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Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence Framework for Proactive Detection and Risk Explanation of Cyber Attacks in Smart Grid

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The rapid growth of distributed energy resources (DERs), such as renewable energy sources, generators, consumers, and prosumers in the smart grid infrastructure, poses significant cybersecurity and trust challenges to the grid controller. Consequently, it is crucial to identify adversarial tactics and measure the strength of the attacker's DER. To enable a trustworthy smart grid controller, this work investigates a trustworthy artificial intelligence (AI) mechanism for proactive identification and explanation of the cyber risk caused by the control/status message of DERs. Thus, proposing and developing a trustworthy AI framework to facilitate the deployment of any AI algorithms for detecting potential cyber threats and analyzing root causes based on Shapley value interpretation while dynamically quantifying the risk of an attack based on Ward's minimum variance formula. The experiment with a state-of-the-art dataset establishes the proposed framework as a trustworthy AI by fulfilling the capabilities of reliability, fairness, explainability, transparency, reproducibility, and accountability.


A blind spot for large language models: Supradiegetic linguistic information

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Large Language Models (LLMs) like ChatGPT reflect profound changes in the field of Artificial Intelligence, achieving a linguistic fluency that is impressively, even shockingly, human-like. The extent of their current and potential capabilities is an active area of investigation by no means limited to scientific researchers. It is common for people to frame the training data for LLMs as "text" or even "language". We examine the details of this framing using ideas from several areas, including linguistics, embodied cognition, cognitive science, mathematics, and history. We propose that considering what it is like to be an LLM like ChatGPT, as Nagel might have put it, can help us gain insight into its capabilities in general, and in particular, that its exposure to linguistic training data can be productively reframed as exposure to the diegetic information encoded in language, and its deficits can be reframed as ignorance of extradiegetic information, including supradiegetic linguistic information. Supradiegetic linguistic information consists of those arbitrary aspects of the physical form of language that are not derivable from the one-dimensional relations of context -- frequency, adjacency, proximity, co-occurrence -- that LLMs like ChatGPT have access to. Roughly speaking, the diegetic portion of a word can be thought of as its function, its meaning, as the information in a theoretical vector in a word embedding, while the supradiegetic portion of the word can be thought of as its form, like the shapes of its letters or the sounds of its syllables. We use these concepts to investigate why LLMs like ChatGPT have trouble handling palindromes, the visual characteristics of symbols, translating Sumerian cuneiform, and continuing integer sequences.


Improving Expressivity of GNNs with Subgraph-specific Factor Embedded Normalization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have emerged as a powerful category of learning architecture for handling graph-structured data. However, existing GNNs typically ignore crucial structural characteristics in node-induced subgraphs, which thus limits their expressiveness for various downstream tasks. In this paper, we strive to strengthen the representative capabilities of GNNs by devising a dedicated plug-and-play normalization scheme, termed as SUbgraph-sPEcific FactoR Embedded Normalization (SuperNorm), that explicitly considers the intra-connection information within each node-induced subgraph. To this end, we embed the subgraph-specific factor at the beginning and the end of the standard BatchNorm, as well as incorporate graph instance-specific statistics for improved distinguishable capabilities. In the meantime, we provide theoretical analysis to support that, with the elaborated SuperNorm, an arbitrary GNN is at least as powerful as the 1-WL test in distinguishing non-isomorphism graphs. Furthermore, the proposed SuperNorm scheme is also demonstrated to alleviate the over-smoothing phenomenon. Experimental results related to predictions of graph, node, and link properties on the eight popular datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. The code is available at https://github.com/chenchkx/SuperNorm.


Probabilistic partition of unity networks for high-dimensional regression problems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We explore the probabilistic partition of unity network (PPOU-Net) model in the context of high-dimensional regression problems and propose a general framework focusing on adaptive dimensionality reduction. With the proposed framework, the target function is approximated by a mixture of experts model on a low-dimensional manifold, where each cluster is associated with a local fixed-degree polynomial. We present a training strategy that leverages the expectation maximization (EM) algorithm. During the training, we alternate between (i) applying gradient descent to update the DNN coefficients; and (ii) using closed-form formulae derived from the EM algorithm to update the mixture of experts model parameters. Under the probabilistic formulation, step (ii) admits the form of embarrassingly parallelizable weighted least-squares solves. The PPOU-Nets consistently outperform the baseline fully-connected neural networks of comparable sizes in numerical experiments of various data dimensions. We also explore the proposed model in applications of quantum computing, where the PPOU-Nets act as surrogate models for cost landscapes associated with variational quantum circuits.


Autoregressive based Drift Detection Method

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In the classic machine learning framework, models are trained on historical data and used to predict future values. It is assumed that the data distribution does not change over time (stationarity). However, in real-world scenarios, the data generation process changes over time and the model has to adapt to the new incoming data. This phenomenon is known as concept drift and leads to a decrease in the predictive model's performance. In this study, we propose a new concept drift detection method based on autoregressive models called ADDM. This method can be integrated into any machine learning algorithm from deep neural networks to simple linear regression model. Our results show that this new concept drift detection method outperforms the state-of-the-art drift detection methods, both on synthetic data sets and real-world data sets. Our approach is theoretically guaranteed as well as empirical and effective for the detection of various concept drifts. In addition to the drift detector, we proposed a new method of concept drift adaptation based on the severity of the drift.


