Energy
6 European cities seek carbon emission-cut with AI
Six European cities – Helsinki, Amsterdam, Copenhagen, Paris, Stavanger, and Tallinn – join forces in a new project named AI4Cities. The project challenges enterprises, researchers and others to develop solutions utilising artificial intelligence (AI) to generate cuts to carbon dioxide emissions, said the City of Helsinki in a press release. Helsinki emphasises utilisation of data and AI in its digitalisation programme to achieve the city's climate goals. The participating cities' respective programmes to cut carbon dioxide emissions emphasise emissions from transport and housing. Consequently, the AI4Cities Project focuses on emissions generated from transport and traffic as well as the energy consumption by buildings.
New machine learning method could supercharge battery development for electric vehicles
Battery performance can make or break the electric vehicle experience, from driving range to charging time to the lifetime of the car. Now, artificial intelligence has made dreams like recharging an EV in the time it takes to stop at a gas station a more likely reality, and could help improve other aspects of battery technology. For decades, advances in electric vehicle batteries have been limited by a major bottleneck: evaluation times. At every stage of the battery development process, new technologies must be tested for months or even years to determine how long they will last. But now, a team led by Stanford professors Stefano Ermon and William Chueh has developed a machine learning-based method that slashes these testing times by 98 percent.
Publications
Inceoglu I, Thomas G, Chu C, Plans D, Gerbasi A (2018). Leadership behavior and employee well-being: an integrated review and a future research agenda. Lopez D, Brown AW, Plans D. (2019). Modelling and simulation of operation and maintenance strategy for offshore wind farms based on multiagent system. Murphy J, Brewer R, Coll M-P, Plans D, Hall M, Shiu SS, Catmur C, Bird G. (2019).
Comprehensive Taxonomies of Nature- and Bio-inspired Optimization: Inspiration versus Algorithmic Behavior, Critical Analysis and Recommendations
Molina, Daniel, Poyatos, Javier, Del Ser, Javier, García, Salvador, Hussain, Amir, Herrera, Francisco
In recent years, a great variety of nature- and bio-inspired algorithms has been reported in the literature. This algorithmic family simulates different biological processes observed in Nature in order to efficiently address complex optimization problems. In the last years the number of bio-inspired optimization approaches in literature has grown considerably, reaching unprecedented levels that dark the future prospects of this field of research. This paper addresses this problem by proposing two comprehensive, principle-based taxonomies that allow researchers to organize existing and future algorithmic developments into well-defined categories, considering two different criteria: the source of inspiration and the behavior of each algorithm. Using these taxonomies we review more than three hundred publications dealing with nature-inspired and bio-inspired algorithms, and proposals falling within each of these categories are examined, leading to a critical summary of design trends and similarities between them, and the identification of the most similar classical algorithm for each reviewed paper. From our analysis we conclude that a poor relationship is often found between the natural inspiration of an algorithm and its behavior. Furthermore, similarities in terms of behavior between different algorithms are greater than what is claimed in their public disclosure: specifically, we show that more than one-third of the reviewed bio-inspired solvers are versions of classical algorithms. Grounded on the conclusions of our critical analysis, we give several recommendations and points of improvement for better methodological practices in this active and growing research field.
Computationally Tractable Riemannian Manifolds for Graph Embeddings
Cruceru, Calin, Bécigneul, Gary, Ganea, Octavian-Eugen
Representing graphs as sets of node embeddings in certain curved Riemannian manifolds has recently gained momentum in machine learning due to their desirable geometric inductive biases, e.g., hierarchical structures benefit from hyperbolic geometry. However, going beyond embedding spaces of constant sectional curvature, while potentially more representationally powerful, proves to be challenging as one can easily lose the appeal of computationally tractable tools such as geodesic distances or Riemannian gradients. Here, we explore computationally efficient matrix manifolds, showcasing how to learn and optimize graph embeddings in these Riemannian spaces. Empirically, we demonstrate consistent improvements over Euclidean geometry while often outperforming hyperbolic and elliptical embeddings based on various metrics that capture different graph properties. Our results serve as new evidence for the benefits of non-Euclidean embeddings in machine learning pipelines.
Stein Self-Repulsive Dynamics: Benefits From Past Samples
Ye, Mao, Ren, Tongzheng, Liu, Qiang
We propose a new Stein self-repulsive dynamics for obtaining diversified samples from intractable un-normalized distributions. Our idea is to introduce Stein variational gradient as a repulsive force to push the samples of Langevin dynamics away from the past trajectories. This simple idea allows us to significantly decrease the auto-correlation in Langevin dynamics and hence increase the effective sample size. Importantly, as we establish in our theoretical analysis, the asymptotic stationary distribution remains correct even with the addition of the repulsive force, thanks to the special properties of the Stein variational gradient. We perform extensive empirical studies of our new algorithm, showing that our method yields much higher sample efficiency and better uncertainty estimation than vanilla Langevin dynamics.
