Reinforcement learning with multinomial logistic (MNL) function approximation has become an important framework due to its flexibility and broad applicability. While existing studies have established regret guarantees under worst-case analysis, they do not capture how performance depends on the variability of the interaction between the learner and the environment. In this paper, we develop a new theoretical analysis for MNL-based Markov decision processes that yields explicit variance-adaptive regret bounds. Our algorithm is computationally efficient and achieves the instance-wise optimal rate of regret, narrowing the gap between upper and lower bounds. Our numerical experiments validate that our method learns optimal policies more efficiently than conventional approaches.

We introduce a continuous-time generative modeling framework, motivated by the Chow-Rashevskii theorem, that builds expressive flows from a small set of fixed vector fields and learned scalar controls. Instead of learning an unconstrained high-dimensional vector field, our framework constructs the velocity by modulating fixed vector fields with learned scalar control functions. When the fixed fields are bracket-generating, their Lie algebra spans the ambient space, providing a mechanism for expressive transport with only a small number of learned control channels and offering a parameter-efficient geometric alternative to standard vector-field parameterizations. This decoupled formulation yields a structured and interpretable generative model in which the number of learned scalar output channels can be chosen independently of the ambient dimension. We formulate an expressivity principle showing that, under suitable controllability and well-posedness assumptions, such controlled flows can transport a source distribution to a target distribution. We train the resulting model using a continuous-normalizing-flow likelihood objective and present proof-of-concept experiments on synthetic distributions.

The use of residential photovoltaics has increased dramatically in recent years. With battery systems becoming more affordable, the optimal operation of a photovoltaic-battery system can bring significant savings to households. Optimal control requires correct forecasts of underlying parameters, such as photovoltaic power generation, to schedule the battery. While forecasting models have become increasingly accurate due to algorithmic advances and data availability, accuracy is typically measured in generic metrics which might not align with the downstream application. This study proposes a decision-focused learning framework that integrates optimization and prediction by training a Long Short-Term Memory photovoltaic energy forecaster on the downstream optimal scheduling of a battery system. The proposed methodology is compared against a standard two-phase approach. Across a 14-month evaluation period, the decision-focused method reduced average electricity costs across twenty buildings by 3.6% when normalized against performance bounds defined by a perfect forecast and a baseline of no optimization. Critically, this financial improvement was achieved despite the model exhibiting a root mean squared error of 19.9%, significantly higher than the decoupled model's 8.2%. Warm-starting the decision-focused model further improves results, lowering average cost by approximately 8%, while also mitigating the negative impact on statistical accuracy (root mean squared error of 13.7%). The findings are statistically significant at the 0.001 level across the twenty households and for each household individually. These results demonstrate that aligning forecast models with optimization goals is key for achieving cost advantages in PV-battery systems. Future research should replicate these findings on other datasets, alternate forecasting models and alternate optimization algorithms.

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative approaches for missing-data imputation, yet most existing methods operate directly in data space and degrade when training data are heavily incomplete. We investigate whether shifting diffusion to a learned latent representation improves robustness under missing-completely-at-random (MCAR) corruption. To this end, we propose a two-stage framework: a robust VAE-based imputer first learns compact semantic features from incomplete observations, and a diffusion model is then trained in the resulting latent space. Across training missing rates, we perform a controlled comparison against pixel-space diffusion models under the same incomplete-data setting. The latent diffusion model maintains high sample quality and remains stable up to 50\% missingness, while pixel-space diffusion degrades progressively as missingness increases. For downstream imputation, latent diffusion also achieves consistently better performance than pixel-space diffusion. These findings indicate that latent-space modeling mitigates artifact amplification from zero-imputed inputs and provides a more robust generative prior for incomplete-data learning. Overall, our results support latent diffusion as a strong and practically useful alternative to pixel-space diffusion for missing-data problems.

We study inference in stochastic block models (SBMs) through the lens of optimal transport (OT). We first establish that maximum likelihood variational inference (MLVI) can be interpreted as a semi-relaxed Gromov-Wasserstein (srGW) projection with entropic regularization. While this formulation yields accurate clustering, the entropic regularization prevents transport plans to be sparse, hindering intrinsic model selection. Consequently, we investigate unregularized srGW estimators, and prove that they consistently recover both the SBM connectivity matrix and latent cluster assignments in the asymptotic regime. However, this asymptotic property does not translate into reliable model selection in finite samples, and calls for additional mechanisms to promote sparsity in the inferred cluster proportions. We empirically show that such a regularized formulation yields estimators that simultaneously recover model parameters and select the number of clusters in a single optimization problem, thereby avoiding costly grid search or heuristic model selection procedures.

