Renewable energy sources are of great interest to combat global warming, yet promising sources like photovoltaic (PV) cells are not efficient and cheap enough to act as an alternative to traditional energy sources. Perovskite has high potential as a PV material but engineering the right material for a specific application is often a lengthy process. In this paper, ABO3 type perovskites' formability is predicted and its crystal structure is classified using machine learning with high accuracy, which provides a fast screening process. Although the study was done with solar-cell application in mind, the prediction framework is generic enough to be used for other purposes. Formability of perovskite is predicted and its crystal structure is classified with an accuracy of 98.57% and 90.53% respectively using Random Forest after 5-fold cross-validation. Our machine learning model may aid in the accelerated development of a desired perovskite structure by providing a quick mechanism to get insight into the material's properties in advance.

Research is needed to explore the limitations and potential for improvement of machine learning for building energy prediction. With this aim, the ASHRAE Great Energy Predictor III (GEPIII) Kaggle competition was launched in 2019. This effort was the largest building energy meter machine learning competition of its kind, with 4,370 participants who submitted 39,403 predictions. The test data set included two years of hourly whole building readings from 2,380 meters in 1,448 buildings at 16 locations. This paper analyzes the various sources and types of residual model error from an aggregation of the competition's top 50 solutions. This analysis reveals the limitations for machine learning using the standard model inputs of historical meter, weather, and basic building metadata. The errors are classified according to timeframe, behavior, magnitude, and incidence in single buildings or across a campus. The results show machine learning models have errors within a range of acceptability (RMSLE_scaled =< 0.1) on 79.1% of the test data. Lower magnitude (in-range) model errors (0.1 < RMSLE_scaled =< 0.3) occur in 16.1% of the test data. These errors could be remedied using innovative training data from onsite and web-based sources. Higher magnitude (out-of-range) errors (RMSLE_scaled > 0.3) occur in 4.8% of the test data and are unlikely to be accurately predicted.

We propose a network architecture capable of reliably estimating uncertainty of regression based predictions without sacrificing accuracy. The current state-of-the-art uncertainty algorithms either fall short of achieving prediction accuracy comparable to the mean square error optimization or underestimate the variance of network predictions. We propose a decoupled network architecture that is capable of accomplishing both at the same time. We achieve this by breaking down the learning of prediction and prediction interval (PI) estimations into a two-stage training process. We use a custom loss function for learning a PI range around optimized mean estimation with a desired coverage of a proportion of the target labels within the PI range. We compare the proposed method with current state-of-the-art uncertainty quantification algorithms on synthetic datasets and UCI benchmarks, reducing the error in the predictions by 23 to 34% while maintaining 95% Prediction Interval Coverage Probability (PICP) for 7 out of 9 UCI benchmark datasets. We also examine the quality of our predictive uncertainty by evaluating on Active Learning and demonstrating 17 to 36% error reduction on UCI benchmarks.

Suresh Sethi, associate professor of natural resources and the environment in CALS; Carla Gomes, professor of computer science at Cornell Bowers CIS; and Alex Flecker, professor of ecology and evolutionary biology in CALS, are pictured on a field trip to the Marañón River, in Peru.

Artificial intelligence can help reduce adverse and devastating effects on the environment, according to new research published in Science.

Fishermen gaffing catfish at the Madeira River rapids in the state of Rondônia, Brazil. These rapids are now completely submerged, and a nearby …

Nuclear fusion using magnetic confinement, in particular in the tokamak configuration, is a promising path towards sustainable energy. A core challenge is to shape and maintain a high-temperature plasma within the tokamak vessel. This requires high-dimensional, high-frequency, closed-loop control using magnetic actuator coils, further complicated by the diverse requirements across a wide range of plasma configurations. In this work, we introduce a previously undescribed architecture for tokamak magnetic controller design that autonomously learns to command the full set of control coils. This architecture meets control objectives specified at a high level, at the same time satisfying physical and operational constraints. This approach has unprecedented flexibility and generality in problem specification and yields a notable reduction in design effort to produce new plasma configurations. We successfully produce and control a diverse set of plasma configurations on the Tokamak à Configuration Variable1,2, including elongated, conventional shapes, as well as advanced configurations, such as negative triangularity and ‘snowflake’ configurations. Our approach achieves accurate tracking of the location, current and shape for these configurations. We also demonstrate sustained ‘droplets’ on TCV, in which two separate plasmas are maintained simultaneously within the vessel. This represents a notable advance for tokamak feedback control, showing the potential of reinforcement learning to accelerate research in the fusion domain, and is one of the most challenging real-world systems to which reinforcement learning has been applied. A newly designed control architecture uses deep reinforcement learning to learn to command the coils of a tokamak, and successfully stabilizes a wide variety of fusion plasma configurations.

Department of Marine Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Sweden (Dated: February 21, 2022) The marine microbial food web plays a central role in the global carbon cycle. Our mechanistic understanding of the ocean, however, is biased towards its larger constituents, while rates and biomass fluxes in the microbial food web are mainly inferred from indirect measurements and ensemble averages. Yet, resolution at the level of the individual microplankton is required to advance our understanding of the oceanic food web. Here, we demonstrate that, by combining holographic microscopy with deep learning, we can follow microplanktons throughout their lifespan, continuously measuring their three dimensional position and dry mass. The deep learning algorithms circumvent the computationally intensive processing of holographic data and allow rapid measurements over extended time periods. This permits us to reliably estimate growth rates, both in terms of dry mass increase and cell divisions, as well as to measure trophic interactions between species such as predation events. The individual resolution provides information about selectivity, individual feeding rates and handling times for individual microplanktons. This method is particularly useful to explore the flux of carbon through micro-zooplankton, the most important and least known group of primary consumers in the global oceans. Moreover, indirect measurements is well established in terrestrial ecology.

Kernel design for Multi-output Gaussian Processes (MOGP) has received increased attention recently. In particular, the Multi-Output Spectral Mixture kernel (MOSM) arXiv:1709.01298 approach has been praised as a general model in the sense that it extends other approaches such as Linear Model of Corregionalization, Intrinsic Corregionalization Model and Cross-Spectral Mixture. MOSM relies on Cram\'er's theorem to parametrise the power spectral densities (PSD) as a Gaussian mixture, thus, having a structural restriction: by assuming the existence of a PSD, the method is only suited for multi-output stationary applications. We develop a nonstationary extension of MOSM by proposing the family of harmonizable kernels for MOGPs, a class of kernels that contains both stationary and a vast majority of non-stationary processes. A main contribution of the proposed harmonizable kernels is that they automatically identify a possible nonstationary behaviour meaning that practitioners do not need to choose between stationary or non-stationary kernels. The proposed method is first validated on synthetic data with the purpose of illustrating the key properties of our approach, and then compared to existing MOGP methods on two real-world settings from finance and electroencephalography.

The inside of a tokamak--the doughnut-shaped vessel designed to contain a nuclear fusion reaction--presents a special kind of chaos. Hydrogen atoms are smashed together at unfathomably high temperatures, creating a whirling, roiling plasma that's hotter than the surface of the sun. Finding smart ways to control and confine that plasma will be key to unlocking the potential of nuclear fusion, which has been mooted as the clean energy source of the future for decades. At this point, the science underlying fusion seems sound, so what remains is an engineering challenge. "We need to be able to heat this matter up and hold it together for long enough for us to take energy out of it," says Ambrogio Fasoli, director of the Swiss Plasma Center at École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne in Switzerland. That's where DeepMind comes in.