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Cyberphysical Sequencing for Distributed Asset Management with Broad Traceability

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Cyber-Physical systems (CPS) have complex lifecycles involving multiple stakeholders, and the transparency of both hardware and software components' supply chain is opaque at best. This raises concerns for stakeholders who may not trust that what they receive is what was requested. There is an opportunity to build a cyberphysical titling process offering universal traceability and the ability to differentiate systems based on provenance. Today, RFID tags and barcodes address some of these needs, though they are easily manipulated due to non-linkage with an object or system's intrinsic characteristics. We propose cyberphysical sequencing as a low-cost, light-weight and pervasive means of adding track-and-trace capabilities to any asset that ties a system's physical identity to a unique and invariant digital identifier. CPS sequencing offers benefits similar Digital Twins' for identifying and managing the provenance and identity of an asset throughout its life with far fewer computational and other resources. Across domains, manufactured and assembled system complexity is increasing. Constituent components require compliance with stringent specifications, must have low defect rates, and increasingly require known provenance relating to origin and interaction histories. At the same time, economic and other constraints affecting production and assembly may necessitate involving diverse and untrusted vendors: a vehicle's parts may be made abroad and assembled domestically, while a medication might be compounded in one country before being shipped to another for packaging and a third for distribution. Power generation plant components might be manufactured globally but require certification in the country of use, while electronics manufacturing for a globally-distributed device may require trust-related integrated circuits to be provided and validated by a single-source vendor.


Bayesian Modelling of Multivalued Power Curves from an Operational Wind Farm

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Power curves capture the relationship between wind speed and output power for a specific wind turbine. Accurate regression models of this function prove useful in monitoring, maintenance, design, and planning. In practice, however, the measurements do not always correspond to the ideal curve: power curtailments will appear as (additional) functional components. Such multivalued relationships cannot be modelled by conventional regression, and the associated data are usually removed during pre-processing. The current work suggests an alternative method to infer multivalued relationships in curtailed power data. Using a population-based approach, an overlapping mixture of probabilistic regression models is applied to signals recorded from turbines within an operational wind farm. The model is shown to provide an accurate representation of practical power data across the population.


A generic physics-informed neural network-based framework for reliability assessment of multi-state systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we leverage the recent advances in physics-informed neural network (PINN) and develop a generic PINN-based framework to assess the reliability of multi-state systems (MSSs). The proposed methodology consists of two major steps. In the first step, we recast the reliability assessment of MSS as a machine learning problem using the framework of PINN. A feedforward neural network with two individual loss groups are constructed to encode the initial condition and state transitions governed by ordinary differential equations (ODEs) in MSS. Next, we tackle the problem of high imbalance in the magnitude of the back-propagated gradients in PINN from a multi-task learning perspective. Particularly, we treat each element in the loss function as an individual task, and adopt a gradient surgery approach named projecting conflicting gradients (PCGrad), where a task's gradient is projected onto the norm plane of any other task that has a conflicting gradient. The gradient projection operation significantly mitigates the detrimental effects caused by the gradient interference when training PINN, thus accelerating the convergence speed of PINN to high-precision solutions to MSS reliability assessment. With the proposed PINN-based framework, we investigate its applications for MSS reliability assessment in several different contexts in terms of time-independent or dependent state transitions and system scales varying from small to medium. The results demonstrate that the proposed PINN-based framework shows generic and remarkable performance in MSS reliability assessment, and the incorporation of PCGrad in PINN leads to substantial improvement in solution quality and convergence speed.


Panoptic Segmentation Meets Remote Sensing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Panoptic segmentation combines instance and semantic predictions, allowing the detection of "things" and "stuff" simultaneously. Effectively approaching panoptic segmentation in remotely sensed data can be auspicious in many challenging problems since it allows continuous mapping and specific target counting. Several difficulties have prevented the growth of this task in remote sensing: (a) most algorithms are designed for traditional images, (b) image labelling must encompass "things" and "stuff" classes, and (c) the annotation format is complex. Thus, aiming to solve and increase the operability of panoptic segmentation in remote sensing, this study has five objectives: (1) create a novel data preparation pipeline for panoptic segmentation, (2) propose an annotation conversion software to generate panoptic annotations; (3) propose a novel dataset on urban areas, (4) modify the Detectron2 for the task, and (5) evaluate difficulties of this task in the urban setting. We used an aerial image with a 0,24-meter spatial resolution considering 14 classes. Our pipeline considers three image inputs, and the proposed software uses point shapefiles for creating samples in the COCO format. Our study generated 3,400 samples with 512x512 pixel dimensions. We used the Panoptic-FPN with two backbones (ResNet-50 and ResNet-101), and the model evaluation considered semantic instance and panoptic metrics. We obtained 93.9, 47.7, and 64.9 for the mean IoU, box AP, and PQ. Our study presents the first effective pipeline for panoptic segmentation and an extensive database for other researchers to use and deal with other data or related problems requiring a thorough scene understanding.


We mapped every large solar plant on the planet using satellites and machine learning

#artificialintelligence

An astonishing 82% decrease in the cost of solar photovoltaic (PV) energy since 2010 has given the world a fighting chance to build a zero-emissions energy system which might be less costly than the fossil-fuelled system it replaces. The International Energy Agency projects that PV solar generating capacity must grow ten-fold by 2040 if we are to meet the dual tasks of alleviating global poverty and constraining warming to well below 2 C. Solar is "intermittent", since sunshine varies during the day and across seasons, so energy must be stored for when the sun doesn't shine. Policy must also be designed to ensure solar energy reaches the furthest corners of the world and places where it is most needed. And there will be inevitable trade-offs between solar energy and other uses for the same land, including conservation and biodiversity, agriculture and food systems, and community and indigenous uses. Colleagues and I have now published in the journal Nature the first global inventory of large solar energy generating facilities.


