Energy
Physics-informed Neural Network Combined with Characteristic-Based Split for Solving Navier-Stokes Equations
Hu, Shuang, Liu, Meiqin, Zhang, Senlin, Dong, Shanling, Zheng, Ronghao
In this paper, physics-informed neural network (PINN) based on characteristic-based split (CBS) is proposed, which can be used to solve the time-dependent Navier-Stokes equations (N-S equations). In this method, The output parameters and corresponding losses are separated, so the weights between output parameters are not considered. Not all partial derivatives participate in gradient backpropagation, and the remaining terms will be reused.Therefore, compared with traditional PINN, this method is a rapid version. Here, labeled data, physical constraints and network outputs are regarded as priori information, and the residuals of the N-S equations are regarded as posteriori information. So this method can deal with both data-driven and data-free problems. As a result, it can solve the special form of compressible N-S equations -- -Shallow-Water equations, and incompressible N-S equations. As boundary conditions are known, this method only needs the flow field information at a certain time to restore the past and future flow field information. We solve the progress of a solitary wave onto a shelving beach and the dispersion of the hot water in the flow, which show this method's potential in the marine engineering. We also use incompressible equations with exact solutions to prove this method's correctness and universality. We find that PINN needs more strict boundary conditions to solve the N-S equation, because it has no computational boundary compared with the finite element method.
Control-aware echo state networks (Ca-ESN) for the suppression of extreme events
Extreme event are sudden large-amplitude changes in the state or observables of chaotic nonlinear systems, which characterize many scientific phenomena. Because of their violent nature, extreme events typically have adverse consequences, which call for methods to prevent the events from happening. In this work, we introduce the control-aware echo state network (Ca-ESN) to seamlessly combine ESNs and control strategies, such as proportional-integral-derivative and model predictive control, to suppress extreme events. The methodology is showcased on a chaotic-turbulent flow, in which we reduce the occurrence of extreme events with respect to traditional methods by two orders of magnitude. This works opens up new possibilities for the efficient control of nonlinear systems with neural networks.
A Critical Review of Physics-Informed Machine Learning Applications in Subsurface Energy Systems
Latrach, Abdeldjalil, Malki, Mohamed Lamine, Morales, Misael, Mehana, Mohamed, Rabiei, Minou
Machine learning has emerged as a powerful tool in various fields, including computer vision, natural language processing, and speech recognition. It can unravel hidden patterns within large data sets and reveal unparalleled insights, revolutionizing many industries and disciplines. However, machine and deep learning models lack interpretability and limited domain-specific knowledge, especially in applications such as physics and engineering. Alternatively, physics-informed machine learning (PIML) techniques integrate physics principles into data-driven models. By combining deep learning with domain knowledge, PIML improves the generalization of the model, abidance by the governing physical laws, and interpretability. This paper comprehensively reviews PIML applications related to subsurface energy systems, mainly in the oil and gas industry. The review highlights the successful utilization of PIML for tasks such as seismic applications, reservoir simulation, hydrocarbons production forecasting, and intelligent decision-making in the exploration and production stages. Additionally, it demonstrates PIML's capabilities to revolutionize the oil and gas industry and other emerging areas of interest, such as carbon and hydrogen storage; and geothermal systems by providing more accurate and reliable predictions for resource management and operational efficiency.
DSformer: A Double Sampling Transformer for Multivariate Time Series Long-term Prediction
Yu, Chengqing, Wang, Fei, Shao, Zezhi, Sun, Tao, Wu, Lin, Xu, Yongjun
Multivariate time series long-term prediction, which aims to predict the change of data in a long time, can provide references for decision-making. Although transformer-based models have made progress in this field, they usually do not make full use of three features of multivariate time series: global information, local information, and variables correlation. To effectively mine the above three features and establish a high-precision prediction model, we propose a double sampling transformer (DSformer), which consists of the double sampling (DS) block and the temporal variable attention (TVA) block. Firstly, the DS block employs down sampling and piecewise sampling to transform the original series into feature vectors that focus on global information and local information respectively. Then, TVA block uses temporal attention and variable attention to mine these feature vectors from different dimensions and extract key information. Finally, based on a parallel structure, DSformer uses multiple TVA blocks to mine and integrate different features obtained from DS blocks respectively. The integrated feature information is passed to the generative decoder based on a multi-layer perceptron to realize multivariate time series long-term prediction. Experimental results on nine real-world datasets show that DSformer can outperform eight existing baselines.
Exploring Different Time-series-Transformer (TST) Architectures: A Case Study in Battery Life Prediction for Electric Vehicles (EVs)
Sitapure, Niranjan, Kulkarni, Atharva
In recent years, battery technology for electric vehicles (EVs) has been a major focus, with a significant emphasis on developing new battery materials and chemistries. However, accurately predicting key battery parameters, such as state-of-charge (SOC) and temperature, remains a challenge for constructing advanced battery management systems (BMS). Existing battery models do not comprehensively cover all parameters affecting battery performance, including non-battery-related factors like ambient temperature, cabin temperature, elevation, and regenerative braking during EV operation. Due to the difficulty of incorporating these auxiliary parameters into traditional models, a data-driven approach is suggested. Time-series-transformers (TSTs), leveraging multiheaded attention and parallelization-friendly architecture, are explored alongside LSTM models. Novel TST architectures, including encoder TST + decoder LSTM and a hybrid TST-LSTM, are also developed and compared against existing models. A dataset comprising 72 driving trips in a BMW i3 (60 Ah) is used to address battery life prediction in EVs, aiming to create accurate TST models that incorporate environmental, battery, vehicle driving, and heating circuit data to predict SOC and battery temperature for future time steps.
