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Unsupervised Optimal Power Flow Using Graph Neural Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Optimal power flow (OPF) is a critical optimization problem that allocates power to the generators in order to satisfy the demand at a minimum cost. Solving this problem exactly is computationally infeasible in the general case. In this work, we propose to leverage graph signal processing and machine learning. More specifically, we use a graph neural network to learn a nonlinear parametrization between the power demanded and the corresponding allocation. We learn the solution in an unsupervised manner, minimizing the cost directly. In order to take into account the electrical constraints of the grid, we propose a novel barrier method that is differentiable and works on initially infeasible points. We show through simulations that the use of GNNs in this unsupervised learning context leads to solutions comparable to standard solvers while being computationally efficient and avoiding constraint violations most of the time.


Agglomerative Hierarchical Clustering with Dynamic Time Warping for Household Load Curve Clustering

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Energy companies often implement various demand response (DR) programs to better match electricity demand and supply by offering the consumers incentives to reduce their demand during critical periods. Classifying clients according to their consumption patterns enables targeting specific groups of consumers for DR. Traditional clustering algorithms use standard distance measurement to find the distance between two points. The results produced by clustering algorithms such as K-means, K-medoids, and Gaussian Mixture Models depend on the clustering parameters or initial clusters. In contrast, our methodology uses a shape-based approach that combines Agglomerative Hierarchical Clustering (AHC) with Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) to classify residential households' daily load curves based on their consumption patterns. While DTW seeks the optimal alignment between two load curves, AHC provides a realistic initial clusters center. In this paper, we compare the results with other clustering algorithms such as K-means, K-medoids, and GMM using different distance measures, and we show that AHC using DTW outperformed other clustering algorithms and needed fewer clusters.


What is it like to program with artificial intelligence?

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Large language models, such as OpenAI's codex and Deepmind's AlphaCode, can generate code to solve a variety of problems expressed in natural language. This technology has already been commercialised in at least one widely-used programming editor extension: GitHub Copilot. In this paper, we explore how programming with large language models (LLM-assisted programming) is similar to, and differs from, prior conceptualisations of programmer assistance. We draw upon publicly available experience reports of LLM-assisted programming, as well as prior usability and design studies. We find that while LLM-assisted programming shares some properties of compilation, pair programming, and programming via search and reuse, there are fundamental differences both in the technical possibilities as well as the practical experience. Thus, LLM-assisted programming ought to be viewed as a new way of programming with its own distinct properties and challenges. Finally, we draw upon observations from a user study in which non-expert end user programmers use LLM-assisted tools for solving data tasks in spreadsheets. We discuss the issues that might arise, and open research challenges, in applying large language models to end-user programming, particularly with users who have little or no programming expertise.


Probabilistic Forecasting Methods for System-Level Electricity Load Forecasting

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Load forecasts have become an integral part of energy security. Due to the various influencing factors that can be considered in such a forecast, there is also a wide range of models that attempt to integrate these parameters into a system in various ways. Due to the growing importance of probabilistic load forecast models, different approaches are presented in this analysis. The focus is on different models from the short-term sector. After that, another model from the long-term sector is presented. Then, the presented models are put in relation to each other and examined with reference to advantages and disadvantages. Afterwards, the presented papers are analyzed with focus on their comparability to each other. Finally, an outlook on further areas of development in the literature will be discussed.


Machine learning takes hold in nuclear physics

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Scientists have begun turning to new tools offered by machine learning to help save time and money. In the past several years, nuclear physics has seen a flurry of machine learning projects come online, with many papers published on the subject. Now, 18 authors from 11 institutions summarize this explosion of artificial intelligence-aided work in "Machine Learning in Nuclear Physics," a paper recently published in Reviews of Modern Physics. "It was important to document the work that has been done. We really do want to raise the profile of the use of machine learning in nuclear physics to help people see the breadth of the activities," said Amber Boehnlein, lead author of the paper and the associate director for computational science and technology at the U.S. Department of Energy's Thomas Jefferson National Accelerator Facility.


