Goto

Collaborating Authors

 Energy


The Powerful Use of AI in the Energy Sector: Intelligent Forecasting

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques continue to broaden across governmental and public sectors, such as power and energy - which serve as critical infrastructures for most societal operations. However, due to the requirements of reliability, accountability, and explainability, it is risky to directly apply AI-based methods to power systems because society cannot afford cascading failures and large-scale blackouts, which easily cost billions of dollars. To meet society requirements, this paper proposes a methodology to develop, deploy, and evaluate AI systems in the energy sector by: (1) understanding the power system measurements with physics, (2) designing AI algorithms to forecast the need, (3) developing robust and accountable AI methods, and (4) creating reliable measures to evaluate the performance of the AI model. The goal is to provide a high level of confidence to energy utility users. For illustration purposes, the paper uses power system event forecasting (PEF) as an example, which carefully analyzes synchrophasor patterns measured by the Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs). Such a physical understanding leads to a data-driven framework that reduces the dimensionality with physics and forecasts the event with high credibility. Specifically, for dimensionality reduction, machine learning arranges physical information from different dimensions, resulting inefficient information extraction. For event forecasting, the supervised learning model fuses the results of different models to increase the confidence. Finally, comprehensive experiments demonstrate the high accuracy, efficiency, and reliability as compared to other state-of-the-art machine learning methods.


Seven tech charities to support this holiday season

Engadget

Let's be honest, it's been a rough decade at this point, and things seem to be getting worse rather than better. Online radicalization has seen many of the world's political systems spin out of control to the point of uselessness. Climate change is a problem facing literally all of us that few in power seem interested in addressing. And our economic situation seems to be predicated on everyone buying lots of stuff all the time, despite the fact that most of the cost of living is swallowed up by housing. It's a lot, and things can feel generally very bleak right now.


Output Space Entropy Search Framework for Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

We consider the problem of black-box multi-objective optimization (MOO) using expensive function evaluations (also referred to as experiments), where the goal is to approximate the true Pareto set of solutions by minimizing the total resource cost of experiments. For example, in hardware design optimization, we need to find the designs that trade-off performance, energy, and area overhead using expensive computational simulations. The key challenge is to select the sequence of experiments to uncover high-quality solutions using minimal resources. In this paper, we propose a general framework for solving MOO problems based on the principle of output space entropy (OSE) search: select the experiment that maximizes the information gained per unit resource cost about the true Pareto front. We appropriately instantiate the principle of OSE search to derive efficient algorithms for the following four MOO problem settings: 1) The most basic single-fidelity setting, where experiments are expensive and accurate; 2) Handling black-box constraints which cannot be evaluated without performing experiments; 3) The discrete multi-fidelity setting, where experiments can vary in the amount of resources consumed and their evaluation accuracy; and 4) The continuous-fidelity setting, where continuous function approximations result in a huge space of experiments. Experiments on diverse synthetic and real-world benchmarks show that our OSE search based algorithms improve over state-of-the-art methods in terms of both computational-efficiency and accuracy of MOO solutions.


Predicting the Location of Bicycle-sharing Stations using OpenStreetMap Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Planning the layout of bicycle-sharing stations is a complex process, especially in cities where bicycle sharing systems are just being implemented. Urban planners often have to make a lot of estimates based on both publicly available data and privately provided data from the administration and then use the Location-Allocation model popular in the field. Many municipalities in smaller cities may have difficulty hiring specialists to carry out such planning. This thesis proposes a new solution to streamline and facilitate the process of such planning by using spatial embedding methods. Based only on publicly available data from OpenStreetMap, and station layouts from 34 cities in Europe, a method has been developed to divide cities into micro-regions using the Uber H3 discrete global grid system and to indicate regions where it is worth placing a station based on existing systems in different cities using transfer learning. The result of the work is a mechanism to support planners in their decision making when planning a station layout with a choice of reference cities.


