Energy
Kernel-based potential mean-field games with unbiased random Fourier $U$-statistics
We study the subclass of potential mean-field games in which the running interaction cost and the terminal target cost are both expressed through reproducing-kernel maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) penalties, and develop a computational framework that exploits this kernel structure. Both costs are estimated from finite-sample empirical distributions using a random Fourier U-statistic representation that is unbiased and has linear cost in the batch size. The drift of the controlled diffusion is parametrized by a neural network and trained via stochastic gradient descent. For this subclass we prove a sample-level almost-sure convergence theorem and an explicit almost-sure rate of convergence, under coupled rate conditions on the penalty parameter, the random-feature count, the sample size, and the optimization tolerance. The framework includes the kernel-MMD-penalty Schrรถdinger bridge problem as the special case of a vanishing interaction cost. Numerical experiments illustrate the method on the Schrรถdinger bridge problem in dimensions up to one hundred, and on an electric vehicle charging coordination problem with per-vehicle physical heterogeneity, where an aggregate-demand congestion cost represents price-feedback competition at the population level and the terminal MMD penalty shapes the state-of-charge distribution at the deadline.
On the Construction and Implications of Low-Loss Valleys in LoRA-based Bayesian Inference
Dold, Daniel, Sommer, Emanuel, Kobialka, Julius, Dรผrr, Oliver, Rรผgamer, David
While parameter-efficient fine-tuning methods like low-rank adaptation (LoRA) are standard for large language models, principled estimation of epistemic uncertainty remains challenging. Recent results in the LoRA regime suggest that discrete multi-mode approaches such as deep ensembles offer little benefit over single-mode methods. This contradicts broader observations in deep learning, where ensembling independent optima typically improves generalization, and linking these modes through continuous low-loss valleys further enhances Bayesian model averaging (BMA). Whether such structure exists in the LoRA space and whether it yields functional diversity missed by local or discrete methods has not been studied. We introduce LoRA-Curve, a segmented Bรฉzier curve parameterization in the LoRA space, with two variants: a free configuration that jointly optimizes all control points, and an anchored configuration that connects independently fine-tuned LoRA optima. We prove pathwise continuity and Lipschitz regularity of the loss along the curve and empirically show, across reasoning and classification benchmarks with Qwen2.5 7B, that linear interpolation encounters loss barriers, while our anchored multi-segment curves connect independent optima through continuous low-loss valleys. Combined with flat-minima perturbations and a Jensen-Shannon divergence regularizer, LoRA-Curve yields measurably higher mutual information of the predictive distribution without sacrificing performance, and links continuous parameter-space traversal to functional diversity.
Visual Spatial Learning: Single-Field Spatial Interpolation Using Convolutional Neural Networks
Tinoco, Daniel, Menezes, Raquel, Baquero, Carlos, Silva, Alexandra
Predicting a complete spatially correlated field from sparse observations is a fundamental challenge in spatial statistics and environmental modelling. Classical interpolation methods such as Kriging rely on Gaussian process assumptions and variography, which can limit their effectiveness in non-stationary settings and require substantial domain expertise. In this work, we leverage an architecture based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for spatial interpolation that is trained and applied on a single partially observed field, without access to external data or prior fields. The model is supervised directly on the observed locations and learns to predict values at unobserved points on the user defined grid. Unlike Kriging, our method does not require explicit covariance modelling or variogram estimation, and it can flexibly capture local spatial patterns in a data-driven manner. This work demonstrates the potential of CNNs for single-instance spatial interpolation under sparse supervision, offering a practical alternative to classical geostatistical methods, and extending the use of CNNs to a new problem domain.
Statistical Embeddings for Similarity, Retrieval, and Interpretable Alignment of Numeric Tabular Datasets
Kunz, M. Ross, Merickel, John, Wilson, Keith
Numeric tabular datasets are the dominant data format in scientific practice, yet large language models lack native mechanisms for representing numeric datasets in a meaningful way across heterogeneous feature spaces. Existing approaches either target predictive modeling over individual datasets, which requires a shared set of variable definitions, or lack mechanisms for interpretable cross-dataset alignment. The proposed methodology characterizes numeric tabular datasets through structured exploratory data analysis descriptors, embeds those descriptors into a shared vector space using a pretrained sentence transformer, and quantifies cross-dataset similarity via Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA). Furthermore, a penalized formulation of CCA is applied to recover sparse, interpretable variable-level correspondences between datasets, identifying which statistical descriptors or variable-level quantities drive cross-dataset alignment without requiring shared variable names or feature conventions. Differential privacy is optionally applied to the descriptor set prior to embedding, supporting deployment in sensitive data contexts without requiring access to raw observations at time of comparison. The methodology is evaluated across 15 datasets spanning general-purpose benchmarks, materials informatics, and nuclear-grade graphite characterization. Results demonstrate a total P@1 score of 0.9, with known nearest-neighbor retrieval and cluster structure remaining robust across embedding ablations and differential privacy budgets. The proposed framework provides a principled pathway for integrating heterogeneous numeric data into retrieval-augmented generation pipelines while preserving statistical context, with direct applications to data-driven algorithm selection and simulation model initialization for unknown datasets.
