In developing countries like India agriculture plays an extremely important role in the lives of the population. In India, around 80\% of the population depend on agriculture or its by-products as the primary means for employment. Given large population dependency on agriculture, it becomes extremely important for the government to estimate market factors in advance and prepare for any deviation from those estimates. Commodity arrivals to market is an extremely important factor which is captured at district level throughout the country. Historical data and short-term prediction of important variables such as arrivals, prices, crop quality etc. for commodities are used by the government to take proactive steps and decide various policy measures. In this paper, we present a framework to work with short timeseries in conjunction with remote sensing data to predict future commodity arrivals. We deal with extremely high dimensional data which exceed the observation sizes by multiple orders of magnitude. We use cascaded layers of dimensionality reduction techniques combined with regularized regression models for prediction. We present results to predict arrivals to major markets and state wide prices for `Tur' (red gram) crop in Karnataka, India. Our model consistently beats popular ML techniques on many instances. Our model is scalable, time efficient and can be generalized to many other crops and regions. We draw multiple insights from the regression parameters, some of which are important aspects to consider when predicting more complex quantities such as prices in the future. We also combine the insights to generate important recommendations for different government organizations.

Smart Meters (SMs) are an important component of smart electrical grids, but they have also generated serious concerns about privacy data of consumers. In this paper, we present a general formulation of the privacy-preserving problem in SMs from an information-theoretic perspective. In order to capture the casual time series structure of the power measurements, we employ Directed Information (DI) as an adequate measure of privacy. On the other hand, to cope with a variety of potential applications of SMs data, we study different distortion measures along with the standard squared-error distortion. This formulation leads to a quite general training objective (or loss) which is optimized under a deep learning adversarial framework where two Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), referred to as the releaser and the attacker, are trained with opposite goals. An exhaustive empirical study is then performed to validate the proposed approach for different privacy problems in three actual data sets. Finally, we study the impact of the data mismatch problem, which occurs when the releaser and the attacker have different training data sets and show that privacy may not require a large level of distortion in real-world scenarios.

Understanding transition events between metastable states is of great importance in the applied sciences. Wellknown examples of the transition events include nucleation events during phase transitions, conformational changes of bio-molecules, dislocation dynamics in crystalline solids, etc. The long time scale associated with these events is a consequence of the disparity between the effective thermal energy and typical energy barrier of the systems. The dynamics proceeds by long waiting periods around metastable states followed by sudden jumps from one state to another. For this reason, the transition event is called rare event. The main objective in the study of rare events is to understand the transition mechanism, such as the transition pathway and transition states.

Backpropagation has been widely used in deep learning approaches, but it is inefficient and sometimes unstable because of backward locking and vanishing/exploding gradient problems, especially when the gradient flow is long. Additionally, updating all edge weights based on a single objective seems biologically implausible. In this paper, we introduce a novel biologically motivated learning structure called Associated Learning, which modularizes the network into smaller components, each of which has a local objective. Because the objectives are mutually independent, Associated Learning can learn the parameters independently and simultaneously when these parameters belong to different components. Surprisingly, training deep models by Associated Learning yields comparable accuracies to models trained using typical backpropagation methods, which aims at fitting the target variable directly. Moreover, probably because the gradient flow of each component is short, deep networks can still be trained with Associated Learning even when some of the activation functions are sigmoid-a situation that usually results in the vanishing gradient problem when using typical backpropagation. We also found that the Associated Learning generates better metafeatures, which we demonstrated both quantitatively (via inter-class and intra-class distance comparisons in the hidden layers) and qualitatively (by visualizing the hidden layers using t-SNE).

