We propose Diffusion-Informed Model Predictive Control (D-I MPC), a generic framework for uncertainty-aware prediction and decision-making in partially observable stochastic systems by integrating diffusion-based time series forecasting models in Model Predictive Control algorithms. In our approach, a diffusion-based time series forecasting model is used to probabilistically estimate the evolution of the system's stochastic components. These forecasts are then incorporated into MPC algorithms to estimate future trajectories and optimize action selection under the uncertainty of the future. We evaluate the framework on the task of energy arbitrage, where a Battery Energy Storage System participates in the day-ahead electricity market of the New York state. Experimental results indicate that our model-based approach with a diffusion-based forecaster significantly outperforms both implementations with classical forecasting methods and model-free reinforcement learning baselines.

The extent to which foundation models can disclose novel chemical, biological, radiation, and nuclear (CBRN) threats to expert users is unclear due to a lack of test cases. I leveraged the unique opportunity presented by an upcoming publication describing a novel catastrophic biothreat - "Technical Report on Mirror Bacteria: Feasibility and Risks" - to conduct a small controlled study before it became public. Graduate-trained biologists tasked with predicting the consequences of releasing mirror E. coli showed no significant differences in rubric-graded accuracy using Claude Sonnet 3.5 new (n=10) or web search only (n=2); both groups scored comparably to a web baseline (28 and 43 versus 36). However, Sonnet reasoned correctly when prompted by a report author, but a smaller model, Haiku 3.5, failed even with author guidance (80 versus 5). These results suggest distinct stages of model capability: Haiku is unable to reason about mirror life even with threat-aware expert guidance (Stage 1), while Sonnet correctly reasons only with threat-aware prompting (Stage 2). Continued advances may allow future models to disclose novel CBRN threats to naive experts (Stage 3) or unskilled users (Stage 4). While mirror life represents only one case study, monitoring new models' ability to reason about privately known threats may allow protective measures to be implemented before widespread disclosure.

The integration of extra-robotic limbs/fingers to enhance and expand motor skills, particularly for grasping and manipulation, possesses significant challenges. The grasping performance of existing limbs/fingers is far inferior to that of human hands. Human hands can detect onset of slip through tactile feedback originating from tactile receptors during the grasping process, enabling precise and automatic regulation of grip force. The frictional information is perceived by humans depending upon slip happening between finger and object. Enhancing this capability in extra-robotic limbs or fingers used by humans is challenging. To address this challenge, this paper introduces novel approach to communicate frictional information to users through encoded vibrotactile cues. These cues are conveyed on onset of incipient slip thus allowing users to perceive friction and ultimately use this information to increase force to avoid dropping of object. In a 2-alternative forced-choice protocol, participants gripped and lifted a glass under three different frictional conditions, applying a normal force of 3.5 N. After reaching this force, glass was gradually released to induce slip. During this slipping phase, vibrations scaled according to static coefficient of friction were presented to users, reflecting frictional conditions. The results suggested an accuracy of 94.53 p/m 3.05 (mean p/mSD) in perceiving frictional information upon lifting objects with varying friction. The results indicate effectiveness of using vibrotactile feedback for sensory feedback, allowing users of extra-robotic limbs or fingers to perceive frictional information. This enables them to assess surface properties and adjust grip force according to frictional conditions, enhancing their ability to grasp, manipulate objects more effectively.

This paper presents a comprehensive study leveraging Support Vector Machine (SVM) regression and Principal Component Regression (PCR) to analyze carbon dioxide emissions in a global dataset of 62 countries and their dependence on idiosyncratic, country-specific parameters. The objective is to understand the factors contributing to carbon dioxide emissions and identify the most predictive elements. The analysis provides country-specific emission estimates, highlighting diverse national trajectories and pinpointing areas for targeted interventions in climate change mitigation, sustainable development, and the growing carbon credit markets and green finance sector. The study aims to support policymaking with accurate representations of carbon dioxide emissions, offering nuanced information for formulating effective strategies to address climate change while informing initiatives related to carbon trading and environmentally sustainable investments.

Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations are essential in product design, providing insights into fluid behavior around complex geometries in aerospace and automotive applications. However, high-fidelity CFD simulations are computationally expensive, making rapid design iterations challenging. To address this, we propose TripNet, Triplane CFD Network, a machine learning-based framework leveraging triplane representations to predict the outcomes of large-scale, high-fidelity CFD simulations with significantly reduced computation cost. Our method encodes 3D geometry into compact yet information-rich triplane features, maintaining full geometry fidelity and enabling accurate aerodynamic predictions. Unlike graph- and point cloud-based models, which are inherently discrete and provide solutions only at the mesh nodes, TripNet allows the solution to be queried at any point in the 3D space. Validated on high-fidelity DrivAerNet and DrivAerNet++ car aerodynamics datasets, TripNet achieves state-of-the-art performance in drag coefficient prediction, surface field estimation, and full 3D flow field simulations of industry-standard car designs. By utilizing a shared triplane backbone across multiple tasks, our approach offers a scalable, accurate, and efficient alternative to traditional CFD solvers.

