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Polymorphism Crystal Structure Prediction with Adaptive Space Group Diversity Control

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Crystalline materials can form different structural arrangements (i.e. polymorphs) with the same chemical composition, exhibiting distinct physical properties depending on how they were synthesized or the conditions under which they operate. For example, carbon can exist as graphite (soft, conductive) or diamond (hard, insulating). Computational methods that can predict these polymorphs are vital in materials science, which help understand stability relationships, guide synthesis efforts, and discover new materials with desired properties without extensive trial-and-error experimentation. However, effective crystal structure prediction (CSP) algorithms for inorganic polymorph structures remain limited. We propose ParetoCSP2, a multi-objective genetic algorithm for polymorphism CSP that incorporates an adaptive space group diversity control technique, preventing over-representation of any single space group in the population guided by a neural network interatomic potential. Using an improved population initialization method and performing iterative structure relaxation, ParetoCSP2 not only alleviates premature convergence but also achieves improved convergence speed. Our results show that ParetoCSP2 achieves excellent performance in polymorphism prediction, including a nearly perfect space group and structural similarity accuracy for formulas with two polymorphs but with the same number of unit cell atoms. Evaluated on a benchmark dataset, it outperforms baseline algorithms by factors of 2.46-8.62 for these accuracies and improves by 44.8\%-87.04\% across key performance metrics for regular CSP. Our source code is freely available at https://github.com/usccolumbia/ParetoCSP2.


Delayformer: spatiotemporal transformation for predicting high-dimensional dynamics

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Predicting time-series is of great importance in various scientific and engineering fields. However, in the context of limited and noisy data, accurately predicting dynamics of all variables in a high-dimensional system is a challenging task due to their nonlinearity and also complex interactions. Current methods including deep learning approaches often perform poorly for real-world systems under such circumstances. This study introduces the Delayformer framework for simultaneously predicting dynamics of all variables, by developing a novel multivariate spatiotemporal information (mvSTI) transformation that makes each observed variable into a delay-embedded state (vector) and further cross-learns those states from different variables. From dynamical systems viewpoint, Delayformer predicts system states rather than individual variables, thus theoretically and computationally overcoming such nonlinearity and cross-interaction problems. Specifically, it first utilizes a single shared Visual Transformer (ViT) encoder to cross-represent dynamical states from observed variables in a delay embedded form and then employs distinct linear decoders for predicting next states, i.e. equivalently predicting all original variables parallelly. By leveraging the theoretical foundations of delay embedding theory and the representational capabilities of Transformers, Delayformer outperforms current state-of-the-art methods in forecasting tasks on both synthetic and real-world datasets. Furthermore, the potential of Delayformer as a foundational time-series model is demonstrated through cross-domain forecasting tasks, highlighting its broad applicability across various scenarios.


Incorporating Domain Knowledge into Materials Tokenization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

While language models are increasingly utilized in materials science, typical models rely on frequency-centric tokenization methods originally developed for natural language processing. However, these methods frequently produce excessive fragmentation and semantic loss, failing to maintain the structural and semantic integrity of material concepts. To address this issue, we propose MATTER, a novel tokenization approach that integrates material knowledge into tokenization. Based on MatDetector trained on our materials knowledge base and a re-ranking method prioritizing material concepts in token merging, MATTER maintains the structural integrity of identified material concepts and prevents fragmentation during tokenization, ensuring their semantic meaning remains intact. The experimental results demonstrate that MATTER outperforms existing tokenization methods, achieving an average performance gain of $4\%$ and $2\%$ in the generation and classification tasks, respectively. These results underscore the importance of domain knowledge for tokenization strategies in scientific text processing. Our code is available at https://github.com/yerimoh/MATTER


Subjective Experience in AI Systems: What Do AI Researchers and the Public Believe?

