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Multi-agent Reinforcement Learning Embedded Game for the Optimization of Building Energy Control and Power System Planning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Most of the current game-theoretic demand-side management methods focus primarily on the scheduling of home appliances, and the related numerical experiments are analyzed under various scenarios to achieve the corresponding Nash-equilibrium (NE) and optimal results. However, not much work is conducted for academic or commercial buildings. The methods for optimizing academic-buildings are distinct from the optimal methods for home appliances. In my study, we address a novel methodology to control the operation of heating, ventilation, and air conditioning system (HVAC). With the development of Artificial Intelligence and computer technologies, reinforcement learning (RL) can be implemented in multiple realistic scenarios and help people to solve thousands of real-world problems. Reinforcement Learning, which is considered as the art of future AI, builds the bridge between agents and environments through Markov Decision Chain or Neural Network and has seldom been used in power system. The art of RL is that once the simulator for a specific environment is built, the algorithm can keep learning from the environment. Therefore, RL is capable of dealing with constantly changing simulator inputs such as power demand, the condition of power system and outdoor temperature, etc. Compared with the existing distribution power system planning mechanisms and the related game theoretical methodologies, our proposed algorithm can plan and optimize the hourly energy usage, and have the ability to corporate with even shorter time window if needed.


Kernel Change-point Detection with Auxiliary Deep Generative Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Detecting the emergence of abrupt property changes in time series is a challenging problem. Kernel two-sample test has been studied for this task which makes fewer assumptions on the distributions than traditional parametric approaches. However, selecting kernels is nontrivial in practice. Although kernel selection for two-sample test has been studied, the insufficient samples in change point detection problem hinders the success of those developed kernel selection algorithms. In this paper, we propose KL-CPD, a novel kernel learning framework for time series CPD that optimizes a lower bound of test power via an auxiliary generative model. With deep kernel parameterization, KL-CPD endows kernel two-sample test with the data-driven kernel to detect different types of change-points in real-world applications. The proposed approach significantly outperformed other state-of-the-art methods in our comparative evaluation of benchmark datasets and simulation studies. Detecting changes in the temporal evolution of a system (biological, physical, mechanical, etc.) in time series analysis has attracted considerable attention in machine learning and data mining for decades (Basseville et al., 1993; Brodsky & Darkhovsky, 2013). This task, commonly referred to as change-point detection (CPD) or anomaly detection in the literature, aims to predict significant changing points in a temporal sequence of observations.


A Deep Generative Model for Graphs: Supervised Subset Selection to Create Diverse Realistic Graphs with Applications to Power Networks Synthesis

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Creating and modeling real-world graphs is a crucial problem in various applications of engineering, biology, and social sciences; however, learning the distributions of nodes/edges and sampling from them to generate realistic graphs is still challenging. Moreover, generating a diverse set of synthetic graphs that all imitate a real network is not addressed. In this paper, the novel problem of creating diverse synthetic graphs is solved. First, we devise the deep supervised subset selection (DeepS3) algorithm; Given a ground-truth set of data points, DeepS3 selects a diverse subset of all items (i.e. data points) that best represent the items in the ground-truth set. Furthermore, we propose the deep graph representation recurrent network (GRRN) as a novel generative model that learns a probabilistic representation of a real weighted graph. Training the GRRN, we generate a large set of synthetic graphs that are likely to follow the same features and adjacency patterns as the original one. Incorporating GRRN with DeepS3, we select a diverse subset of generated graphs that best represent the behaviors of the real graph (i.e. our ground-truth). We apply our model to the novel problem of power grid synthesis, where a synthetic power network is created with the same physical/geometric properties as a real power system without revealing the real locations of the substations (nodes) and the lines (edges), since such data is confidential. Experiments on the Synthetic Power Grid Data Set show accurate synthetic networks that follow similar structural and spatial properties as the real power grid.


Microsoft to set up 10 AI labs, train 5 lakh youth in India

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BENGALURU: Microsoft India on Wednesday announced to set up Artificial Intelligence (AI) labs in 10 universities and train five lakh youth across the country in disrupting technologies. The company also said it will upskill over 10,000 developers over the next three years. "We believe AI will enable Indian businesses and more for India's progress, especially in education, skilling, healthcare and agriculture," said Anant Maheshwari, President, Microsoft India. Microsoft AI today is fuelling digital transformation for over 700 customers and 60 per cent customers are large manufacturing and financial services enterprises. Over 700 partners have geared up to support the AI ecosystem, said the company.


