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Researchers train AI to predict EV battery degradation

#artificialintelligence

Lithium-ion batteries have become a key component in the rise of electric mobility, but forecasting their health and lifespans is limiting the technology. While they've proven successful, the capacity of lithium-ion batteries degrades over time, and not just because of the ageing process that occurs during charging and discharging -- known as "cycling ageing." Lithium-ion battery cells also suffer degradation from so-called "calendar ageing," which occurs during storage, or simply when the battery is not in use. It's determined by three main factors: the rest state of charge (SOC), the rest temperature, and the duration of the rest time of a battery. Given that an electric vehicle will spend most of its life parked, predicting the cells' capacity degradation from calendar ageing is crucial; it can prolong battery life and pave the way for mechanisms that could even circumvent the phenomenon.


The Download: memory prosthesis, and rising nuclear plant risks

MIT Technology Review

The news: A unique form of brain stimulation appears to boost people's ability to remember new information--by mimicking the way our brains create memories. The "memory prosthesis," which involves inserting an electrode deep into the brain, also seems to work in people with memory disorders--and is even more effective in people who had poor memory to begin with, according to new research. How it works: The memory prosthesis works by copying what happens in the hippocampus--a seahorse-shaped region deep in the brain that plays a crucial role in memory. The brain structure not only helps us form short-term memories but also appears to direct memories to other regions for long-term storage. Why it matters: In the future, more advanced versions of the memory prosthesis could help people with memory loss due to brain injuries or as a result of aging or degenerative diseases like Alzheimer's, say the researchers behind the work.


TinyML: The Future of Machine Learning

#artificialintelligence

Introducing TinyML, a state-of-the-art field that brings the performative power of ML to shrink deep structured earning networks to fit on tiny hardware. It is a new approach to edge computing that investigates the deployment and training of machine learning models on edge devices. TinyML is right at the intersection between embedded machine learning applications, hardware, software, and algorithms. It is an intersection of embedded systems and regular machine learning. It demands not just software expertise but also demands expertise in embedded systems – both of which have significant challenges of their own.


Monotonic Gaussian process for physics-constrained machine learning with materials science applications

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Physics-constrained machine learning is emerging as an important topic in the field of machine learning for physics. One of the most significant advantages of incorporating physics constraints into machine learning methods is that the resulting model requires significantly less data to train. By incorporating physical rules into the machine learning formulation itself, the predictions are expected to be physically plausible. Gaussian process (GP) is perhaps one of the most common methods in machine learning for small datasets. In this paper, we investigate the possibility of constraining a GP formulation with monotonicity on three different material datasets, where one experimental and two computational datasets are used. The monotonic GP is compared against the regular GP, where a significant reduction in the posterior variance is observed. The monotonic GP is strictly monotonic in the interpolation regime, but in the extrapolation regime, the monotonic effect starts fading away as one goes beyond the training dataset. Imposing monotonicity on the GP comes at a small accuracy cost, compared to the regular GP. The monotonic GP is perhaps most useful in applications where data is scarce and noisy, and monotonicity is supported by strong physical evidence.


The mpEDMD Algorithm for Data-Driven Computations of Measure-Preserving Dynamical Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Koopman operators globally linearize nonlinear dynamical systems and their spectral information is a powerful tool for the analysis and decomposition of nonlinear dynamical systems. However, Koopman operators are infinite-dimensional, and computing their spectral information is a considerable challenge. We introduce measure-preserving extended dynamic mode decomposition ($\texttt{mpEDMD}$), the first truncation method whose eigendecomposition converges to the spectral quantities of Koopman operators for general measure-preserving dynamical systems. $\texttt{mpEDMD}$ is a data-driven algorithm based on an orthogonal Procrustes problem that enforces measure-preserving truncations of Koopman operators using a general dictionary of observables. It is flexible and easy to use with any pre-existing DMD-type method, and with different types of data. We prove convergence of $\texttt{mpEDMD}$ for projection-valued and scalar-valued spectral measures, spectra, and Koopman mode decompositions. For the case of delay embedding (Krylov subspaces), our results include the first convergence rates of the approximation of spectral measures as the size of the dictionary increases. We demonstrate $\texttt{mpEDMD}$ on a range of challenging examples, its increased robustness to noise compared with other DMD-type methods, and its ability to capture the energy conservation and cascade of experimental measurements of a turbulent boundary layer flow with Reynolds number $> 6\times 10^4$ and state-space dimension $>10^5$.


