Energy
Risk-Sensitive Stochastic Optimal Control as Rao-Blackwellized Markovian Score Climbing
Abdulsamad, Hany, Iqbal, Sahel, Corenflos, Adrien, Särkkä, Simo
Stochastic optimal control of dynamical systems is a crucial challenge in sequential decision-making. Recently, control-as-inference approaches have had considerable success, providing a viable risk-sensitive framework to address the exploration-exploitation dilemma. Nonetheless, a majority of these techniques only invoke the inference-control duality to derive a modified risk objective that is then addressed within a reinforcement learning framework. This paper introduces a novel perspective by framing risk-sensitive stochastic control as Markovian score climbing under samples drawn from a conditional particle filter. Our approach, while purely inference-centric, provides asymptotically unbiased estimates for gradient-based policy optimization with optimal importance weighting and no explicit value function learning. To validate our methodology, we apply it to the task of learning neural non-Gaussian feedback policies, showcasing its efficacy on numerical benchmarks of stochastic dynamical systems.
Machine learning and domain decomposition methods -- a survey
Klawonn, Axel, Lanser, Martin, Weber, Janine
Hybrid algorithms, which combine black-box machine learning methods with experience from traditional numerical methods and domain expertise from diverse application areas, are progressively gaining importance in scientific machine learning and various industrial domains, especially in computational science and engineering. In the present survey, several promising avenues of research will be examined which focus on the combination of machine learning (ML) and domain decomposition methods (DDMs). The aim of this survey is to provide an overview of existing work within this field and to structure it into domain decomposition for machine learning and machine learning-enhanced domain decomposition, including: domain decomposition for classical machine learning, domain decomposition to accelerate the training of physics-aware neural networks, machine learning to enhance the convergence properties or computational efficiency of DDMs, and machine learning as a discretization method in a DDM for the solution of PDEs. In each of these fields, we summarize existing work and key advances within a common framework and, finally, disuss ongoing challenges and opportunities for future research.
Sharp error estimates for target measure diffusion maps with applications to the committor problem
Sule, Shashank, Evans, Luke, Cameron, Maria
We obtain asymptotically sharp error estimates for the consistency error of the Target Measure Diffusion map (TMDmap) (Banisch et al. 2020), a variant of diffusion maps featuring importance sampling and hence allowing input data drawn from an arbitrary density. The derived error estimates include the bias error and the variance error. The resulting convergence rates are consistent with the approximation theory of graph Laplacians. The key novelty of our results lies in the explicit quantification of all the prefactors on leading-order terms. We also prove an error estimate for solutions of Dirichlet BVPs obtained using TMDmap, showing that the solution error is controlled by consistency error. We use these results to study an important application of TMDmap in the analysis of rare events in systems governed by overdamped Langevin dynamics using the framework of transition path theory (TPT). The cornerstone ingredient of TPT is the solution of the committor problem, a boundary value problem for the backward Kolmogorov PDE. Remarkably, we find that the TMDmap algorithm is particularly suited as a meshless solver to the committor problem due to the cancellation of several error terms in the prefactor formula. Furthermore, significant improvements in bias and variance errors occur when using a quasi-uniform sampling density. Our numerical experiments show that these improvements in accuracy are realizable in practice when using $\delta$-nets as spatially uniform inputs to the TMDmap algorithm.
