Energy
Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-ion Batteries using Spatio-temporal Multimodal Attention Networks
Suh, Sungho, Mittal, Dhruv Aditya, Bello, Hymalai, Zhou, Bo, Jha, Mayank Shekhar, Lukowicz, Paul
Lithium-ion batteries are widely used in various applications, including electric vehicles and renewable energy storage. The prediction of the remaining useful life (RUL) of batteries is crucial for ensuring reliable and efficient operation, as well as reducing maintenance costs. However, determining the life cycle of batteries in real-world scenarios is challenging, and existing methods have limitations in predicting the number of cycles iteratively. In addition, existing works often oversimplify the datasets, neglecting important features of the batteries such as temperature, internal resistance, and material type. To address these limitations, this paper proposes a two-stage remaining useful life prediction scheme for Lithium-ion batteries using a spatio-temporal multimodal attention network (ST-MAN). The proposed model is designed to iteratively predict the number of cycles required for the battery to reach the end of its useful life, based on available data. The proposed ST-MAN is to capture the complex spatio-temporal dependencies in the battery data, including the features that are often neglected in existing works. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed ST-MAN model outperforms existing CNN and LSTM-based methods, achieving state-of-the-art performance in predicting the remaining useful life of Li-ion batteries. The proposed method has the potential to improve the reliability and efficiency of battery operations and is applicable in various industries, including automotive and renewable energy.
Modeling Fission Gas Release at the Mesoscale using Multiscale DenseNet Regression with Attention Mechanism and Inception Blocks
Toma, Peter, Muntaha, Md Ali, Harley, Joel B., Tonks, Michael R.
Mesoscale simulations of fission gas release (FGR) in nuclear fuel provide a powerful tool for understanding how microstructure evolution impacts FGR, but they are computationally intensive. In this study, we present an alternate, data-driven approach, using deep learning to predict instantaneous FGR flux from 2D nuclear fuel microstructure images. Four convolutional neural network (CNN) architectures with multiscale regression are trained and evaluated on simulated FGR data generated using a hybrid phase field/cluster dynamics model. All four networks show high predictive power, with $R^{2}$ values above 98%. The best performing network combine a Convolutional Block Attention Module (CBAM) and InceptionNet mechanisms to provide superior accuracy (mean absolute percentage error of 4.4%), training stability, and robustness on very low instantaneous FGR flux values.
Physics-Driven ML-Based Modelling for Correcting Inverse Estimation
Kang, Ruiyuan, Mu, Tingting, Liatsis, Panos, Kyritsis, Dimitrios C.
When deploying machine learning estimators in science and engineering (SAE) domains, it is critical to avoid failed estimations that can have disastrous consequences, e.g., in aero engine design. This work focuses on detecting and correcting failed state estimations before adopting them in SAE inverse problems, by utilizing simulations and performance metrics guided by physical laws. We suggest to flag a machine learning estimation when its physical model error exceeds a feasible threshold, and propose a novel approach, GEESE, to correct it through optimization, aiming at delivering both low error and high efficiency. The key designs of GEESE include (1) a hybrid surrogate error model to provide fast error estimations to reduce simulation cost and to enable gradient based backpropagation of error feedback, and (2) two generative models to approximate the probability distributions of the candidate states for simulating the exploitation and exploration behaviours. All three models are constructed as neural networks. GEESE is tested on three real-world SAE inverse problems and compared to a number of state-of-the-art optimization/search approaches. Results show that it fails the least number of times in terms of finding a feasible state correction, and requires physical evaluations less frequently in general.
