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A Stochastic Online Forecast-and-Optimize Framework for Real-Time Energy Dispatch in Virtual Power Plants under Uncertainty

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Aggregating distributed energy resources in power systems significantly increases uncertainties, in particular caused by the fluctuation of renewable energy generation. This issue has driven the necessity of widely exploiting advanced predictive control techniques under uncertainty to ensure long-term economics and decarbonization. In this paper, we propose a real-time uncertainty-aware energy dispatch framework, which is composed of two key elements: (i) A hybrid forecast-and-optimize sequential task, integrating deep learning-based forecasting and stochastic optimization, where these two stages are connected by the uncertainty estimation at multiple temporal resolutions; (ii) An efficient online data augmentation scheme, jointly involving model pre-training and online fine-tuning stages. In this way, the proposed framework is capable to rapidly adapt to the real-time data distribution, as well as to target on uncertainties caused by data drift, model discrepancy and environment perturbations in the control process, and finally to realize an optimal and robust dispatch solution. The proposed framework won the championship in CityLearn Challenge 2022, which provided an influential opportunity to investigate the potential of AI application in the energy domain. In addition, comprehensive experiments are conducted to interpret its effectiveness in the real-life scenario of smart building energy management.


Solving multiphysics-based inverse problems with learned surrogates and constraints

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Solving multiphysics-based inverse problems for geological carbon storage monitoring can be challenging when multimodal time-lapse data are expensive to collect and costly to simulate numerically. We overcome these challenges by combining computationally cheap learned surrogates with learned constraints. Not only does this combination lead to vastly improved inversions for the important fluid-flow property, permeability, it also provides a natural platform for inverting multimodal data including well measurements and active-source time-lapse seismic data. By adding a learned constraint, we arrive at a computationally feasible inversion approach that remains accurate. This is accomplished by including a trained deep neural network, known as a normalizing flow, which forces the model iterates to remain in-distribution, thereby safeguarding the accuracy of trained Fourier neural operators that act as surrogates for the computationally expensive multiphase flow simulations involving partial differential equation solves. By means of carefully selected experiments, centered around the problem of geological carbon storage, we demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed constrained optimization method on two different data modalities, namely time-lapse well and time-lapse seismic data. While permeability inversions from both these two modalities have their pluses and minuses, their joint inversion benefits from either, yielding valuable superior permeability inversions and CO2 plume predictions near, and far away, from the monitoring wells.


Optimal scheduling of entropy regulariser for continuous-time linear-quadratic reinforcement learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This work uses the entropy-regularised relaxed stochastic control perspective as a principled framework for designing reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms. Herein agent interacts with the environment by generating noisy controls distributed according to the optimal relaxed policy. The noisy policies on the one hand, explore the space and hence facilitate learning but, on the other hand, introduce bias by assigning a positive probability to non-optimal actions. This exploration-exploitation trade-off is determined by the strength of entropy regularisation. We study algorithms resulting from two entropy regularisation formulations: the exploratory control approach, where entropy is added to the cost objective, and the proximal policy update approach, where entropy penalises policy divergence between consecutive episodes. We focus on the finite horizon continuous-time linear-quadratic (LQ) RL problem, where a linear dynamics with unknown drift coefficients is controlled subject to quadratic costs. In this setting, both algorithms yield a Gaussian relaxed policy. We quantify the precise difference between the value functions of a Gaussian policy and its noisy evaluation and show that the execution noise must be independent across time. By tuning the frequency of sampling from relaxed policies and the parameter governing the strength of entropy regularisation, we prove that the regret, for both learning algorithms, is of the order $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{N}) $ (up to a logarithmic factor) over $N$ episodes, matching the best known result from the literature.