Fitness Landscape Footprint: A Framework to Compare Neural Architecture Search Problems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Neural architecture search is a promising area of research dedicated to automating the design of neural network models. This field is rapidly growing, with a surge of methodologies ranging from Bayesian optimization,neuroevoltion, to differentiable search, and applications in various contexts. However, despite all great advances, few studies have presented insights on the difficulty of the problem itself, thus the success (or fail) of these methodologies remains unexplained. In this sense, the field of optimization has developed methods that highlight key aspects to describe optimization problems. The fitness landscape analysis stands out when it comes to characterize reliably and quantitatively search algorithms. In this paper, we propose to use fitness landscape analysis to study a neural architecture search problem. Particularly, we introduce the fitness landscape footprint, an aggregation of eight (8)general-purpose metrics to synthesize the landscape of an architecture search problem. We studied two problems, the classical image classification benchmark CIFAR-10, and the Remote-Sensing problem So2Sat LCZ42. The results present a quantitative appraisal of the problems, allowing to characterize the relative difficulty and other characteristics, such as the ruggedness or the persistence, that helps to tailor a search strategy to the problem. Also, the footprint is a tool that enables the comparison of multiple problems.


Machine Learning (ML) Business Use Cases 2021

#artificialintelligence

As machine learning (ML) technology improves and uses cases grow, more companies are employing ML to optimize their operations through data. As a branch of artificial intelligence (AI), ML is helping companies to make data-based predictions and decisions based at scale. The AES Corporation is a power generation and distribution company. They generate and sell power used for utilities and industrial work. They rely on Google Cloud on their road to making renewable energy more efficient.


Using AI for Smart Homes

#artificialintelligence

Smart homes are no longer a luxury. They are becoming a natural choice for people who want to enjoy more comfortable, convenient, and safe living spaces. In recent years, artificial intelligence has become a constant and welcomed presence in houses around the world. AI technology has added an extra level of safety and security while allowing people to enjoy a more pleasant way of living. Due to the increased demand for smart homes, home automation tools are now more affordable, and smart household appliances are a must for technology aficionados.


Expert Warns That Human Beings Are Going to Start Getting Hacked

#artificialintelligence

Yuval Harari, a world-renowned social philosopher and the bestselling author of "Sapiens," has a stark warning: we need to start regulating AI, because otherwise big companies are going to be able to "hack" humans. Harari believes that the rapidly increasing sophistication of AI could lead to a population of "hacked humans," according to a report from CBS's "60 Minutes." To deal with this issue, he's calling on the world's leaders to begin regulating AI and data collection efforts by large corporations. "To hack a human being is to get to know that person better than they know themselves," he told the show. "And based on that, to increasingly manipulate you."


Robust Deep Learning from Crowds with Belief Propagation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Crowdsourcing systems enable us to collect noisy labels from crowd workers. A graphical model representing local dependencies between workers and tasks provides a principled way of reasoning over the true labels from the noisy answers. However, one needs a predictive model working on unseen data directly from crowdsourced datasets instead of the true labels in many cases. To infer true labels and learn a predictive model simultaneously, we propose a new data-generating process, where a neural network generates the true labels from task features. We devise an EM framework alternating variational inference and deep learning to infer the true labels and to update the neural network, respectively. Experimental results with synthetic and real datasets show a belief-propagation-based EM algorithm is robust to i) corruption in task features, ii) multi-modal or mismatched worker prior, and iii) few spammers submitting noises to many tasks.


Swift sky localization of gravitational waves using deep learning seeded importance sampling

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Fast, highly accurate, and reliable inference of the sky origin of gravitational waves would enable real-time multi-messenger astronomy. Current Bayesian inference methodologies, although highly accurate and reliable, are slow. Deep learning models have shown themselves to be accurate and extremely fast for inference tasks on gravitational waves, but their output is inherently questionable due to the blackbox nature of neural networks. In this work, we join Bayesian inference and deep learning by applying importance sampling on an approximate posterior generated by a multi-headed convolutional neural network. The neural network parametrizes Von Mises-Fisher and Gaussian distributions for the sky coordinates and two masses for given simulated gravitational wave injections in the LIGO and Virgo detectors. We generate skymaps for unseen gravitational-wave events that highly resemble predictions generated using Bayesian inference in a few minutes. Furthermore, we can detect poor predictions from the neural network, and quickly flag them.