Energy
Artificial Intelligence Ethics and Safety: practical tools for creating "good" models
The AI Robotics Ethics Society (AIRES) is a non-profit organization founded in 2018 by Aaron Hui to promote awareness and the importance of ethical implementation and regulation of AI. AIRES is now an organization with chapters at universities such as UCLA (Los Angeles), USC (University of Southern California), Caltech (California Institute of Technology), Stanford University, Cornell University, Brown University, and the Pontifical Catholic University of Rio Grande do Sul (Brazil). AIRES at PUCRS is the first international chapter of AIRES, and as such, we are committed to promoting and enhancing the AIRES Mission. Our mission is to focus on educating the AI leaders of tomorrow in ethical principles to ensure that AI is created ethically and responsibly. As there are still few proposals for how we should implement ethical principles and normative guidelines in the practice of AI system development, the goal of this work is to try to bridge this gap between discourse and praxis. Between abstract principles and technical implementation. In this work, we seek to introduce the reader to the topic of AI Ethics and Safety. At the same time, we present several tools to help developers of intelligent systems develop "good" models. This work is a developing guide published in English and Portuguese. Contributions and suggestions are welcome.
The Power of Communication in a Distributed Multi-Agent System
Single-Agent (SA) Reinforcement Learning systems have shown outstanding results on non-stationary problems. However, Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) can surpass SA systems generally and when scaling. Furthermore, MA systems can be super-powered by collaboration, which can happen through observing others, or a communication system used to share information between collaborators. Here, we developed a distributed MA learning mechanism with the ability to communicate based on decentralised partially observable Markov decision processes (Dec-POMDPs) and Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). Minimising the time and energy consumed by training Machine Learning models while improving performance can be achieved by collaborative MA mechanisms. We demonstrate this in a real-world scenario, an offshore wind farm, including a set of distributed wind turbines, where the objective is to maximise collective efficiency. Compared to a SA system, MA collaboration has shown significantly reduced training time and higher cumulative rewards in unseen and scaled scenarios.
Tech Predictions for 2022 and Beyond
We have reached an inflection point. After AWS pioneered cloud technology more than 15 years ago, cloud infrastructure has evolved to a place where we are seeing all parts of the cloud reach practically anywhere on the planet--and even into space. The cloud has allowed what was once science fiction to become science fact. Models and techniques in the artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) realm have gotten better and better--so much so that we see glimpses of new kinds of use cases emerging that we previously only imagined in movies and comics. We are entering a phase where data is abundant, access to it is almost instantaneous, and our ability to make sense of it in new and subtle ways is practically automatic.
The Role of AI in Solar Analytics
Solar energy industries have benefited considerably from the potential of AI, machine learning predictive models, and data science. Climate change and the increasing depletion of nonrenewable energy sources are driving forces behind sustainable energy research and development, which affects all governments and businesses. Green energy generation is presently a vitally active and developing area of research. Solar energy is a well-known renewable energy source that is relatively easy to get and has fewer restrictions on purchasing and deployment. Solar energy production remains relatively expensive in comparison to fossil fuels.
Fuzzy Win-Win: A Novel Approach to Quantify Win-Win Using Fuzzy Logic
Hassanat, Ahmad B., Altarawneh, Ghada A., Tarawneh, Ahmad S.
The classic win-win has a key flaw in that it cannot offer the parties the right amounts of winning because each party believes they are winners. In reality, one party may win more than the other. This strategy is not limited to a single product or negotiation; it may be applied to a variety of situations in life. We present a novel way to measure the win-win situation in this paper. The proposed method employs Fuzzy logic to create a mathematical model that aids negotiators in quantifying their winning percentages. The model is put to the test on real-life negotiations scenarios such as the Iranian uranium enrichment negotiations, the Iraqi-Jordanian oil deal, and the iron ore negotiation (2005-2009). The presented model has shown to be a useful tool in practice and can be easily generalized to be utilized in other domains as well.
Machine Learning-based Prediction of Porosity for Concrete Containing Supplementary Cementitious Materials
Porosity has been identified as the key indicator of the durability properties of concrete exposed to aggressive environments. This paper applies ensemble learning to predict porosity of high-performance concrete containing supplementary cementitious materials. The concrete samples utilized in this study are characterized by eight composition features including w/b ratio, binder content, fly ash, GGBS, superplasticizer, coarse/fine aggregate ratio, curing condition and curing days. The assembled database consists of 240 data records, featuring 74 unique concrete mixture designs. The proposed machine learning algorithms are trained on 180 observations (75%) chosen randomly from the data set and then tested on the remaining 60 observations (25%). The numerical experiments suggest that the regression tree ensembles can accurately predict the porosity of concrete from its mixture compositions. Gradient boosting trees generally outperforms random forests in terms of prediction accuracy. For random forests, the out-of-bag error based hyperparameter tuning strategy is found to be much more efficient than k-Fold Cross-Validation.