Efficiently Identifying Hotspots in a Spatially Varying Field with Multiple Robots

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we present algorithms to identify environmental hotspots using mobile sensors. We examine two approaches: one involving a single robot and another using multiple robots coordinated through a decentralized robot system. We introduce an adaptive algorithm that does not require precise knowledge of Gaussian Processes (GPs) hyperparameters, making the modeling process more flexible. The robots operate for a pre-defined time in the environment. The multi-robot system uses Voronoi partitioning to divide tasks and a Monte Carlo Tree Search for optimal path planning. Our tests on synthetic and a real-world dataset of Chlorophyll density from a Pacific Ocean sub-region suggest that accurate estimation of GP hyperparameters may not be essential for hotspot detection, potentially simplifying environmental monitoring tasks.


Convergent iLQR for Safe Trajectory Planning and Control of Legged Robots

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In order to perform highly dynamic and agile maneuvers, legged robots typically spend time in underactuated domains (e.g. with feet off the ground) where the system has limited command of its acceleration and a constrained amount of time before transitioning to a new domain (e.g. foot touchdown). Meanwhile, these transitions can instantaneously change the system's state, possibly causing perturbations to be mapped arbitrarily far away from the target trajectory. These properties make it difficult for local feedback controllers to effectively recover from disturbances as the system evolves through underactuated domains and hybrid impact events. To address this, we utilize the fundamental solution matrix that characterizes the evolution of perturbations through a hybrid trajectory and its 2-norm, which represents the worst-case growth of perturbations. In this paper, the worst-case perturbation analysis is used to explicitly reason about the tracking performance of a hybrid trajectory and is incorporated in an iLQR framework to optimize a trajectory while taking into account the closed-loop convergence of the trajectory under an LQR tracking controller. The generated convergent trajectories recover more effectively from perturbations, are more robust to large disturbances, and use less feedback control effort than trajectories generated with traditional methods.


A general Framework for Utilizing Metaheuristic Optimization for Sustainable Unrelated Parallel Machine Scheduling: A concise overview

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Sustainable development has emerged as a global priority, and industries are increasingly striving to align their operations with sustainable practices. Parallel machine scheduling (PMS) is a critical aspect of production planning that directly impacts resource utilization and operational efficiency. In this paper, we investigate the application of metaheuristic optimization algorithms to address the unrelated parallel machine scheduling problem (UPMSP) through the lens of sustainable development goals (SDGs). The primary objective of this study is to explore how metaheuristic optimization algorithms can contribute to achieving sustainable development goals in the context of UPMSP. We examine a range of metaheuristic algorithms, including genetic algorithms, particle swarm optimization, ant colony optimization, and more, and assess their effectiveness in optimizing the scheduling problem. The algorithms are evaluated based on their ability to improve resource utilization, minimize energy consumption, reduce environmental impact, and promote socially responsible production practices. To conduct a comprehensive analysis, we consider UPMSP instances that incorporate sustainability-related constraints and objectives.


Fast and Accurate Deep Loop Closing and Relocalization for Reliable LiDAR SLAM

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Loop closing and relocalization are crucial techniques to establish reliable and robust long-term SLAM by addressing pose estimation drift and degeneration. This article begins by formulating loop closing and relocalization within a unified framework. Then, we propose a novel multi-head network LCR-Net to tackle both tasks effectively. It exploits novel feature extraction and pose-aware attention mechanism to precisely estimate similarities and 6-DoF poses between pairs of LiDAR scans. In the end, we integrate our LCR-Net into a SLAM system and achieve robust and accurate online LiDAR SLAM in outdoor driving environments. We thoroughly evaluate our LCR-Net through three setups derived from loop closing and relocalization, including candidate retrieval, closed-loop point cloud registration, and continuous relocalization using multiple datasets. The results demonstrate that LCR-Net excels in all three tasks, surpassing the state-of-the-art methods and exhibiting a remarkable generalization ability. Notably, our LCR-Net outperforms baseline methods without using a time-consuming robust pose estimator, rendering it suitable for online SLAM applications. To our best knowledge, the integration of LCR-Net yields the first LiDAR SLAM with the capability of deep loop closing and relocalization. The implementation of our methods will be made open-source.


