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LSTM Architecture for Oil Stocks Prices Prediction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Machine Learning, which is one of the subfields of Artificial Intelligence, has its applications in various fields including Economics, Medicine [1], Cosmology [2], Particle physics [3], Robotics [4], etc. The machine learns and models based on non-explicit programming based on the datasets that we have collected in the preprocessed datasets, and we compare the modeled data with the real data. Thus, we can see the data extent accurately which is modeled by the machine. Artificial Neural Networks are derived from Natural Neural Networks in living things, which are a subset of Machine Learning, designed to predict responses from complex systems. One of the most famous neural networks is Recurrent Neural Networks or RNNs that function close to the human brain. We know that the largest market in the field of Energy belongs to the oil companies. In the field of oil, there are large companies around the world that have a very high impact. In the world economy, oil can be considered the most vital factor of the economy, because, for example, if the export or import of oil from many countries is sanctioned, the economy of that country will be practically paralyzed, especially for countries with Oil-dependent economies, eg.


Toward Causal-Aware RL: State-Wise Action-Refined Temporal Difference

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Although it is well known that exploration plays a key role in Reinforcement Learning (RL), prevailing exploration strategies for continuous control tasks in RL are mainly based on naive isotropic Gaussian noise regardless of the causality relationship between action space and the task and consider all dimensions of actions equally important. In this work, we propose to conduct interventions on the primal action space to discover the causal relationship between the action space and the task reward. We propose the method of State-Wise Action Refined (SWAR), which addresses the issue of action space redundancy and promote causality discovery in RL. We formulate causality discovery in RL tasks as a state-dependent action space selection problem and propose two practical algorithms as solutions. The first approach, TD-SWAR, detects task-related actions during temporal difference learning, while the second approach, Dyn-SWAR, reveals important actions through dynamic model prediction. Empirically, both methods provide approaches to understand the decisions made by RL agents and improve learning efficiency in action-redundant tasks.


Microsoft Scientist: Emotion-Reading AI Is Doomed To Fail

#artificialintelligence

Artificial Intelligence developers have an uncanny knack for reinventing bunk pseudoscience. Whether it's resuscitating phrenology as facial recognition that can supposedly determine someone's personality or claiming to universally detect emotions based on appearance, the AI field has a long history of claiming to do the impossible. The challenge is that building an algorithm to detect someone's emotions ignores cultural differences and other important factors, Microsoft and University of South California Annenberg researcher Kate Crawford argues in The Atlantic. In an adapted segment of her book, "Atlas of AI: Power, Politics, and the Planetary Costs of Artificial Intelligence," Crawford lays out the complicated and flawed history of scientists trying to tie emotion to specific facial movements -- and how AI algorithms attempting to do the same are essentially doomed to fail. Scientists have been trying for decades to codify the facial expressions linked to different emotions, Crawford wrote, and yet it's never worked.


MIT's Top Research Breakthroughs of 2021

#artificialintelligence

In 2021, MIT researchers made advances toward fusion energy, confirmed Stephen Hawking's black hole theorem, developed a Covid-detecting face mask, and created a programmable fiber. All were among the year's top research stories on MIT News. The year's popular research stories include a promising new approach to cancer immunotherapy, the confirmation of a 50-year-old theorem, and a major fusion breakthrough. Despite the pandemic's disruptions, MIT's research community still found a way to generate a number of impressive research breakthroughs in 2021. In the spirit of reflection that comes with every new orbit around the sun, below we count down 10 of the most-viewed research stories on MIT News from the past year.


'Smart' To 'AI' Paradigm Shift In Edge Computing

#artificialintelligence

Uniquify, a Silicon Valley neural network technology and AI edge computing company, is announcing a proprietary neural network and AI modeling technology that introduces a new paradigm to transition consumer smart devices to consumer AI devices. The bottleneck to adopting advanced AI technology isn't the AI models or platforms but how to economically deploy these complex AI models for consumers at the edges. Uniquify's neural network 2.0 and AI modeling technology will enable many consumer products to become AI devices so that consumers can benefit from advanced AI models while protecting their privacy by running services at the edges. "We have seen many consumer devices like the phone, car, and TV go through a'smart' paradigm shift in the past few decades," says Josh Lee, CEO of Uniquify. "The world is ready for an'AI' paradigm shift to trigger replacement cycles in those consumer industries and more. I believe today's advanced AI models can be grafted into numerous consumer devices to provide richer experiences and enhanced capabilities for consumers. We believe we are ready to kickstart the'smart' to'AI' paradigm shift with our proprietary Neural Network 2.0 and AI modeling technology."


