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Online learning of windmill time series using Long Short-term Cognitive Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Forecasting windmill time series is often the basis of other processes such as anomaly detection, health monitoring, or maintenance scheduling. The amount of data generated on windmill farms makes online learning the most viable strategy to follow. Such settings require retraining the model each time a new batch of data is available. However, update the model with the new information is often very expensive to perform using traditional Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs). In this paper, we use Long Short-term Cognitive Networks (LSTCNs) to forecast windmill time series in online settings. These recently introduced neural systems consist of chained Short-term Cognitive Network blocks, each processing a temporal data chunk. The learning algorithm of these blocks is based on a very fast, deterministic learning rule that makes LSTCNs suitable for online learning tasks. The numerical simulations using a case study with four windmills showed that our approach reported the lowest forecasting errors with respect to a simple RNN, a Long Short-term Memory, a Gated Recurrent Unit, and a Hidden Markov Model. What is perhaps more important is that the LSTCN approach is significantly faster than these state-of-the-art models.


Explainable Artificial Intelligence Thrives in Petroleum Data Analytics

#artificialintelligence

Explaining Traditional Engineering Models It is a well-known fact that models of physical phenomena that are generated through mathematical equations can be explained. This is one of the main reasons behind the expectation of engineers and scientists that any potential model of the physical phenomena should be explainable. Explainability of the traditional models of physical phenomena is achieved through the solutions of the mathematical equations that are used to build the models. Explanations of such models are achieved through analytical solutions (for reasonably simple mathematical equations) or numerical solutions (for complex mathematical equations) of the mathematical equations. Solutions of the mathematical equations provide the opportunities to get answers to almost any question that might be asked from the model of the physical phenomena. Solutions of the mathematical equations are used to explain why and how certain results are generated by the model. It allows examination and explanation of the influence and effect of all the involved parameters (variables) on one another and on the model's results (output parameters).


Boston Dynamics releases video of Spot robot dog dancing to BTS

Daily Mail - Science & tech

Boston Dynamics has released two incredible videos of its famous robotic dog, Spot, pulling off some very impressive dance moves. The first clip shows seven Spot robots performing a highly choreographed dance in union to the music of South Korean K-pop sensation BTS. In a second bit of footage released by the Boston-based firm Spot is seen meeting and showing the boy band its competent dance moves. Boston Dynamics said the videos are'in celebration' of its full acquisition by South Korean motor company Hyundai, which was announced last week. Funky: Seven units of the robotic dog Spot are seen performing a variety of impressive moves to K-pop band BTS's music in a new video released by Boston Dynamics In time with the music, the seven Spot's arms shoot out into a fluid series of elaborate patterns In the first video, the seven Spots are dancing to the band's 2020 song'IONIQ: I'm On It'.


Stock Forecast Based On a Predictive Algorithm

#artificialintelligence

This top S&P 500 stock picks forecast is designed for investors and analysts who need predictions for the whole S&P 500 (See S&P 500 Companies Package). Package Name: Top S&P 500 Stocks Recommended Positions: Long Forecast Length: 1 Year (6/28/20 – 6/28/21) I Know First Average: 59.71% This Top S&P 500 Stocks Package forecast had correctly predicted 10 out of 10 stock movements. AMAT was the top performing prediction with a return of 141.5%. Additional high returns came from NVDA and HPQ, at 118.3% and 79.47% respectively.


These Are The Startups Applying AI To Tackle Climate Change

#artificialintelligence

Climate change is the most pressing threat that the human species faces today. Artificial intelligence is the most powerful tool that humanity has at its disposal in the twenty-first century. Can we deploy the second to combat the first? A group of promising startups has emerged to do just that. Both climate change and artificial intelligence are sprawling, cross-disciplinary fields. Both will transform literally every sector of the economy in the years ahead. There is therefore no single "silver bullet" application of AI to climate change. Instead, a wide range of machine learning use cases can help in the race to decarbonize our world. Nearly every major activity that humanity engages in today contributes to our carbon footprint to some extent: building things, moving things, powering things, eating things, computing things.


Machine Learning Speeds up Simulations in Material Science

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Research, development, and production of novel materials depend heavily on the availability of fast and at the same time accurate simulation methods. Machine learning, in which artificial intelligence (AI) autonomously acquires and applies new knowledge, will soon enable researchers to develop complex material systems in a purely virtual environment. How does this work, and which applications will benefit? In an article published in the Nature Materials journal, a researcher from Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) and his colleagues from Göttingen and Toronto explain it all. Digitization and virtualization are becoming increasingly important in a wide range of scientific disciplines.