Challenges and opportunities in quantum machine learning - Nature Computational Science

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At the intersection of machine learning and quantum computing, quantum machine learning has the potential of accelerating data analysis, especially for quantum data, with applications for quantum materials, biochemistry and high-energy physics. Nevertheless, challenges remain regarding the trainability of quantum machine learning models. Here we review current methods and applications for quantum machine learning. We highlight differences between quantum and classical machine learning, with a focus on quantum neural networks and quantum deep learning. Finally, we discuss opportunities for quantum advantage with quantum machine learning. Quantum machine learning has become an essential tool to process and analyze the increased amount of quantum data. Despite recent progress, there are still many challenges to be addressed and myriad future avenues of research.


Posterior Regularized Bayesian Neural Network Incorporating Soft and Hard Knowledge Constraints

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Neural Networks (NNs) have been widely {used in supervised learning} due to their ability to model complex nonlinear patterns, often presented in high-dimensional data such as images and text. However, traditional NNs often lack the ability for uncertainty quantification. Bayesian NNs (BNNS) could help measure the uncertainty by considering the distributions of the NN model parameters. Besides, domain knowledge is commonly available and could improve the performance of BNNs if it can be appropriately incorporated. In this work, we propose a novel Posterior-Regularized Bayesian Neural Network (PR-BNN) model by incorporating different types of knowledge constraints, such as the soft and hard constraints, as a posterior regularization term. Furthermore, we propose to combine the augmented Lagrangian method and the existing BNN solvers for efficient inference. The experiments in simulation and two case studies about aviation landing prediction and solar energy output prediction have shown the knowledge constraints and the performance improvement of the proposed model over traditional BNNs without the constraints.


Gauge-equivariant flow models for sampling in lattice field theories with pseudofermions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Specifically, computing the probability density after the fermionic integration via direct methods is not feasible for at-scale studies of theories such as QCD, as such methods Lattice quantum field theory (LQFT), particularly lattice scale cubically with the spacetime volume. The usual quantum chromodynamics, has become an ubiquitous approach to this challenge is to introduce auxiliary degrees tool in high-energy and nuclear theory [1-4]. Given of freedom, named pseudofermions, which function the extraordinary computational cost of state-of-the-art as stochastic determinant estimators for which the cost LQFT studies, advances in the form of more efficient algorithms of evaluation scales more favorably with the lattice volume.


GeoThermalCloud: Machine Learning for Geothermal Resource Exploration

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents a novel ML-based methodology for geothermal exploration towards PFA applications. Our methodology is provided through our open-source ML framework, GeoThermalCloud \url{https://github.com/SmartTensors/GeoThermalCloud.jl}. The GeoThermalCloud uses a series of unsupervised, supervised, and physics-informed ML methods available in SmartTensors AI platform \url{https://github.com/SmartTensors}. Here, the presented analyses are performed using our unsupervised ML algorithm called NMF$k$, which is available in the SmartTensors AI platform. Our ML algorithm facilitates the discovery of new phenomena, hidden patterns, and mechanisms that helps us to make informed decisions. Moreover, the GeoThermalCloud enhances the collected PFA data and discovers signatures representative of geothermal resources. Through GeoThermalCloud, we could identify hidden patterns in the geothermal field data needed to discover blind systems efficiently. Crucial geothermal signatures often overlooked in traditional PFA are extracted using the GeoThermalCloud and analyzed by the subject matter experts to provide ML-enhanced PFA, which is informative for efficient exploration. We applied our ML methodology to various open-source geothermal datasets within the U.S. (some of these are collected by past PFA work). The results provide valuable insights into resource types within those regions. This ML-enhanced workflow makes the GeoThermalCloud attractive for the geothermal community to improve existing datasets and extract valuable information often unnoticed during geothermal exploration.


Temporal-Spatial dependencies ENhanced deep learning model (TSEN) for household leverage series forecasting

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Analyzing both temporal and spatial patterns for an accurate forecasting model for financial time series forecasting is a challenge due to the complex nature of temporal-spatial dynamics: time series from different locations often have distinct patterns; and for the same time series, patterns may vary as time goes by. Inspired by the successful applications of deep learning, we propose a new model to resolve the issues of forecasting household leverage in China. Our solution consists of multiple RNN-based layers and an attention layer: each RNN-based layer automatically learns the temporal pattern of a specific series with multivariate exogenous series, and then the attention layer learns the spatial correlative weight and obtains the global representations simultaneously. The results show that the new approach can capture the temporal-spatial dynamics of household leverage well and get more accurate and solid predictive results. More, the simulation also studies show that clustering and choosing correlative series are necessary to obtain accurate forecasting results.