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We surveyed 582 AI researchers who have published in leading AI venues and 838 nationally representative US participants about their views on the potential development of AI systems with subjective experience and how such systems should be treated and governed. When asked to estimate the chances that such systems will exist on specific dates, the median responses were 1% (AI researchers) and 5% (public) by 2024, 25% and 30% by 2034, and 70% and 60% by 2100, respectively. The median member of the public thought there was a higher chance that AI systems with subjective experience would never exist (25%) than the median AI researcher did (10%). Both groups perceived a need for multidisciplinary expertise to assess AI subjective experience. Although support for welfare protections for such AI systems exceeded opposition, it remained far lower than support for protections for animals or the environment. Attitudes toward moral and governance issues were divided in both groups, especially regarding whether such systems should be created and what rights or protections they should receive. Y et a majority of respondents in both groups agreed that safeguards against the potential risks from AI systems with subjective experience should be implemented by AI developers now, and if created, AI systems with subjective experience should treat others well, behave ethically, and be held accountable. Overall, these results suggest that both AI researchers and the public regard the emergence of AI systems with subjective experience as a possibility this century, though substantial uncertainty and disagreement remain about the timeline and appropriate response. Noemi Dreksler (corresponding author) can be reached under noemi.dreksler@governance.ai.


Decadal sink-source shifts of forest aboveground carbon since 1988

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As enduring carbon sinks, forest ecosystems are vital to the terrestrial carbon cycle and help moderate global warming. However, the long-term dynamics of aboveground carbon (AGC) in forests and their sink-source transitions remain highly uncertain, owing to changing disturbance regimes and inconsistencies in observations, data processing, and analysis methods. Here, we derive reliable, harmonized AGC stocks and fluxes in global forests from 1988 to 2021 at high spatial resolution by integrating multi-source satellite observations with probabilistic deep learning models. Our approach simultaneously estimates AGC and associated uncertainties, showing high reliability across space and time. We find that, although global forests remained an AGC sink of 6.2 PgC over 30 years, moist tropical forests shifted to a substantial AGC source between 2001 and 2010 and, together with boreal forests, transitioned toward a source in the 2011-2021 period. Temperate, dry tropical and subtropical forests generally exhibited increasing AGC stocks, although Europe and Australia became sources after 2011. Regionally, pronounced sink-to-source transitions occurred in tropical forests over the past three decades. The interannual relationship between global atmospheric CO2 growth rates and tropical AGC flux variability became increasingly negative, reaching Pearson's r = -0.63 (p < 0.05) in the most recent decade. In the Brazilian Amazon, the contribution of deforested regions to AGC losses declined from 60% in 1989-2000 to 13% in 2011-2021, while the share from untouched areas increased from 33% to 76%. Our findings suggest a growing role of tropical forest AGC in modulating variability in the terrestrial carbon cycle, with anthropogenic climate change potentially contributing increasingly to AGC changes, particularly in previously untouched areas.


AtlasD: Automatic Local Symmetry Discovery

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Existing symmetry discovery methods predominantly focus on global transformations across the entire system or space, but they fail to consider the symmetries in local neighborhoods. This may result in the reported symmetry group being a misrepresentation of the true symmetry. In this paper, we formalize the notion of local symmetry as atlas equivariance. Our proposed pipeline, automatic local symmetry discovery (AtlasD), recovers the local symmetries of a function by training local predictor networks and then learning a Lie group basis to which the predictors are equivariant. We demonstrate AtlasD is capable of discovering local symmetry groups with multiple connected components in top-quark tagging and partial differential equation experiments. The discovered local symmetry is shown to be a useful inductive bias that improves the performance of downstream tasks in climate segmentation and vision tasks.


CIRO7.2: A Material Network with Circularity of -7.2 and Reinforcement-Learning-Controlled Robotic Disassembler

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The competition over natural reserves of minerals is expected to increase in part because of the linear-economy paradigm based on take-make-dispose. Simultaneously, the linear economy considers end-of-use products as waste rather than as a resource, which results in large volumes of waste whose management remains an unsolved problem. Since a transition to a circular economy can mitigate these open issues, in this paper we begin by enhancing the notion of circularity based on compartmental dynamical thermodynamics, namely, $λ$, and then, we model a thermodynamical material network processing a batch of 2 solid materials of criticality coefficients of 0.1 and 0.95, with a robotic disassembler compartment controlled via reinforcement learning (RL), and processing 2-7 kg of materials. Subsequently, we focused on the design of the robotic disassembler compartment using state-of-the-art RL algorithms and assessing the algorithm performance with respect to $λ$ (Fig. 1). The highest circularity is -2.1 achieved in the case of disassembling 2 parts of 1 kg each, whereas it reduces to -7.2 in the case of disassembling 4 parts of 1 kg each contained inside a chassis of 3 kg. Finally, a sensitivity analysis highlighted that the impact on $λ$ of the performance of an RL controller has a positive correlation with the quantity and the criticality of the materials to be disassembled. This work also gives the principles of the emerging research fields indicated as circular intelligence and robotics (CIRO). Source code is publicly available.


