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How artificial intelligence could lower nuclear energy costs

#artificialintelligence

Nuclear power plants provide large amounts of electricity without releasing planet-warming pollution. But the expense of running these plants has made it difficult for them to stay open. If nuclear is to play a role in the U.S. clean energy economy, costs must come down. Scientists at the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) Argonne National Laboratory are devising systems that could make nuclear energy more competitive using artificial intelligence. Nuclear power plants are expensive in part because they demand constant monitoring and maintenance to ensure consistent power flow and safety.


Aramco's Prosperity7 powers AI drug firm Insilico's $95M round – TechCrunch

#artificialintelligence

Hong Kong-based drug discovery and development company Insilico has secured fresh capital at a time that its CEO described as a "biotech winter." The firm has raised $35 million on the heels of its last tranche in June, bringing its total Series D investment to $95 million. The new round was "oversubscribed", the firm's founder and CEO Alex Zhavoronkov told TechCrunch, declining to disclose the company's valuation. Prosperity7, the venture capital arm of Saudi Arabia's state oil company Aramco, led the new capital infusion. The fund has been actively scouring for opportunities in and around China that can scale globally and particularly in the Middle East.


AI and Open Data

#artificialintelligence

We are excited to announce a new project, AI and Open Data: Open Data Needs for AI and International Development. Governments, researchers, and civil society tackling development problems in the global south continue to face challenges of data access and availability. Cutting edge analytical techniques, like artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are promising to increase the effectiveness of development initiatives, but still require quality data as inputs. Open data is still as important for sustainable development as ever. As a field, AI receives significant optimism for its potential impact on sustainable development, including its potential to improve agricultural practices and productivity through aerial and remote sensing, monitor disease outbreaks, and plan and manage energy grids.


Three-dimensional microstructure generation using generative adversarial neural networks in the context of continuum micromechanics

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Multiscale simulations are demanding in terms of computational resources. In the context of continuum micromechanics, the multiscale problem arises from the need of inferring macroscopic material parameters from the microscale. If the underlying microstructure is explicitly given by means of microCT-scans, convolutional neural networks can be used to learn the microstructure-property mapping, which is usually obtained from computational homogenization. The CNN approach provides a significant speedup, especially in the context of heterogeneous or functionally graded materials. Another application is uncertainty quantification, where many expansive evaluations are required. However, one bottleneck of this approach is the large number of training microstructures needed. This work closes this gap by proposing a generative adversarial network tailored towards three-dimensional microstructure generation. The lightweight algorithm is able to learn the underlying properties of the material from a single microCT-scan without the need of explicit descriptors. During prediction time, the network can produce unique three-dimensional microstructures with the same properties of the original data in a fraction of seconds and at consistently high quality.


Predicting Electricity Infrastructure Induced Wildfire Risk in California

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper examines the use of risk models to predict the timing and location of wildfires caused by electricity infrastructure. Our data include historical ignition and wire-down points triggered by grid infrastructure collected between 2015 to 2019 in Pacific Gas & Electricity territory along with various weather, vegetation, and very high resolution data on grid infrastructure including location, age, materials. With these data we explore a range of machine learning methods and strategies to manage training data imbalance. The best area under the receiver operating characteristic we obtain is 0.776 for distribution feeder ignitions and 0.824 for transmission line wire-down events, both using the histogram-based gradient boosting tree algorithm (HGB) with under-sampling. We then use these models to identify which information provides the most predictive value. After line length, we find that weather and vegetation features dominate the list of top important features for ignition or wire-down risk. Distribution ignition models show more dependence on slow-varying vegetation variables such as burn index, energy release content, and tree height, whereas transmission wire-down models rely more on primary weather variables such as wind speed and precipitation. These results point to the importance of improved vegetation modeling for feeder ignition risk models, and improved weather forecasting for transmission wire-down models. We observe that infrastructure features make small but meaningful improvements to risk model predictive power.


Towards Coupling Full-disk and Active Region-based Flare Prediction for Operational Space Weather Forecasting

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Solar flare prediction is a central problem in space weather forecasting and has captivated the attention of a wide spectrum of researchers due to recent advances in both remote sensing as well as machine learning and deep learning approaches. The experimental findings based on both machine and deep learning models reveal significant performance improvements for task specific datasets. Along with building models, the practice of deploying such models to production environments under operational settings is a more complex and often time-consuming process which is often not addressed directly in research settings. We present a set of new heuristic approaches to train and deploy an operational solar flare prediction system for $\geq$M1.0-class flares with two prediction modes: full-disk and active region-based. In full-disk mode, predictions are performed on full-disk line-of-sight magnetograms using deep learning models whereas in active region-based models, predictions are issued for each active region individually using multivariate time series data instances. The outputs from individual active region forecasts and full-disk predictors are combined to a final full-disk prediction result with a meta-model. We utilized an equal weighted average ensemble of two base learners' flare probabilities as our baseline meta learner and improved the capabilities of our two base learners by training a logistic regression model. The major findings of this study are: (i) We successfully coupled two heterogeneous flare prediction models trained with different datasets and model architecture to predict a full-disk flare probability for next 24 hours, (ii) Our proposed ensembling model, i.e., logistic regression, improves on the predictive performance of two base learners and the baseline meta learner measured in terms of two widely used metrics True Skill Statistic (TSS) and Heidke Skill core (HSS), and (iii) Our result analysis suggests that the logistic regression-based ensemble (Meta-FP) improves on the full-disk model (base learner) by $\sim9\%$ in terms TSS and $\sim10\%$ in terms of HSS. Similarly, it improves on the AR-based model (base learner) by $\sim17\%$ and $\sim20\%$ in terms of TSS and HSS respectively. Finally, when compared to the baseline meta model, it improves on TSS by $\sim10\%$ and HSS by $\sim15\%$.


