Genre
Scatter Matrix Concordance: A Diagnostic for Regressions on Subsets of Data
Kane, Michael J., Lewis, Bryan, Tatikonda, Sekhar, Urbanek, Simon
Linear regression models depend directly on the design matrix and its properties. Techniques that efficiently estimate model coefficients by partitioning rows of the design matrix are increasingly popular for large-scale problems because they fit well with modern parallel computing architectures. We propose a simple measure of {\em concordance} between a design matrix and a subset of its rows that estimates how well a subset captures the variance-covariance structure of a larger data set. We illustrate the use of this measure in a heuristic method for selecting row partition sizes that balance statistical and computational efficiency goals in real-world problems.
Tensor principal component analysis via sum-of-squares proofs
Hopkins, Samuel B., Shi, Jonathan, Steurer, David
We study a statistical model for the tensor principal component analysis problem introduced by Montanari and Richard: Given a order-$3$ tensor $T$ of the form $T = \tau \cdot v_0^{\otimes 3} + A$, where $\tau \geq 0$ is a signal-to-noise ratio, $v_0$ is a unit vector, and $A$ is a random noise tensor, the goal is to recover the planted vector $v_0$. For the case that $A$ has iid standard Gaussian entries, we give an efficient algorithm to recover $v_0$ whenever $\tau \geq \omega(n^{3/4} \log(n)^{1/4})$, and certify that the recovered vector is close to a maximum likelihood estimator, all with high probability over the random choice of $A$. The previous best algorithms with provable guarantees required $\tau \geq \Omega(n)$. In the regime $\tau \leq o(n)$, natural tensor-unfolding-based spectral relaxations for the underlying optimization problem break down (in the sense that their integrality gap is large). To go beyond this barrier, we use convex relaxations based on the sum-of-squares method. Our recovery algorithm proceeds by rounding a degree-$4$ sum-of-squares relaxations of the maximum-likelihood-estimation problem for the statistical model. To complement our algorithmic results, we show that degree-$4$ sum-of-squares relaxations break down for $\tau \leq O(n^{3/4}/\log(n)^{1/4})$, which demonstrates that improving our current guarantees (by more than logarithmic factors) would require new techniques or might even be intractable. Finally, we show how to exploit additional problem structure in order to solve our sum-of-squares relaxations, up to some approximation, very efficiently. Our fastest algorithm runs in nearly-linear time using shifted (matrix) power iteration and has similar guarantees as above. The analysis of this algorithm also confirms a variant of a conjecture of Montanari and Richard about singular vectors of tensor unfoldings.
Homotopy Continuation Approaches for Robust SV Classification and Regression
Suzumura, Shinya, Ogawa, Kohei, Sugiyama, Masashi, Karasuyama, Masayuki, Takeuchi, Ichiro
In support vector machine (SVM) applications with unreliable data that contains a portion of outliers, non-robustness of SVMs often causes considerable performance deterioration. Although many approaches for improving the robustness of SVMs have been studied, two major challenges remain in robust SVM learning. First, robust learning algorithms are essentially formulated as non-convex optimization problems. It is thus important to develop a non-convex optimization method for robust SVM that can find a good local optimal solution. The second practical issue is how one can tune the hyperparameter that controls the balance between robustness and efficiency. Unfortunately, due to the non-convexity, robust SVM solutions with slightly different hyper-parameter values can be significantly different, which makes model selection highly unstable. In this paper, we address these two issues simultaneously by introducing a novel homotopy approach to non-convex robust SVM learning. Our basic idea is to introduce parametrized formulations of robust SVM which bridge the standard SVM and fully robust SVM via the parameter that represents the influence of outliers. We characterize the necessary and sufficient conditions of the local optimal solutions of robust SVM, and develop an algorithm that can trace a path of local optimal solutions when the influence of outliers is gradually decreased. An advantage of our homotopy approach is that it can be interpreted as simulated annealing, a common approach for finding a good local optimal solution in non-convex optimization problems. In addition, our homotopy method allows stable and efficient model selection based on the path of local optimal solutions. Empirical performances of the proposed approach are demonstrated through intensive numerical experiments both on robust classification and regression problems.
