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Latent Space Representation of Electricity Market Curves for Improved Prediction Efficiency

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This work presents a three-phase ML prediction framework designed to handle a high dimensionality and multivariate time series character of the electricity market curves. In the preprocessing phase, we transform the original data to achieve a unified structure and mitigate the effect of possible outliers. Further, to address the challenge of high dimensionality, we test three dimensionality reduction techniques (PCA, kPCA, UMAP). Finally, we predict supply and demand curves, once represented in a latent space, with a variety of machine learning methods (RF, LSTM, TSMixer). As our results on the MIBEL dataset show, a high dimensional structure of the market curves can be best handled by the nonlinear reduction technique UMAP. Regardless of the ML technique used for prediction, we achieved the lowest values for all considered precision metrics with a UMAP latent space representation in only two or three dimensions, even when compared to PCA and kPCA with five or six dimensions. Further, we demonstrate that the most promising machine learning technique to handle the complex structure of the electricity market curves is a novel TSMixer architecture. Finally, we fill the gap in the field of electricity market curves prediction literature: in addition to standard analysis on the supply side, we applied the ML framework and predicted demand curves too. We discussed the differences in the achieved results for these two types of curves.


Learning Closed-Loop Parametric Nash Equilibria of Multi-Agent Collaborative Field Coverage

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Multi-agent reinforcement learning is a challenging and active field of research due to the inherent nonstationary property and coupling between agents. A popular approach to modeling the multi-agent interactions underlying the multi-agent RL problem is the Markov Game. There is a special type of Markov Game, termed Markov Potential Game, which allows us to reduce the Markov Game to a single-objective optimal control problem where the objective function is a potential function. In this work, we prove that a multi-agent collaborative field coverage problem, which is found in many engineering applications, can be formulated as a Markov Potential Game, and we can learn a parameterized closed-loop Nash Equilibrium by solving an equivalent single-objective optimal control problem. As a result, our algorithm is 10x faster during training compared to a game-theoretic baseline and converges faster during policy execution.


Limits of KV Cache Compression for Tensor Attention based Autoregressive Transformers

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The key-value (KV) cache in autoregressive transformers presents a significant bottleneck during inference, which restricts the context length capabilities of large language models (LLMs). While previous work analyzes the fundamental space complexity barriers in standard attention mechanism [Haris and Onak, 2025], our work generalizes the space complexity barriers result to tensor attention version. Our theoretical contributions rely on a novel reduction from communication complexity and deduce the memory lower bound for tensor-structured attention mechanisms when $d = \Omega(\log n)$. In the low dimensional regime where $d = o(\log n)$, we analyze the theoretical bounds of the space complexity as well. Overall, our work provides a theoretical foundation for us to understand the compression-expressivity tradeoff in tensor attention mechanisms and offers more perspectives in developing more memory-efficient transformer architectures.


Agent-Enhanced Large Language Models for Researching Political Institutions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The applications of Large Language Models (LLMs) in political science are rapidly expanding. This paper demonstrates how LLMs, when augmented with predefined functions and specialized tools, can serve as dynamic agents capable of streamlining tasks such as data collection, preprocessing, and analysis. Central to this approach is agentic retrieval-augmented generation (Agentic RAG), which equips LLMs with action-calling capabilities for interaction with external knowledge bases. Beyond information retrieval, LLM agents may incorporate modular tools for tasks like document summarization, transcript coding, qualitative variable classification, and statistical modeling. To demonstrate the potential of this approach, we introduce CongressRA, an LLM agent designed to support scholars studying the U.S. Congress. Through this example, we highlight how LLM agents can reduce the costs of replicating, testing, and extending empirical research using the domain-specific data that drives the study of political institutions.


Potential of large language model-powered nudges for promoting daily water and energy conservation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The increasing amount of pressure related to water and energy shortages has increased the urgency of cultivating individual conservation behaviors. While the concept of nudging, i.e., providing usage-based feedback, has shown promise in encouraging conservation behaviors, its efficacy is often constrained by the lack of targeted and actionable content. This study investigates the impact of the use of large language models (LLMs) to provide tailored conservation suggestions for conservation intentions and their rationale. Through a randomized controlled trial with 1,515 university participants, we compare three virtual nudging scenarios: no nudging, traditional nudging with usage statistics, and LLM-powered nudging with usage statistics and personalized conservation suggestions. The results of statistical analyses and causal forest modeling reveal that nudging led to an increase in conservation intentions among 86.9%-98.0% of the participants. LLM-powered nudging achieved a maximum increase of 18.0% in conservation intentions, surpassing traditional nudging by 88.6%. Furthermore, structural equation modeling results reveal that exposure to LLM-powered nudges enhances self-efficacy and outcome expectations while diminishing dependence on social norms, thereby increasing intrinsic motivation to conserve.


Integrating Product Coefficients for Improved 3D LiDAR Data Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we address the enhancement of classification accuracy for 3D point cloud Lidar data, an optical remote sensing technique that estimates the three-dimensional coordinates of a given terrain. Our approach introduces product coefficients, theoretical quantities derived from measure theory, as additional features in the classification process. We define and present the formulation of these product coefficients and conduct a comparative study, using them alongside principal component analysis (PCA) as feature inputs. Results demonstrate that incorporating product coefficients into the feature set significantly improves classification accuracy within this new framework.


