Energy
Reinforcement Learning-Based Coverage Path Planning with Implicit Cellular Decomposition
Heydari, Javad, Saha, Olimpiya, Ganapathy, Viswanath
Coverage path planning in a generic known environment is shown to be NP-hard. When the environment is unknown, it becomes more challenging as the robot is required to rely on its online map information built during coverage for planning its path. A significant research effort focuses on designing heuristic or approximate algorithms that achieve reasonable performance. Such algorithms have sub-optimal performance in terms of covering the area or the cost of coverage, e.g., coverage time or energy consumption. In this paper, we provide a systematic analysis of the coverage problem and formulate it as an optimal stopping time problem, where the trade-off between coverage performance and its cost is explicitly accounted for. Next, we demonstrate that reinforcement learning (RL) techniques can be leveraged to solve the problem computationally. To this end, we provide some technical and practical considerations to facilitate the application of the RL algorithms and improve the efficiency of the solutions. Finally, through experiments in grid world environments and Gazebo simulator, we show that reinforcement learning-based algorithms efficiently cover realistic unknown indoor environments, and outperform the current state of the art.
A "New Nobel" – Computer Scientist Wins $1 Million Artificial Intelligence Prize
Duke professor becomes second recipient of AAAI Squirrel AI Award for pioneering socially responsible AI. Whether preventing explosions on electrical grids, spotting patterns among past crimes, or optimizing resources in the care of critically ill patients, Duke University computer scientist Cynthia Rudin wants artificial intelligence (AI) to show its work. Especially when it's making decisions that deeply affect people's lives. While many scholars in the developing field of machine learning were focused on improving algorithms, Rudin instead wanted to use AI's power to help society. She chose to pursue opportunities to apply machine learning techniques to important societal problems, and in the process, realized that AI's potential is best unlocked when humans can peer inside and understand what it is doing.
AI Analysis of Bird Songs Helping Scientists Study Bird Populations and Movements - AI Trends
A study of bird songs conducted in the Sierra Nevada mountain range in California generated a million hours of audio, which AI researchers are working to decode to gain insights into how birds responded to wildfires in the region, and to learn which measures helped the birds to rebound more quickly. Scientists can also use the soundscape to help track shifts in migration timing and population ranges, according to a recent account in Scientific American. More audio data is coming in from other research as well, with sound-based projects to count insects and study the effects of light and noise pollution on bird communities underway. "Audio data is a real treasure trove because it contains vast amounts of information," stated ecologist Connor Wood, a Cornell University postdoctoral researcher, who is leading the Sierra Nevada project. "We just need to think creatively about how to share and access that information."
MARTINI: Smart Meter Driven Estimation of HVAC Schedules and Energy Savings Based on WiFi Sensing and Clustering
HVAC systems account for a significant portion of building energy use. Nighttime setback scheduling is an energy conservation measure where cooling and heating setpoints are increased and decreased respectively during unoccupied periods with the goal of obtaining energy savings. However, knowledge of a building's real occupancy is required to maximize the success of this measure. In addition, there is the need for a scalable way to estimate energy savings potential from energy conservation measures that is not limited by building specific parameters and experimental or simulation modeling investments. Here, we propose MARTINI, a sMARt meTer drIveN estImation of occupant-derived HVAC schedules and energy savings that leverages the ubiquity of energy smart meters and WiFi infrastructure in commercial buildings. We estimate the schedules by clustering WiFi-derived occupancy profiles and, energy savings by shifting ramp-up and setback times observed in typical/measured load profiles obtained by clustering smart meter energy profiles. Our case-study results with five buildings over seven months show an average of 8.1%-10.8% (summer) and 0.2%-5.9% (fall) chilled water energy savings when HVAC system operation is aligned with occupancy. We validate our method with results from building energy performance simulation (BEPS) and find that estimated average savings of MARTINI are within 0.9%-2.4% of the BEPS predictions. In the absence of occupancy information, we can still estimate potential savings from increasing ramp-up time and decreasing setback start time. In 51 academic buildings, we find savings potentials between 1%-5%.
Towards Better Long-range Time Series Forecasting using Generative Adversarial Networks
Accurate long-range forecasting of time series data is an important problem in many sectors, such as energy, healthcare, and finance. In recent years, Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) have provided a revolutionary approach to many problems. However, the use of GAN to improve long-range time series forecasting remains relatively unexplored. In this paper, we utilize a Conditional Wasserstein GAN (CWGAN) and augment it with an error penalty term, leading to a new generative model which aims to generate high-quality synthetic time series data, called CWGAN-TS. By using such synthetic data, we develop a long-range forecasting approach, called Generative Forecasting (GenF), consisting of three components: (i) CWGAN-TS to generate synthetic data for the next few time steps. (ii) a predictor which makes long-range predictions based on generated and observed data. (iii) an information theoretic clustering (ITC) algorithm to better train the CWGAN-TS and the predictor. Our experimental results on three public datasets demonstrate that GenF significantly outperforms a diverse range of state-of-the-art benchmarks and classical approaches. In most cases, we find a 6% - 12% improvement in predictive performance (mean absolute error) and a 37% reduction in parameters compared to the best performing benchmark. Lastly, we conduct an ablation study to demonstrate the effectiveness of the CWGAN-TS and the ITC algorithm.
