Energy
Electricity Demand Forecasting through Natural Language Processing with Long Short-Term Memory Networks
Bai, Yun, Camal, Simon, Michiorri, Andrea
Electricity demand forecasting is a well established research field. Usually this task is performed considering historical loads, weather forecasts, calendar information and known major events. Recently attention has been given on the possible use of new sources of information from textual news in order to improve the performance of these predictions. This paper proposes a Long and Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network incorporating textual news features that successfully predicts the deterministic and probabilistic tasks of the UK national electricity demand. The study finds that public sentiment and word vector representations related to transport and geopolitics have time-continuity effects on electricity demand. The experimental results show that the LSTM with textual features improves by more than 3% compared to the pure LSTM benchmark and by close to 10% over the official benchmark. Furthermore, the proposed model effectively reduces forecasting uncertainty by narrowing the confidence interval and bringing the forecast distribution closer to the truth.
End-to-end Phase Field Model Discovery Combining Experimentation, Crowdsourcing, Simulation and Learning
Nasim, Md, El-Azab, Anter, Zhang, Xinghang, Xue, Yexiang
The availability of tera-byte scale experiment data calls for AI driven approaches which automatically discover scientific models from data. Nonetheless, significant challenges present in AI-driven scientific discovery: (i) The annotation of large scale datasets requires fundamental re-thinking in developing scalable crowdsourcing tools. (ii) The learning of scientific models from data calls for innovations beyond black-box neural nets. (iii) Novel visualization and diagnosis tools are needed for the collaboration of experimental and theoretical physicists, and computer scientists. We present Phase-Field-Lab platform for end-to-end phase field model discovery, which automatically discovers phase field physics models from experiment data, integrating experimentation, crowdsourcing, simulation and learning. Phase-Field-Lab combines (i) a streamlined annotation tool which reduces the annotation time (by ~50-75%), while increasing annotation accuracy compared to baseline; (ii) an end-to-end neural model which automatically learns phase field models from data by embedding phase field simulation and existing domain knowledge into learning; and (iii) novel interfaces and visualizations to integrate our platform into the scientific discovery cycle of domain scientists. Our platform is deployed in the analysis of nano-structure evolution in materials under extreme conditions (high temperature and irradiation). Our approach reveals new properties of nano-void defects, which otherwise cannot be detected via manual analysis.
Learning a Universal Human Prior for Dexterous Manipulation from Human Preference
Ding, Zihan, Chen, Yuanpei, Ren, Allen Z., Gu, Shixiang Shane, Wang, Qianxu, Dong, Hao, Jin, Chi
Generating human-like behavior on robots is a great challenge especially in dexterous manipulation tasks with robotic hands. Scripting policies from scratch is intractable due to the high-dimensional control space, and training policies with reinforcement learning (RL) and manual reward engineering can also be hard and lead to unnatural motions. Leveraging the recent progress on RL from Human Feedback, we propose a framework that learns a universal human prior using direct human preference feedback over videos, for efficiently tuning the RL policies on 20 dual-hand robot manipulation tasks in simulation, without a single human demonstration. A task-agnostic reward model is trained through iteratively generating diverse polices and collecting human preference over the trajectories; it is then applied for regularizing the behavior of polices in the fine-tuning stage. Our method empirically demonstrates more human-like behaviors on robot hands in diverse tasks including even unseen tasks, indicating its generalization capability.
All you need is spin: SU(2) equivariant variational quantum circuits based on spin networks
East, Richard D. P., Alonso-Linaje, Guillermo, Park, Chae-Yeun
Variational algorithms require architectures that naturally constrain the optimisation space to run efficiently. In geometric quantum machine learning, one achieves this by encoding group structure into parameterised quantum circuits to include the symmetries of a problem as an inductive bias. However, constructing such circuits is challenging as a concrete guiding principle has yet to emerge. In this paper, we propose the use of spin networks, a form of directed tensor network invariant under a group transformation, to devise SU(2) equivariant quantum circuit ans\"atze -- circuits possessing spin rotation symmetry. By changing to the basis that block diagonalises SU(2) group action, these networks provide a natural building block for constructing parameterised equivariant quantum circuits. We prove that our construction is mathematically equivalent to other known constructions, such as those based on twirling and generalised permutations, but more direct to implement on quantum hardware. The efficacy of our constructed circuits is tested by solving the ground state problem of SU(2) symmetric Heisenberg models on the one-dimensional triangular lattice and on the Kagome lattice. Our results highlight that our equivariant circuits boost the performance of quantum variational algorithms, indicating broader applicability to other real-world problems.
Apple Watch Series 9 will have new 'hand gestures' feature that can be controlled WITHOUT touch - and will be company's first ever carbon-neutral gadget
The newly unveiled updated Apple Watch Series 9 will be Apple's first-ever carbon neutral gadget that requires a simple tap of two fingers to work. The device, which will become available on September 22, was also made using renewable materials and clean energy, leading to a 75 percent decrease in the amount of carbon waste emitted. And for the first time, users will be able to control the watch simply by tapping together the index finger and thumb on their watch hand. The Series 9 will start at $399 while the Apple Watch SE will run you $249. The Ultra 2 model will set you back $799.