Making the black-box brighter: interpreting machine learning algorithm for forecasting drilling accidents

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present an approach for interpreting a black-box alarming system for forecasting accidents and anomalies during the drilling of oil and gas wells. The interpretation methodology aims to explain the local behavior of the accident predictive model to drilling engineers. The explanatory model uses Shapley additive explanations analysis of features, obtained through Bag-of-features representation of telemetry logs used during the drilling accident forecasting phase. Validation shows that the explanatory model has 15% precision at 70% recall, and overcomes the metric values of a random baseline and multi-head attention neural network. These results justify that the developed explanatory model is better aligned with explanations of drilling engineers, than the state-of-the-art method. The joint performance of explanatory and Bag-of-features models allows drilling engineers to understand the logic behind the system decisions at the particular moment, pay attention to highlighted telemetry regions, and correspondingly, increase the trust level in the accident forecasting alarms.


Adaptive Complexity Model Predictive Control

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Abstract--This work introduces a formulation of model predictive control (MPC) which adaptively reasons about the complexity of the model based on the task while maintaining feasibility and stability guarantees. Existing MPC implementations often handle computational complexity by shortening prediction horizons or simplifying models, both of which can result in instability. Inspired by related approaches in behavioral economics, motion planning, and biomechanics, our method solves MPC problems with a simple model for dynamics and constraints over regions of the horizon where such a model is feasible and a complex model where it is not. The approach leverages an interleaving of planning and execution to iteratively identify these regions, which can be safely simplified if they satisfy an exact template/anchor relationship. "[the complex, slow system] is activated when an event is detected that violates the model of the world that [the simple, I. Extending this concept to the field of motion planning yields meta-planning methods which As demand for robotic systems increases in industries change their structure to leverage simple, fast models where like environmental monitoring, industrial inspection, disaster possible and complex, slow ones where the simple model is recovery, and material handling [1-3], so too has the need for inaccurate [5,6]. However, it is not well understood under what motion planning and control algorithms that efficiently handle exact conditions a given dynamical system may leverage a the complexity of their dynamics and constraints.


DAVE Aquatic Virtual Environment: Toward a General Underwater Robotics Simulator

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present DAVE Aquatic Virtual Environment (DAVE), an open source simulation stack for underwater robots, sensors, and environments. Conventional robotics simulators are not designed to address unique challenges that come with the marine environment, including but not limited to environment conditions that vary spatially and temporally, impaired or challenging perception, and the unavailability of data in a generally unexplored environment. Given the variety of sensors and platforms, wheels are often reinvented for specific use cases that inevitably resist wider adoption. Building on existing simulators, we provide a framework to help speed up the development and evaluation of algorithms that would otherwise require expensive and time-consuming operations at sea. The framework includes basic building blocks (e.g., new vehicles, water-tracking Doppler Velocity Logger, physics-based multibeam sonar) as well as development tools (e.g., dynamic bathymetry spawning, ocean currents), which allows the user to focus on methodology rather than software infrastructure. We demonstrate usage through example scenarios, bathymetric data import, user interfaces for data inspection and motion planning for manipulation, and visualizations.


Inversion of Time-Lapse Surface Gravity Data for Detection of 3D CO$_2$ Plumes via Deep Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We introduce three algorithms that invert simulated gravity data to 3D subsurface rock/flow properties. The first algorithm is a data-driven, deep learning-based approach, the second mixes a deep learning approach with physical modeling into a single workflow, and the third considers the time dependence of surface gravity monitoring. The target application of these proposed algorithms is the prediction of subsurface CO$_2$ plumes as a complementary tool for monitoring CO$_2$ sequestration deployments. Each proposed algorithm outperforms traditional inversion methods and produces high-resolution, 3D subsurface reconstructions in near real-time. Our proposed methods achieve Dice scores of up to 0.8 for predicted plume geometry and near perfect data misfit in terms of $\mu$Gals. These results indicate that combining 4D surface gravity monitoring with deep learning techniques represents a low-cost, rapid, and non-intrusive method for monitoring CO$_2$ storage sites.


Interpretable Uncertainty Quantification in AI for HEP

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Estimating uncertainty is at the core of performing scientific measurements in HEP: a measurement is not useful without an estimate of its uncertainty. The goal of uncertainty quantification (UQ) is inextricably linked to the question, "how do we physically and statistically interpret these uncertainties?" The answer to this question depends not only on the computational task we aim to undertake, but also on the methods we use for that task. For artificial intelligence (AI) applications in HEP, there are several areas where interpretable methods for UQ are essential, including inference, simulation, and control/decision-making. There exist some methods for each of these areas, but they have not yet been demonstrated to be as trustworthy as more traditional approaches currently employed in physics (e.g., non-AI frequentist and Bayesian methods). Shedding light on the questions above requires additional understanding of the interplay of AI systems and uncertainty quantification. We briefly discuss the existing methods in each area and relate them to tasks across HEP. We then discuss recommendations for avenues to pursue to develop the necessary techniques for reliable widespread usage of AI with UQ over the next decade.