Leave a Window Out: Modifying the Jackknife for Predictive Inference in Time Series
Jiang, Hanyang, Barber, Rina Foygel, Pananjady, Ashwin, Xie, Yao
Conformal prediction methods enjoy strong theoretical and empirical predictive inference performance, provided the data is exchangeable, and predictors are trained in a memoryless fashion. However, these assumptions and constraints are impractical in many real-data settings, such as time series (where temporal dependence violates exchangeability, and where memoryless predictors will inevitably have poor predictive accuracy). Recent work shows that the split conformal prediction method is robust to these issues of memory-based predictors and deviations from exchangeability that are common features of time-series data. However, since using sample splitting can lead to lower accuracy, this motivates asking whether other predictive inference methods (that do not rely on data splitting) could also be reliably used in the time series setting. In this work, we show that the vanilla leave-one-out jackknife can suffer an arbitrary loss of coverage even in canonical time series models with mild temporal dependence. As a remedy, we propose a careful modification tailored to such settings, which we term the \emph{leave-a-window-out} (LWO) method, and show that it can achieve valid coverage provided that the model-fitting procedure satisfies mild stability properties. Our proofs are based on quantifying the degree to which the data departs from \emph{cyclic exchangeability}, and we introduce new coefficients to measure the extent of this departure. Experiments on time series data demonstrate that our LWO method often enjoys valid coverage when the vanilla jackknife fails to cover, while producing much narrower intervals than split conformal prediction.
Kelsey Pfendler is trying to become the youngest woman to row solo from California to Hawaii
Pfendler has already faced blisters, brutal winds, and lost freshwater in the first week of her over 2,400 mile journey. More information Adding us as a Preferred Source in Google by using this link indicates that you would like to see more of our content in Google News results. Kelsey Pfendler will share updates along the way via social media. Breakthroughs, discoveries, and DIY tips sent six days a week. By signing up, you confirm you are 16+, will receive newsletters and promotional content and agree to our Terms of Use and acknowledge the data practices in our Privacy Policy .
Oil prices fall after report of breakthrough in US-Iran talks
Oil prices have dropped following a report the US and Iran have reached a deal, subject to President Donald Trump's approval. Axios reported officials had made an agreement over an extended ceasefire on Thursday. It drove the price of a barrel of Brent crude down to a low of $93.36 from a earlier high of $98, before rebounding to about $94. Prices had jumped earlier after the US carried out new attacks on Iran, targeting a military site in Bandar Abbas, a strategic port city. The strikes occurred despite an ongoing ceasefire between Tehran and Washington to allow for talks to end the three-month-long war that has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz waterway, pushing up global energy costs.
Irish datacentres have increased household bills by hundreds of euros, report finds
Datacentre industry representatives disputed the findings and said the sector boosted the economy. Datacentre industry representatives disputed the findings and said the sector boosted the economy. 'Hidden datacentre tax' costing Irish households millions, report says Datacentres used 22% of country's electricity last year, pushing up household bills, study suggests Thu 28 May 2026 09.01 EDTLast modified on Thu 28 May 2026 09.32 EDT Energy demand by datacentres in Ireland has added hundreds of euros to household electricity bills in a pattern that could be replicated across Europe, according to a report. Ireland's growing number of datacentres last year used 22% of the country's electricity, more than all urban homes combined, according to the Central Statistics Office. The equivalent figure in the US and UK is 6%.
The Download: climate tech goes public and the AI Hype Index returns
Plus: Illinois just passed what could become America's strongest AI safety law. Climate tech companies are going public. Solar and battery company Solv Energy went public in February, hitting a $6 billion valuation. X-energy, which builds small modular nuclear reactors, followed at $11.5 billion. Then came geothermal company Fervo Energy, reaching a market cap of about $12.4 billion. All three have been IPO success stories.
China's secret weapon in AI race with US? Lots of cheap energy
In the race against China for AI supremacy, the United States dominates when it comes to access to the most cutting-edge semiconductors. But when it comes to powering the huge data centres that run on AI chips, China holds the clear advantage. A typical data centre can consume as much electricity as 100,000 households, while next-generation "hyperscale" facilities can gobble up as much power as two million homes, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). China's access to an abundant supply of cheap electricity places it in the ideal position to meet such colossal energy demands. China already generates more than twice as much electricity as the US, a lead that is expected to widen amid an aggressive state-led investment in the country's energy grid.