Goto

Collaborating Authors

 Energy


Estimating Physical Information Consistency of Channel Data Augmentation for Remote Sensing Images

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The application of data augmentation for deep learning (DL) methods plays an important role in achieving state-of-the-art results in supervised, semi-supervised, and self-supervised image classification. In particular, channel transformations (e.g., solarize, grayscale, brightness adjustments) are integrated into data augmentation pipelines for remote sensing (RS) image classification tasks. However, contradicting beliefs exist about their proper applications to RS images. A common point of critique is that the application of channel augmentation techniques may lead to physically inconsistent spectral data (i.e., pixel signatures). To shed light on the open debate, we propose an approach to estimate whether a channel augmentation technique affects the physical information of RS images. To this end, the proposed approach estimates a score that measures the alignment of a pixel signature within a time series that can be naturally subject to deviations caused by factors such as acquisition conditions or phenological states of vegetation. We compare the scores associated with original and augmented pixel signatures to evaluate the physical consistency. Experimental results on a multi-label image classification task show that channel augmentations yielding a score that exceeds the expected deviation of original pixel signatures can not improve the performance of a baseline model trained without augmentation.


Uncertainty Quantification for Neurosymbolic Programs via Compositional Conformal Prediction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Machine learning has become an effective tool for automatically annotating unstructured data (e.g., images) with structured labels (e.g., object detections). As a result, a new programming paradigm called neurosymbolic programming has emerged where users write queries against these predicted annotations. However, due to the intrinsic fallibility of machine learning models, these programs currently lack any notion of correctness. In many domains, users may want some kind of conservative guarantee that the results of their queries contain all possibly relevant instances. Conformal prediction has emerged as a promising strategy for quantifying uncertainty in machine learning by modifying models to predict sets of labels instead of individual labels; it provides a probabilistic guarantee that the prediction set contains the true label with high probability. We propose a novel framework for adapting conformal prediction to neurosymbolic programs; our strategy is to represent prediction sets as abstract values in some abstract domain, and then to use abstract interpretation to propagate prediction sets through the program. Our strategy satisfies three key desiderata: (i) correctness (i.e., the program outputs a prediction set that contains the true output with high probability), (ii) compositionality (i.e., we can quantify uncertainty separately for different modules and then compose them together), and (iii) structured values (i.e., we can provide uncertainty quantification for structured values such as lists). When the full program is available ahead-of-time, we propose an optimization that incorporates conformal prediction at intermediate program points to reduce imprecision in abstract interpretation. We evaluate our approach on programs that take MNIST and MS-COCO images as input, demonstrating that it produces reasonably sized prediction sets while satisfying a coverage guarantee.


ROSE: Register Assisted General Time Series Forecasting with Decomposed Frequency Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

With the increasing collection of time series data from various domains, there arises a strong demand for general time series forecasting models pre-trained on a large number of time-series datasets to support a variety of downstream prediction tasks. Enabling general time series forecasting faces two challenges: how to obtain unified representations from multi-domian time series data, and how to capture domain-specific features from time series data across various domains for adaptive transfer in downstream tasks. To address these challenges, we propose a Register Assisted General Time Series Forecasting Model with Decomposed Frequency Learning (ROSE), a novel pre-trained model for time series forecasting. ROSE employs Decomposed Frequency Learning for the pre-training task, which decomposes coupled semantic and periodic information in time series with frequency-based masking and reconstruction to obtain unified representations across domains. We also equip ROSE with a Time Series Register, which learns to generate a register codebook to capture domain-specific representations during pre-training and enhances domain-adaptive transfer by selecting related register tokens on downstream tasks. After pre-training on large-scale time series data, ROSE achieves state-of-the-art forecasting performance on 8 real-world benchmarks. Remarkably, even in few-shot scenarios, it demonstrates competitive or superior performance compared to existing methods trained with full data.


Constraining the Higgs Potential with Neural Simulation-based Inference for Di-Higgs Production

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Determining the form of the Higgs potential is one of the most exciting challenges of modern particle physics. Higgs pair production directly probes the Higgs self-coupling and should be observed in the near future at the High-Luminosity LHC. We explore how to improve the sensitivity to physics beyond the Standard Model through per-event kinematics for di-Higgs events. In particular, we employ machine learning through simulation-based inference to estimate per-event likelihood ratios and gauge potential sensitivity gains from including this kinematic information. In terms of the Standard Model Effective Field Theory, we find that adding a limited number of observables can help to remove degeneracies in Wilson coefficient likelihoods and significantly improve the experimental sensitivity.