Energy cost and machine learning accuracy impact of k-anonymisation and synthetic data techniques
de Reus, Pepijn, Oprescu, Ana, van Elsen, Koen
To address increasing societal concerns regarding privacy and climate, the EU adopted the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and committed to the Green Deal. Considerable research studied the energy efficiency of software and the accuracy of machine learning models trained on anonymised data sets. Recent work began exploring the impact of privacy-enhancing techniques (PET) on both the energy consumption and accuracy of the machine learning models, focusing on k-anonymity. As synthetic data is becoming an increasingly popular PET, this paper analyses the energy consumption and accuracy of two phases: a) applying privacy-enhancing techniques to the concerned data set, b) training the models on the concerned privacy-enhanced data set. We use two privacy-enhancing techniques: k-anonymisation (using generalisation and suppression) and synthetic data, and three machine-learning models. Each model is trained on each privacy-enhanced data set. Our results show that models trained on k-anonymised data consume less energy than models trained on the original data, with a similar performance regarding accuracy. Models trained on synthetic data have a similar energy consumption and a similar to lower accuracy compared to models trained on the original data.
Making AI Less "Thirsty": Uncovering and Addressing the Secret Water Footprint of AI Models
Li, Pengfei, Yang, Jianyi, Islam, Mohammad A., Ren, Shaolei
The growing carbon footprint of artificial intelligence (AI) models, especially large ones such as GPT-3, has been undergoing public scrutiny. Unfortunately, however, the equally important and enormous water (withdrawal and consumption) footprint of AI models has remained under the radar. For example, training GPT-3 in Microsoft's state-of-the-art U.S. data centers can directly evaporate 700,000 liters of clean freshwater, but such information has been kept a secret. More critically, the global AI demand may be accountable for 4.2 -- 6.6 billion cubic meters of water withdrawal in 2027, which is more than the total annual water withdrawal of 4 -- 6 Denmark or half of the United Kingdom. This is very concerning, as freshwater scarcity has become one of the most pressing challenges shared by all of us in the wake of the rapidly growing population, depleting water resources, and aging water infrastructures. To respond to the global water challenges, AI models can, and also must, take social responsibility and lead by example by addressing their own water footprint. In this paper, we provide a principled methodology to estimate the water footprint of AI models, and also discuss the unique spatial-temporal diversities of AI models' runtime water efficiency. Finally, we highlight the necessity of holistically addressing water footprint along with carbon footprint to enable truly sustainable AI.
A Visual Active Search Framework for Geospatial Exploration
Sarkar, Anindya, Lanier, Michael, Alfeld, Scott, Feng, Jiarui, Garnett, Roman, Jacobs, Nathan, Vorobeychik, Yevgeniy
Many problems can be viewed as forms of geospatial search aided by aerial imagery, with examples ranging from detecting poaching activity to human trafficking. We model this class of problems in a visual active search (VAS) framework, which has three key inputs: (1) an image of the entire search area, which is subdivided into regions, (2) a local search function, which determines whether a previously unseen object class is present in a given region, and (3) a fixed search budget, which limits the number of times the local search function can be evaluated. The goal is to maximize the number of objects found within the search budget. We propose a reinforcement learning approach for VAS that learns a meta-search policy from a collection of fully annotated search tasks. This meta-search policy is then used to dynamically search for a novel target-object class, leveraging the outcome of any previous queries to determine where to query next. Through extensive experiments on several large-scale satellite imagery datasets, we show that the proposed approach significantly outperforms several strong baselines. We also propose novel domain adaptation techniques that improve the policy at decision time when there is a significant domain gap with the training data. Code is publicly available.
Datasets and Benchmarks for Nanophotonic Structure and Parametric Design Simulations
Kim, Jungtaek, Li, Mingxuan, Hinder, Oliver, Leu, Paul W.
Nanophotonic structures have versatile applications including solar cells, anti-reflective coatings, electromagnetic interference shielding, optical filters, and light emitting diodes. To design and understand these nanophotonic structures, electrodynamic simulations are essential. These simulations enable us to model electromagnetic fields over time and calculate optical properties. In this work, we introduce frameworks and benchmarks to evaluate nanophotonic structures in the context of parametric structure design problems. The benchmarks are instrumental in assessing the performance of optimization algorithms and identifying an optimal structure based on target optical properties. Moreover, we explore the impact of varying grid sizes in electrodynamic simulations, shedding light on how evaluation fidelity can be strategically leveraged in enhancing structure designs.
LagrangeBench: A Lagrangian Fluid Mechanics Benchmarking Suite
Toshev, Artur P., Galletti, Gianluca, Fritz, Fabian, Adami, Stefan, Adams, Nikolaus A.
