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Predictability and Fairness in Load Aggregation with Deadband

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Virtual power plants and load aggregation are becoming increasingly common. There, one regulates the aggregate power output of an ensemble of distributed energy resources (DERs). Marecek et al. [Automatica, Volume 147, January 2023, 110743, arXiv:2110.03001] recently suggested that long-term averages of prices or incentives offered should exist and be independent of the initial states of the operators of the DER, the aggregator, and the power grid. This can be seen as predictability, which underlies fairness. Unfortunately, the existence of such averages cannot be guaranteed with many traditional regulators, including the proportional-integral (PI) regulator with or without deadband. Here, we consider the effects of losses in the alternating current model and the deadband in the controller. This yields a non-linear dynamical system (due to the non-linear losses) exhibiting discontinuities (due to the deadband). We show that Filippov invariant measures enable reasoning about predictability and fairness while considering non-linearity of the alternating-current model and deadband.


Closed-Loop Magnetic Manipulation for Robotic Transesophageal Echocardiography

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents a closed-loop magnetic manipulation framework for robotic transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) acquisitions. Different from previous work on intracorporeal robotic ultrasound acquisitions that focus on continuum robot control, we first investigate the use of magnetic control methods for more direct, intuitive, and accurate manipulation of the distal tip of the probe. We modify a standard TEE probe by attaching a permanent magnet and an inertial measurement unit sensor to the probe tip and replacing the flexible gastroscope with a soft tether containing only wires for transmitting ultrasound signals, and show that 6-DOF localization and 5-DOF closed-loop control of the probe can be achieved with an external permanent magnet based on the fusion of internal inertial measurement and external magnetic field sensing data. The proposed method does not require complex structures or motions of the actuator and the probe compared with existing magnetic manipulation methods. We have conducted extensive experiments to validate the effectiveness of the framework in terms of localization accuracy, update rate, workspace size, and tracking accuracy. In addition, our results obtained on a realistic cardiac tissue-mimicking phantom show that the proposed framework is applicable in real conditions and can generally meet the requirements for tele-operated TEE acquisitions.


A Comparative Analysis of Portfolio Optimization Using Mean-Variance, Hierarchical Risk Parity, and Reinforcement Learning Approaches on the Indian Stock Market

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents a comparative analysis of the performances of three portfolio optimization approaches. Three approaches of portfolio optimization that are considered in this work are the mean-variance portfolio (MVP), hierarchical risk parity (HRP) portfolio, and reinforcement learning-based portfolio. The portfolios are trained and tested over several stock data and their performances are compared on their annual returns, annual risks, and Sharpe ratios. In the reinforcement learning-based portfolio design approach, the deep Q learning technique has been utilized. Due to the large number of possible states, the construction of the Q-table is done using a deep neural network. The historical prices of the 50 premier stocks from the Indian stock market, known as the NIFTY50 stocks, and several stocks from 10 important sectors of the Indian stock market are used to create the environment for training the agent.


USIM-DAL: Uncertainty-aware Statistical Image Modeling-based Dense Active Learning for Super-resolution

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Dense regression is a widely used approach in computer vision for tasks such as image super-resolution, enhancement, depth estimation, etc. However, the high cost of annotation and labeling makes it challenging to achieve accurate results. We propose incorporating active learning into dense regression models to address this problem. Active learning allows models to select the most informative samples for labeling, reducing the overall annotation cost while improving performance. Despite its potential, active learning has not been widely explored in high-dimensional computer vision regression tasks like super-resolution. We address this research gap and propose a new framework called USIM-DAL that leverages the statistical properties of colour images to learn informative priors using probabilistic deep neural networks that model the heteroscedastic predictive distribution allowing uncertainty quantification. Moreover, the aleatoric uncertainty from the network serves as a proxy for error that is used for active learning. Our experiments on a wide variety of datasets spanning applications in natural images (visual genome, BSD100), medical imaging (histopathology slides), and remote sensing (satellite images) demonstrate the efficacy of the newly proposed USIM-DAL and superiority over several dense regression active learning methods.


Online Learning in Multi-unit Auctions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We consider repeated multi-unit auctions with uniform pricing, which are widely used in practice for allocating goods such as carbon licenses. In each round, $K$ identical units of a good are sold to a group of buyers that have valuations with diminishing marginal returns. The buyers submit bids for the units, and then a price $p$ is set per unit so that all the units are sold. We consider two variants of the auction, where the price is set to the $K$-th highest bid and $(K+1)$-st highest bid, respectively. We analyze the properties of this auction in both the offline and online settings. In the offline setting, we consider the problem that one player $i$ is facing: given access to a data set that contains the bids submitted by competitors in past auctions, find a bid vector that maximizes player $i$'s cumulative utility on the data set. We design a polynomial time algorithm for this problem, by showing it is equivalent to finding a maximum-weight path on a carefully constructed directed acyclic graph. In the online setting, the players run learning algorithms to update their bids as they participate in the auction over time. Based on our offline algorithm, we design efficient online learning algorithms for bidding. The algorithms have sublinear regret, under both full information and bandit feedback structures. We complement our online learning algorithms with regret lower bounds. Finally, we analyze the quality of the equilibria in the worst case through the lens of the core solution concept in the game among the bidders. We show that the $(K+1)$-st price format is susceptible to collusion among the bidders; meanwhile, the $K$-th price format does not have this issue.