Adaptive Model Prediction Control-Based Multi-Terrain Trajectory Tracking Framework for Mobile Spherical Robots

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Owing to uncertainties in both kinematics and dynamics, the current trajectory tracking framework for mobile robots like spherical robots cannot function effectively on multiple terrains, especially uneven and unknown ones. Since this is a prerequisite for robots to execute tasks in the wild, we enhance our previous hierarchical trajectory tracking framework to handle this issue. First, a modified adaptive RBF neural network (RBFNN) is proposed to represent all uncertainties in kinodynamics. Then the Lyapunov function is utilized to design its adaptive law, and a variable step-size algorithm is employed in the weights update procedure to accelerate convergence and improve stability. Hence, a new adaptive model prediction control-based instruction planner (VAN-MPC) is proposed. Without modifying the bottom controllers, we finally develop the multi-terrain trajectory tracking framework by employing the new instruction planner VAN-MPC. The practical experiments demonstrate its effectiveness and robustness.


Additive Multi-Index Gaussian process modeling, with application to multi-physics surrogate modeling of the quark-gluon plasma

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The Quark-Gluon Plasma (QGP) is a unique phase of nuclear matter, theorized to have filled the Universe shortly after the Big Bang. A critical challenge in studying the QGP is that, to reconcile experimental observables with theoretical parameters, one requires many simulation runs of a complex physics model over a high-dimensional parameter space. Each run is computationally very expensive, requiring thousands of CPU hours, thus limiting physicists to only several hundred runs. Given limited training data for high-dimensional prediction, existing surrogate models often yield poor predictions with high predictive uncertainties, leading to imprecise scientific findings. To address this, we propose a new Additive Multi-Index Gaussian process (AdMIn-GP) model, which leverages a flexible additive structure on low-dimensional embeddings of the parameter space. This is guided by prior scientific knowledge that the QGP is dominated by multiple distinct physical phenomena (i.e., multiphysics), each involving a small number of latent parameters. The AdMIn-GP models for such embedded structures within a flexible Bayesian nonparametric framework, which facilitates efficient model fitting via a carefully constructed variational inference approach with inducing points. We show the effectiveness of the AdMIn-GP via a suite of numerical experiments and our QGP application, where we demonstrate considerably improved surrogate modeling performance over existing models.


Hinting Pipeline and Multivariate Regression CNN for Maize Kernel Counting on the Ear

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Maize is a highly nutritional cereal widely used for human and animal consumption and also as raw material by the biofuels industries. This highlights the importance of precisely quantifying the corn grain productivity in season, helping the commercialization process, operationalization, and critical decision-making. Considering the manual labor cost of counting maize kernels, we propose in this work a novel preprocessing pipeline named hinting that guides the attention of the model to the center of the corn kernels and enables a deep learning model to deliver better performance, given a picture of one side of the corn ear. Also, we propose a multivariate CNN regressor that outperforms single regression results. Experiments indicated that the proposed approach excels the current manual estimates, obtaining MAE of 34.4 and R2 of 0.74 against 35.38 and 0.72 for the manual estimate, respectively.


Confidence-Aware Graph Neural Networks for Learning Reliability Assessment Commitments

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Reliability Assessment Commitment (RAC) Optimization is increasingly important in grid operations due to larger shares of renewable generations in the generation mix and increased prediction errors. Independent System Operators (ISOs) also aim at using finer time granularities, longer time horizons, and possibly stochastic formulations for additional economic and reliability benefits. The goal of this paper is to address the computational challenges arising in extending the scope of RAC formulations. It presents RACLearn that (1) uses a Graph Neural Network (GNN) based architecture to predict generator commitments and active line constraints, (2) associates a confidence value to each commitment prediction, (3) selects a subset of the high-confidence predictions, which are (4) repaired for feasibility, and (5) seeds a state-of-the-art optimization algorithm with feasible predictions and active constraints. Experimental results on exact RAC formulations used by the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) and an actual transmission network (8965 transmission lines, 6708 buses, 1890 generators, and 6262 load units) show that the RACLearn framework can speed up RAC optimization by factors ranging from 2 to 4 with negligible loss in solution quality.


Real-Time Deformable-Contact-Aware Model Predictive Control for Force-Modulated Manipulation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Force modulation of robotic manipulators has been extensively studied for several decades. However, it is not yet commonly used in safety-critical applications due to a lack of accurate interaction contact modeling and weak performance guarantees - a large proportion of them concerning the modulation of interaction forces. This study presents a high-level framework for simultaneous trajectory optimization and force control of the interaction between a manipulator and soft environments, which is prone to external disturbances. Sliding friction and normal contact force are taken into account. The dynamics of the soft contact model and the manipulator are simultaneously incorporated in a trajectory optimizer to generate desired motion and force profiles. A constrained optimization framework based on Alternative Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) has been employed to efficiently generate real-time optimal control inputs and high-dimensional state trajectories in a Model Predictive Control fashion. Experimental validation of the model performance is conducted on a soft substrate with known material properties using a Cartesian space force control mode. Results show a comparison of ground truth and real-time model-based contact force and motion tracking for multiple Cartesian motions in the valid range of the friction model. It is shown that a contact model-based motion planner can compensate for frictional forces and motion disturbances and improve the overall motion and force tracking accuracy. The proposed high-level planner has the potential to facilitate the automation of medical tasks involving the manipulation of compliant, delicate, and deformable tissues.