Learning velocity model for complex media with deep convolutional neural networks
Stankevich, A., Nechepurenko, I., Shevchenko, A., Gremyachikh, L., Ustyuzhanin, A., Vasyukov, A.
The problem of identifying elastic media properties based on their measured response is a well-known one. This problem has many applications and variations in industrial non-destructive testing, seismic exploration, biomedical engineering, and other areas. This paper considers methods based on acoustic or elastic wave excitation in a media under consideration, recording the media's response and identifying the media's properties from this response. This problem statement is typical for ultrasonic techniques and seismic imaging. There are many different approaches for solving an inverse problem to determine the spatial distribution of mechanical properties from the recorded response. New methods have emerged recently based on the success in deep convolutional neural networks research and development. The media's response is used as an input for the
Mode and Ridge Estimation in Euclidean and Directional Product Spaces: A Mean Shift Approach
The set of local modes and the ridge lines estimated from a dataset are important summary characteristics of the data-generating distribution. In this work, we consider estimating the local modes and ridges from point cloud data in a product space with two or more Euclidean/directional metric spaces. Specifically, we generalize the well-known (subspace constrained) mean shift algorithm to the product space setting and illuminate some pitfalls in such generalization. We derive the algorithmic convergence of the proposed method, provide practical guidelines on the implementation, and demonstrate its effectiveness on both simulated and real datasets.
Dropping diversity of products of large US firms: Models and measures
Nambiar, Ananthan, Rubel, Tobias, McCaull, James, deVries, Jon, Bedau, Mark
It is widely assumed that in our lifetimes the products available in the global economy have become more diverse. This assumption is difficult to investigate directly, however, because it is difficult to collect the necessary data about every product in an economy each year. We solve this problem by mining publicly available textual descriptions of the products of every large US firms each year from 1997 to 2017. Although many aspects of economic productivity have been steadily rising during this period, our text-based measurements show that the diversity of the products of at least large US firms has steadily declined. This downward trend is visible using a variety of product diversity metrics, including some that depend on a measurement of the similarity of the products of every single pair of firms. The current state of the art in comprehensive and detailed firm-similarity measurements is a Boolean word vector model due to Hoberg and Phillips. We measure diversity using firm-similarities from this Boolean model and two more sophisticated variants, and we consistently observe a significant dropping trend in product diversity. These results make it possible to frame and start to test specific hypotheses for explaining the dropping product diversity trend.
A Nested Weighted Tchebycheff Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization Approach for Flexibility of Unknown Utopia Estimation in Expensive Black-box Design Problems
Biswas, Arpan, Fuentes, Claudio, Hoyle, Christopher
We propose a nested weighted Tchebycheff Multi-objective Bayesian optimization framework where we build a regression model selection procedure from an ensemble of models, towards better estimation of the uncertain parameters of the weighted-Tchebycheff expensive black-box multi-objective function. In existing work, a weighted Tchebycheff MOBO approach has been demonstrated which attempts to estimate the unknown utopia in formulating acquisition function, through calibration using a priori selected regression model. However, the existing MOBO model lacks flexibility in selecting the appropriate regression models given the guided sampled data and therefore, can under-fit or over-fit as the iterations of the MOBO progress, reducing the overall MOBO performance. As it is too complex to a priori guarantee a best model in general, this motivates us to consider a portfolio of different families of predictive models fitted with current training data, guided by the WTB MOBO; the best model is selected following a user-defined prediction root mean-square-error-based approach. The proposed approach is implemented in optimizing a multi-modal benchmark problem and a thin tube design under constant loading of temperature-pressure, with minimizing the risk of creep-fatigue failure and design cost. Finally, the nested weighted Tchebycheff MOBO model performance is compared with different MOBO frameworks with respect to accuracy in parameter estimation, Pareto-optimal solutions and function evaluation cost. This method is generalized enough to consider different families of predictive models in the portfolio for best model selection, where the overall design architecture allows for solving any high-dimensional (multiple functions) complex black-box problems and can be extended to any other global criterion multi-objective optimization methods where prior knowledge of utopia is required.
Geospatial analytics startup AiDash lands $27M
Learn more about what comes next. AiDash, a company using satellite imagery and AI to monitor infrastructure, today announced that it raised $27 million in series B funding led by G2 Venture Partners, with BGV, National Grid Partners, and additional strategic investors participating. The proceeds bring the company's total raised to date to $33 million, which AiDash says will be put toward expanding its workforce and further developing its platform. Companies in a range of markets are using satellite imagery to improve efficiency, reduce environmental impact, and even make investment decisions. Driving the adoption is an explosion of data -- at the start of 2019, an estimated 5,000 satellites revolved around the Earth's orbit -- but also advancements in AI that make analyses of the imagery more attainable than before.