Masked Autoencoding for Scalable and Generalizable Decision Making

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We are interested in learning scalable agents for reinforcement learning that can learn from large-scale, diverse sequential data similar to current large vision and language models. To this end, this paper presents masked decision prediction (MaskDP), a simple and scalable self-supervised pretraining method for reinforcement learning (RL) and behavioral cloning (BC). In our MaskDP approach, we employ a masked autoencoder (MAE) to state-action trajectories, wherein we randomly mask state and action tokens and reconstruct the missing data. By doing so, the model is required to infer masked-out states and actions and extract information about dynamics. We find that masking different proportions of the input sequence significantly helps with learning a better model that generalizes well to multiple downstream tasks. In our empirical study, we find that a MaskDP model gains the capability of zero-shot transfer to new BC tasks, such as single and multiple goal reaching, and it can zero-shot infer skills from a few example transitions. In addition, MaskDP transfers well to offline RL and shows promising scaling behavior w.r.t. to model size. It is amenable to data-efficient finetuning, achieving competitive results with prior methods based on autoregressive pretraining.


Probing reaction channels via reinforcement learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose a reinforcement learning based method to identify important configurations that connect reactant and product states along chemical reaction paths. By shooting multiple trajectories from these configurations, we can generate an ensemble of configurations that concentrate on the transition path ensemble. This configuration ensemble can be effectively employed in a neural network-based partial differential equation solver to obtain an approximation solution of a restricted Backward Kolmogorov equation, even when the dimension of the problem is very high. The resulting solution, known as the committor function, encodes mechanistic information for the reaction and can in turn be used to evaluate reaction rates.


Thermodynamics of learning physical phenomena

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In a 2009 compilation of essays, the fourth paradigm of science was first described [1]. After centuries of science based on observation--the empirical period of the first paradigm--came a period based on the establishment of scientific laws--the second paradigm, think of Newton--and much more recently a period in which simulation took an important role--the third paradigm. Very recently, the authors of this essay argue that we have entered a period in which data plays a prominent role in scientific discovery and where theory and experiments, symbiotically, help data to achieve higher goals. Scientific Machine Learning is precisely a new field in which data coming from scientific experiments is used massively to unveil new, still unknown scientific laws. Some authors have begun to think about an even more recent fifth paradigm of science, in which data is obtained not from experiments, but from simulations [2].


Environmental Claim Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

To transition to a green economy, environmental claims made by companies must be reliable, comparable, and verifiable. To analyze such claims at scale, automated methods are needed to detect them in the first place. However, there exist no datasets or models for this. Thus, this paper introduces the task of environmental claim detection. To accompany the task, we release an expert-annotated dataset and models trained on this dataset. We preview one potential application of such models: We detect environmental claims made in quarterly earning calls and find that the number of environmental claims has steadily increased since the Paris Agreement in 2015.


Investigation of Proper Orthogonal Decomposition for Echo State Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Echo State Networks (ESN) are a type of Recurrent Neural Network that yields promising results in representing time series and nonlinear dynamic systems. Although they are equipped with a very efficient training procedure, Reservoir Computing strategies, such as the ESN, require high-order networks, i.e., many neurons, resulting in a large number of states that are magnitudes higher than the number of model inputs and outputs. A large number of states not only makes the time-step computation more costly but also may pose robustness issues, especially when applying ESNs to problems such as Model Predictive Control (MPC) and other optimal control problems. One way to circumvent this complexity issue is through Model Order Reduction strategies such as the Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD) and its variants (POD-DEIM), whereby we find an equivalent lower order representation to an already trained high dimension ESN. To this end, this work aims to investigate and analyze the performance of POD methods in Echo State Networks, evaluating their effectiveness through the Memory Capacity (MC) of the POD-reduced network compared to the original (full-order) ESN. We also perform experiments on two numerical case studies: a NARMA10 difference equation and an oil platform containing two wells and one riser. The results show that there is little loss of performance comparing the original ESN to a POD-reduced counterpart and that the performance of a POD-reduced ESN tends to be superior to a normal ESN of the same size. Also, the POD-reduced network achieves speedups of around $80\%$ compared to the original ESN.