Point-BERT: Pre-training 3D Point Cloud Transformers with Masked Point Modeling

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present Point-BERT, a new paradigm for learning Transformers to generalize the concept of BERT to 3D point cloud. Inspired by BERT, we devise a Masked Point Modeling (MPM) task to pre-train point cloud Transformers. Specifically, we first divide a point cloud into several local point patches, and a point cloud Tokenizer with a discrete Variational AutoEncoder (dVAE) is designed to generate discrete point tokens containing meaningful local information. Then, we randomly mask out some patches of input point clouds and feed them into the backbone Transformers. The pre-training objective is to recover the original point tokens at the masked locations under the supervision of point tokens obtained by the Tokenizer. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed BERT-style pre-training strategy significantly improves the performance of standard point cloud Transformers. Equipped with our pre-training strategy, we show that a pure Transformer architecture attains 93.8% accuracy on ModelNet40 and 83.1% accuracy on the hardest setting of ScanObjectNN, surpassing carefully designed point cloud models with much fewer hand-made designs. We also demonstrate that the representations learned by Point-BERT transfer well to new tasks and domains, where our models largely advance the state-of-the-art of few-shot point cloud classification task. The code and pre-trained models are available at https://github.com/lulutang0608/Point-BERT


ClimART: A Benchmark Dataset for Emulating Atmospheric Radiative Transfer in Weather and Climate Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Numerical simulations of Earth's weather and climate require substantial amounts of computation. This has led to a growing interest in replacing subroutines that explicitly compute physical processes with approximate machine learning (ML) methods that are fast at inference time. Within weather and climate models, atmospheric radiative transfer (RT) calculations are especially expensive. This has made them a popular target for neural network-based emulators. However, prior work is hard to compare due to the lack of a comprehensive dataset and standardized best practices for ML benchmarking. To fill this gap, we build a large dataset, ClimART, with more than \emph{10 million samples from present, pre-industrial, and future climate conditions}, based on the Canadian Earth System Model. ClimART poses several methodological challenges for the ML community, such as multiple out-of-distribution test sets, underlying domain physics, and a trade-off between accuracy and inference speed. We also present several novel baselines that indicate shortcomings of datasets and network architectures used in prior work. Download instructions, baselines, and code are available at: https://github.com/RolnickLab/climart


NeuralProphet: Explainable Forecasting at Scale

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We introduce NeuralProphet, a successor to Facebook Prophet, which set an industry standard for explainable, scalable, and user-friendly forecasting frameworks. With the proliferation of time series data, explainable forecasting remains a challenging task for business and operational decision making. Hybrid solutions are needed to bridge the gap between interpretable classical methods and scalable deep learning models. We view Prophet as a precursor to such a solution. However, Prophet lacks local context, which is essential for forecasting the near-term future and is challenging to extend due to its Stan backend. NeuralProphet is a hybrid forecasting framework based on PyTorch and trained with standard deep learning methods, making it easy for developers to extend the framework. Local context is introduced with auto-regression and covariate modules, which can be configured as classical linear regression or as Neural Networks. Otherwise, NeuralProphet retains the design philosophy of Prophet and provides the same basic model components. Our results demonstrate that NeuralProphet produces interpretable forecast components of equivalent or superior quality to Prophet on a set of generated time series. NeuralProphet outperforms Prophet on a diverse collection of real-world datasets. For short to medium-term forecasts, NeuralProphet improves forecast accuracy by 55 to 92 percent.


US-Rule: Discovering Utility-driven Sequential Rules

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Utility-driven mining is an important task in data science and has many applications in real life. High utility sequential pattern mining (HUSPM) is one kind of utility-driven mining. HUSPM aims to discover all sequential patterns with high utility. However, the existing algorithms of HUSPM can not provide an accurate probability to deal with some scenarios for prediction or recommendation. High-utility sequential rule mining (HUSRM) was proposed to discover all sequential rules with high utility and high confidence. There is only one algorithm proposed for HUSRM, which is not enough efficient. In this paper, we propose a faster algorithm, called US-Rule, to efficiently mine high-utility sequential rules. It utilizes rule estimated utility co-occurrence pruning strategy (REUCP) to avoid meaningless computation. To improve the efficiency on dense and long sequence datasets, four tighter upper bounds (LEEU, REEU, LERSU, RERSU) and their corresponding pruning strategies (LEEUP, REEUP, LERSUP, RERSUP) are proposed. Besides, US-Rule proposes rule estimated utility recomputing pruning strategy (REURP) to deal with sparse datasets. At last, a large number of experiments on different datasets compared to the state-of-the-art algorithm demonstrate that US-Rule can achieve better performance in terms of execution time, memory consumption and scalability.


Artificial intelligence used to count tens of thousands of puffins on Isle of May

#artificialintelligence

For years, the answer was by hard graft, with rangers checking burrows and nests for birds and eggs, and observers forced to sit for hours at a time armed with clipboards and no little patience. But in a marriage of nature and cutting edge technology, the arduous task of establishing the puffin population on the Isle of May is being carried out using artificial intelligence, machine learning, and image recognition software. Those behind the project believe it could help minimise disruption to birds' breeding and feeding habits, particularly when faced with developments such as offshore windfarms. The initiative uses four cameras placed in stainless steel boxes at various points of the island in the Firth of Forth in order to capture live footage of the puffins. Each box has a condensation heater as well as a backup power supply.