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What I've learned from 25 years of automated science, and what the future holds: an interview with Ross King
What I've learned from 25 years of automated science, and what the future holds: an interview with Ross King We're excited to launch our new series, where we're speaking with leading researchers to explore the breakthroughs driving AI and the reality of the future promises - to give you an inside perspective on the headlines. Our first interviewee is Ross King, who created the first robot scientist back in 2009. He spoke to us about the nature of scientific discovery, the role AI has to play, and his recent work in DNA computing. Automated science is a really exciting area, and it feels like everyone's talking about it at the moment - e.g. But you've been working in this field for many years now. In 2009 you developed Adam, the first robot scientist to generate novel scientific knowledge. Could you tell me some more about that? So the history goes back to before Adam.
Interview with Sukanya Mandal: Synthesizing multi-modal knowledge graphs for smart city intelligence
In their paper LLMasMMKG: LLM Assisted Synthetic Multi-Modal Knowledge Graph Creation For Smart City Cognitive Digital Twins, which was published in the AAAI Fall Symposium series, and introduced an approach that leverages large language models to automate the construction of synthetic multi-modal knowledge graphs specifically designed for a smart city cognitive digital twin. Here, Sukanya tells us more about cognitive digital twins, the framework they employed, and some key results. Could you start by introducing the idea of smart city cognitive digital twins and why this is an interesting area for study? Cities grow increasingly complex and interconnected, demanding sophisticated tools for management. A cognitive digital twin (CDT) serves as an AI-enabled virtual replica that models the dynamic interplay of physical and social systems, enabling simulations, predictions, and optimized operations.
Horospherical Depth and Busemann Median on Hadamard Manifolds
Jiang, Yangdi, Chang, Xiaotian, Mostajeran, Cyrus
\We introduce the horospherical depth, an intrinsic notion of statistical depth on Hadamard manifolds, and define the Busemann median as the set of its maximizers. The construction exploits the fact that the linear functionals appearing in Tukey's half-space depth are themselves limits of renormalized distance functions; on a Hadamard manifold the same limiting procedure produces Busemann functions, whose sublevel sets are horoballs, the intrinsic replacements for halfspaces. The resulting depth is parametrized by the visual boundary, is isometry-equivariant, and requires neither tangent-space linearization nor a chosen base point.For arbitrary Hadamard manifolds, we prove that the depth regions are nested and geodesically convex, that a centerpoint of depth at least $1/(d+1)$ exists, and hence that the Busemann median exists for every Borel probability measure. Under strictly negative sectional curvature and mild regularity assumptions, the depth is strictly quasi-concave and the median is unique. We also establish robustness: the depth is stable under total-variation perturbations, and under contamination escaping to infinity the limiting median depends on the escape direction but not on how far the contaminating mass has moved along the geodesic ray, in contrast with the Frรฉchet mean. Finally, we establish uniform consistency of the sample depth and convergence of sample depth regions and sample Busemann medians; on symmetric spaces of noncompact type, the argument proceeds through a VC analysis of upper horospherical halfspaces, while on general Hadamard manifolds it follows from a compactness argument under a mild non-atomicity assumption.
Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction
Guan, Hannah, Mouatadid, Soukayna, Orenstein, Paulo, Cohen, Judah, Dong, Haiyu, Ni, Zekun, Berman, Jeremy, Flaspohler, Genevieve, Lu, Alex, Schloer, Jakob, Talib, Joshua, Weyn, Jonathan A., Mackey, Lester
Decision-makers rely on weather forecasts to plant crops, manage wildfires, allocate water and energy, and prepare for weather extremes. Today, such forecasts enjoy unprecedented accuracy out to two weeks thanks to steady advances in physics-based dynamical models and data-driven artificial intelligence (AI) models. However, model skill drops precipitously at subseasonal timescales (2 - 6 weeks ahead), due to compounding errors and persistent biases. To counter this degradation, we introduce probabilistic bias correction (PBC), a machine learning framework that substantially reduces systematic error by learning to correct historical probabilistic forecasts. When applied to the leading dynamical and AI models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), PBC doubles the subseasonal skill of the AI Forecasting System and improves the skill of the operationally-debiased dynamical model for 91% of pressure, 92% of temperature, and 98% of precipitation targets. We designed PBC for operational deployment, and, in ECMWF's 2025 real-time forecasting competition, its global forecasts placed first for all weather variables and lead times, outperforming the dynamical models from six operational forecasting centers, an international dynamical multi-model ensemble, ECMWF's AI Forecasting System, and the forecasting systems of 34 teams worldwide. These probabilistic skill gains translate into more accurate prediction of extreme events and have the potential to improve agricultural planning, energy management, and disaster preparedness in vulnerable communities.
Why spring smells like semen and rotting fish
More information Adding us as a Preferred Source in Google by using this link indicates that you would like to see more of our content in Google News results. While beautiful, Bradford pear trees also stink. Breakthroughs, discoveries, and DIY tips sent six days a week. The sun is out, the streets are humming, the days are getting longer, and the air smells like like um say, can anyone else smell that? All over America, spring is getting smellier every year, and the culprit is the Bradford pear, a tree that gained popularity in the mid-20 century for its ornamental properties.
Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model
Yiu, Horace, Sรกnchez-Betancourt, Leandro, Cartea, รlvaro, Duran-Martin, Gerardo
We derive a robust update rule for the online infinite hidden Markov model (iHMM) for when the streaming data contains outliers and the model is misspecified. Leveraging recent advances in generalised Bayesian inference, we define robustness via the posterior influence function (PIF), and provide conditions under which the online iHMM has bounded PIF. Imposing robustness inevitably induces an adaptation lag for regime switching. Our method, which is called Batched Robust iHMM (BR-iHMM), balances adaptivity and robustness with two additional tunable parameters. Across limit order book data, hourly electricity demand, and a synthetic high-dimensional linear system, BR-iHMM reduces one-step-ahead forecasting error by up to 67% relative to competing online Bayesian methods. Together with theoretical guarantees of bounded PIF, our results highlight the practicality of our approach for both forecasting and interpretable online learning.
