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Joint Estimation of Multiple Graphical Models from High Dimensional Time Series

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this manuscript we consider the problem of jointly estimating multiple graphical models in high dimensions. We assume that the data are collected from n subjects, each of which consists of T possibly dependent observations. The graphical models of subjects vary, but are assumed to change smoothly corresponding to a measure of closeness between subjects. We propose a kernel based method for jointly estimating all graphical models. Theoretically, under a double asymptotic framework, where both (T,n) and the dimension d can increase, we provide the explicit rate of convergence in parameter estimation. It characterizes the strength one can borrow across different individuals and impact of data dependence on parameter estimation. Empirically, experiments on both synthetic and real resting state functional magnetic resonance imaging (rs-fMRI) data illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.


Analysis of corporate environmental reports using statistical techniques and data mining

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Measuring the effectiveness of corporate environmental reports, it being highly qualitative and less regulated, is often considered as a daunting task. The task becomes more complex if comparisons are to be performed. This study is undertaken to overcome the physical verification problems by implementing data mining technique. It further explores on the effectiveness by performing exploratory analysis and structural equation model to bring out the significant linkages between the selected 10 variables. Samples of five hundred and thirty nine reports across various countries are used from an international directory to perform the statistical analysis like: One way ANOVA (Analysis of Variance), MDA (Multivariate Discriminant Analysis) and SEM (Structural Equation Modeling). The results indicate the significant differences among the various types of industries in their environmental reporting, and the exploratory factors like stakeholder, organization strategy and industrial oriented factors, proved significant. The major accomplishment is that the findings correlate with the conceptual frame work of GRI.


On the Properties of Neural Machine Translation: Encoder-Decoder Approaches

arXiv.org Machine Learning

On the Properties of Neural Machine Translation: Encoder-Decoder Approaches Kyunghyun Cho Bart van Merri enboer Universit e de Montr eal Dzmitry Bahdanau Jacobs University, Germany Yoshua Bengio Universit e de Montr eal, CIFAR Senior Fellow Abstract Neural machine translation is a relatively new approach to statistical machine translation based purely on neural networks. The neural machine translation models often consist of an encoder and a decoder. The encoder extracts a fixed-length representation from a variable-length input sentence, and the decoder generates a correct translation from this representation. In this paper, we focus on analyzing the properties of the neural machine translation using two models; RNN Encoder-Decoder and a newly proposed gated recursive con-volutional neural network. We show that the neural machine translation performs relatively well on short sentences without unknown words, but its performance degrades rapidly as the length of the sentence and the number of unknown words increase. Furthermore, we find that the proposed gated recursive convolutional network learns a grammatical structure of a sentence automatically. 1 Introduction A new approach for statistical machine translation based purely on neural networks has recently been proposed (Kalchbrenner and Blunsom, 2013; Sutskever et al., 2014). This new approach, which we refer to as neural machine translation, is inspired by the recent trend of deep representational learning. All the neural network models used in (Kalchbrenner and Blunsom, 2013; Sutskever et al., 2014; Cho et al., 2014) consist of an encoder and a decoder.


Generalization Bounds for Learning with Linear, Polygonal, Quadratic and Conic Side Knowledge

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Mach Learn manuscript No. (will be inserted by the editor) Abstract In this paper, we consider a supervised learning setting where side knowledge is provided about the labels of unlabeled examples. The side knowledge has the effect of reducing the hypothesis space, leading to tighter generalization bounds, and thus possibly better generalization. We consider several types of side knowledge, the first leading to linear and polygonal constraints on the hypothesis space, the second leading to quadratic constraints, and the last leading to conic constraints. We show how different types of domain knowledge can lead directly to these kinds of side knowledge. We prove bounds on complexity measures of the hypothesis space for quadratic and conic side knowledge, and show that these bounds are tight in a specific sense for the quadratic case. Keywords statistical learning theory ยท generalization bounds ยท Rademacher complexity ยท covering numbers, constrained linear function classes ยท side knowledge 1 Introduction Surely, for many applications the amount of domain knowledge we could potentially use within our learning processes is vastly larger than the amount of domain knowledge we actually use. One reason for this is that domain knowledge may be nontrivial to incorporate into algorithms or analysis. For example, researchers in NLP (Natural Language Processing) have long figured out various exotic domain specific knowledge that one can use while performing a learning task [Chang et al., 2008a,b]. The present work aims to provide theoretical guarantees for a large class of problems with a general type of domain knowledge that goes beyond sparsity and smoothness. To define this large class of problems, we will keep the usual supervised learning assumption that the training examples are drawn i.i.d.