Scalable Bayesian Inference for Excitatory Point Process Networks
Linderman, Scott W., Adams, Ryan P.
Networks capture our intuition about relationships in the world. They describe the friendships between Facebook users, interactions in financial markets, and synapses connecting neurons in the brain. These networks are richly structured with cliques of friends, sectors of stocks, and a smorgasbord of cell types that govern how neurons connect. Some networks, like social network friendships, can be directly observed, but in many cases we only have an indirect view of the network through the actions of its constituents and an understanding of how the network mediates that activity. In this work, we focus on the problem of latent network discovery in the case where the observable activity takes the form of a mutually-excitatory point process known as a Hawkes process. We build on previous work that has taken a Bayesian approach to this problem, specifying prior distributions over the latent network structure and a likelihood of observed activity given this network. We extend this work by proposing a discrete-time formulation and developing a computationally efficient stochastic variational inference (SVI) algorithm that allows us to scale the approach to long sequences of observations. We demonstrate our algorithm on the calcium imaging data used in the Chalearn neural connectomics challenge.
Joint estimation of quantile planes over arbitrary predictor spaces
In spite of the recent surge of interest in quantile regression, joint estimation of linear quantile planes remains a great challenge in statistics and econometrics. We propose a novel parametrization that characterizes any collection of non-crossing quantile planes over arbitrarily shaped convex predictor domains in any dimension by means of unconstrained scalar, vector and function valued parameters. Statistical models based on this parametrization inherit a fast computation of the likelihood function, enabling penalized likelihood or Bayesian approaches to model fitting. We introduce a complete Bayesian methodology by using Gaussian process prior distributions on the function valued parameters and develop a robust and efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo parameter estimation. The resulting method is shown to offer posterior consistency under mild tail and regularity conditions. We present several illustrative examples where the new method is compared against existing approaches and is found to offer better accuracy, coverage and model fit.
Dependent Indian Buffet Process-based Sparse Nonparametric Nonnegative Matrix Factorization
Xuan, Junyu, Lu, Jie, Zhang, Guangquan, Da Xu, Richard Yi, Luo, Xiangfeng
Nonnegative Matrix Factorization (NMF) aims to factorize a matrix into two optimized nonnegative matrices appropriate for the intended applications. The method has been widely used for unsupervised learning tasks, including recommender systems (rating matrix of users by items) and document clustering (weighting matrix of papers by keywords). However, traditional NMF methods typically assume the number of latent factors (i.e., dimensionality of the loading matrices) to be fixed. This assumption makes them inflexible for many applications. In this paper, we propose a nonparametric NMF framework to mitigate this issue by using dependent Indian Buffet Processes (dIBP). In a nutshell, we apply a correlation function for the generation of two stick weights associated with each pair of columns of loading matrices, while still maintaining their respective marginal distribution specified by IBP. As a consequence, the generation of two loading matrices will be column-wise (indirectly) correlated. Under this same framework, two classes of correlation function are proposed (1) using Bivariate beta distribution and (2) using Copula function. Both methods allow us to adopt our work for various applications by flexibly choosing an appropriate parameter settings. Compared with the other state-of-the art approaches in this area, such as using Gaussian Process (GP)-based dIBP, our work is seen to be much more flexible in terms of allowing the two corresponding binary matrix columns to have greater variations in their non-zero entries. Our experiments on the real-world and synthetic datasets show that three proposed models perform well on the document clustering task comparing standard NMF without predefining the dimension for the factor matrices, and the Bivariate beta distribution-based and Copula-based models have better flexibility than the GP-based model.