MEPs back plans for artificial intelligence and robotics, but ethical concerns remain

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MEPs in the European Parliament's Committee on Industry, Research and Energy backed plans on Monday evening (14 January) for a comprehensive policy framework on artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics, weeks after ethical concerns in the field were highlighted in a EU report. Parliament's report, though not legally binding, gives a clear signal that MEPs will seek to pressure the Commission to draw up an industrial policy for artificial intelligence and robotics. "This is a key area and I am pleased that we have been able to make some strong suggestions on AI," British Conservative MEP Ashley Fox said on Tuesday evening. "The technology is not confined to the boundaries of the single market and it is imperative that the EU work at the international level to agree on standards." MEPs noted the future potential for AI and robotics to transform a number of sectors ranging from health, energy, manufacturing and transport, and also urged member states to develop new training programmes that cultivate skills in areas that are likely to be affected by future autonomous technologies.


Big Data Analytics, Machine Learning and AI in the Renewable Energy Sector - AI Trends

#artificialintelligence

Analytics, Machine Learning, and artificial intelligence (AI) are used to interpret the past, optimize the present and predict the future. The energy sector heavily depends on optimization and predictions for energy production, energy grid balancing, and consumption habits. Additionally, the energy industry produces massive amounts of data. To turn this data into insights to improve productivity and cut costs, major energy players are turning to AI. Here we will look at the scopes of advanced analytics, machine learning and AI in the renewable energy sector.


Japan plans to draw up guidelines for underwater drones

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The Japanese government plans to draw up guidelines for underwater drones by fiscal 2020, reflecting the need for rules to prevent accidents as the use of such vehicles by the private sector is expected to increase, according to sources. Underwater drones, also called unmanned submarines, are used for such purposes as checking offshore wind power plants and underwater pipelines. The vehicles, with electric motors, move under preset programs, collect data and send it to mother ships and base stations through communications using light or sound waves. Underwater drones are also utilized for collecting data on seabeds and their geological features. There are remote-controlled models as well.


Machine learning for predicting thermal power consumption of the Mars Express Spacecraft

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The thermal subsystem of the Mars Express (MEX) spacecraft keeps the on-board equipment within its pre-defined operating temperatures range. To plan and optimize the scientific operations of MEX, its operators need to estimate in advance, as accurately as possible, the power consumption of the thermal subsystem. The remaining power can then be allocated for scientific purposes. We present a machine learning pipeline for efficiently constructing accurate predictive models for predicting the power of the thermal subsystem on board MEX. In particular, we employ state-of-the-art feature engineering approaches for transforming raw telemetry data, in turn used for constructing accurate models with different state-of-the-art machine learning methods. We show that the proposed pipeline considerably improve our previous (competition-winning) work in terms of time efficiency and predictive performance. Moreover, while achieving superior predictive performance, the constructed models also provide important insight into the spacecraft's behavior, allowing for further analyses and optimal planning of MEX's operation.


How to Host a Data Competition: Statistical Advice for Design and Analysis of a Data Competition

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Data competitions rely on real-time leaderboards to rank competitor entries and stimulate algorithm improvement. While such competitions have become quite popular and prevalent, particularly in supervised learning formats, their implementations by the host are highly variable. Without careful planning, a supervised learning competition is vulnerable to overfitting, where the winning solutions are so closely tuned to the particular set of provided data that they cannot generalize to the underlying problem of interest to the host. This paper outlines some important considerations for strategically designing relevant and informative data sets to maximize the learning outcome from hosting a competition based on our experience. It also describes a post-competition analysis that enables robust and efficient assessment of the strengths and weaknesses of solutions from different competitors, as well as greater understanding of the regions of the input space that are well-solved. The post-competition analysis, which complements the leaderboard, uses exploratory data analysis and generalized linear models (GLMs). The GLMs not only expand the range of results we can explore, they also provide more detailed analysis of individual sub-questions including similarities and differences between algorithms across different types of scenarios, universally easy or hard regions of the input space, and different learning objectives. When coupled with a strategically planned data generation approach, the methods provide richer and more informative summaries to enhance the interpretation of results beyond just the rankings on the leaderboard. The methods are illustrated with a recently completed competition to evaluate algorithms capable of detecting, identifying, and locating radioactive materials in an urban environment.


How Algorithms Are Taking Over Big Oil

#artificialintelligence

With the help of artificial intelligence, BP says it needs 40% fewer workers to keep its natural gas flowing in Wyoming. A visitor to one of BP's natural gas fields in Wyoming a few years ago might have noticed an odd sight: smartphones in plastic bags tied to pumps with zip ties. This was an early test of a multistate initiative by the oil giant to link a network of Wi-Fi sensors to an artificial intelligence system--one that now operates the Wamsutter field in Wyoming with far less human oversight than before. Artificial intelligence has come to the oil patch, accelerating a technical change that is transforming the conditions for the oil and gas industry's 150,000 U.S. workers. Giant energy companies like Shell and BP are investing billions to bring artificial intelligence to new refineries, oilfields and deepwater drilling platforms.