A Bayesian approach to breaking things: efficiently predicting and repairing failure modes via sampling

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

From power grids to transportation and logistics systems, autonomous systems play a central, and often safety-critical, role in modern life. Even as these systems grow more complex and ubiquitous, we have already observed failures in autonomous systems like autonomous vehicles and power networks resulting in the loss of human life [1]. Given this context, it is important that we be able to verify the safety of autonomous systems prior to deployment; for instance, by understanding the different ways in which a system might fail and proposing repair strategies. Human designers often use their knowledge of likely failure modes to guide the design process; indeed, systematically assessing the risks of different failures and developing repair strategies is an important part of the systems engineering process [2]. However, as autonomous systems grow more complex, it becomes increasingly difficult for human engineers to manually predict likely failures. In this paper, we propose an automated framework for predicting, and then repairing, failure modes in complex autonomous systems. Our effort builds on a large body of work on testing and verification of autonomous systems, many of which focus on identifying failure modes or adversarial examples [3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8], but we identify two major gaps in the state of the art. First, many existing methods [4, 5, 9, 7] use techniques like gradient descent to search locally for failure modes; however, in practice we are more interested in characterizing the distribution of potential failures, which requires a global perspective. Some methods exist that address this issue by taking a probabilistic approach to sample from an (unknown) distribution of failure modes [6, 10].


Optimally Controlling the Timing of Energy Transfer in Elastic Joints: Experimental Validation of the Bi-Stiffness Actuation Concept

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Elastic actuation taps into elastic elements' energy storage for dynamic motions beyond rigid actuation. While Series Elastic Actuators (SEA) and Variable Stiffness Actuators (VSA) are highly sophisticated, they do not fully provide control over energy transfer timing. To overcome this problem on the basic system level, the Bi-Stiffness Actuation (BSA) concept was recently proposed. Theoretically, it allows for full link decoupling, while simultaneously being able to lock the spring in the drive train via a switch-and-hold mechanism. Thus, the user would be in full control of the potential energy storage and release timing. In this work, we introduce an initial proof-of-concept of Bi-Stiffness-Actuation in the form of a 1-DoF physical prototype, which is implemented using a modular testbed. We present a hybrid system model, as well as the mechatronic implementation of the actuator. We corroborate the feasibility of the concept by conducting a series of hardware experiments using an open-loop control signal obtained by trajectory optimization. Here, we compare the performance of the prototype with a comparable SEA implementation. We show that BSA outperforms SEA 1) in terms of maximum velocity at low final times and 2) in terms of the movement strategy itself: The clutch mechanism allows the BSA to generate consistent launch sequences while the SEA has to rely on lengthy and possibly dangerous oscillatory swing-up motions. Furthermore, we demonstrate that providing full control authority over the energy transfer timing and link decoupling allows the user to synchronously release both elastic joint and gravitational energy. This facilitates the optimal exploitation of elastic and gravitational potentials in a synergistic manner.


ExpertQA: Expert-Curated Questions and Attributed Answers

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As language models are adapted by a more sophisticated and diverse set of users, the importance of guaranteeing that they provide factually correct information supported by verifiable sources is critical across fields of study & professions. This is especially the case for high-stakes fields, such as medicine and law, where the risk of propagating false information is high and can lead to undesirable societal consequences. Previous work studying factuality and attribution has not focused on analyzing these characteristics of language model outputs in domain-specific scenarios. In this work, we present an evaluation study analyzing various axes of factuality and attribution provided in responses from a few systems, by bringing domain experts in the loop. Specifically, we first collect expert-curated questions from 484 participants across 32 fields of study, and then ask the same experts to evaluate generated responses to their own questions. We also ask experts to revise answers produced by language models, which leads to ExpertQA, a high-quality long-form QA dataset with 2177 questions spanning 32 fields, along with verified answers and attributions for claims in the answers.