Distributionally Robust Bayesian Optimization
Kirschner, Johannes, Bogunovic, Ilija, Jegelka, Stefanie, Krause, Andreas
Robustness to distributional shift is one of the key challenges of contemporary machine learning. Attaining such robustness is the goal of distributionally robust optimization, which seeks a solution to an optimization problem that is worst-case robust under a specified distributional shift of an uncontrolled covariate. In this paper, we study such a problem when the distributional shift is measured via the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD). For the setting of zeroth-order, noisy optimization, we present a novel distributionally robust Bayesian optimization algorithm (DRBO). Our algorithm provably obtains sub-linear robust regret in various settings that differ in how the uncertain covariate is observed. We demonstrate the robust performance of our method on both synthetic and real-world benchmarks.
Risk-Aware Energy Scheduling for Edge Computing with Microgrid: A Multi-Agent Deep Reinforcement Learning Approach
Munir, Md. Shirajum, Abedin, Sarder Fakhrul, Tran, Nguyen H., Han, Zhu, Huh, Eui Nam, Hong, Choong Seon
In recent years, multi-access edge computing (MEC) is a key enabler for handling the massive expansion of Internet of Things (IoT) applications and services. However, energy consumption of a MEC network depends on volatile tasks that induces risk for energy demand estimations. As an energy supplier, a microgrid can facilitate seamless energy supply. However, the risk associated with energy supply is also increased due to unpredictable energy generation from renewable and non-renewable sources. Especially, the risk of energy shortfall is involved with uncertainties in both energy consumption and generation. In this paper, we study a risk-aware energy scheduling problem for a microgrid-powered MEC network. First, we formulate an optimization problem considering the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) measurement for both energy consumption and generation, where the objective is to minimize the loss of energy shortfall of the MEC networks and we show this problem is an NP-hard problem. Second, we analyze our formulated problem using a multi-agent stochastic game that ensures the joint policy Nash equilibrium, and show the convergence of the proposed model. Third, we derive the solution by applying a multi-agent deep reinforcement learning (MADRL)-based asynchronous advantage actor-critic (A3C) algorithm with shared neural networks. This method mitigates the curse of dimensionality of the state space and chooses the best policy among the agents for the proposed problem. Finally, the experimental results establish a significant performance gain by considering CVaR for high accuracy energy scheduling of the proposed model than both the single and random agent models.
Forecasting the Intra-Day Spread Densities of Electricity Prices
Abramova, Ekaterina, Bunn, Derek
More recently there has been an interest in density forecasts for the hourly prices, motivated by considerations of risk management. See [1,2] for extensive reviews. In this paper, we provide a new formulation with a focus upon price spreads, and specifically, we forecast the density functions for the intraday spreads in the day-ahead prices. The optimal operation of storage facilities, e.g., batteries and electric vehicles, or load shifting programmes, e.g., demand-side management, over daily cycles depends upon these spreads if they are operated as merchants, arbitraging buying and selling from the wholesale market. Furthermore, if the risk is a consideration, analysis of the mean differences in price levels would be inadequate, and we therefore directly estimate the density functions of all hourly spreads in prices at the day-ahead stage. These forecasts ahead of the day-ahead auctions would be needed to help traders decide whether they want to be buyers or sellers at each hour and thereby optimise their bids and offers. Our specification, estimation and forecasting of these arbitrage spreads are new and computationally-intensive. Based upon day-ahead forecasts for the drivers of electricity prices, such as demand, wind and solar production, gas and coal prices, forecasts for electricity price levels have been proposed from various methods, e.g., [3-6] and some for price densities [1,7], but apparently no methods have been developed specifically for forecasting intraday spread densities. Until recently storage assets, such as pumped hydro storage, would regularly store energy at night and discharge at the daily peak demand periods, which were quite predictable. However with the penetration of wind and especially solar generating facilities, the peak and trough hours in prices move around the day and in sunny locations with substantial solar energy, e.g., California, the lowest prices may often be in the middle of the day [8].
On the Search for Feedback in Reinforcement Learning
Wang, Ran, Parunandi, Karthikeya S., Yu, Dan, Kalathil, Dileep, Chakravorty, Suman
This paper addresses the problem of learning the optimal feedback policy for a nonlinear stochastic dynamical system with continuous state space, continuous action space and unknown dynamics. Feedback policies are complex objects that typically need a large dimensional parametrization, which makes Reinforcement Learning algorithms that search for an optimum in this large parameter space, sample inefficient and subject to high variance. We propose a "decoupling" principle that drastically reduces the feedback parameter space while still remaining near-optimal to the fourth-order in a small noise parameter. Based on this principle, we propose a decoupled data-based control (D2C) algorithm that addresses the stochastic control problem: first, an open-loop deterministic trajectory optimization problem is solved using a black-box simulation model of the dynamical system. Then, a linear closed-loop control is developed around this nominal trajectory using only a simulation model. Empirical evidence suggests significant reduction in training time, as well as the training variance, compared to other state of the art Reinforcement Learning algorithms.