Unravelling the mystery of the 'world's ugliest animal': Scientists reveal why male proboscis monkeys have large, phallic noses - and say they're crucial for mating success

Daily Mail - Science & tech

It's safe to say that proboscis monkeys are some of the strangest looking creatures in the animal kingdom. While female monkeys have pointy noses, the males have large, rather phallic noses – earning them the title of the'world's ugliest animals'. Now, a study has finally got to the bottom of this unusual facial feature. Scientists from the Australian National University say that their large noses are more than just an eye sore. Instead, they offer several major benefits – especially when it comes to attracting a female partner.


Reports of the Workshops Held at the 2024 AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence

Interactive AI Magazine

Moreover, the program committee comprised researchers from 12 countries across five continents. The workshop featured six keynote speakers, oral sessions, poster sessions, a panel discussion, and a networking lunch. Of the 20 submitted papers, six were selected for oral and poster presentation, and an additional nine were selected for poster presentation only. The acceptance rate was, therefore, 75%. All accepted papers are published in the open-access workshop's proceedings at https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-3649/.


AI is an energy hog. This is what it means for climate change.

MIT Technology Review

As AI has become more integrated into our world, I've gotten a lot of questions about the technology's rising electricity demand. You may have seen the headlines proclaiming that AI uses as much electricity as small countries, that it'll usher in a fossil-fuel resurgence, and that it's already challenging the grid. So how worried should we be about AI's electricity demands? Using AI for certain tasks can come with a significant energy price tag. With some powerful AI models, generating an image can require as much energy as charging up your phone, as my colleague Melissa Heikkilä explained in a story from December.


ReachBot Field Tests in a Mojave Desert Lava Tube as a Martian Analog

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

ReachBot is a robot concept for the planetary exploration of caves and lava tubes, which are often inaccessible with traditional robot locomotion methods. It uses extendable booms as appendages, with grippers mounted at the end, to grasp irregular rock surfaces and traverse these difficult terrains. We have built a partial ReachBot prototype consisting of a single boom and gripper, mounted on a tripod. We present the details on the design and field test of this partial ReachBot prototype in a lava tube in the Mojave Desert. The technical requirements of the field testing, implementation details, and grasp performance results are discussed. The planning and preparation of the field test and lessons learned are also given.


Defining error accumulation in ML atmospheric simulators

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Machine learning (ML) has recently shown significant promise in modelling atmospheric systems, such as the weather. Many of these ML models are autoregressive, and error accumulation in their forecasts is a key problem. However, there is no clear definition of what `error accumulation' actually entails. In this paper, we propose a definition and an associated metric to measure it. Our definition distinguishes between errors which are due to model deficiencies, which we may hope to fix, and those due to the intrinsic properties of atmospheric systems (chaos, unobserved variables), which are not fixable. We illustrate the usefulness of this definition by proposing a simple regularization loss penalty inspired by it. This approach shows performance improvements (according to RMSE and spread/skill) in a selection of atmospheric systems, including the real-world weather prediction task.


TimeMixer: Decomposable Multiscale Mixing for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Time series forecasting is widely used in extensive applications, such as traffic planning and weather forecasting. However, real-world time series usually present intricate temporal variations, making forecasting extremely challenging. Going beyond the mainstream paradigms of plain decomposition and multiperiodicity analysis, we analyze temporal variations in a novel view of multiscale-mixing, which is based on an intuitive but important observation that time series present distinct patterns in different sampling scales. The microscopic and the macroscopic information are reflected in fine and coarse scales respectively, and thereby complex variations can be inherently disentangled. Based on this observation, we propose TimeMixer as a fully MLP-based architecture with Past-Decomposable-Mixing (PDM) and Future-Multipredictor-Mixing (FMM) blocks to take full advantage of disentangled multiscale series in both past extraction and future prediction phases. Concretely, PDM applies the decomposition to multiscale series and further mixes the decomposed seasonal and trend components in fine-to-coarse and coarse-to-fine directions separately, which successively aggregates the microscopic seasonal and macroscopic trend information. FMM further ensembles multiple predictors to utilize complementary forecasting capabilities in multiscale observations. Consequently, TimeMixer is able to achieve consistent state-of-the-art performances in both long-term and short-term forecasting tasks with favorable run-time efficiency.