Multi-Modal Optimization with k-Cluster Big Bang-Big Crunch Algorithm
Yenin, Kemal Erdem, Sayin, Reha Oguz, Arar, Kuzey, Atalay, Kadir Kaan, Stroppa, Fabio
Multi-modal optimization is often encountered in engineering problems, especially when different and alternative solutions are sought. Evolutionary algorithms can efficiently tackle multi-modal optimization thanks to their features such as the concept of population, exploration/exploitation, and being suitable for parallel computation. This paper introduces a multi-modal optimization version of the Big Bang-Big Crunch algorithm based on clustering, namely, k-BBBC. This algorithm guarantees a complete convergence of the entire population, retrieving on average the 99\% of local optima for a specific problem. Additionally, we introduce two post-processing methods to (i) identify the local optima in a set of retrieved solutions (i.e., a population), and (ii) quantify the number of correctly retrieved optima against the expected ones (i.e., success rate). Our results show that k-BBBC performs well even with problems having a large number of optima (tested on 379 optima) and high dimensionality (tested on 32 decision variables). When compared to other multi-modal optimization methods, it outperforms them in terms of accuracy (in both search and objective space) and success rate (number of correctly retrieved optima) -- especially when elitism is applied. Lastly, we validated our proposed post-processing methods by comparing their success rate to the actual one. Results suggest that these methods can be used to evaluate the performance of a multi-modal optimization algorithm by correctly identifying optima and providing an indication of success -- without the need to know where the optima are located in the search space.
LMDrive: Closed-Loop End-to-End Driving with Large Language Models
Shao, Hao, Hu, Yuxuan, Wang, Letian, Waslander, Steven L., Liu, Yu, Li, Hongsheng
Despite significant recent progress in the field of autonomous driving, modern methods still struggle and can incur serious accidents when encountering long-tail unforeseen events and challenging urban scenarios. On the one hand, large language models (LLM) have shown impressive reasoning capabilities that approach "Artificial General Intelligence". On the other hand, previous autonomous driving methods tend to rely on limited-format inputs (e.g. sensor data and navigation waypoints), restricting the vehicle's ability to understand language information and interact with humans. To this end, this paper introduces LMDrive, a novel language-guided, end-to-end, closed-loop autonomous driving framework. LMDrive uniquely processes and integrates multi-modal sensor data with natural language instructions, enabling interaction with humans and navigation software in realistic instructional settings. To facilitate further research in language-based closed-loop autonomous driving, we also publicly release the corresponding dataset which includes approximately 64K instruction-following data clips, and the LangAuto benchmark that tests the system's ability to handle complex instructions and challenging driving scenarios. Extensive closed-loop experiments are conducted to demonstrate LMDrive's effectiveness. To the best of our knowledge, we're the very first work to leverage LLMs for closed-loop end-to-end autonomous driving. Codes, models, and datasets can be found at https://github.com/opendilab/LMDrive
UDEEP: Edge-based Computer Vision for In-Situ Underwater Crayfish and Plastic Detection
Monari, Dennis, Larkin, Jack, Machado, Pedro, Bird, Jordan J., Ihianle, Isibor Kennedy, Yahaya, Salisu Wada, Tash, Farhad Fassihi, Hasan, Md Mahmudul, Lotfi, Ahmad
Invasive signal crayfish have a detrimental impact on ecosystems. They spread the fungal-type crayfish plague disease (Aphanomyces astaci) that is lethal to the native white clawed crayfish, the only native crayfish species in Britain. Invasive signal crayfish extensively burrow, causing habitat destruction, erosion of river banks and adverse changes in water quality, while also competing with native species for resources and leading to declines in native populations. Moreover, pollution exacerbates the vulnerability of White-clawed crayfish, with their populations declining by over 90% in certain English counties, making them highly susceptible to extinction. To safeguard aquatic ecosystems, it is imperative to address the challenges posed by invasive species and discarded plastics in the United Kingdom's river ecosystem's. The UDEEP platform can play a crucial role in environmental monitoring by performing on-the-fly classification of Signal crayfish and plastic debris while leveraging the efficacy of AI, IoT devices and the power of edge computing (i.e., NJN). By providing accurate data on the presence, spread and abundance of these species, the UDEEP platform can contribute to monitoring efforts and aid in mitigating the spread of invasive species.
