Energy
Multimodal Gen-AI for Fundamental Investment Research
Li, Lezhi, Chang, Ting-Yu, Wang, Hai
This report outlines a transformative initiative in the financial investment industry, where the conventional decision-making process, laden with labor-intensive tasks such as sifting through voluminous documents, is being reimagined. Leveraging language models, our experiments aim to automate information summarization and investment idea generation. We seek to evaluate the effectiveness of fine-tuning methods on a base model (Llama2) to achieve specific application-level goals, including providing insights into the impact of events on companies and sectors, understanding market condition relationships, generating investor-aligned investment ideas, and formatting results with stock recommendations and detailed explanations. Through state-of-the-art generative modeling techniques, the ultimate objective is to develop an AI agent prototype, liberating human investors from repetitive tasks and allowing a focus on high-level strategic thinking. The project encompasses a diverse corpus dataset, including research reports, investment memos, market news, and extensive time-series market data. We conducted three experiments applying unsupervised and supervised LoRA fine-tuning on the llama2_7b_hf_chat as the base model, as well as instruction fine-tuning on the GPT3.5 model. Statistical and human evaluations both show that the fine-tuned versions perform better in solving text modeling, summarization, reasoning, and finance domain questions, demonstrating a pivotal step towards enhancing decision-making processes in the financial domain. Code implementation for the project can be found on GitHub: https://github.com/Firenze11/finance_lm.
Distributional Reinforcement Learning-based Energy Arbitrage Strategies in Imbalance Settlement Mechanism
Madahi, Seyed Soroush Karimi, Claessens, Bert, Develder, Chris
Growth in the penetration of renewable energy sources makes supply more uncertain and leads to an increase in the system imbalance. This trend, together with the single imbalance pricing, opens an opportunity for balance responsible parties (BRPs) to perform energy arbitrage in the imbalance settlement mechanism. To this end, we propose a battery control framework based on distributional reinforcement learning (DRL). Our proposed control framework takes a risk-sensitive perspective, allowing BRPs to adjust their risk preferences: we aim to optimize a weighted sum of the arbitrage profit and a risk measure while constraining the daily number of cycles for the battery. We assess the performance of our proposed control framework using the Belgian imbalance prices of 2022 and compare two state-of-the-art RL methods, deep Q learning and soft actor-critic. Results reveal that the distributional soft actor-critic method can outperform other methods. Moreover, we note that our fully risk-averse agent appropriately learns to hedge against the risk related to the unknown imbalance price by (dis)charging the battery only when the agent is more certain about the price.
On the Promises and Challenges of Multimodal Foundation Models for Geographical, Environmental, Agricultural, and Urban Planning Applications
Tan, Chenjiao, Cao, Qian, Li, Yiwei, Zhang, Jielu, Yang, Xiao, Zhao, Huaqin, Wu, Zihao, Liu, Zhengliang, Yang, Hao, Wu, Nemin, Tang, Tao, Ye, Xinyue, Chai, Lilong, Liu, Ninghao, Li, Changying, Mu, Lan, Liu, Tianming, Mai, Gengchen
The advent of large language models (LLMs) has heightened interest in their potential for multimodal applications that integrate language and vision. This paper explores the capabilities of GPT-4V in the realms of geography, environmental science, agriculture, and urban planning by evaluating its performance across a variety of tasks. Data sources comprise satellite imagery, aerial photos, ground-level images, field images, and public datasets. The model is evaluated on a series of tasks including geo-localization, textual data extraction from maps, remote sensing image classification, visual question answering, crop type identification, disease/pest/weed recognition, chicken behavior analysis, agricultural object counting, urban planning knowledge question answering, and plan generation. The results indicate the potential of GPT-4V in geo-localization, land cover classification, visual question answering, and basic image understanding. However, there are limitations in several tasks requiring fine-grained recognition and precise counting. While zero-shot learning shows promise, performance varies across problem domains and image complexities. The work provides novel insights into GPT-4V's capabilities and limitations for real-world geospatial, environmental, agricultural, and urban planning challenges. Further research should focus on augmenting the model's knowledge and reasoning for specialized domains through expanded training. Overall, the analysis demonstrates foundational multimodal intelligence, highlighting the potential of multimodal foundation models (FMs) to advance interdisciplinary applications at the nexus of computer vision and language.