Best Subset Selection via a Modern Optimization Lens
Bertsimas, Dimitris, King, Angela, Mazumder, Rahul
In the last twenty-five years (1990-2014), algorithmic advances in integer optimization combined with hardware improvements have resulted in an astonishing 200 billion factor speedup in solving Mixed Integer Optimization (MIO) problems. We present a MIO approach for solving the classical best subset selection problem of choosing $k$ out of $p$ features in linear regression given $n$ observations. We develop a discrete extension of modern first order continuous optimization methods to find high quality feasible solutions that we use as warm starts to a MIO solver that finds provably optimal solutions. The resulting algorithm (a) provides a solution with a guarantee on its suboptimality even if we terminate the algorithm early, (b) can accommodate side constraints on the coefficients of the linear regression and (c) extends to finding best subset solutions for the least absolute deviation loss function. Using a wide variety of synthetic and real datasets, we demonstrate that our approach solves problems with $n$ in the 1000s and $p$ in the 100s in minutes to provable optimality, and finds near optimal solutions for $n$ in the 100s and $p$ in the 1000s in minutes. We also establish via numerical experiments that the MIO approach performs better than {\texttt {Lasso}} and other popularly used sparse learning procedures, in terms of achieving sparse solutions with good predictive power.
A model building framework for Answer Set Programming with external computations
Eiter, Thomas, Fink, Michael, Ianni, Giovambattista, Krennwallner, Thomas, Redl, Christoph, Schรผller, Peter
As software systems are getting increasingly connected, there is a need for equipping nonmonotonic logic programs with access to external sources that are possibly remote and may contain information in heterogeneous formats. To cater for this need, HEX programs were designed as a generalization of answer set programs with an API style interface that allows to access arbitrary external sources, providing great flexibility. Efficient evaluation of such programs however is challenging, and it requires to interleave external computation and model building; to decide when to switch between these tasks is difficult, and existing approaches have limited scalability in many real-world application scenarios. We present a new approach for the evaluation of logic programs with external source access, which is based on a configurable framework for dividing the non-ground program into possibly overlapping smaller parts called evaluation units. The latter will be processed by interleaving external evaluation and model building using an evaluation graph and a model graph, respectively, and by combining intermediate results. Experiments with our prototype implementation show a significant improvement compared to previous approaches. While designed for HEX-programs, the new evaluation approach may be deployed to related rule-based formalisms as well.
Linear Convergence of Variance-Reduced Stochastic Gradient without Strong Convexity
Stochastic gradient algorithms estimate the gradient based on only one or a few samples and enjoy low computational cost per iteration. They have been widely used in large-scale optimization problems. However, stochastic gradient algorithms are usually slow to converge and achieve sub-linear convergence rates, due to the inherent variance in the gradient computation. To accelerate the convergence, some variance-reduced stochastic gradient algorithms, e.g., proximal stochastic variance-reduced gradient (Prox-SVRG) algorithm, have recently been proposed to solve strongly convex problems. Under the strongly convex condition, these variance-reduced stochastic gradient algorithms achieve a linear convergence rate. However, many machine learning problems are convex but not strongly convex. In this paper, we introduce Prox-SVRG and its projected variant called Variance-Reduced Projected Stochastic Gradient (VRPSG) to solve a class of non-strongly convex optimization problems widely used in machine learning. As the main technical contribution of this paper, we show that both VRPSG and Prox-SVRG achieve a linear convergence rate without strong convexity. A key ingredient in our proof is a Semi-Strongly Convex (SSC) inequality which is the first to be rigorously proved for a class of non-strongly convex problems in both constrained and regularized settings. Moreover, the SSC inequality is independent of algorithms and may be applied to analyze other stochastic gradient algorithms besides VRPSG and Prox-SVRG, which may be of independent interest. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work that establishes the linear convergence rate for the variance-reduced stochastic gradient algorithms on solving both constrained and regularized problems without strong convexity.
Analysis of Microarray Data using Artificial Intelligence Based Techniques
The bioinformatics is an interdisciplinary area of study where one of the objectives is to deal with the analysis and interpretation of large sets of data generated from various large-scale biological experiments. The example of one such large-scale biological experiment is measuring the expression levels of tens of thousands of genes simultaneously under some environmental condition. Microarray is one of the essential technologies used by the biologist to measure genome-wide expression levels of genes in a particular organism. As microarrays technologies have become more prevalent, the challenges 1 associated with collecting, managing, and analyzing the data from each experiment have essentially increased. Robust laboratory protocols, improved understanding of the complex experimental design and falling prices of commercial platforms, all these have combined to drive the field to more complex experiments, generating huge amounts of data (Brazma and Vilo, 2000).