Glancing Future for Simultaneous Machine Translation
Guo, Shoutao, Zhang, Shaolei, Feng, Yang
Simultaneous machine translation (SiMT) outputs translation while reading the source sentence. Unlike conventional sequence-to-sequence (seq2seq) training, existing SiMT methods adopt the prefix-to-prefix (prefix2prefix) training, where the model predicts target tokens based on partial source tokens. However, the prefix2prefix training diminishes the ability of the model to capture global information and introduces forced predictions due to the absence of essential source information. Consequently, it is crucial to bridge the gap between the prefix2prefix training and seq2seq training to enhance the translation capability of the SiMT model. In this paper, we propose a novel method that glances future in curriculum learning to achieve the transition from the seq2seq training to prefix2prefix training. Specifically, we gradually reduce the available source information from the whole sentence to the prefix corresponding to that latency. Our method is applicable to a wide range of SiMT methods and experiments demonstrate that our method outperforms strong baselines.
On Penalty-based Bilevel Gradient Descent Method
Shen, Han, Xiao, Quan, Chen, Tianyi
Bilevel optimization enjoys a wide range of applications in hyper-parameter optimization, meta-learning and reinforcement learning. However, bilevel optimization problems are difficult to solve. Recent progress on scalable bilevel algorithms mainly focuses on bilevel optimization problems where the lower-level objective is either strongly convex or unconstrained. In this work, we tackle the bilevel problem through the lens of the penalty method. We show that under certain conditions, the penalty reformulation recovers the solutions of the original bilevel problem. Further, we propose the penalty-based bilevel gradient descent (PBGD) algorithm and establish its finite-time convergence for the constrained bilevel problem without lower-level strong convexity. Experiments showcase the efficiency of the proposed PBGD algorithm.
Generalized Regret Analysis of Thompson Sampling using Fractional Posteriors
Jaiswal, Prateek, Pati, Debdeep, Bhattacharya, Anirban, Mallick, Bani K.
Thompson sampling (TS) is one of the most popular and earliest algorithms to solve stochastic multi-armed bandit problems. We consider a variant of TS, named $\alpha$-TS, where we use a fractional or $\alpha$-posterior ($\alpha\in(0,1)$) instead of the standard posterior distribution. To compute an $\alpha$-posterior, the likelihood in the definition of the standard posterior is tempered with a factor $\alpha$. For $\alpha$-TS we obtain both instance-dependent $\mathcal{O}\left(\sum_{k \neq i^*} \Delta_k\left(\frac{\log(T)}{C(\alpha)\Delta_k^2} + \frac{1}{2} \right)\right)$ and instance-independent $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{KT\log K})$ frequentist regret bounds under very mild conditions on the prior and reward distributions, where $\Delta_k$ is the gap between the true mean rewards of the $k^{th}$ and the best arms, and $C(\alpha)$ is a known constant. Both the sub-Gaussian and exponential family models satisfy our general conditions on the reward distribution. Our conditions on the prior distribution just require its density to be positive, continuous, and bounded. We also establish another instance-dependent regret upper bound that matches (up to constants) to that of improved UCB [Auer and Ortner, 2010]. Our regret analysis carefully combines recent theoretical developments in the non-asymptotic concentration analysis and Bernstein-von Mises type results for the $\alpha$-posterior distribution. Moreover, our analysis does not require additional structural properties such as closed-form posteriors or conjugate priors.
A Machine Learning Framework to Deconstruct the Primary Drivers for Electricity Market Price Events
Jain, Milan, Sun, Xueqing, Datta, Sohom, Somani, Abhishek
Power grids are moving towards 100% renewable energy source bulk power grids, and the overall dynamics of power system operations and electricity markets are changing. The electricity markets are not only dispatching resources economically but also taking into account various controllable actions like renewable curtailment, transmission congestion mitigation, and energy storage optimization to ensure grid reliability. As a result, price formations in electricity markets have become quite complex. Traditional root cause analysis and statistical approaches are rendered inapplicable to analyze and infer the main drivers behind price formation in the modern grid and markets with variable renewable energy (VRE). In this paper, we propose a machine learning-based analysis framework to deconstruct the primary drivers for price spike events in modern electricity markets with high renewable energy. The outcomes can be utilized for various critical aspects of market design, renewable dispatch and curtailment, operations, and cyber-security applications. The framework can be applied to any ISO or market data; however, in this paper, it is applied to open-source publicly available datasets from California Independent System Operator (CAISO) and ISO New England (ISO-NE).
Energy-Aware Federated Learning with Distributed User Sampling and Multichannel ALOHA
da Silva, Rafael Valente, López, Onel L. Alcaraz, Souza, Richard Demo
Distributed learning on edge devices has attracted increased attention with the advent of federated learning (FL). Notably, edge devices often have limited battery and heterogeneous energy availability, while multiple rounds are required in FL for convergence, intensifying the need for energy efficiency. Energy depletion may hinder the training process and the efficient utilization of the trained model. To solve these problems, this letter considers the integration of energy harvesting (EH) devices into a FL network with multi-channel ALOHA, while proposing a method to ensure both low energy outage probability and successful execution of future tasks. Numerical results demonstrate the effectiveness of this method, particularly in critical setups where the average energy income fails to cover the iteration cost. The method outperforms a norm based solution in terms of convergence time and battery level.