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Exceedance Probability Forecasting via Regression for Significant Wave Height Prediction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Significant wave height forecasting is a key problem in ocean data analytics. Predicting the significant wave height is crucial for estimating the energy production from waves. Moreover, the timely prediction of large waves is important to ensure the safety of maritime operations, e.g. passage of vessels. We frame the task of predicting extreme values of significant wave height as an exceedance probability forecasting problem. Accordingly, we aim at estimating the probability that the significant wave height will exceed a predefined threshold. This task is usually solved using a probabilistic binary classification model. Instead, we propose a novel approach based on a forecasting model. The method leverages the forecasts for the upcoming observations to estimate the exceedance probability according to the cumulative distribution function. We carried out experiments using data from a buoy placed in the coast of Halifax, Canada. The results suggest that the proposed methodology is better than state-of-the-art approaches for exceedance probability forecasting.


Fault Detection via Occupation Kernel Principal Component Analysis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The reliable operation of automatic systems is heavily dependent on the ability to detect faults in the underlying dynamical system. While traditional model-based methods have been widely used for fault detection, data-driven approaches have garnered increasing attention due to their ease of deployment and minimal need for expert knowledge. In this paper, we present a novel principal component analysis (PCA) method that uses occupation kernels. Occupation kernels result in feature maps that are tailored to the measured data, have inherent noise-robustness due to the use of integration, and can utilize irregularly sampled system trajectories of variable lengths for PCA. The occupation kernel PCA method is used to develop a reconstruction error approach to fault detection and its efficacy is validated using numerical simulations.


LM4HPC: Towards Effective Language Model Application in High-Performance Computing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years, language models (LMs), such as GPT-4, have been widely used in multiple domains, including natural language processing, visualization, and so on. However, applying them for analyzing and optimizing high-performance computing (HPC) software is still challenging due to the lack of HPC-specific support. In this paper, we design the LM4HPC framework to facilitate the research and development of HPC software analyses and optimizations using LMs. Tailored for supporting HPC datasets, AI models, and pipelines, our framework is built on top of a range of components from different levels of the machine learning software stack, with Hugging Face-compatible APIs. Using three representative tasks, we evaluated the prototype of our framework. The results show that LM4HPC can help users quickly evaluate a set of state-of-the-art models and generate insightful leaderboards.


Energy Sufficiency in Unknown Environments via Control Barrier Functions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Maintaining energy sufficiency of a battery-powered robot system is a essential for long-term missions. This capability should be flexible enough to deal with different types of environment and a wide range of missions, while constantly guaranteeing that the robot does not run out of energy. In this work we present a framework based on Control Barrier Functions (CBFs) that provides an energy sufficiency layer that can be applied on top of any path planner and provides guarantees on the robot's energy consumption during mission execution. In practice, we smooth the output of a generic path planner using double sigmoid functions and then use CBFs to ensure energy sufficiency along the smoothed path, for robots described by single integrator and unicycle kinematics. We present results using a physics-based robot simulator, as well as with real robots with a full localization and mapping stack to show the validity of our approach.


Energy Modelling and Forecasting for an Underground Agricultural Farm using a Higher Order Dynamic Mode Decomposition Approach

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents an approach based on higher order dynamic mode decomposition (HODMD) to model, analyse, and forecast energy behaviour in an urban agriculture farm situated in a retrofitted London underground tunnel, where observed measurements are influenced by noisy and occasionally transient conditions. HODMD is a data-driven reduced order modelling method typically used to analyse and predict highly noisy and complex flows in fluid dynamics or any type of complex data from dynamical systems. HODMD is a recent extension of the classical dynamic mode decomposition method (DMD), customised to handle scenarios where the spectral complexity underlying the measurement data is higher than its spatial complexity, such as is the environmental behaviour of the farm. HODMD decomposes temporal data as a linear expansion of physically-meaningful DMD-modes in a semi-automatic approach, using a time-delay embedded approach. We apply HODMD to three seasonal scenarios using real data measured by sensors located at at the cross-sectional centre of the the underground farm. Through the study we revealed three physically-interpretable mode pairs that govern the environmental behaviour at the centre of the farm, consistently across environmental scenarios. Subsequently, we demonstrate how we can reconstruct the fundamental structure of the observed time-series using only these modes, and forecast for three days ahead, as one, compact and interpretable reduced-order model. We find HODMD to serve as a robust, semi-automatic modelling alternative for predictive modelling in Digital Twins.