Data-driven approaches to inverse problems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Inverse problems are concerned with the reconstruction of unknown physical quantities using indirect measurements and are fundamental across diverse fields such as medical imaging, remote sensing, and material sciences. These problems serve as critical tools for visualizing internal structures beyond what is visible to the naked eye, enabling quantification, diagnosis, prediction, and discovery. However, most inverse problems are ill-posed, necessitating robust mathematical treatment to yield meaningful solutions. While classical approaches provide mathematically rigorous and computationally stable solutions, they are constrained by the ability to accurately model solution properties and implement them efficiently. A more recent paradigm considers deriving solutions to inverse problems in a data-driven manner. Instead of relying on classical mathematical modeling, this approach utilizes highly over-parameterized models, typically deep neural networks, which are adapted to specific inverse problems using carefully selected training data. Current approaches that follow this new paradigm distinguish themselves through solution accuracy paired with computational efficiency that was previously inconceivable. These notes offer an introduction to this data-driven paradigm for inverse problems. The first part of these notes will provide an introduction to inverse problems, discuss classical solution strategies, and present some applications. The second part will delve into modern data-driven approaches, with a particular focus on adversarial regularization and provably convergent linear plug-and-play denoisers. Throughout the presentation of these methodologies, their theoretical properties will be discussed, and numerical examples will be provided. The lecture series will conclude with a discussion of open problems and future perspectives in the field.


Quantum Learning and Estimation for Distribution Networks and Energy Communities Coordination

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Price signals from distribution networks (DNs) guide energy communities (ECs) to adjust energy usage, enabling effective coordination for reliable power system operation. However, this coordination faces significant challenges due to the limited availability of information (i.e., only the aggregated energy usage of ECs is available to DNs), and the high computational burden of accounting for uncertainties and the associated risks through numerous scenarios. To address these challenges, we propose a quantum learning and estimation approach to enhance coordination between DNs and ECs. Specifically, leveraging advanced quantum properties such as quantum superposition and entanglement, we develop a hybrid quantum temporal convolutional network-long short-term memory (Q-TCN-LSTM) model to establish an end-to-end mapping between ECs' responses and the price incentives from DNs. Moreover, we develop a quantum estimation method based on quantum amplitude estimation (QAE) and two phase-rotation circuits to significantly accelerate the optimization process under numerous uncertainty scenarios. Numerical experiments demonstrate that, compared to classical neural networks, the proposed Q-TCN-LSTM model improves the mapping accuracy by 69.2% while reducing the model size by 99.75% and the computation time by 93.9%. Compared to classical Monte Carlo simulation, QAE achieves comparable accuracy with a dramatic reduction in computational time (up to 99.99%) and requires significantly fewer computational resources.


Robust Filtering -- Novel Statistical Learning and Inference Algorithms with Applications

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

State estimation or filtering serves as a fundamental task to enable intelligent decision-making in applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, healthcare monitoring, smart grids, intelligent transportation, and predictive maintenance. Standard filtering assumes prior knowledge of noise statistics to extract latent system states from noisy sensor data. However, real-world scenarios involve abnormalities like outliers, biases, drifts, and missing observations with unknown or partially known statistics, limiting conventional approaches. This thesis presents novel robust nonlinear filtering methods to mitigate these challenges. Based on insights from our filtering proposals, we extend the formulations to offline estimation/learning setups and propose smoothing extensions. Our methods leverage Bayesian inference frameworks, employing both deterministic and stochastic approximation techniques including Variational Inference (VI) and Particle Filters/Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC). We also study theoretical estimation limits using Bayesian Cramér-Rao bounds (BCRBs) in the context of measurement abnormalities. To validate the performance gains of the proposed methods, we perform simulations and experiments in scenarios including target tracking, indoor localization, 3D point cloud registration, mesh registration, and pose graph optimization. The fundamental nature of the work makes it useful in diverse applications, with possible future extensions toward developing outlier-robust machine learning pipelines, learning system dynamics from anomalous data, and addressing challenges in generative AI where standard diffusion models struggle with outliers, imbalanced datasets, and mode collapse.