Eufy FamiLock S3 Max review: Lock, stock, and onboard video

PCWorld

The feature-laden FamiLock Max S3--the first smart lock we've seen with an integrated video screen on its interior escutcheon--works well, but its onboard camera won't make sense in some home environments. As if on steroids, smart locks have been advancing in amazing and surprising ways over the last year, with each few months bringing a new "first" to the market. Eufy's FamiLock S3 Max offers yet another smart lock innovation that would have been unthinkable just weeks ago: It's the first model we've seen that has a built-in, 4-inch video screen on its interior escutcheon, relaying video from a camera mounted on the exterior escutcheon, no secondary device required. It's a neat idea but right off the bat, it's clearly not a lock that's going to make sense for everyone. Like many homeowners, I have a massive window set into the center of my front door, so having a small video screen that displays what is happening on the other side of that door isn't going to do me much good. However, those with fully opaque doors--especially apartment dwellers –might find this a much more compelling proposition than a peephole.


Towards Reasoning Era: A Survey of Long Chain-of-Thought for Reasoning Large Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent advancements in reasoning with large language models (RLLMs), such as OpenAI-O1 and DeepSeek-R1, have demonstrated their impressive capabilities in complex domains like mathematics and coding. A central factor in their success lies in the application of long chain-of-thought (Long CoT) characteristics, which enhance reasoning abilities and enable the solution of intricate problems. However, despite these developments, a comprehensive survey on Long CoT is still lacking, limiting our understanding of its distinctions from traditional short chain-of-thought (Short CoT) and complicating ongoing debates on issues like "overthinking" and "test-time scaling." This survey seeks to fill this gap by offering a unified perspective on Long CoT. (1) We first distinguish Long CoT from Short CoT and introduce a novel taxonomy to categorize current reasoning paradigms. (2) Next, we explore the key characteristics of Long CoT: deep reasoning, extensive exploration, and feasible reflection, which enable models to handle more complex tasks and produce more efficient, coherent outcomes compared to the shallower Short CoT. (3) We then investigate key phenomena such as the emergence of Long CoT with these characteristics, including overthinking, and test-time scaling, offering insights into how these processes manifest in practice. (4) Finally, we identify significant research gaps and highlight promising future directions, including the integration of multi-modal reasoning, efficiency improvements, and enhanced knowledge frameworks. By providing a structured overview, this survey aims to inspire future research and further the development of logical reasoning in artificial intelligence.


Impact of buckypaper on the mechanical properties and failure modes of composites

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recently, there has been an interest in the incorporation of buckypaper (BP), or carbon nanotube (CNT) membranes, in composite laminates. Research has shown that using BP in contrast to nanotube doped resin enables the introduction of a higher CNT weight fraction which offers multiple benefits including higher piezo resistivity for health monitoring applications and enhanced mechanical response for structural applications. However, their impact on the deformation and failure mechanisms of composite laminates has not been investigated thoroughly. Understanding these issues experimentally would require a carefully executed test plan involving a multitude of design parameters such as BP geometry and placement, material anisotropy and variability, and laminate stacking sequence. This paper presents a deep learning (DL)-based surrogate model for studying the mechanical response of hybrid carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) composite laminates with BP interleaves under various mechanical loads. The surrogate model utilizes a long short-term memory architecture implemented within a DL framework and predicts the laminate global response for a given configuration, geometry, and loading condition. The DL framework training and cross-validation are performed via data acquisition from a series of three-point bend tests conducted through finite element analysis (FEA) and in-house experiments, respectively. The model predictions show good agreement with FEA simulations and experimental results, where CFRP with two BP interleaves showed enhanced flexural strength and modulus over pristine samples. This enhancement can be attributed to the excellent crack retardation capabilities of CNTs, particularly in the interlaminar region.


Mapless Collision-Free Flight via MPC using Dual KD-Trees in Cluttered Environments

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Collision-free flight in cluttered environments is a critical capability for autonomous quadrotors. Traditional methods often rely on detailed 3D map construction, trajectory generation, and tracking. However, this cascade pipeline can introduce accumulated errors and computational delays, limiting flight agility and safety. In this paper, we propose a novel method for enabling collision-free flight in cluttered environments without explicitly constructing 3D maps or generating and tracking collision-free trajectories. Instead, we leverage Model Predictive Control (MPC) to directly produce safe actions from sparse waypoints and point clouds from a depth camera. These sparse waypoints are dynamically adjusted online based on nearby obstacles detected from point clouds. To achieve this, we introduce a dual KD-Tree mechanism: the Obstacle KD-Tree quickly identifies the nearest obstacle for avoidance, while the Edge KD-Tree provides a robust initial guess for the MPC solver, preventing it from getting stuck in local minima during obstacle avoidance. We validate our approach through extensive simulations and real-world experiments. The results show that our approach significantly outperforms the mapping-based methods and is also superior to imitation learning-based methods, demonstrating reliable obstacle avoidance at up to 12 m/s in simulations and 6 m/s in real-world tests. Our method provides a simple and robust alternative to existing methods.