What's the best way to arrange wells in an oil or gas field? It's a simple enough question, but the answer can be very complex. Now a Cal Tech/JPL spinoff is developing a new approach that blends traditional HPC simulation with deep reinforcement learning running on GPUs to optimize energy extraction. The well placement game is a familiar one to oil and gas companies. For years, they have been using simulators running atop HPC systems to model underground reservoirs.

Probabilistic graphical models provide a powerful tool to describe complex statistical structure, with many real-world applications in science and engineering from controlling robotic arms to understanding neuronal computations. A major challenge for these graphical models is that inferences such as marginalization are intractable for general graphs. These inferences are often approximated by a distributed message-passing algorithm such as Belief Propagation, which does not always perform well on graphs with cycles, nor can it always be easily specified for complex continuous probability distributions. Such difficulties arise frequently in expressive graphical models that include intractable higher-order interactions. In this paper we construct iterative message-passing algorithms using Graph Neural Networks defined on factor graphs to achieve fast approximate inference on graphical models that involve many-variable interactions. Experimental results on several families of graphical models demonstrate the out-of-distribution generalization capability of our method to different sized graphs, and indicate the domain in which our method gains advantage over Belief Propagation.

Power grid operation subject to an extreme event requires decision-making by human operators under stressful condition with high cognitive load. Decision support under adverse dynamic events, specially if forecasted, can be supplemented by intelligent proactive control. Power system operation during wildfires require resiliency-driven proactive control for load shedding, line switching and resource allocation considering the dynamics of the wildfire and failure propagation. However, possible number of line- and load-switching in a large system during an event make traditional prediction-driven and stochastic approaches computationally intractable, leading operators to often use greedy algorithms. We model and solve the proactive control problem as a Markov decision process and introduce an integrated testbed for spatio-temporal wildfire propagation and proactive power-system operation. We transform the enormous wildfire-propagation observation space and utilize it as part of a heuristic for proactive de-energization of transmission assets. We integrate this heuristic with a reinforcement-learning based proactive policy for controlling the generating assets. Our approach allows this controller to provide setpoints for a part of the generation fleet, while a myopic operator can determine the setpoints for the remaining set, which results in a symbiotic action. We evaluate our approach utilizing the IEEE 24-node system mapped on a hypothetical terrain. Our results show that the proposed approach can help the operator to reduce load loss during an extreme event, reduce power flow through lines that are to be de-energized, and reduce the likelihood of infeasible power-flow solutions, which would indicate violation of short-term thermal limits of transmission lines.

Most evolutionary robotics studies focus on evolving some targeted behavior without taking the energy usage into account. This limits the practical value of such systems because energy efficiency is an important property for real-world autonomous robots. In this paper, we mitigate this problem by extending our simulator with a battery model and taking energy consumption into account during fitness evaluations. Using this system we investigate how energy awareness affects the evolution of robots. Since our system is to evolve morphologies as well as controllers, the main research question is twofold: (i) what is the impact on the morphologies of the evolved robots, and (ii) what is the impact on the behavior of the evolved robots if energy consumption is included in the fitness evaluation? The results show that including the energy consumption in the fitness in a multi-objective fashion (by NSGA-II) reduces the average size of robot bodies while at the same time reducing their speed. However, robots generated without size reduction can achieve speeds comparable to robots from the baseline set.

Couplings connect the spinning shafts of driving and driven machines in the industry. A coupling guard encloses the coupling to protect personnel from the high-speed rotating coupling. The American Petroleum Institute API publishes standards that restrict the overheating of the coupling guards due to windage caused by the spinning shaft. Based on the most recent version of API 671, the peak temperature for the coupling guard should not exceed 60 C. This paper proposes a machine learning (ML) model and an empirical formula to predict the maximum guard temperature and power loss.

There is mounting public concern over the influence that AI based systems has in our society. Coalitions in all sectors are acting worldwide to resist hamful applications of AI. From indigenous people addressing the lack of reliable data, to smart city stakeholders, to students protesting the academic relationships with sex trafficker and MIT donor Jeffery Epstein, the questionable ethics and values of those heavily investing in and profiting from AI are under global scrutiny. There are biased, wrongful, and disturbing assumptions embedded in AI algorithms that could get locked in without intervention. Our best human judgment is needed to contain AI's harmful impact. Perhaps one of the greatest contributions of AI will be to make us ultimately understand how important human wisdom truly is in life on earth.

Enterprise artificial intelligence (AI) is an emerging industry. Offering software-as-a-service (SaaS) is now incredibly common among technology companies, but C3.ai (NYSE:AI) has blazed a new trail by providing its customers with foundational AI tools on a subscription basis. With 4.8 million artificial intelligence models delivering 1.5 billion predictions per day, it's the biggest player in what is still a small game. However, its impressive customer list suggests the company is punching well above its weight. C3.ai serves dozens of industries, but oil and gas is one of the most notable -- and a collaborative effort with Baker Hughes (NYSE:BKR) might be a looking glass into what this company is really capable of. In a world where many investors are shunning industries known to cause social or environmental harm, it's not surprising that oil and gas companies have fallen out of favor.

Digital twins are emerging as a hot technology, particularly among manufacturers and companies involved with the Industrial Internet of Things. Depending on the use cases, though, customers may opt for one type of digital twin over another. To a certain extent, every digital twin is a unique creation. The ability to create a digitized copy of an actual physical asset, such as a wind turbine or a locomotive, and measure how that model responds and reacts to different inputs is the fundamental breakthrough that is driving adoption of digital twin technologies. But there are a few broad categories of digital twins, and companies that are considering adopting a digital twin would do well to explore how their use cases match up to these types.

When gravitational waves were first detected in 2015 by the advanced Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave Observatory (LIGO), they sent a ripple through the scientific community, as they confirmed another of Einstein's theories and marked the birth of gravitational wave astronomy. As LIGO and its international partners continue to upgrade their detectors' sensitivity to gravitational waves, they will be able to probe a larger volume of the universe--making the detection of gravitational wave sources a daily occurrence rather than weekly or monthly. Scientists hope this will launch a new era of precision astronomy, because combining information from multiple kinds of signals from space is a much more powerful way to study the universe. But realizing this goal will require a radical re-thinking of existing methods used to search for and find gravitational waves. Recently, Argonne National Laboratory computational scientist Eliu Huerta, along with collaborators from the University of Chicago, the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, NVIDIA and IBM, developed a new artificial intelligence framework that allows for accelerated, scalable and reproducible detection of gravitational waves.

Prediction tasks with high-dimensional nonorthogonal predictor sets pose a challenge for least squares based fitting procedures. A large and productive literature exists, discussing various regularized approaches to improving the out-of-sample robustness of parameter estimates. This paper proposes a novel cluster-based regularization -- the hierarchical feature regression (HFR) --, which mobilizes insights from the domains of machine learning and graph theory to estimate parameters along a supervised hierarchical representation of the predictor set, shrinking parameters towards group targets. The method is innovative in its ability to estimate optimal compositions of predictor groups, as well as the group targets endogenously. The HFR can be viewed as a supervised factor regression, with the strength of shrinkage governed by a penalty on the extent of idiosyncratic variation captured in the fitting process. The method demonstrates good predictive accuracy and versatility, outperforming a panel of benchmark regularized estimators across a diverse set of simulated regression tasks, including dense, sparse and grouped data generating processes. An application to the prediction of economic growth is used to illustrate the HFR's effectiveness in an empirical setting, with favorable comparisons to several frequentist and Bayesian alternatives.