Energy
Load Balancing for Ultra-Dense Networks: A Deep Reinforcement Learning Based Approach
Xu, Yue, Xu, Wenjun, Wang, Zhi, Lin, Jiaru, Cui, Shuguang
In this paper, we propose a deep reinforcement learning (DRL) based mobility load balancing (MLB) algorithm along with a two-layer architecture to solve the large-scale load balancing problem for ultra-dense networks (UDNs). Our contribution is three-fold. First, this work proposes a two-layer architecture to solve the large-scale load balancing problem in a self-organized manner. The proposed architecture can alleviate the global traffic variations by dynamically grouping small cells into self-organized clusters according to their historical loads, and further adapt to local traffic variations through intra-cluster load balancing afterwards. Second, for the intra-cluster load balancing, this paper proposes an off-policy DRL-based MLB algorithm to autonomously learn the optimal MLB policy under an asynchronous parallel learning framework, without any prior knowledge assumed over the underlying UDN environments. Moreover, the algorithm enables joint exploration with multiple behavior policies, such that the traditional MLB methods can be used to guide the learning process thereby improving the learning efficiency and stability. Third, this work proposes an offline-evaluation based safeguard mechanism to ensure that the online system can always operate with the optimal and well-trained MLB policy, which not only stabilizes the online performance but also enables the exploration beyond current policies to make full use of machine learning in a safe way. Empirical results verify that the proposed framework outperforms the existing MLB methods in general UDN environments featured with irregular network topologies, coupled interferences, and random user movements, in terms of the load balancing performance.
Artificial intelligence accelerates efforts to develop clean, virtually limitless fusion energy
Artificial intelligence (AI), a branch of computer science that is transforming scientific inquiry and industry, could now speed the development of safe, clean and virtually limitless fusion energy for generating electricity. A major step in this direction is under way at the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory (PPPL) and Princeton University, where a team of scientists working with a Harvard graduate student is for the first time applying deep learning -- a powerful new version of the machine learning form of AI -- to forecast sudden disruptions that can halt fusion reactions and damage the doughnut-shaped tokamaks that house the reactions. "This research opens a promising new chapter in the effort to bring unlimited energy to Earth," Steve Cowley, director of PPPL, said of the findings, which are reported in the current issue of Nature magazine. "Artificial intelligence is exploding across the sciences and now it's beginning to contribute to the worldwide quest for fusion power." Fusion, which drives the sun and stars, is the fusing of light elements in the form of plasma -- the hot, charged state of matter composed of free electrons and atomic nuclei -- that generates energy.
2019 Business Trends: The Predictions and How They're Shaping Up
In 2018, a wide variety of disruptive technology guided consumer expectations. The year enjoyed the lowest unemployment rate in decades, fueling competition over human resources. And data-driven business strategies became the norm used by the majority of businesses. Indeed, business trends for the year were quite spectacular. At the Synapse Summit earlier this year, Bold Business asked a number of industry insiders to predict 2019's trends.
Multivariate, Multistep Forecasting, Reconstruction and Feature Selection of Ocean Waves via Recurrent and Sequence-to-Sequence Networks
Pirhooshyaran, Mohammad, Snyder, Lawrence V.
This article explores the concepts of ocean wave multivariate multistep forecasting, reconstruction and feature selection. We introduce recurrent neural network frameworks, integrated with Bayesian hyperparameter optimization and Elastic Net methods. We consider both short- and long-term forecasts and reconstruction, for significant wave height and output power of the ocean waves. Sequence-to-sequence neural networks are being developed for the first time to reconstruct the missing characteristics of ocean waves based on information from nearby wave sensors. Our results indicate that the Adam and AMSGrad optimization algorithms are the most robust ones to optimize the sequence-to-sequence network. For the case of significant wave height reconstruction, we compare the proposed methods with alternatives on a well-studied dataset. We show the superiority of the proposed methods considering several error metrics. We design a new case study based on measurement stations along the east coast of the United States and investigate the feature selection concept. Comparisons substantiate the benefit of utilizing Elastic Net. Moreover, case study results indicate that when the number of features is considerable, having deeper structures improves the performance.
How A.I. Can Help Handle Severe Weather
The idea is to "anticipate, absorb and recover from events that cause grid outages, such as extreme weather or a cyberattack," said Ashley Pilipiszyn, GRIP project lead and a Ph.D. student at Stanford University. The project is co-led by the SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory, which is operated by Stanford University, and the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, managed by the University of California. Like many such initiatives focused on artificial intelligence and climate change, the public and private sectors are involved in supplying research and funds. In the case of a failure caused by a winter storm, for example, Ms. Pilipiszyn said that a smart grid could prioritize different electrical loads into islands and isolate faults, ensuring, say, that a nursing home or hospital receives top priority. GRIP is a three-year project, and field demonstrations are expecting to be up and running by the end of 2020, Ms. Pilipiszyn said.