Forecasting Multivariate Time Series under Predictive Heterogeneity: A Validation-Driven Clustering Framework
Ma, Ziling, Oriona, รngel Lรณpez, Ombao, Hernando, Sun, Ying
We study adaptive pooling under predictive heterogeneity in high-dimensional multivariate time series forecasting, where global models improve statistical efficiency but may fail to capture heterogeneous predictive structure, while naive specialization can induce negative transfer. We formulate adaptive pooling as a statistical decision problem and propose a validation-driven framework that determines when and how specialization should be applied. Rather than grouping series based on representation similarity, we define partitions through out-of-sample predictive performance, thereby aligning data organization with predictive risk, defined as expected out-of-sample loss and approximated via validation error. Cluster assignments are iteratively updated using validation losses for both point (Huber) and probabilistic (pinball) forecasting, improving robustness to heavy-tailed errors and local anomalies. To ensure reliability, we introduce a leakage-free fallback mechanism that reverts to a global model whenever specialization fails to improve validation performance, providing a safeguard against performance degradation under a strict training-validation-test protocol. Experiments on large-scale traffic datasets demonstrate consistent improvements over strong baselines while avoiding degradation when heterogeneity is weak. Overall, the proposed framework provides a principled and practically reliable approach to adaptive pooling in high-dimensional forecasting problems.
Robust Low-Rank Tensor Completion based on M-product with Weighted Correlated Total Variation and Sparse Regularization
Karmakar, Biswarup, Behera, Ratikanta
The robust low-rank tensor completion problem addresses the challenge of recovering corrupted high-dimensional tensor data with missing entries, outliers, and sparse noise commonly found in real-world applications. Existing methodologies have encountered fundamental limitations due to their reliance on uniform regularization schemes, particularly the tensor nuclear norm and $\ell_1$ norm regularization approaches, which indiscriminately apply equal shrinkage to all singular values and sparse components, thereby compromising the preservation of critical tensor structures. The proposed tensor weighted correlated total variation (TWCTV) regularizer addresses these shortcomings through an $M$-product framework that combines a weighted Schatten-$p$ norm on gradient tensors for low-rankness with smoothness enforcement and weighted sparse components for noise suppression. The proposed weighting scheme adaptively reduces the thresholding level to preserve both dominant singular values and sparse components, thus improving the reconstruction of critical structural elements and nuanced details in the recovered signal. Through a systematic algorithmic approach, we introduce an enhanced alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) that offers both computational efficiency and theoretical substantiation, with convergence properties comprehensively analyzed within the $M$-product framework.Comprehensive numerical evaluations across image completion, denoising, and background subtraction tasks validate the superior performance of this approach relative to established benchmark methods.
Deep Learning for Sequential Decision Making under Uncertainty: Foundations, Frameworks, and Frontiers
Artificial intelligence (AI) is moving increasingly beyond prediction to support decisions in complex, uncertain, and dynamic environments. This shift creates a natural intersection with operations research and management sciences (OR/MS), which have long offered conceptual and methodological foundations for sequential decision-making under uncertainty. At the same time, recent advances in deep learning, including feedforward neural networks, LSTMs, transformers, and deep reinforcement learning, have expanded the scope of data-driven modeling and opened new possibilities for large-scale decision systems. This tutorial presents an OR/MS-centered perspective on deep learning for sequential decision-making under uncertainty. Its central premise is that deep learning is valuable not as a replacement for optimization, but as a complement to it. Deep learning brings adaptability and scalable approximation, whereas OR/MS provides the structural rigor needed to represent constraints, recourse, and uncertainty. The tutorial reviews key decision-making foundations, connects them to the major neural architectures in modern AI, and discusses leading approaches to integrating learning and optimization. It also highlights emerging impact in domains such as supply chains, healthcare and epidemic response, agriculture, energy, and autonomous operations. More broadly, it frames these developments as part of a wider transition from predictive AI toward decision-capable AI and highlights the role of OR/MS in shaping the next generation of integrated learning--optimization systems.
The ecosystem of machine learning competitions: Platforms, participants, and their impact on AI development
Machine learning competitions (MLCs) play a pivotal role in advancing artificial intelligence (AI) by fostering innovation, skill development, and practical problem-solving. This study provides a comprehensive analysis of major competition platforms such as Kaggle and Zindi, examining their workflows, evaluation methodologies, and reward structures. It further assesses competition quality, participant expertise, and global reach, with particular attention to demographic trends among top-performing competitors. By exploring the motivations of competition hosts, this paper underscores the significant role of MLCs in shaping AI development, promoting collaboration, and driving impactful technological progress. Furthermore, by combining literature synthesis with platform-level data analysis and practitioner insights a comprehensive understanding of the MLC ecosystem is provided. Moreover, the paper demonstrates that MLCs function at the intersection of academic research and industrial application, fostering the exchange of knowledge, data, and practical methodologies across domains. Their strong ties to open-source communities further promote collaboration, reproducibility, and continuous innovation within the broader ML ecosystem. By shaping research priorities, informing industry standards, and enabling large-scale crowdsourced problem-solving, these competitions play a key role in the ongoing evolution of AI. The study provides insights relevant to researchers, practitioners, and competition organizers, and includes an examination of the future trajectory and sustained influence of MLCs on AI development.