Energy
Explainable Machine Learning for Hydrocarbon Prospect Risking
Mustafa, Ahmad, AlRegib, Ghassan
Hydrocarbon prospect risking is a critical application in geophysics predicting well outcomes from a variety of data including geological, geophysical, and other information modalities. Traditional routines require interpreters to go through a long process to arrive at the probability of success of specific outcomes. AI has the capability to automate the process but its adoption has been limited thus far owing to a lack of transparency in the way complicated, black box models generate decisions. We demonstrate how LIME -- a model-agnostic explanation technique -- can be used to inject trust in model decisions by uncovering the model's reasoning process for individual predictions. It generates these explanations by fitting interpretable models in the local neighborhood of specific datapoints being queried. On a dataset of well outcomes and corresponding geophysical attribute data, we show how LIME can induce trust in model's decisions by revealing the decision-making process to be aligned to domain knowledge. Further, it has the potential to debug mispredictions made due to anomalous patterns in the data or faulty training datasets.
Man-recon: manifold learning for reconstruction with deep autoencoder for smart seismic interpretation
Mustafa, Ahmad, AlRegib, Ghassan
Deep learning can extract rich data representations if provided sufficient quantities of labeled training data. For many tasks however, annotating data has significant costs in terms of time and money, owing to the high standards of subject matter expertise required, for example in medical and geophysical image interpretation tasks. Active Learning can identify the most informative training examples for the interpreter to train, leading to higher efficiency. We propose an Active learning method based on jointly learning representations for supervised and unsupervised tasks. The learned manifold structure is later utilized to identify informative training samples most dissimilar from the learned manifold from the error profiles on the unsupervised task. We verify the efficiency of the proposed method on a seismic facies segmentation dataset from the Netherlands F3 block survey, significantly outperforming contemporary methods to achieve the highest mean Intersection-Over-Union value of 0.773.
Structurally aware 3D gas distribution mapping using belief propagation: a real-time algorithm for robotic deployment
Rhodes, Callum, Liu, Cunjia, Chen, Wen-Hua
This paper proposes a new 3D gas distribution mapping technique based on the local message passing of Gaussian belief propagation that is capable of resolving in real time, concentration estimates in 3D space whilst accounting for the obstacle information within the scenario, the first of its kind in the literature. The gas mapping problem is formulated as a 3D factor graph of Gaussian potentials, the connections of which are conditioned on local occupancy values. The Gaussian belief propagation framework is introduced as the solver and a new hybrid message scheduler is introduced to increase the rate of convergence. The factor graph problem is then redesigned as a dynamically expanding inference task, coupling the information of consecutive gas measurements with local spatial structure obtained by the robot. The proposed algorithm is compared to the state of the art methods in 2D and 3D simulations and is found to resolve distribution maps orders of magnitude quicker than typical direct solvers. The proposed framework is then deployed for the first time onboard a ground robot in a 3D mapping and exploration task. The system is shown to be able to resolve multiple sensor inputs and output high resolution 3D gas distribution maps in a GPS denied cluttered scenario in real time. This online inference of complicated plume structures provides a new layer of contextual information over its 2D counterparts and enables autonomous systems to take advantage of real time estimates to inform potential next best sampling locations.
Driver Assistance Eco-driving and Transmission Control with Deep Reinforcement Learning
Kerbel, Lindsey, Ayalew, Beshah, Ivanco, Andrej, Loiselle, Keith
With the growing need to reduce energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions, Eco-driving strategies provide a significant opportunity for additional fuel savings on top of other technological solutions being pursued in the transportation sector. In this paper, a model-free deep reinforcement learning (RL) control agent is proposed for active Eco-driving assistance that trades-off fuel consumption against other driver-accommodation objectives, and learns optimal traction torque and transmission shifting policies from experience. The training scheme for the proposed RL agent uses an off-policy actor-critic architecture that iteratively does policy evaluation with a multi-step return and policy improvement with the maximum posteriori policy optimization algorithm for hybrid action spaces. The proposed Eco-driving RL agent is implemented on a commercial vehicle in car following traffic. It shows superior performance in minimizing fuel consumption compared to a baseline controller that has full knowledge of fuel-efficiency tables.
Residual Policy Learning for Powertrain Control
Kerbel, Lindsey, Ayalew, Beshah, Ivanco, Andrej, Loiselle, Keith
Eco-driving strategies have been shown to provide significant reductions in fuel consumption. This paper outlines an active driver assistance approach that uses a residual policy learning (RPL) agent trained to provide residual actions to default power train controllers while balancing fuel consumption against other driver-accommodation objectives. Using previous experiences, our RPL agent learns improved traction torque and gear shifting residual policies to adapt the operation of the powertrain to variations and uncertainties in the environment. For comparison, we consider a traditional reinforcement learning (RL) agent trained from scratch. Both agents employ the off-policy Maximum A Posteriori Policy Optimization algorithm with an actor-critic architecture. By implementing on a simulated commercial vehicle in various car-following scenarios, we find that the RPL agent quickly learns significantly improved policies compared to a baseline source policy but in some measures not as good as those eventually possible with the RL agent trained from scratch.
Simulating 2+1D Lattice Quantum Electrodynamics at Finite Density with Neural Flow Wavefunctions
Chen, Zhuo, Luo, Di, Hu, Kaiwen, Clark, Bryan K.