Exploiting Novel GPT-4 APIs
Pelrine, Kellin, Taufeeque, Mohammad, Zając, Michał, McLean, Euan, Gleave, Adam
Language model attacks typically assume one of two extreme threat models: full white-box access to model weights, or black-box access limited to a text generation API. However, real-world APIs are often more flexible than just text generation: these APIs expose ``gray-box'' access leading to new threat vectors. To explore this, we red-team three new functionalities exposed in the GPT-4 APIs: fine-tuning, function calling and knowledge retrieval. We find that fine-tuning a model on as few as 15 harmful examples or 100 benign examples can remove core safeguards from GPT-4, enabling a range of harmful outputs. Furthermore, we find that GPT-4 Assistants readily divulge the function call schema and can be made to execute arbitrary function calls. Finally, we find that knowledge retrieval can be hijacked by injecting instructions into retrieval documents. These vulnerabilities highlight that any additions to the functionality exposed by an API can create new vulnerabilities.
Fine-grained Forecasting Models Via Gaussian Process Blurring Effect
Koohfar, Sepideh, Dietz, Laura
Time series forecasting is a challenging task due to the existence of complex and dynamic temporal dependencies. This can lead to incorrect predictions by even the best forecasting models. Using more training data is one way to improve the accuracy, but this source is often limited. In contrast, we are building on successful denoising approaches for image generation by advocating for an end-toend forecasting and denoising paradigm. We propose an end-to-end forecast-blur-denoise forecasting framework by encouraging a division of labors between the forecasting and the denoising models. The initial forecasting model is directed to focus on accurately predicting the coarsegrained behavior, while the denoiser model focuses on capturing the fine-grained behavior that is locally blurred by integrating a Gaussian Process model. All three parts are interacting for the best end-to-end performance. Our extensive experiments demonstrate that our proposed approach is able to improve the forecasting accuracy of several state-of-the-art forecasting models as well as several other denoising approaches. The code for reproducing our main result is open-sourced and available online. Time series forecasting is a vital foundational technology in many important domains such as in economics Capistrán et al. (2010), health care Lim (2018), demand forecasting Salinas et al. (2020) and autonomous driving Chang et al. (2019).
AI-Lorenz: A physics-data-driven framework for black-box and gray-box identification of chaotic systems with symbolic regression
De Florio, Mario, Kevrekidis, Ioannis G., Karniadakis, George Em
Discovering mathematical models that characterize the observed behavior of dynamical systems remains a major challenge, especially for systems in a chaotic regime. The challenge is even greater when the physics underlying such systems is not yet understood, and scientific inquiry must solely rely on empirical data. Driven by the need to fill this gap, we develop a framework that learns mathematical expressions modeling complex dynamical behaviors by identifying differential equations from noisy and sparse observable data. We train a small neural network to learn the dynamics of a system, its rate of change in time, and missing model terms, which are used as input for a symbolic regression algorithm to autonomously distill the explicit mathematical terms. This, in turn, enables us to predict the future evolution of the dynamical behavior. The performance of this framework is validated by recovering the right-hand sides and unknown terms of certain complex, chaotic systems such as the well-known Lorenz system, a six-dimensional hyperchaotic system, and the non-autonomous Sprott chaotic system, and comparing them with their known analytical expressions.
Forecasting Fold Bifurcations through Physics-Informed Convolutional Neural Networks
Habib, Giuseppe, Horváth, Ádám
This study proposes a physics-informed convolutional neural network (CNN) for identifying dynamical systems' time series near a fold bifurcation. The peculiarity of this work is that the CNN is trained with a relatively small amount of data and on a single, very simple system. In contrast, the CNN is validated on much more complicated systems. A similar task requires significant extrapolation capabilities, which are obtained by exploiting physics-based information. Physics-based information is provided through a specific pre-processing of the input data, consisting mostly of a transformation into polar coordinates, normalization, transformation into the logarithmic scale, and filtering through a moving mean. The results illustrate that such data pre-processing enables the CNN to grasp the important features related to approaching a fold bifurcation, namely, the trend of the oscillation amplitude, and neglect other characteristics that are not particularly relevant, such as the vibration frequency. The developed CNN was able to correctly classify trajectories near a fold for a mass-on-moving-belt system, a van der Pol-Duffing oscillator with an attached tuned mass damper, and a pitch-and-plunge wing profile. The results obtained pave the way for the development of similar CNNs effective in real-life applications.