Machine learning has been successfully applied to grid-based PDE modeling in various scientific applications. However, learned PDE solvers based on Lagrangian particle discretizations, which are the preferred approach to problems with free surfaces or complex physics, remain largely unexplored. We present LagrangeBench, the first benchmarking suite for Lagrangian particle problems, focusing on temporal coarse-graining. In particular, our contribution is: (a) seven new fluid mechanics datasets (four in 2D and three in 3D) generated with the Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics (SPH) method including the Taylor-Green vortex, lid-driven cavity, reverse Poiseuille flow, and dam break, each of which includes different physics like solid wall interactions or free surface, (b) efficient JAX-based API with various recent training strategies and three neighbor search routines, and (c) JAX implementation of established Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) like GNS and SEGNN with baseline results. Finally, to measure the performance of learned surrogates we go beyond established position errors and introduce physical metrics like kinetic energy MSE and Sinkhorn distance for the particle distribution. Our codebase is available at https://github.com/tumaer/lagrangebench .
Domain Generalisation via Risk Distribution Matching
Nguyen, Toan, Do, Kien, Duong, Bao, Nguyen, Thin
We propose a novel approach for domain generalisation (DG) leveraging risk distributions to characterise domains, thereby achieving domain invariance. In our findings, risk distributions effectively highlight differences between training domains and reveal their inherent complexities. In testing, we may observe similar, or potentially intensifying in magnitude, divergences between risk distributions. Hence, we propose a compelling proposition: Minimising the divergences between risk distributions across training domains leads to robust invariance for DG. The key rationale behind this concept is that a model, trained on domain-invariant or stable features, may consistently produce similar risk distributions across various domains. Building upon this idea, we propose Risk Distribution Matching (RDM). Using the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) distance, RDM aims to minimise the variance of risk distributions across training domains. However, when the number of domains increases, the direct optimisation of variance leads to linear growth in MMD computations, resulting in inefficiency. Instead, we propose an approximation that requires only one MMD computation, by aligning just two distributions: that of the worst-case domain and the aggregated distribution from all domains. Notably, this method empirically outperforms optimising distributional variance while being computationally more efficient. Unlike conventional DG matching algorithms, RDM stands out for its enhanced efficacy by concentrating on scalar risk distributions, sidestepping the pitfalls of high-dimensional challenges seen in feature or gradient matching. Our extensive experiments on standard benchmark datasets demonstrate that RDM shows superior generalisation capability over state-of-the-art DG methods.
A Stochastic Nonlinear Model Predictive Control with an Uncertainty Propagation Horizon for Autonomous Vehicle Motion Control
Zarrouki, Baha, Wang, Chenyang, Betz, Johannes
Employing Stochastic Nonlinear Model Predictive Control (SNMPC) for real-time applications is challenging due to the complex task of propagating uncertainties through nonlinear systems. This difficulty becomes more pronounced in high-dimensional systems with extended prediction horizons, such as autonomous vehicles. To enhance closed-loop performance in and feasibility in SNMPCs, we introduce the concept of the Uncertainty Propagation Horizon (UPH). The UPH limits the time for uncertainty propagation through system dynamics, preventing trajectory divergence, optimizing feedback loop advantages, and reducing computational overhead. Our SNMPC approach utilizes Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) to propagate uncertainties and incorporates nonlinear hard constraints on state expectations and nonlinear probabilistic constraints. We transform the probabilistic constraints into deterministic constraints by estimating the nonlinear constraints' expectation and variance. We then showcase our algorithm's effectiveness in real-time control of a high-dimensional, highly nonlinear system-the trajectory following of an autonomous passenger vehicle, modeled with a dynamic nonlinear single-track model. Experimental results demonstrate our approach's robust capability to follow an optimal racetrack trajectory at speeds of up to 37.5m/s while dealing with state estimation disturbances, achieving a minimum solving frequency of 97Hz. Additionally, our experiments illustrate that limiting the UPH renders previously infeasible SNMPC problems feasible, even when incorrect uncertainty assumptions or strong disturbances are present.