The lack of fine-grained, large-scale datasets on water availability presents a critical barrier to applying machine learning (ML) for agricultural water management. Since there are multiple natural and anthropogenic factors that influence water availability, incorporating diverse multimodal features can significantly improve modeling performance. However, integrating such heterogeneous data is challenging due to spatial misalignments, inconsistent formats, semantic label ambiguities, and class imbalances. To address these challenges, we introduce IRRISIGHT, a large-scale, multimodal dataset spanning 20 U.S. states. It consists of 1.4 million pixel-aligned 224 224 patches that fuse satellite imagery with rich environmental attributes. We develop a robust geospatial fusion pipeline that aligns raster, vector, and point-based data on a unified 10m grid, and employ domain-informed structured prompts to convert tabular attributes into natural language. With irrigation type classification as a representative problem, the dataset is AI-ready, offering a spatially disjoint train/test split and extensive benchmarking with both vision and vision-language models. Our results demonstrate that multimodal representations substantially improve model performance, establishing a foundation for future research on water availability.

A reliable estimate of the full conditional distribution of a multivariate response given a set of covariates is essential in many decision-making applications. However, misspecified or miscalibrated models can lead to poor approximations of the joint distribution, resulting in unreliable predictions and suboptimal decisions. Standard recalibration methods are largely restricted to univariate settings, and while conformal prediction techniques yield multivariate regions with coverage guarantees, they do not provide an explicit form of the underlying probability distribution. We address this gap by first introducing a novel notion of latent calibration, which assesses probabilistic calibration in the latent space of conditional invertible generative models such as normalizing flows and flow matching. Second, we propose latent recalibration (LR), a post-hoc model recalibration method that learns a transformation of the latent space with finite-sample bounds on latent calibration. Unlike existing recalibration methods, LR produces a recalibrated distribution with an explicit multivariate density function while remaining computationally efficient. Extensive experiments on both tabular and image datasets show that LR consistently improves latent calibration error and the negative log-likelihood of the recalibrated models.

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Recent advances in self-supervised learning for Vision Transformers (ViTs) have fueled breakthroughs in remote sensing (RS) foundation models. However, the quadratic complexity of self-attention poses a significant barrier to scalability, particularly for large models and high-resolution images. While the linear-complexity Mamba architecture offers a promising alternative, existing RS applications of Mamba remain limited to supervised tasks on small, domain-specific datasets. To address these challenges, we propose RoMA, a framework that enables scalable self-supervised pretraining of Mamba-based RS foundation models using largescale, diverse, unlabeled data. RoMA enhances scalability for high-resolution images through a tailored auto-regressive learning strategy, incorporating two key innovations: 1) a rotation-aware pretraining mechanism combining adaptive cropping with angular embeddings to handle sparsely distributed objects with arbitrary orientations, and 2) multi-scale token prediction objectives that address the extreme variations in object scales inherent to RS imagery. Systematic empirical studies validate that Mamba adheres to RS data and parameter scaling laws, with performance scaling reliably as model and data size increase. Furthermore, experiments across scene classification, changing detection, and semantic segmentation tasks demonstrate that RoMA-pretrained Mamba models consistently outperform ViTbased counterparts in both accuracy and computational efficiency. The source code and pretrained models were released at RoMA.

In coded aperture snapshot spectral imaging (CASSI), the captured measurement(a) entangles spatial and spectral information, posing a severely ill-posed inverse problem for hyperspectral images (HSIs) reconstruction. Moreover, the captured radiance inherently depends on scene illumination, making it difficult to recover the intrinsic spectral reflectance that remains invariant to lighting conditions. To address these challenges, we propose a chromaticity-intensity decomposition framework, which disentangles an HSI into a spatially smooth intensity map and a spectrally variant chromaticity cube.

Instruction-Tuning (IT) was recently found the impressive data efficiency in posttraining large language models (LLMs). While the pursuit of efficiency predominantly focuses on sequence-level curation, often overlooking the nuanced impact of critical tokens and the inherent risks of token noise and biases. Drawing inspiration from bi-level coreset selection, our work provides the principled view of the motivation behind selecting instructions' responses. It leads to our approach Quadratic Coreset Selection (QCS) that reconciles sequence-level and token-level influence contributions, deriving more expressive LLMs with established theoretical result. Despite the original QCS framework challenged by prohibitive computation from inverted LLM-scale Hessian matrices, we overcome this barrier by proposing a novel QCS probabilistic variant, which relaxes the original formulation through re-parameterized densities. This innovative solver is efficiently learned using hierarchical policy gradients without requiring back-propagation, achieving provable convergence and certified asymptotic equivalence to the original objective. Our experiments demonstrate QCS's superior sequence-level data efficiency and reveal how strategically leveraging token-level influence elevates the performance ceiling of data-efficient IT. Furthermore, QCS's adaptability is showcased through its successes in regular IT and challenging targeted IT scenarios, particularly in the cases of free-form complex instruction-following and CoT reasoning. They underscore QCS's potential for a wide array of versatile post-training applications.