Meta-Learning-Based Adaptive Stability Certificates for Dynamical Systems
Jena, Amit, Kalathil, Dileep, Xie, Le
The trained NLF can then be used for the stability Stability assessment of non-linear systems and ensuring their estimation of the real-world system. However, this approach safe and reliable operation are of paramount importance in will fail if the real-world system dynamics is different from any real-world engineering system. While learning-based the model used for training the NLF. At the same time, the control schemes have received a lot of attention recently, real-world system model can be different from the model estimated the lack of stability guarantees is a fundamental issue that from the collected data due to various reasons, such as prevents their wide-scale deployment in the real world. One estimation error and changes in the system parameters over standard approach to estimate the stability region of a general time. Repeating the training procedure every time whenever nonlinear system is to first find a Lyapunov function for the there is such a parametric mismatch turns impractical due system and characterize its region of attraction (ROA) as the to the unavailability of necessary data samples and the need stability region (Khalil 2015). A closed-loop system is stable to get a quick stability assessment. Thus, learning a neural in the sense of Lyapunov if the system trajectory converges Lyapunov function for a real-world system using only a small to the origin as long as the initial condition is inside the number of data samples and through a few gradient updates, ROA. The sum-of-squares approach is one popular method remains an open problem.
Hardware-Aware DNN Compression via Diverse Pruning and Mixed-Precision Quantization
Balaskas, Konstantinos, Karatzas, Andreas, Sad, Christos, Siozios, Kostas, Anagnostopoulos, Iraklis, Zervakis, Georgios, Henkel, Jรถrg
Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have shown significant advantages in a wide variety of domains. However, DNNs are becoming computationally intensive and energy hungry at an exponential pace, while at the same time, there is a vast demand for running sophisticated DNN-based services on resource constrained embedded devices. In this paper, we target energy-efficient inference on embedded DNN accelerators. To that end, we propose an automated framework to compress DNNs in a hardware-aware manner by jointly employing pruning and quantization. We explore, for the first time, per-layer fine- and coarse-grained pruning, in the same DNN architecture, in addition to low bit-width mixed-precision quantization for weights and activations. Reinforcement Learning (RL) is used to explore the associated design space and identify the pruning-quantization configuration so that the energy consumption is minimized whilst the prediction accuracy loss is retained at acceptable levels. Using our novel composite RL agent we are able to extract energy-efficient solutions without requiring retraining and/or fine tuning. Our extensive experimental evaluation over widely used DNNs and the CIFAR-10/100 and ImageNet datasets demonstrates that our framework achieves $39\%$ average energy reduction for $1.7\%$ average accuracy loss and outperforms significantly the state-of-the-art approaches.
E2E-AT: A Unified Framework for Tackling Uncertainty in Task-aware End-to-end Learning
Xu, Wangkun, Wang, Jianhong, Teng, Fei
Successful machine learning involves a complete pipeline of data, model, and downstream applications. Instead of treating them separately, there has been a prominent increase of attention within the constrained optimization (CO) and machine learning (ML) communities towards combining prediction and optimization models. The so-called end-to-end (E2E) learning captures the task-based objective for which they will be used for decision making. Although a large variety of E2E algorithms have been presented, it has not been fully investigated how to systematically address uncertainties involved in such models. Most of the existing work considers the uncertainties of ML in the input space and improves robustness through adversarial training. We extend this idea to E2E learning and prove that there is a robustness certification procedure by solving augmented integer programming. Furthermore, we show that neglecting the uncertainty of COs during training causes a new trigger for generalization errors. To include all these components, we propose a unified framework that covers the uncertainties emerging in both the input feature space of the ML models and the COs. The framework is described as a robust optimization problem and is practically solved via end-to-end adversarial training (E2E-AT). Finally, the performance of E2E-AT is evaluated by a real-world end-to-end power system operation problem, including load forecasting and sequential scheduling tasks.