Simulation-based inference (SBI; Cranmer et al., 2020) is a powerful framework for inferring parameters of scientific models whose likelihood functions are unavailable or computationally prohibitive to evaluate, but for which simulating data is straightforward. The use of flexible neural conditional density estimators has substantially expanded the applicability of SBI to challenging problems, especially in fields such as particle physics (Brehmer, 2021), cognitive neuroscience (Fengler et al., 2021), economics (Dyer et al., 2024) and cosmology (Alsing et al., 2018; Jeffrey et al., 2021). Neural SBI methods rely on simulations from the scientific model to approximate intractable quantities such as the posterior, the likelihood, the likelihood-to-evidence ratio, or the score function; see Zammit-Mangion et al. (2024) for a recent review. In this work, we focus on the widely used neural posterior estimation (NPE) method (Papamakarios and Murray, 2016; Radev et al., 2022). A central practical limitation of NPE is the simulation budget required to train the conditional density estimator. As many scientific simulators are expensive to run, generating a sufficiently large training set is often the main computational bottleneck.

This paper studies the stability of low-rank implicit regularization in perturbed deep matrix factorization, where the target matrix is corrupted by a noise matrix. We first derive sufficient spectral conditions under which gradient descent exhibits a low-rank phase in the noiseless setting. These conditions show how the target spectrum, initialization, and step size jointly determine the existence of a nonempty low-rank interval. We then analyze the perturbed gradient descent dynamics, proving convergence guarantees and quantifying how the perturbation affects iteration complexity and eigenvalue recovery. Finally, we show that the low-rank phase persists under perturbation, with explicit dependence on the perturbation size. Numerical experiments support the theoretical findings.

We consider $L^2$-regularized linear (ridge) regression over a finite data sample $X$ with bounded covariance and linear prediction targets $y$ with additive isotropic noise of finite variance. We present an iterative procedure to compute the optimal regularization strength numerically from the generative parameters in the fixed-$X$ setting and prove its convergence at limited noise levels. Our experimental evaluation over synthetic data shows that the proposed procedure combined with sample-based parameter estimates attains near-optimal random-$X$ generalization across a wide range of sample sizes, aspect ratios, and noise levels, at an added computational cost equivalent to one preliminary ridge regression in the underparameterized regime and two in the overparameterized case.

Robustness of neural networks is commonly quantified via local or global Lipschitz constants. However, Lipschitz continuity can be overly coarse or overly restrictive as global robustness measure, failing to capture nuanced, data-dependent behavior. We propose a data-driven, architecture-agnostic framework based on the discrete modulus of continuity (DMOC), a non linear generalization of Lipschitz continuity that provides a finer notion of robustness. Unlike many existing approaches, DMOC does not require access to model internals and instead evaluates regularity relative to the data distribution. This shifts the focus from the model to the data, which provide a data-driven baseline of regularity against which the network's robustness is assessed. We establish convergence results for DMOC-induced seminorms with explicit data-driven rates in terms of the separation distance, and introduce a scalable minibatch algorithm that reduces the quadratic cost of exact computation, enabling application to large-scale data sets such as ImageNet. Empirically, DMOC serves as an architecture independent diagnostic: it distinguishes trained from untrained networks, reveals underfitting and overfitting regimes, and yields, as a special case, tight Lipschitz estimates comparable to state-of-the-art method such as ECLipsE and ECLipsE-fast.

Integrating probability and nonprobability survey samples is an important problem in modern survey sampling. Nonprobability samples often contain rich outcome information but may lack population representativeness, whereas probability samples provide design-based auxiliary information but may not contain the study variable. We propose a deep neural network (DNN)-assisted doubly robust framework for estimating the finite population mean from these two data sources. The proposed method models the logit sampling score for the nonprobability sample as an unknown nonparametric function and estimates it by maximizing a pseudo-likelihood that combines information from the nonprobability sample and a reference probability sample. The DNN parameters are optimized using the ADAM algorithm. The resulting DNN-estimated sampling scores are incorporated into a DNN-assisted inverse-probability weighted estimator and a deep doubly robust estimator. We establish consistency and convergence rates under regularity conditions and evaluate the finite-sample performance of the proposed estimators through simulation studies and an empirical application using Pew Research Center and Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data. The results suggest that the proposed estimators can improve robustness to parametric propensity-score misspecification, especially when the true selection mechanism is nonlinear.