Dynamic Learning of Correlation Potentials for a Time-Dependent Kohn-Sham System
Bhat, Harish S., Collins, Kevin, Gupta, Prachi, Isborn, Christine M.
We develop methods to learn the correlation potential for a time-dependent Kohn-Sham (TDKS) system in one spatial dimension. We start from a low-dimensional two-electron system for which we can numerically solve the time-dependent Schr\"odinger equation; this yields electron densities suitable for training models of the correlation potential. We frame the learning problem as one of optimizing a least-squares objective subject to the constraint that the dynamics obey the TDKS equation. Applying adjoints, we develop efficient methods to compute gradients and thereby learn models of the correlation potential. Our results show that it is possible to learn values of the correlation potential such that the resulting electron densities match ground truth densities. We also show how to learn correlation potential functionals with memory, demonstrating one such model that yields reasonable results for trajectories outside the training set.
Quantum Stream Learning
Ding, Yongcheng, Chen, Xi, Magdalena-Benedicto, Rafael, Martín-Guerrero, José D.
The exotic nature of quantum mechanics makes machine learning (ML) be different in the quantum realm compared to classical applications. ML can be used for knowledge discovery using information continuously extracted from a quantum system in a broad range of tasks. The model receives streaming quantum information for learning and decision-making, resulting in instant feedback on the quantum system. As a stream learning approach, we present a deep reinforcement learning on streaming data from a continuously measured qubit at the presence of detuning, dephasing, and relaxation. We also investigate how the agent adapts to another quantum noise pattern by transfer learning. Stream learning provides a better understanding of closed-loop quantum control, which may pave the way for advanced quantum technologies.
Centroid-UNet: Detecting Centroids in Aerial Images
Deshapriya, N. Lakmal, Tran, Dan, Reddy, Sriram, Gunasekara, Kavinda
In many applications of aerial/satellite image analysis (remote sensing), the generation of exact shapes of objects is a cumbersome task. In most remote sensing applications such as counting objects requires only location estimation of objects. Hence, locating object centroids in aerial/satellite images is an easy solution for tasks where the object's exact shape is not necessary. Thus, this study focuses on assessing the feasibility of using deep neural networks for locating object centroids in satellite images. Name of our model is Centroid-UNet. The Centroid-UNet model is based on classic U-Net semantic segmentation architecture. We modified and adapted the U-Net semantic segmentation architecture into a centroid detection model preserving the simplicity of the original model. Furthermore, we have tested and evaluated our model with two case studies involving aerial/satellite images. Those two case studies are building centroid detection case study and coconut tree centroid detection case study. Our evaluation results have reached comparably good accuracy compared to other methods, and also offer simplicity. The code and models developed under this study are also available in the Centroid-UNet GitHub repository: https://github.com/gicait/centroid-unet
Artificial Intelligence and Design of Experiments for Assessing Security of Electricity Supply: A Review and Strategic Outlook
Priesmann, Jan, Münch, Justin, Ridha, Elias, Spiegel, Thomas, Reich, Marius, Adam, Mario, Nolting, Lars, Praktiknjo, Aaron
Assessing the effects of the energy transition and liberalization of energy markets on resource adequacy is an increasingly important and demanding task. The rising complexity in energy systems requires adequate methods for energy system modeling leading to increased computational requirements. Furthermore, with complexity, uncertainty increases likewise calling for probabilistic assessments and scenario analyses. To adequately and efficiently address these various requirements, new methods from the field of data science are needed to accelerate current methods. With our systematic literature review, we want to close the gap between the three disciplines (1) assessment of security of electricity supply, (2) artificial intelligence, and (3) design of experiments. For this, we conduct a large-scale quantitative review on selected fields of application and methods and make a synthesis that relates the different disciplines to each other. Among other findings, we identify metamodeling of complex security of electricity supply models using AI methods and applications of AI-based methods for forecasts of storage dispatch and (non-)availabilities as promising fields of application that have not sufficiently been covered, yet. We end with deriving a new methodological pipeline for adequately and efficiently addressing the present and upcoming challenges in the assessment of security of electricity supply.