In recent years, deep learning has proven to be a viable methodology for surrogate modeling and uncertainty quantification for a vast number of physical systems. However, in their traditional form, such models require a large amount of training data. This is of particular importance for various engineering and scientific applications where data may be extremely expensive to obtain. To overcome this shortcoming, physics-constrained deep learning provides a promising methodology as it only utilizes the governing equations. In this work, we propose a novel auto-regressive dense encoder-decoder convolutional neural network to solve and model transient systems with non-linear dynamics at a computational cost that is potentially magnitudes lower than standard numerical solvers. This model includes a Bayesian framework that allows for uncertainty quantification of the predicted quantities of interest at each time-step. We rigorously test this model on several non-linear transient partial differential equation systems including the turbulence of the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation, multi-shock formation and interaction with 1D Burgers' equation and 2D wave dynamics with coupled Burgers' equations. For each system, the predictive results and uncertainty are presented and discussed together with comparisons to the results obtained from traditional numerical analysis methods.

Observer effect in physics (/psychology) regards bias in measurement (/perception) due to the interference of instrument (/knowledge). Based on these concepts, a new meta-heuristic algorithm is proposed for controlling memory usage per localities without pursuing Tabu-like cut-off approaches. In this paper, first, variations of observer effect are explained in different branches of science from physics to psychology. Then, a metaheuristic algorithm is proposed based on observer effect concepts and the used metrics are explained. The derived optimizer performance has been compared between 1st, non-homogeneous-peaks-density functions, and 2nd, homogeneous-peaks-density functions to verify the algorithm outperformance in the 1st scheme. Finally, performance analysis of the novel algorithms is derived using two real-world engineering applications in Electroencephalogram feature learning and Distributed Generator parameter tuning, each of which having nonlinearity and complex multi-modal peaks distributions as its characteristics. Also, the effect of version improvement has been assessed. The performance analysis among other optimizers in the same context suggests that the proposed algorithm is useful both solely and in hybrid Gradient Descent settings where problem's search space is nonhomogeneous in terms of local peaks density.

Fuzzing has played an important role in improving software development and testing over the course of several decades. Recent research in fuzzing has focused on applications of machine learning (ML), offering useful tools to overcome challenges in the fuzzing process. This review surveys the current research in applying ML to fuzzing. Specifically, this review discusses successful applications of ML to fuzzing, briefly explores challenges encountered, and motivates future research to address fuzzing bottlenecks.

Curriculum learning has been successfully used in reinforcement learning to accelerate the learning process, through knowledge transfer between tasks of increasing complexity. Critical tasks, in which suboptimal exploratory actions must be minimized, can benefit from curriculum learning, and its ability to shape exploration through transfer. We propose a task sequencing algorithm maximizing the cumulative return, that is, the return obtained by the agent across all the learning episodes. By maximizing the cumulative return, the agent not only aims at achieving high rewards as fast as possible, but also at doing so while limiting suboptimal actions. We experimentally compare our task sequencing algorithm to several popular metaheuristic algorithms for combinatorial optimization, and show that it achieves significantly better performance on the problem of cumulative return maximization. Furthermore, we validate our algorithm on a critical task, optimizing a home controller for a micro energy grid.

The enterprise drone market is ascending rapidly. Goldman Sachs estimated that businesses will spend $13 billion on drones between now and 2020. Promising commercial applications for drones range from emergency response and firefighting to surveying farmland and grocery delivery. However, as is the case with any new and innovative technology, there have been some speed bumps along the way that must be delicately navigated before broad adoption sets in. One of the most common speed bumps for businesses is the challenge of analyzing the vast volumes of data collected by drones.

How will emerging autonomous and intelligent systems affect the international landscape of power and coercion two decades from now? Will the world see a new set of artificial intelligence (AI) hegemons just as it saw a handful of nuclear powers for most of the twentieth century? Will autonomous weapon systems make conflict more likely or will states find ways to control proliferation and build deterrence, as they have done (fitfully) with nuclear weapons? And importantly, will multilateral forums find ways to engage the technology holders, states as well as industry, in norm setting and other forms of controlling the competition? The answers to these questions lie not only in the scope and spread of military applications of AI technologies but also in how pervasive their civilian applications will be.