Diffusion models are a powerful tool for probabilistic forecasting, yet most applications in high-dimensional complex systems predict future states individually. This approach struggles to model complex temporal dependencies and fails to explicitly account for the progressive growth of uncertainty inherent to the systems. While rolling diffusion frameworks, which apply increasing noise to forecasts at longer lead times, have been proposed to address this, their integration with state-of-the-art, high-fidelity diffusion techniques remains a significant challenge. We tackle this problem by introducing Elucidated Rolling Diffusion Models (ERDM), the first framework to successfully unify a rolling forecast structure with the principled, performant design of Elucidated Diffusion Models (EDM). To do this, we adapt the core EDM components-its noise schedule, network preconditioning, and Heun sampler-to the rolling forecast setting. The success of this integration is driven by three key contributions: piq a novel loss weighting scheme that focuses model capacity on the mid-range forecast horizons where determinism gives way to stochasticity; piiq an efficient initialization strategy using a pre-trained EDM for the initial window; and piiiq a bespoke hybrid sequence architecture for robust spatiotemporal feature extraction under progressive denoising. On 2DNavier-Stokes simulations and ERA5 global weather forecasting at 1.5 resolution, ERDM consistently outperforms key diffusion-based baselines, including conditional autoregressive EDM. ERDM offers a flexible and powerful general framework for tackling diffusion-based dynamics forecasting problems where modeling uncertainty propagation is paramount.1

Power flow (PF) calculations are the backbone of real-time grid operations, across workflows such as contingency analysis (where repeated PF evaluations assess grid security under outages) and topology optimization (which involves PF-based searches over combinatorially large action spaces). Running these calculations at operational timescales or across large evaluation spaces remains a major computational bottleneck. Additionally, growing uncertainty in power system operations from the integration of renewables and climate-induced extreme weather also calls for tools that can accurately and efficiently simulate a wide range of scenarios and operating conditions. Machine learning methods offer a potential speedup over traditional solvers, but their performance has not been systematically assessed on benchmarks that capture real-world variability. This paper introduces PF, a benchmark dataset for power flow that captures diverse variations in load, generation, and topology. PF contains 859,800 solved power flow instances spanning six different bus system sizes, capturing three types of contingency scenarios (N, N -1, and N -2), and including close-to-infeasible cases near steady-state voltage stability limits. We evaluate traditional solvers and GNN-based methods, highlighting key areas where existing approaches struggle, and identifying open problems for future research.

Natural disasters cause devastating damage to communities and infrastructure every year. Effective disaster response is hampered by the difficulty of accessing affected areas during and after events. Remote sensing has allowed us to monitor natural disasters in a remote way. More recently there have been advances in computer vision and deep learning that help automate satellite imagery analysis, However, they remain limited by their narrow focus on specific disaster types, reliance on manual expert interpretation, and lack of datasets with sufficient temporal granularity or natural language annotations for tracking disaster progression. We present MONITRS, a novel multimodal dataset of $\sim$10,000 FEMA disaster events with temporal satellite imagery with natural language annotations from news articles, accompanied by geotagged locations, and question-answer pairs. We demonstrate that fine-tuning existing MLLMs on our dataset yields significant performance improvements for disaster monitoring tasks, establishing a new benchmark for machine learning-assisted disaster response systems.

Generative diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in producing high-quality images. However, these models typically operate in continuous intensity spaces, diffusing independently across pixels and color channels. As a result, they are fundamentally ill-suited for applications involving inherently discrete quantities such as particle counts or material units, that are constrained by strict conservation laws like mass conservation, limiting their applicability in scientific workflows. To address this limitation, we propose Discrete Spatial Diffusion (DSD), a framework based on a continuous-time, discrete-state jump stochastic process that operates directly in discrete spatial domains while strictly preserving particle counts in both forward and reverse diffusion processes. By using spatial diffusion to achieve particle conservation, we introduce stochasticity naturally through a discrete formulation. We demonstrate the expressive flexibility of DSD by performing image synthesis, class conditioning, and image inpainting across standard image benchmarks, while exactly conditioning total image intensity. We validate DSD on two challenging scientific applications: porous rock microstructures and lithium-ion battery electrodes, demonstrating its ability to generate structurally realistic samples under strict mass conservation constraints, with quantitative evaluation using state-of-the-art metrics for transport and electrochemical performance.