fairDMS: Rapid Model Training by Data and Model Reuse

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Extracting actionable information rapidly from data produced by instruments such as the Linac Coherent Light Source (LCLS-II) and Advanced Photon Source Upgrade (APS-U) is becoming ever more challenging due to high (up to TB/s) data rates. Conventional physics-based information retrieval methods are hard-pressed to detect interesting events fast enough to enable timely focusing on a rare event or correction of an error. Machine learning~(ML) methods that learn cheap surrogate classifiers present a promising alternative, but can fail catastrophically when changes in instrument or sample result in degradation in ML performance. To overcome such difficulties, we present a new data storage and ML model training architecture designed to organize large volumes of data and models so that when model degradation is detected, prior models and/or data can be queried rapidly and a more suitable model retrieved and fine-tuned for new conditions. We show that our approach can achieve up to 100x data labelling speedup compared to the current state-of-the-art, 200x improvement in training speed, and 92x speedup in-terms of end-to-end model updating time.


Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning with Graph Convolutional Neural Networks for optimal Bidding Strategies of Generation Units in Electricity Markets

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Finding optimal bidding strategies for generation units in electricity markets would result in higher profit. However, it is a challenging problem due to the system uncertainty which is due to the unknown other generation units' strategies. Distributed optimization, where each entity or agent decides on its bid individually, has become state of the art. However, it cannot overcome the challenges of system uncertainties. Deep reinforcement learning is a promising approach to learn the optimal strategy in uncertain environments. Nevertheless, it is not able to integrate the information on the spatial system topology in the learning process. This paper proposes a distributed learning algorithm based on deep reinforcement learning (DRL) combined with a graph convolutional neural network (GCN). In fact, the proposed framework helps the agents to update their decisions by getting feedback from the environment so that it can overcome the challenges of the uncertainties. In this proposed algorithm, the state and connection between nodes are the inputs of the GCN, which can make agents aware of the structure of the system. This information on the system topology helps the agents to improve their bidding strategies and increase the profit. We evaluate the proposed algorithm on the IEEE 30-bus system under different scenarios. Also, to investigate the generalization ability of the proposed approach, we test the trained model on IEEE 39-bus system. The results show that the proposed algorithm has more generalization abilities compare to the DRL and can result in higher profit when changing the topology of the system.


A Comprehensive Survey of Natural Language Generation Advances from the Perspective of Digital Deception

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years there has been substantial growth in the capabilities of systems designed to generate text that mimics the fluency and coherence of human language. From this, there has been considerable research aimed at examining the potential uses of these natural language generators (NLG) towards a wide number of tasks. The increasing capabilities of powerful text generators to mimic human writing convincingly raises the potential for deception and other forms of dangerous misuse. As these systems improve, and it becomes ever harder to distinguish between human-written and machine-generated text, malicious actors could leverage these powerful NLG systems to a wide variety of ends, including the creation of fake news and misinformation, the generation of fake online product reviews, or via chatbots as means of convincing users to divulge private information. In this paper, we provide an overview of the NLG field via the identification and examination of 119 survey-like papers focused on NLG research. From these identified papers, we outline a proposed high-level taxonomy of the central concepts that constitute NLG, including the methods used to develop generalised NLG systems, the means by which these systems are evaluated, and the popular NLG tasks and subtasks that exist. In turn, we provide an overview and discussion of each of these items with respect to current research and offer an examination of the potential roles of NLG in deception and detection systems to counteract these threats. Moreover, we discuss the broader challenges of NLG, including the risks of bias that are often exhibited by existing text generation systems. This work offers a broad overview of the field of NLG with respect to its potential for misuse, aiming to provide a high-level understanding of this rapidly developing area of research.


Comparison of Forecasting Methods of House Electricity Consumption for Honda Smart Home

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The electricity consumption of buildings composes a major part of the city's energy consumption. Electricity consumption forecasting enables the development of home energy management systems resulting in the future design of more sustainable houses and a decrease in total energy consumption. Energy performance in buildings is influenced by many factors like ambient temperature, humidity, and a variety of electrical devices. Therefore, multivariate prediction methods are preferred rather than univariate. The Honda Smart Home US data set was selected to compare three methods for minimizing forecasting errors, MAE and RMSE: Artificial Neural Networks, Support Vector Regression, and Fuzzy Rule-Based Systems for Regression by constructing many models for each method on a multivariate data set in different time terms. The comparison shows that SVR is a superior method over the alternatives.