Distributed Control of Partial Differential Equations Using Convolutional Reinforcement Learning
Peitz, Sebastian, Stenner, Jan, Chidananda, Vikas, Wallscheid, Oliver, Brunton, Steven L., Taira, Kunihiko
We present a convolutional framework which significantly reduces the complexity and thus, the computational effort for distributed reinforcement learning control of dynamical systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). Exploiting translational invariances, the high-dimensional distributed control problem can be transformed into a multi-agent control problem with many identical, uncoupled agents. Furthermore, using the fact that information is transported with finite velocity in many cases, the dimension of the agents' environment can be drastically reduced using a convolution operation over the state space of the PDE. In this setting, the complexity can be flexibly adjusted via the kernel width or by using a stride greater than one. Moreover, scaling from smaller to larger systems -- or the transfer between different domains -- becomes a straightforward task requiring little effort. We demonstrate the performance of the proposed framework using several PDE examples with increasing complexity, where stabilization is achieved by training a low-dimensional deep deterministic policy gradient agent using minimal computing resources.
Cooperative Federated Learning over Ground-to-Satellite Integrated Networks: Joint Local Computation and Data Offloading
Han, Dong-Jun, Hosseinalipour, Seyyedali, Love, David J., Chiang, Mung, Brinton, Christopher G.
While network coverage maps continue to expand, many devices located in remote areas remain unconnected to terrestrial communication infrastructures, preventing them from getting access to the associated data-driven services. In this paper, we propose a ground-to-satellite cooperative federated learning (FL) methodology to facilitate machine learning service management over remote regions. Our methodology orchestrates satellite constellations to provide the following key functions during FL: (i) processing data offloaded from ground devices, (ii) aggregating models within device clusters, and (iii) relaying models/data to other satellites via inter-satellite links (ISLs). Due to the limited coverage time of each satellite over a particular remote area, we facilitate satellite transmission of trained models and acquired data to neighboring satellites via ISL, so that the incoming satellite can continue conducting FL for the region. We theoretically analyze the convergence behavior of our algorithm, and develop a training latency minimizer which optimizes over satellite-specific network resources, including the amount of data to be offloaded from ground devices to satellites and satellites' computation speeds. Through experiments on three datasets, we show that our methodology can significantly speed up the convergence of FL compared with terrestrial-only and other satellite baseline approaches.
Identifying regions of importance in wall-bounded turbulence through explainable deep learning
Cremades, Andres, Hoyas, Sergio, Deshpande, Rahul, Quintero, Pedro, Lellep, Martin, Lee, Will Junghoon, Monty, Jason, Hutchins, Nicholas, Linkmann, Moritz, Marusic, Ivan, Vinuesa, Ricardo
Despite its great scientific and technological importance, wall-bounded turbulence is an unresolved problem in classical physics that requires new perspectives to be tackled. One of the key strategies has been to study interactions among the energy-containing coherent structures in the flow. Such interactions are explored in this study for the first time using an explainable deep-learning method. The instantaneous velocity field obtained from a turbulent channel flow simulation is used to predict the velocity field in time through a U-net architecture. Based on the predicted flow, we assess the importance of each structure for this prediction using the game-theoretic algorithm of SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). This work provides results in agreement with previous observations in the literature and extends them by revealing that the most important structures in the flow are not necessarily the ones with the highest contribution to the Reynolds shear stress. We also apply the method to an experimental database, where we can identify completely new structures based on their importance score. This framework has the potential to shed light on numerous fundamental phenomena of wall-bounded turbulence, including novel strategies for flow control.