Due to the limited accuracy of 4D Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) in identifying hemodynamics in cardiovascular diseases, the challenges in obtaining patient-specific flow boundary conditions, and the computationally demanding and time-consuming nature of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations, it is crucial to explore new data assimilation algorithms that offer possible alternatives to these limitations. In the present work, we study Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs), Deep Operator Networks (DeepONets), and their Physics-Informed extensions (PI-DeepONets) in predicting vascular flow simulations in the context of a 3D Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm (AAA) idealized model. PINN is a technique that combines deep neural networks with the fundamental principles of physics, incorporating the physics laws, which are given as partial differential equations, directly into loss functions used during the training process. On the other hand, DeepONet is designed to learn nonlinear operators from data and is particularly useful in studying parametric partial differential equations (PDEs), e.g., families of PDEs with different source terms, boundary conditions, or initial conditions. Here, we adapt the approaches to address the particular use case of AAA by integrating the 3D Navier-Stokes equations (NSE) as the physical laws governing fluid dynamics. In addition, we follow best practices to enhance the capabilities of the models by effectively capturing the underlying physics of the problem under study. The advantages and limitations of each approach are highlighted through a series of relevant application cases. We validate our results by comparing them with CFD simulations for benchmark datasets, demonstrating good agreements and emphasizing those cases where improvements in computational efficiency are observed.

Examining logical inconsistencies among multiple statements (such as collections of sentences or question-answer pairs) is a crucial challenge in machine learning, particularly for ensuring the safety and reliability of models. Traditional methods that rely on pairwise comparisons often fail to capture inconsistencies that only emerge when more than two statements are evaluated collectively. To address this gap, we introduce the task of set-consistency verification, an extension of natural language inference (NLI) that assesses the logical coherence of entire sets rather than isolated pairs. Building on this task, we present the Set-Consistency Energy Network (SC-Energy), a novel model that employs a contrastive loss framework to learn the compatibility among a collection of statements. Our approach not only efficiently verifies inconsistencies and pinpoints the specific statements responsible for logical contradictions, but also significantly outperforms existing methods including prompting-based LLM models. Furthermore, we release two new datasets: Set-LConVQA and Set-SNLI for set-consistency verification task.

Modelling human variation in rating tasks is crucial for enabling AI systems for personalization, pluralistic model alignment, and computational social science. We propose representing individuals using value profiles -- natural language descriptions of underlying values compressed from in-context demonstrations -- along with a steerable decoder model to estimate ratings conditioned on a value profile or other rater information. To measure the predictive information in rater representations, we introduce an information-theoretic methodology. We find that demonstrations contain the most information, followed by value profiles and then demographics. However, value profiles offer advantages in terms of scrutability, interpretability, and steerability due to their compressed natural language format. Value profiles effectively compress the useful information from demonstrations (>70% information preservation). Furthermore, clustering value profiles to identify similarly behaving individuals better explains rater variation than the most predictive demographic groupings. Going beyond test set performance, we show that the decoder models interpretably change ratings according to semantic profile differences, are well-calibrated, and can help explain instance-level disagreement by simulating an annotator population. These results demonstrate that value profiles offer novel, predictive ways to describe individual variation beyond demographics or group information.

While scaling laws have been continuously validated in large language models (LLMs) with increasing model parameters, the inherent tension between the inference demands of LLMs and the limited resources of edge devices poses a critical challenge to the development of edge intelligence. Recently, numerous small language models have emerged, aiming to distill the capabilities of LLMs into smaller footprints. However, these models often retain the fundamental architectural principles of their larger counterparts, still imposing considerable strain on the storage and bandwidth capacities of edge devices. In this paper, we introduce the PLM, a Peripheral Language Model, developed through a co-design process that jointly optimizes model architecture and edge system constraints. The PLM utilizes a Multi-head Latent Attention mechanism and employs the squared ReLU activation function to encourage sparsity, thereby reducing peak memory footprint during inference. During training, we collect and reorganize open-source datasets, implement a multi-phase training strategy, and empirically investigate the Warmup-Stable-Decay-Constant (WSDC) learning rate scheduler. Additionally, we incorporate Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) by adopting the ARIES preference learning approach. Following a two-phase SFT process, this method yields performance gains of 2% in general tasks, 9% in the GSM8K task, and 11% in coding tasks. In addition to its novel architecture, evaluation results demonstrate that PLM outperforms existing small language models trained on publicly available data while maintaining the lowest number of activated parameters. Furthermore, deployment across various edge devices, including consumer-grade GPUs, mobile phones, and Raspberry Pis, validates PLM's suitability for peripheral applications. The PLM series models are publicly available at https://github.com/plm-team/PLM.

In recent years, quadruped robotics has advanced significantly, particularly in perception and motion control via reinforcement learning, enabling complex motions in challenging environments. Visual sensors like depth cameras enhance stability and robustness but face limitations, such as low operating frequencies relative to joint control and sensitivity to lighting, which hinder outdoor deployment. Additionally, deep neural networks in sensor and control systems increase computational demands. To address these issues, we introduce spiking neural networks (SNNs) and event cameras to perform a challenging quadruped parkour task. Event cameras capture dynamic visual data, while SNNs efficiently process spike sequences, mimicking biological perception. Experimental results demonstrate that this approach significantly outperforms traditional models, achieving excellent parkour performance with just 11.7% of the energy consumption of an artificial neural network (ANN)-based model, yielding an 88.3% energy reduction. By integrating event cameras with SNNs, our work advances robotic reinforcement learning and opens new possibilities for applications in demanding environments.