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Time-Synchronized Full System State Estimation Considering Practical Implementation Challenges

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As phasor measurement units (PMUs) are usually placed on the highest voltage buses, many lower voltage levels of the bulk power system are not observed by them. This lack of visibility makes time-synchronized state estimation of the full system a challenging problem. We propose a Deep Neural network-based State Estimator (DeNSE) to overcome this problem. The DeNSE employs a Bayesian framework to indirectly combine inferences drawn from slow timescale but widespread supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) data with fast timescale but local PMU data to attain sub-second situational awareness of the entire system. The practical utility of the proposed approach is demonstrated by considering topology changes, non-Gaussian measurement noise, and bad data detection and correction. The results obtained using the IEEE 118-bus system show the superiority of the DeNSE over a purely SCADA state estimator, a SCADA-PMU hybrid state estimator, and a PMU-only linear state estimator from a techno-economic viability perspective. Lastly, the scalability of the DeNSE is proven by performing state estimation on a large and realistic 2000-bus Synthetic Texas system.


GRINN: A Physics-Informed Neural Network for solving hydrodynamic systems in the presence of self-gravity

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Modeling self-gravitating gas flows is essential to answering many fundamental questions in astrophysics. This spans many topics including planet-forming disks, star-forming clouds, galaxy formation, and the development of large-scale structures in the Universe. However, the nonlinear interaction between gravity and fluid dynamics offers a formidable challenge to solving the resulting time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs) in three dimensions (3D). By leveraging the universal approximation capabilities of a neural network within a mesh-free framework, physics informed neural networks (PINNs) offer a new way of addressing this challenge. We introduce the gravity-informed neural network (GRINN), a PINN-based code, to simulate 3D self-gravitating hydrodynamic systems. Here, we specifically study gravitational instability and wave propagation in an isothermal gas. Our results match a linear analytic solution to within 1\% in the linear regime and a conventional grid code solution to within 5\% as the disturbance grows into the nonlinear regime. We find that the computation time of the GRINN does not scale with the number of dimensions. This is in contrast to the scaling of the grid-based code for the hydrodynamic and self-gravity calculations as the number of dimensions is increased. Our results show that the GRINN computation time is longer than the grid code in one- and two- dimensional calculations but is an order of magnitude lesser than the grid code in 3D with similar accuracy. Physics-informed neural networks like GRINN thus show promise for advancing our ability to model 3D astrophysical flows.


Rigid Transformations for Stabilized Lower Dimensional Space to Support Subsurface Uncertainty Quantification and Interpretation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Subsurface datasets inherently possess big data characteristics such as vast volume, diverse features, and high sampling speeds, further compounded by the curse of dimensionality from various physical, engineering, and geological inputs. Among the existing dimensionality reduction (DR) methods, nonlinear dimensionality reduction (NDR) methods, especially Metric-multidimensional scaling (MDS), are preferred for subsurface datasets due to their inherent complexity. While MDS retains intrinsic data structure and quantifies uncertainty, its limitations include unstabilized unique solutions invariant to Euclidean transformations and an absence of out-of-sample points (OOSP) extension. To enhance subsurface inferential and machine learning workflows, datasets must be transformed into stable, reduced-dimension representations that accommodate OOSP. Our solution employs rigid transformations for a stabilized Euclidean invariant representation for LDS. By computing an MDS input dissimilarity matrix, and applying rigid transformations on multiple realizations, we ensure transformation invariance and integrate OOSP. This process leverages a convex hull algorithm and incorporates loss function and normalized stress for distortion quantification. We validate our approach with synthetic data, varying distance metrics, and real-world wells from the Duvernay Formation. Results confirm our method's efficacy in achieving consistent LDS representations. Furthermore, our proposed "stress ratio" (SR) metric provides insight into uncertainty, beneficial for model adjustments and inferential analysis. Consequently, our workflow promises enhanced repeatability and comparability in NDR for subsurface energy resource engineering and associated big data workflows.


A Reinforcement Learning Approach for Performance-aware Reduction in Power Consumption of Data Center Compute Nodes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As Exascale computing becomes a reality, the energy needs of compute nodes in cloud data centers will continue to grow. A common approach to reducing this energy demand is to limit the power consumption of hardware components when workloads are experiencing bottlenecks elsewhere in the system. However, designing a resource controller capable of detecting and limiting power consumption on-the-fly is a complex issue and can also adversely impact application performance. In this paper, we explore the use of Reinforcement Learning (RL) to design a power capping policy on cloud compute nodes using observations on current power consumption and instantaneous application performance (heartbeats). By leveraging the Argo Node Resource Management (NRM) software stack in conjunction with the Intel Running Average Power Limit (RAPL) hardware control mechanism, we design an agent to control the maximum supplied power to processors without compromising on application performance. Employing a Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) agent to learn an optimal policy on a mathematical model of the compute nodes, we demonstrate and evaluate using the STREAM benchmark how a trained agent running on actual hardware can take actions by balancing power consumption and application performance.


An Adaptive Approach for Probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting Based on Meta-Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper studies an adaptive approach for probabilistic wind power forecasting (WPF) including offline and online learning procedures. In the offline learning stage, a base forecast model is trained via inner and outer loop updates of meta-learning, which endows the base forecast model with excellent adaptability to different forecast tasks, i.e., probabilistic WPF with different lead times or locations. In the online learning stage, the base forecast model is applied to online forecasting combined with incremental learning techniques. On this basis, the online forecast takes full advantage of recent information and the adaptability of the base forecast model. Two applications are developed based on our proposed approach concerning forecasting with different lead times (temporal adaptation) and forecasting for newly established wind farms (spatial adaptation), respectively. Numerical tests were conducted on real-world wind power data sets. Simulation results validate the advantages in adaptivity of the proposed methods compared with existing alternatives.