The Parametric Cost Function Approximation: A new approach for multistage stochastic programming

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The most common approaches for solving multistage stochastic programming problems in the research literature have been to either use value functions ("dynamic programming") or scenario trees ("stochastic programming") to approximate the impact of a decision now on the future. By contrast, common industry practice is to use a deterministic approximation of the future which is easier to understand and solve, but which is criticized for ignoring uncertainty. We show that a parameterized version of a deterministic optimization model can be an effective way of handling uncertainty without the complexity of either stochastic programming or dynamic programming. We present the idea of a parameterized deterministic optimization model, and in particular a deterministic lookahead model, as a powerful strategy for many complex stochastic decision problems. This approach can handle complex, high-dimensional state variables, and avoids the usual approximations associated with scenario trees or value function approximations. Instead, it introduces the offline challenge of designing and tuning the parameterization. We illustrate the idea by using a series of application settings, and demonstrate its use in a nonstationary energy storage problem with rolling forecasts.


ELON MUSK Quotes about Tesla, Artificial Intelligence, Love, MBA, Success, etc.,

#artificialintelligence

It needs to be through engineering and design. If you don't do your chores, the company won't succeed. No task is too menial. If you get up in the morning and think the future is going to be better, it is a bright day. I take the position that I am always to some degree wrong and the aspiration is to be less wrong.


James Hodson, CEO AI for Good Foundation, Zero Footprint AI - AI for Good Foundation

#artificialintelligence

In the past decade, the Machine Learning community has achieved breakthrough improvements on a variety of inference, prediction, and control tasks. Primarily, these improvements have been facilitated by an explosion in computational power and large clusters of machines working efficiently together. The cost of a 10% reduction in model error rate can often translate into a 1,000 fold increase in model size, and several orders of magnitude more energy being expended in training and running these eventual models. As data become ever more plentiful, and data scientists rely more and more on large state-of-the-art modelling algorithms, the question of the efficiency of learning per Watt of expended energy–and how we compare the ultimate utility of relative improvements in model accuracy–becomes ever more salient. The question of the sustainability of running large-scale computations and ML applications has also gained traction since conservative estimates of the AlphaGo winning model against Lee Sedol placed it at around 1MW of power consumption just during the match.


Postdoctoral Researcher Job - Regulation of Local Energy Markets, TILT, Netherlands 2022

#artificialintelligence

Tilburg University believes that academic excellence is achieved through the combination of outstanding research and education, in which social impact is made by sharing knowledge. In doing so, we recognize that excellence is not only achieved through individual performance, but mostly through team effort in which each team member acts as a leader connecting people. The successful candidate may be asked to perform other duties occasionally which are not included above, but which will be consistent with the role of Postdoc. The postdoctoral researcher will work on the Megamind project (Researchers pair artificial intelligence with regulatory reform to accelerate energy transition - MegaMind). MegaMind focuses on the so-called edges of the electricity system: the distribution networks and the electricity producing and consuming devices connected to them.


TransLog: A Unified Transformer-based Framework for Log Anomaly Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Log anomaly detection is a key component in the field of artificial intelligence for IT operations (AIOps). Considering log data of variant domains, retraining the whole network for unknown domains is inefficient in real industrial scenarios especially for low-resource domains. However, previous deep models merely focused on extracting the semantics of log sequence in the same domain, leading to poor generalization on multi-domain logs. Therefore, we propose a unified Transformer-based framework for log anomaly detection (\ourmethod{}), which is comprised of the pretraining and adapter-based tuning stage. Our model is first pretrained on the source domain to obtain shared semantic knowledge of log data. Then, we transfer the pretrained model to the target domain via the adapter-based tuning. The proposed method is evaluated on three public datasets including one source domain and two target domains. The experimental results demonstrate that our simple yet efficient approach, with fewer trainable parameters and lower training costs in the target domain, achieves state-of-the-art performance on three benchmarks.