On Classification with Bags, Groups and Sets

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In recent years, the field of pattern recognition has seen many problems that are difficult to formulate as regular supervised classification problems where (feature vector, label) pairs are available to train a classifier that, in turn, can predict labels for previously unseen feature vectors. A subset of these problems contains learning scenarios where (part of) the objects are represented by sets or bags of feature vectors or instances. Such learning scenarios include multiple instance learning [11], set classification [42], group-based classification [47] and many others. In this paper we review these learning scenarios. There are several reasons why a bag representation might be chosen in a pattern recognition problem. The first reason is that a single feature vector is often too restrictive to describe an object. For example, in drug activity prediction, we are interested in classifying molecules as having the desired effect (active) or not. However, a molecule is not just a list of its elements: most molecules can fold into different shapes or conformations, which can influence the activity of that molecule.


Top Rank Optimization in Linear Time

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Bipartite ranking aims to learn a real-valued ranking function that orders positive instances before negative instances. Recent efforts of bipartite ranking are focused on optimizing ranking accuracy at the top of the ranked list. Most existing approaches are either to optimize task specific metrics or to extend the ranking loss by emphasizing more on the error associated with the top ranked instances, leading to a high computational cost that is super-linear in the number of training instances. We propose a highly efficient approach, titled TopPush, for optimizing accuracy at the top that has computational complexity linear in the number of training instances. We present a novel analysis that bounds the generalization error for the top ranked instances for the proposed approach. Empirical study shows that the proposed approach is highly competitive to the state-of-the-art approaches and is 10-100 times faster.


Sequential Monte Carlo for Graphical Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a new framework for how to use sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms for inference in probabilistic graphical models (PGM). Via a sequential decomposition of the PGM we find a sequence of auxiliary distributions defined on a monotonically increasing sequence of probability spaces. By targeting these auxiliary distributions using SMC we are able to approximate the full joint distribution defined by the PGM. One of the key merits of the SMC sampler is that it provides an unbiased estimate of the partition function of the model. We also show how it can be used within a particle Markov chain Monte Carlo framework in order to construct high-dimensional block-sampling algorithms for general PGMs.


Learning Topology and Dynamics of Large Recurrent Neural Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Large-scale recurrent networks have drawn increasing attention recently because of their capabilities in modeling a large variety of real-world phenomena and physical mechanisms. This paper studies how to identify all authentic connections and estimate system parameters of a recurrent network, given a sequence of node observations. This task becomes extremely challenging in modern network applications, because the available observations are usually very noisy and limited, and the associated dynamical system is strongly nonlinear. By formulating the problem as multivariate sparse sigmoidal regression, we develop simple-to-implement network learning algorithms, with rigorous convergence guarantee in theory, for a variety of sparsity-promoting penalty forms. A quantile variant of progressive recurrent network screening is proposed for efficient computation and allows for direct cardinality control of network topology in estimation. Moreover, we investigate recurrent network stability conditions in Lyapunov's sense, and integrate such stability constraints into sparse network learning. Experiments show excellent performance of the proposed algorithms in network topology identification and forecasting.


Gamma Processes, Stick-Breaking, and Variational Inference

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

While most Bayesian nonparametric models in machine learning have focused on the Dirichlet process, the beta process, or their variants, the gamma process has recently emerged as a useful nonparametric prior in its own right. Current inference schemes for models involving the gamma process are restricted to MCMC-based methods, which limits their scalability. In this paper, we present a variational inference framework for models involving gamma process priors. Our approach is based on a novel stick-breaking constructive definition of the gamma process. We prove correctness of this stick-breaking process by using the characterization of the gamma process as a completely random measure (CRM), and we explicitly derive the rate measure of our construction using Poisson process machinery. We also derive error bounds on the truncation of the infinite process required for variational inference, similar to the truncation analyses for other nonparametric models based on the Dirichlet and beta processes. Our representation is then used to derive a variational inference algorithm for a particular Bayesian nonparametric latent structure formulation known as the infinite Gamma-Poisson model, where the latent variables are drawn from a gamma process prior with Poisson likelihoods. Finally, we present results for our algorithms on nonnegative matrix factorization tasks on document corpora, and show that we compare favorably to both sampling-based techniques and variational approaches based on beta-Bernoulli priors.


Fast Prediction with SVM Models Containing RBF Kernels

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present an approximation scheme for support vector machine models that use an RBF kernel. A second-order Maclaurin series approximation is used for exponentials of inner products between support vectors and test instances. The approximation is applicable to all kernel methods featuring sums of kernel evaluations and makes no assumptions regarding data normalization. The prediction speed of approximated models no longer relates to the amount of support vectors but is quadratic in terms of the number of input dimensions. If the number of input dimensions is small compared to the amount of support vectors, the approximated model is significantly faster in prediction and has a smaller memory footprint. An optimized C++ implementation was made to assess the gain in prediction speed in a set of practical tests. We additionally provide a method to verify the approximation accuracy, prior to training models or during run-time, to ensure the loss in accuracy remains acceptable and within known bounds.