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Hedging and machine learning driven crude oil data analysis using a refined Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, a refined Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (BN-S) model is implemented to find an optimal hedging strategy for commodity markets. The refinement of the BN-S model is obtained with various machine and deep learning algorithms. The refinement leads to the extraction of a deterministic parameter from the empirical data set. The problem is transformed to an appropriate classification problem with a couple of different approaches: the volatility approach and the duration approach. The analysis is implemented to the Bakken crude oil data and the aforementioned deterministic parameter is obtained for a wide range of data sets. With the implementation of this parameter in the refined model, the resulting model performs much better than the classical BN-S model.


An Intelligent Edge-Centric Queries Allocation Scheme based on Ensemble Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The combination of Internet of Things (IoT) and Edge Computing (EC) can assist in the delivery of novel applications that will facilitate end users activities. Data collected by numerous devices present in the IoT infrastructure can be hosted into a set of EC nodes becoming the subject of processing tasks for the provision of analytics. Analytics are derived as the result of various queries defined by end users or applications. Such queries can be executed in the available EC nodes to limit the latency in the provision of responses. In this paper, we propose a meta-ensemble learning scheme that supports the decision making for the allocation of queries to the appropriate EC nodes. Our learning model decides over queries' and nodes' characteristics. We provide the description of a matching process between queries and nodes after concluding the contextual information for each envisioned characteristic adopted in our meta-ensemble scheme. We rely on widely known ensemble models, combine them and offer an additional processing layer to increase the performance. The aim is to result a subset of EC nodes that will host each incoming query. Apart from the description of the proposed model, we report on its evaluation and the corresponding results. Through a large set of experiments and a numerical analysis, we aim at revealing the pros and cons of the proposed scheme.


Autonomous discovery of battery electrolytes with robotic experimentation and machine learning – Physics World

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Join the audience for a live webinar at 6 p.m. BST/1 p.m. EST on 12 August 2020 on the discovery of a novel battery electrolyte that was guided by machine-learning software without human intervention Want to take part in this webinar? Innovations in batteries take years to formulate and commercialize, requiring extensive experimentation during the design and optimization phases. We approached the design and selection of a battery electrolyte through a black-box optimization algorithm directly integrated into a robotic test stand. We report here the discovery of a novel battery electrolyte by this experiment completely guided by the machine-learning software without human intervention. Motivated by the recent trend toward super-concentrated aqueous electrolytes for high-performance batteries, we utilize Dragonfly – a Bayesian machine-learning software package – to search mixtures of commonly used lithium and sodium salts for super-concentrated aqueous electrolytes with wide electrochemical stability windows.


Artificial intelligence sheds light on membrane performance

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Membrane separations have long been recognized as energy-efficient processes with a rapidly growing market. In particular, organic solvent nanofiltration (OSN) technology has shown considerable potential when applied to various industries, such as petrochemicals, pharmaceuticals and natural products. The energy consumed by these industries accounts for 10 to 15 percent of the world's entire energy consumption. Nevertheless, difficulties in predicting the separation performance of OSN membranes have hindered smooth transition from lab discovery to industry implementation. Predicting the performance of membranes is a challenging task because of the complex nature of solvent, solute and membrane interactions.


Microsoft uses AI to boost its reuse, recycling of server parts

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Microsoft is bringing artificial intelligence to the task of sorting through millions of servers to determine what can be recycled and where. The new initiative calls for the building of so-called Circular Centers at Microsoft data centers around the world, where AI algorithms will be used to sort through parts from decommissioned servers or other hardware and figure out which parts can be reused on the campus. Microsoft says it has more than three million servers and related hardware in its data centers, and that a server's average lifespan is about five years. Plus, Microsoft is expanding globally, so its server numbers should increase. Circular Centers are all about quickly sorting through the inventory rather than tying up overworked staff. Microsoft plans to increase its reuse of server parts by 90% by 2025.


Artificial Neural Network for Regression

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Udemy Coupon ED Artificial Neural Network for Regression Build an ANN Regression model to predict the electrical energy output of a Combined Cycle Power Plant - Free Course. Get Course What You'll Learn How to implement an Artificial Neural Network in Python How to do Regression How to use Google Colab Description Are you ready to flex your Deep Learning skills by learning how to build and implement an Artificial Neural Network using Python from scratch? Testing your skills with practical courses is one of the best and most enjoyable ways to learn data science…and now we're giving you that chance for FREE. In this free course, AI expert Hadelin de Ponteves guides you through a case study that shows you how to build an ANN Regression model to predict the electrical energy output of a Combined Cycle Power Plant. The objective is to create a data model that predicts the net hourly electrical energy output (EP) of the plant using available hourly average ambient variables.


Effects of Voice-Based Synthetic Assistant on Performance of Emergency Care Provider in Training

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As part of a perennial project, our team is actively engaged in developing new synthetic assistant (SA) technologies to assist in training combat medics and medical first responders. It is critical that medical first responders are well trained to deal with emergencies more effectively. This would require real-time monitoring and feedback for each trainee. Therefore, we introduced a voice-based SA to augment the training process of medical first responders and enhance their performance in the field. The potential benefits of SAs include a reduction in training costs and enhanced monitoring mechanisms. Despite the increased usage of voice-based personal assistants (PAs) in day-to-day life, the associated effects are commonly neglected for a study of human factors. Therefore, this paper focuses on performance analysis of the developed voice-based SA in emergency care provider training for a selected emergency treatment scenario. The research discussed in this paper follows design science in developing proposed technology; at length, we discussed architecture and development and presented working results of voice-based SA. The empirical testing was conducted on two groups as user studies using statistical analysis tools, one trained with conventional methods and the other with the help of SA. The statistical results demonstrated the amplification in training efficacy and performance of medical responders powered by SA. Furthermore, the paper also discusses the accuracy and time of task execution (t) and concludes with the guidelines for resolving the identified problems.


An Entropy Equation for Energy

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper describes an entropy equation, but one that should be used for measuring energy and not information. In relation to the human brain therefore, both of these quantities can be used to represent the stored information. The human brain makes use of energy efficiency to form its structures, which is likely to be linked to the neuron wiring. This energy efficiency can also be used as the basis for a clustering algorithm, which is described in a different paper. This paper is more of a discussion about global properties, where the rules used for the clustering algorithm can also create the entropy equation E = (mean * variance). This states that work is done through the energy released by the 'change' in entropy. The equation is so simplistic and generic that it can offer arguments for completely different domains, where the journey ends with a discussion about global energy properties in physics and beyond. A comparison with Einstein's relativity equation is made and also the audacious suggestion that a black hole has zero-energy inside.


Artificial Intelligence In Energy Market COVID -19 Impact

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Artificial Intelligence In Energy Market 2020 research provides a detailed information of the industry including classifications, applications and industry chain structure. The Global Artificial Intelligence In Energy Industry analysis is provided for the international markets including development trends, competitive landscape analysis, and key regions development status. Development policies and plans are discussed as well as manufacturing processes and cost structures are also analyzed. This report also states import/export consumption, supply and demand Figures, cost, price, revenue and gross margins. The report also gives 360-degree overview of the competitive landscape of the industries.


Why Do Solar Farms Kill Birds? Call in the AI Bird Watcher

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"The machine–learning research we're doing is a little unique, because we don't just want to classify an object in a single image," says Szymanski.