Heterogeneous Neuronal and Synaptic Dynamics for Spike-Efficient Unsupervised Learning: Theory and Design Principles
Chakraborty, Biswadeep, Mukhopadhyay, Saibal
This paper shows that the heterogeneity in neuronal and synaptic dynamics reduces the spiking activity of a Recurrent Spiking Neural Network (RSNN) while improving prediction performance, enabling spike-efficient (unsupervised) learning. We analytically show that the diversity in neurons' integration/relaxation dynamics improves an RSNN's ability to learn more distinct input patterns (higher memory capacity), leading to improved classification and prediction performance. We further prove that heterogeneous Spike-Timing-Dependent-Plasticity (STDP) dynamics of synapses reduce spiking activity but preserve memory capacity. The analytical results motivate Heterogeneous RSNN design using Bayesian optimization to determine heterogeneity in neurons and synapses to improve $\mathcal{E}$, defined as the ratio of spiking activity and memory capacity. The empirical results on time series classification and prediction tasks show that optimized HRSNN increases performance and reduces spiking activity compared to a homogeneous RSNN.
A generative model for surrogates of spatial-temporal wildfire nowcasting
Cheng, Sibo, Guo, Yike, Arcucci, Rossella
Recent increase in wildfires worldwide has led to the need for real-time fire nowcasting. Physics-driven models, such as cellular automata and computational fluid dynamics can provide high-fidelity fire spread simulations but they are computationally expensive and time-consuming. Much effort has been put into developing machine learning models for fire prediction. However, these models are often region-specific and require a substantial quantity of simulation data for training purpose. This results in a significant amount of computational effort for different ecoregions. In this work, a generative model is proposed using a three-dimensional Vector-Quantized Variational Autoencoders to generate spatial-temporal sequences of unseen wildfire burned areas in a given ecoregion. The model is tested in the ecoregion of a recent massive wildfire event in California, known as the Chimney fire. Numerical results show that the model succeed in generating coherent and structured fire scenarios, taking into account the impact from geophysical variables, such as vegetation and slope. Generated data are also used to train a surrogate model for predicting wildfire dissemination, which has been tested on both simulation data and the real Chimney fire event.
Data-Based Design of Multi-Model Inferential Sensors
Mojto, Martin, Lubuลกkรฝ, Karol, Fikar, Miroslav, Paulen, Radoslav
The nonlinear character of industrial processes is usually the main limitation to designing simple linear inferential sensors with sufficient accuracy. In order to increase the inferential sensor predictive performance and yet to maintain its linear structure, multi-model inferential sensors represent a straightforward option. In this contribution, we propose two novel approaches for the design of multi-model inferential sensors aiming to mitigate some drawbacks of the state-of-the-art approaches. For a demonstration of the developed techniques, we design inferential sensors for a Vacuum Gasoil Hydrogenation unit, which is a real-world petrochemical refinery unit. The performance of the multi-model inferential sensor is compared against various single-model inferential sensors and the current (referential) inferential sensor used in the refinery. The results show substantial improvements over the state-of-the-art design techniques for single-/multi-model inferential sensors.
Towards the Development of an Uncertainty Quantification Protocol for the Natural Gas Industry
Simulations using machine learning (ML) models and mechanistic models are often run to inform decision-making processes. Uncertainty estimates of simulation results are critical to the decision-making process because simulation results of specific scenarios may have wide, but unspecified, confidence bounds that may impact subsequent analyses and decisions. The objective of this work is to develop a protocol to assess uncertainties in predictions of machine learning and mechanistic simulation models. The protocol will outline an uncertainty quantification workflow that may be used to establish credible bounds of predictability on computed quantities of interest and to assess model sufficiency. The protocol identifies key sources of uncertainties in machine learning and mechanistic modeling, defines applicable methods of uncertainty propagation for these sources, and includes statistically rational estimators for output uncertainties. The work applies the protocol to test cases relevant to the gas distribution industry and presents learnings from its application. The paper concludes with a brief discussion outlining a pathway to the wider adoption of uncertainty quantification within the industry
Physics-informed neural networks for predicting gas flow dynamics and unknown parameters in diesel engines
Nath, Kamaljyoti, Meng, Xuhui, Smith, Daniel J, Karniadakis, George Em
This paper presents a physics-informed neural network (PINN) approach for monitoring the health of diesel engines. The aim is to evaluate the engine dynamics, identify unknown parameters in a "mean value" model, and anticipate maintenance requirements. The PINN model is applied to diesel engines with a variable-geometry turbocharger and exhaust gas recirculation, using measurement data of selected state variables. The results demonstrate the ability of the PINN model to predict simultaneously both unknown parameters and dynamics accurately with both clean and noisy data, and the importance of the self-adaptive weight in the loss function for faster convergence. The input data for these simulations are derived from actual engine running conditions, while the outputs are simulated data, making this a practical case study of PINN's ability to predict real-world dynamical systems. The mean value model of the diesel engine incorporates empirical formulae to represent certain states, but these formulae may not be generalizable to other engines. To address this, the study considers the use of deep neural networks (DNNs) in addition to the PINN model. The DNNs are trained using laboratory test data and are used to model the engine-specific empirical formulae in the mean value model, allowing for a more flexible and adaptive representation of the engine's states. In other words, the mean value model uses both the PINN model and the DNNs to represent the engine's states, with the PINN providing a physics-based understanding of the engine's overall dynamics and the DNNs offering a more engine-specific and adaptive representation of the empirical formulae. By combining these two approaches, the study aims to offer a comprehensive and versatile approach to monitoring the health and performance of diesel engines.