Decision-Making in Reinforcement Learning
Rehman, Arsh Javed, Tomar, Pradeep
In this research work, probabilistic decision-making approaches are studied, e.g. Bayesian and Boltzmann strategies, along with various deterministic exploration strategies, e.g. greedy, epsilon-Greedy and random approaches. In this research work, a comparative study has been done between probabilistic and deterministic decision-making approaches, the experiments are performed in OpenAI gym environment, solving Cart Pole problem. This research work discusses about the Bayesian approach to decision-making in deep reinforcement learning, and about dropout, how it can reduce the computational cost. All the exploration approaches are compared. It also discusses about the importance of exploration in deep reinforcement learning, and how improving exploration strategies may help in science and technology. This research work shows how probabilistic decision-making approaches are better in the long run as compared to the deterministic approaches. When there is uncertainty, Bayesian dropout approach proved to be better than all other approaches in this research work.
Cascaded Algorithm-Selection and Hyper-Parameter Optimization with Extreme-Region Upper Confidence Bound Bandit
Hu, Yi-Qi, Yu, Yang, Liao, Jun-Da
An automatic machine learning (AutoML) task is to select the best algorithm and its hyper-parameters simultaneously. Previously, the hyper-parameters of all algorithms are joint as a single search space, which is not only huge but also redundant, because many dimensions of hyper-parameters are irrelevant with the selected algorithms. In this paper, we propose a cascaded approach for algorithm selection and hyper-parameter optimization. While a search procedure is employed at the level of hyper-parameter optimization, a bandit strategy runs at the level of algorithm selection to allocate the budget based on the search feedbacks. Since the bandit is required to select the algorithm with the maximum performance, instead of the average performance, we thus propose the extreme-region upper confidence bound (ER-UCB) strategy, which focuses on the extreme region of the underlying feedback distribution. We show theoretically that the ER-UCB has a regret upper bound $O\left(K \ln n\right)$ with independent feedbacks, which is as efficient as the classical UCB bandit. We also conduct experiments on a synthetic problem as well as a set of AutoML tasks. The results verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.
Independent Component Analysis based on multiple data-weighting
Bedychaj, Andrzej, Spurek, Przemysław, Struskim, Łukasz, Tabor, Jacek
Independent Component Analysis (ICA) - one of the basic tools in data analysis - aims to find a coordinate system in which the components of the data are independent. In this paper we present Multiple-weighted Independent Component Analysis (MWeICA) algorithm, a new ICA method which is based on approximate diagonalization of weighted covariance matrices. Our idea is based on theoretical result, which says that linear independence of weighted data (for gaussian weights) guarantees independence. Experiments show that MWeICA achieves better results to most state-of-the-art ICA methods, with similar computational time.
Prediction and optimization of mechanical properties of composites using convolutional neural networks
Abueidda, Diab W., Almasri, Mohammad, Ammourah, Rami, Ravaioli, Umberto, Jasiuk, Iwona M., Sobh, Nahil A.
In this paper, we develop a convolutional neural network model to predict the mechanical properties of a two-dimensional checkerboard composite quantitatively. The checkerboard composite possesses two phases, one phase is soft and ductile while the other is stiff and brittle. The ground-truth data used in the training process are obtained from finite element analyses under the assumption of plane stress. Monte Carlo simulations and central limit theorem are used to find the size of the dataset needed. Once the training process is completed, the developed model is validated using data unseen during training. The developed neural network model captures the stiffness, strength, and toughness of checkerboard composites with high accuracy. Also, we integrate the developed model with a genetic algorithm (GA) optimizer to identify the optimal microstructural designs. The genetic algorithm optimizer adopted here has several operators, selection, crossover, mutation, and elitism. The optimizer converges to configurations with highly enhanced properties. For the case of the modulus and starting from randomly-initialized generation, the GA optimizer converges to the global maximum which involves no soft elements. Also, the GA optimizers, when used to maximize strength and toughness, tend towards having soft elements in the region next to the crack tip.
A multi-series framework for demand forecasts in E-commerce
Garnier, Rémy, Belletoile, Arnaud
Sales forecasts are crucial for the E-commerce business. State-of-the-art techniques typically apply only univariate methods to make prediction for each series independently. However, due to the short nature of sales times series in E-commerce, univariate methods don't apply well. In this article, we propose a global model which outperforms state-of-the-art models on real dataset. It is achieved by using Tree Boosting Methods that exploit non-linearity and cross-series information. We also proposed a preprocessing framework to overcome the inherent difficulties in the E-commerce data. In particular, we use different schemes to limit the impact of the volatility of the data.