Hyper-Drive: Visible-Short Wave Infrared Hyperspectral Imaging Datasets for Robots in Unstructured Environments

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Hyperspectral sensors have enjoyed widespread use in the realm of remote sensing; however, they must be adapted to a format in which they can be operated onboard mobile robots. In this work, we introduce a first-of-its-kind system architecture with snapshot hyperspectral cameras and point spectrometers to efficiently generate composite datacubes from a robotic base. Our system collects and registers datacubes spanning the visible to shortwave infrared (660-1700 nm) spectrum while simultaneously capturing the ambient solar spectrum reflected off a white reference tile. We collect and disseminate a large dataset of more than 500 labeled datacubes from on-road and off-road terrain compliant with the ATLAS ontology to further the integration and demonstration of hyperspectral imaging (HSI) as beneficial in terrain class separability. Our analysis of this data demonstrates that HSI is a significant opportunity to increase understanding of scene composition from a robot-centric context. All code and data are open source online: https://river-lab.github.io/hyper_drive_data


Potential Energy Advantage of Quantum Economy

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Energy cost is increasingly crucial in the modern computing industry with the wide deployment of large-scale machine learning models and language models. For the firms that provide computing services, low energy consumption is important both from the perspective of their own market growth and the government's regulations. In this paper, we study the energy benefits of quantum computing vis-a-vis classical computing. Deviating from the conventional notion of quantum advantage based solely on computational complexity, we redefine advantage in an energy efficiency context. Through a Cournot competition model constrained by energy usage, we demonstrate quantum computing firms can outperform classical counterparts in both profitability and energy efficiency at Nash equilibrium. Therefore quantum computing may represent a more sustainable pathway for the computing industry. Moreover, we discover that the energy benefits of quantum computing economies are contingent on large-scale computation. Based on real physical parameters, we further illustrate the scale of operation necessary for realizing this energy efficiency advantage.


DiffTune: Auto-Tuning through Auto-Differentiation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The performance of robots in high-level tasks depends on the quality of their lower-level controller, which requires fine-tuning. However, the intrinsically nonlinear dynamics and controllers make tuning a challenging task when it is done by hand. In this paper, we present DiffTune, a novel, gradient-based automatic tuning framework. We formulate the controller tuning as a parameter optimization problem. Our method unrolls the dynamical system and controller as a computational graph and updates the controller parameters through gradient-based optimization. The gradient is obtained using sensitivity propagation, which is the only method for gradient computation when tuning for a physical system instead of its simulated counterpart. Furthermore, we use $\mathcal{L}_1$ adaptive control to compensate for the uncertainties (that unavoidably exist in a physical system) such that the gradient is not biased by the unmodelled uncertainties. We validate the DiffTune on a Dubin's car and a quadrotor in challenging simulation environments. In comparison with state-of-the-art auto-tuning methods, DiffTune achieves the best performance in a more efficient manner owing to its effective usage of the first-order information of the system. Experiments on tuning a nonlinear controller for quadrotor show promising results, where DiffTune achieves 3.5x tracking error reduction on an aggressive trajectory in only 10 trials over a 12-dimensional controller parameter space.


Probabilistic Phase Labeling and Lattice Refinement for Autonomous Material Research

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

X-ray diffraction (XRD) is an essential technique to determine a material's crystal structure in high-throughput experimentation, and has recently been incorporated in artificially intelligent agents in autonomous scientific discovery processes. However, rapid, automated and reliable analysis method of XRD data matching the incoming data rate remains a major challenge. To address these issues, we present CrystalShift, an efficient algorithm for probabilistic XRD phase labeling that employs symmetry-constrained pseudo-refinement optimization, best-first tree search, and Bayesian model comparison to estimate probabilities for phase combinations without requiring phase space information or training. We demonstrate that CrystalShift provides robust probability estimates, outperforming existing methods on synthetic and experimental datasets, and can be readily integrated into high-throughput experimental workflows. In addition to efficient phase-mapping, CrystalShift offers quantitative insights into materials' structural parameters, which facilitate both expert evaluation and AI-based modeling of the phase space, ultimately accelerating materials identification and discovery.


Graph-Structured Kernel Design for Power Flow Learning using Gaussian Processes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents a physics-inspired graph-structured kernel designed for power flow learning using Gaussian Process (GP). The kernel, named the vertex-degree kernel (VDK), relies on latent decomposition of voltage-injection relationship based on the network graph or topology. Notably, VDK design avoids the need to solve optimization problems for kernel search. To enhance efficiency, we also explore a graph-reduction approach to obtain a VDK representation with lesser terms. Additionally, we propose a novel network-swipe active learning scheme, which intelligently selects sequential training inputs to accelerate the learning of VDK. Leveraging the additive structure of VDK, the active learning algorithm performs a block-descent type procedure on GP's predictive variance, serving as a proxy for information gain. Simulations demonstrate that the proposed VDK-GP achieves more than two fold sample complexity reduction, compared to full GP on medium scale 500-Bus and large scale 1354-Bus power systems. The network-swipe algorithm outperforms mean performance of 500 random trials on test predictions by two fold for medium-sized 500-Bus systems and best performance of 25 random trials for large-scale 1354-Bus systems by 10%. Moreover, we demonstrate that the proposed method's performance for uncertainty quantification applications with distributionally shifted testing data sets.