The tensor network approach is variational and hence has no sign problem but is mainly Gauge theory coupled to dynamical matter plays a fundamental efficient for problems in 1+1D [6]. While there are recent role in physics. For example, quantum electrodynamics attempts on extending the tensor network approach to (QED) describes the light-matter interaction 2+1D and 3+1D simulations [7-12], the tensor network while quantum chromodynamics (QCD) describes methods are usually more constrained in higher dimensions the quark-gluon interaction, which are the important as well as real time dynamics where the entanglement components of the Standard Model. Meanwhile, exotic grows with system size. It is also an open question gauge theories with matter also arise in theories of condensed on how to utilize the tensor network approach for simulating matter and AMO systems [1-3]. When a dynamical gauge theories with continuous or infinite degrees gauge theory is discretized and placed on a lattice of freedom without imposing a cutoff. With the recent in the Hamiltonian formulation, Gauss's law needs to be development of quantum technologies, quantum computation explicitly imposed. There are various open questions on provides another paradigm for lattice gauge theory understanding both the phase diagram and the real-time simulations [6, 13-27]. Despite the nice proposals and evolution of dynamical gauge theory, which are challenging progress of the field, the performance of the near-term to address in simulations particularly in high spatial quantum algorithms are still limited due to the noisy nature dimensions and in the finite charge density regimes. of the current quantum devices and the large depth Early attempts on simulating lattice gauge theory and qubit numbers required.
Augmenting Scientific Creativity with Retrieval across Knowledge Domains
Kang, Hyeonsu B., Mysore, Sheshera, Huang, Kevin, Chang, Haw-Shiuan, Prein, Thorben, McCallum, Andrew, Kittur, Aniket, Olivetti, Elsa
Exposure to ideas in domains outside a scientist's own may benefit her in reformulating existing research problems in novel ways and discovering new application domains for existing solution ideas. While improved performance in scholarly search engines can help scientists efficiently identify relevant advances in domains they may already be familiar with, it may fall short of helping them explore diverse ideas \textit{outside} such domains. In this paper we explore the design of systems aimed at augmenting the end-user ability in cross-domain exploration with flexible query specification. To this end, we develop an exploratory search system in which end-users can select a portion of text core to their interest from a paper abstract and retrieve papers that have a high similarity to the user-selected core aspect but differ in terms of domains. Furthermore, end-users can `zoom in' to specific domain clusters to retrieve more papers from them and understand nuanced differences within the clusters. Our case studies with scientists uncover opportunities and design implications for systems aimed at facilitating cross-domain exploration and inspiration.
Learning soft interventions in complex equilibrium systems
Besserve, Michel, Schรถlkopf, Bernhard
Complex systems often contain feedback loops that can be described as cyclic causal models. Intervening in such systems may lead to counterintuitive effects, which cannot be inferred directly from the graph structure. After establishing a framework for differentiable soft interventions based on Lie groups, we take advantage of modern automatic differentiation techniques and their application to implicit functions in order to optimize interventions in cyclic causal models. We illustrate the use of this framework by investigating scenarios of transition to sustainable economies.
AI Explainability and Governance in Smart Energy Systems: A Review
Alsaigh, Roba, Mehmood, Rashid, Katib, Iyad
Traditional electrical power grids have long suffered from operational unreliability, instability, inflexibility, and inefficiency. Smart grids (or smart energy systems) continue to transform the energy sector with emerging technologies, renewable energy sources, and other trends. Artificial intelligence (AI) is being applied to smart energy systems to process massive and complex data in this sector and make smart and timely decisions. However, the lack of explainability and governability of AI is a major concern for stakeholders hindering a fast uptake of AI in the energy sector. This paper provides a review of AI explainability and governance in smart energy systems. We collect 3,568 relevant papers from the Scopus database, automatically discover 15 parameters or themes for AI governance in energy and elaborate the research landscape by reviewing over 150 papers and providing temporal progressions of the research. The methodology for discovering parameters or themes is based on "deep journalism", our data-driven deep learning-based big data analytics approach to automatically discover and analyse cross-sectional multi-perspective information to enable better decision-making and develop better instruments for governance. The findings show that research on AI explainability in energy systems is segmented and narrowly focussed on a few AI traits and energy system problems. This paper deepens our knowledge of AI governance in energy and is expected to help governments, industry, academics, energy prosumers, and other stakeholders to understand the landscape of AI in the energy sector, leading to better design, operations, utilisation, and risk management of energy systems.
ESPNN: A novel electronic stopping power neural-network code built on the IAEA stopping power database. I. Atomic targets
Haiek, F. Bivort, Mendez, A. M. P., Montanari, C. C., Mitnik, D. M.
The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) stopping power database is a highly valued public resource compiling most of the experimental measurements published over nearly a century. The database-accessible to the global scientific community-is continuously updated and has been extensively employed in theoretical and experimental research for more than 30 years. This work aims to employ machine learning algorithms on the 2021 IAEA database to predict accurate electronic stopping power cross sections for any ion and target combination in a wide range of incident energies. Unsupervised machine learning methods are applied to clean the database in an automated manner. These techniques purge the data by removing suspicious outliers and old isolated values. A large portion of the remaining data is used to train a deep neural network, while the rest is set aside, constituting the test set. The present work considers collisional systems only with atomic targets. The first version of the ESPNN (electronic stopping power neural-network code), openly available to users, is shown to yield predicted values in excellent agreement with the experimental results of the test set.