grids As data center developers queue up to connect to power grids across Europe, network operators are experimenting with novel ways of clearing room for them. European countries are racing to bring new data centers online as AI labs across the globe continue to demand more compute. The primary limiting factor is energy--and specifically, the ability to move it. Though Europe is on track to generate enough energy, utilities experts say, grid operators broadly lack the infrastructure needed to transport it to where it needs to go. That's throttling grid capacity and, by extension, the number of new power-hungry data centers that can connect without risking blackouts.

We develop a scalable, computationally efficient method for the task of energy disaggregation for home appliance monitoring. In this problem the goal is to estimate the energy consumption of each appliance over time based on the total energy-consumption signal of a household. The current state of the art is to model the problem as inference in factorial HMMs, and use quadratic programming to find an approximate solution to the resulting quadratic integer program. Here we take a more principled approach, better suited to integer programming problems, and find an approximate optimum by combining convex semidefinite relaxations randomized rounding, as well as a scalable ADMM method that exploits the special structure of the resulting semidefinite program. Simulation results both in synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate the superiority of our method.

Neural Information Processing Systems http://nips.cc/