Cross-Lingual Adaptation for Type Inference

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Deep learning-based techniques have been widely applied to the program analysis tasks, in fields such as type inference, fault localization, and code summarization. Hitherto deep learning-based software engineering systems rely thoroughly on supervised learning approaches, which require laborious manual effort to collect and label a prohibitively large amount of data. However, most Turing-complete imperative languages share similar control- and data-flow structures, which make it possible to transfer knowledge learned from one language to another. In this paper, we propose cross-lingual adaptation of program analysis, which allows us to leverage prior knowledge learned from the labeled dataset of one language and transfer it to the others. Specifically, we implemented a cross-lingual adaptation framework, PLATO, to transfer a deep learning-based type inference procedure across weakly typed languages, e.g., Python to JavaScript and vice versa. PLATO incorporates a novel joint graph kernelized attention based on abstract syntax tree and control flow graph, and applies anchor word augmentation across different languages. Besides, by leveraging data from strongly typed languages, PLATO improves the perplexity of the backbone cross-programming-language model and the performance of downstream cross-lingual transfer for type inference. Experimental results illustrate that our framework significantly improves the transferability over the baseline method by a large margin.


Markov Decision Process modeled with Bandits for Sequential Decision Making in Linear-flow

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In membership/subscriber acquisition and retention, we sometimes need to recommend marketing content for multiple pages in sequence. Different from general sequential decision making process, the use cases have a simpler flow where customers per seeing recommended content on each page can only return feedback as moving forward in the process or dropping from it until a termination state. We refer to this type of problems as sequential decision making in linear--flow. We propose to formulate the problem as an MDP with Bandits where Bandits are employed to model the transition probability matrix. At recommendation time, we use Thompson sampling (TS) to sample the transition probabilities and allocate the best series of actions with analytical solution through exact dynamic programming. The way that we formulate the problem allows us to leverage TS's efficiency in balancing exploration and exploitation and Bandit's convenience in modeling actions' incompatibility. In the simulation study, we observe the proposed MDP with Bandits algorithm outperforms Q-learning with $\epsilon$-greedy and decreasing $\epsilon$, independent Bandits, and interaction Bandits. We also find the proposed algorithm's performance is the most robust to changes in the across-page interdependence strength.


Which Echo Chamber? Regions of Attraction in Learning with Decision-Dependent Distributions

arXiv.org Machine Learning

As data-driven methods are deployed in real-world settings, the processes that generate the observed data will often react to the decisions of the learner. For example, a data source may have some incentive for the algorithm to provide a particular label (e.g. approve a bank loan), and manipulate their features accordingly. Work in strategic classification and decision-dependent distributions seeks to characterize the closed-loop behavior of deploying learning algorithms by explicitly considering the effect of the classifier on the underlying data distribution. More recently, works in performative prediction seek to classify the closed-loop behavior by considering general properties of the mapping from classifier to data distribution, rather than an explicit form. Building on this notion, we analyze repeated risk minimization as the perturbed trajectories of the gradient flows of performative risk minimization. We consider the case where there may be multiple local minimizers of performative risk, motivated by real world situations where the initial conditions may have significant impact on the long-term behavior of the system. As a motivating example, we consider a company whose current employee demographics affect the applicant pool they interview: the initial demographics of the company can affect the long-term hiring policies of the company. We provide sufficient conditions to characterize the region of attraction for the various equilibria in this settings. Additionally, we introduce the notion of performative alignment, which provides a geometric condition on the convergence of repeated risk minimization to performative risk minimizers.


Four AI Business Applications For 2021

#artificialintelligence

We often see artificial intelligence depicted as an omnipotent machine, but it is a technology that learns as it goes, too. Key among the lessons AI must be taught is location intelligence: where are assets, events, and people across space and time, and how do they relate to each other? Just think of all the pandemic-era technology to flourish relying on location--the delivery apps, the COVID testing and vaccine dashboards, the safe to-go store orders. Location intelligence, the output of a geographic information system (GIS), offers critical context that forms the foundation of what machines can be trained to do. Here are four ways to ramp up AI with location intelligence.