Spectral Analysis of Marine Debris in Simulated and Observed Sentinel-2/MSI Images using Unsupervised Classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Marine litter poses significant threats to marine and coastal environments, with its impacts ever-growing. Remote sensing provides an advantageous supplement to traditional mitigation techniques, such as local cleaning operations and trawl net surveys, due to its capabilities for extensive coverage and frequent observation. In this study, we used Radiative Transfer Model (RTM) simulated data and data from the Multispectral Instrument (MSI) of the Sentinel-2 mission in combination with machine learning algorithms. Our aim was to study the spectral behavior of marine plastic pollution and evaluate the applicability of RTMs within this research area. The results from the exploratory analysis and unsupervised classification using the KMeans algorithm indicate that the spectral behavior of pollutants is influenced by factors such as the type of polymer and pixel coverage percentage. The findings also reveal spectral characteristics and trends of association and differentiation among elements. The applied methodology is strongly dependent on the data, and if reapplied in new, more diverse, and detailed datasets, it can potentially generate even better results. These insights can guide future research in remote sensing applications for detecting marine plastic pollution.


Robust Wind Turbine Blade Segmentation from RGB Images in the Wild

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With the relentless growth of the wind industry, there is an imperious need to design automatic data-driven solutions for wind turbine maintenance. As structural health monitoring mainly relies on visual inspections, the first stage in any automatic solution is to identify the blade region on the image. Thus, we propose a novel segmentation algorithm that strengthens the U-Net results by a tailored loss, which pools the focal loss with a contiguity regularization term. To attain top performing results, a set of additional steps are proposed to ensure a reliable, generic, robust and efficient algorithm. First, we leverage our prior knowledge on the images by filling the holes enclosed by temporarily-classified blade pixels and by the image boundaries. Subsequently, the mislead classified pixels are successfully amended by training an on-the-fly random forest. Our algorithm demonstrates its effectiveness reaching a non-trivial 97.39% of accuracy.


Segmentation of Industrial Burner Flames: A Comparative Study from Traditional Image Processing to Machine and Deep Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In many industrial processes, such as power generation, chemical production, and waste management, accurately monitoring industrial burner flame characteristics is crucial for safe and efficient operation. A key step involves separating the flames from the background through binary segmentation. Decades of machine vision research have produced a wide range of possible solutions, from traditional image processing to traditional machine learning and modern deep learning methods. In this work, we present a comparative study of multiple segmentation approaches, namely Global Thresholding, Region Growing, Support Vector Machines, Random Forest, Multilayer Perceptron, U-Net, and DeepLabV3+, that are evaluated on a public benchmark dataset of industrial burner flames. We provide helpful insights and guidance for researchers and practitioners aiming to select an appropriate approach for the binary segmentation of industrial burner flames and beyond. For the highest accuracy, deep learning is the leading approach, while for fast and simple solutions, traditional image processing techniques remain a viable option.


Towards Operating Wind Turbine Inspections using a LiDAR-equipped UAV

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this study, a novel technique for the autonomous visual inspection of rotating wind turbine rotor blades utilizing an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) was developed. This approach addresses the challenges presented by the dynamic environment at hand and the requirement of maintaining a safe distance from the moving rotor blades. The application of UAV-based inspection techniques mitigates these dangers and the expenses associated with traditional wind turbine inspection methods which involve halting normal wind farm operations. Our proposed system incorporates algorithms and sensor technologies. It relies on a light detection and ranging (LiDAR) sensor system, an inertial measurement unit, and a GPS to accurately identify the relative position of the rotating wind turbine with respect to the UAV's own position. Once this position is determined, a non-destructive visual analysis of the rotating rotor blades is performed by generating a suitable trajectory and triggering a camera fitted on a gimbal system as the blades approach. This new technique, built upon the existing research on UAV inspection of rotating wind turbines, has been empirically validated using data collected from real-world wind farm applications. This article contributes to the ongoing trend of enhancing the safety and efficiency of infrastructure inspection. It also presents a good base for future research, with potential applications for other types of infrastructure, such as bridges or power lines.


A Closed-Loop Bin Picking System for Entangled Wire Harnesses using Bimanual and Dynamic Manipulation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper addresses the challenge of industrial bin picking using entangled wire harnesses. Wire harnesses are essential in manufacturing but poses challenges in automation due to their complex geometries and propensity for entanglement. Our previous work tackled this issue by proposing a quasi-static pulling motion to separate the entangled wire harnesses. However, it still lacks sufficiency and generalization to various shapes and structures. In this paper, we deploy a dual-arm robot that can grasp, extract and disentangle wire harnesses from dense clutter using dynamic manipulation. The robot can swing to dynamically discard the entangled objects and regrasp to adjust the undesirable grasp pose. To improve the robustness and accuracy of the system, we leverage a closed-loop framework that uses haptic feedback to detect entanglement in real-time and flexibly adjust system parameters. Our bin picking system achieves an overall success rate of 91.2% in the real-world experiments using two different types of long wire harnesses. It demonstrates the effectiveness of our system in handling various wire harnesses for industrial bin picking.