Genre
A Review of Feature Selection Methods Based on Mutual Information
Vergara, Jorge R., Estévez, Pablo A.
In this work we present a review of the state of the art of information theoretic feature selection methods. The concepts of feature relevance, redundance and complementarity (synergy) are clearly defined, as well as Markov blanket. The problem of optimal feature selection is defined. A unifying theoretical framework is described, which can retrofit successful heuristic criteria, indicating the approximations made by each method. A number of open problems in the field are presented.
Towards Real-time Customer Experience Prediction for Telecommunication Operators
Diaz-Aviles, Ernesto, Pinelli, Fabio, Lynch, Karol, Nabi, Zubair, Gkoufas, Yiannis, Bouillet, Eric, Calabrese, Francesco, Coughlan, Eoin, Holland, Peter, Salzwedel, Jason
Telecommunications operators (telcos) traditional sources of income, voice and SMS, are shrinking due to customers using over-the-top (OTT) applications such as WhatsApp or Viber. In this challenging environment it is critical for telcos to maintain or grow their market share, by providing users with as good an experience as possible on their network. But the task of extracting customer insights from the vast amounts of data collected by telcos is growing in complexity and scale everey day. How can we measure and predict the quality of a user's experience on a telco network in real-time? That is the problem that we address in this paper. We present an approach to capture, in (near) real-time, the mobile customer experience in order to assess which conditions lead the user to place a call to a telco's customer care center. To this end, we follow a supervised learning approach for prediction and train our 'Restricted Random Forest' model using, as a proxy for bad experience, the observed customer transactions in the telco data feed before the user places a call to a customer care center. We evaluate our approach using a rich dataset provided by a major African telecommunication's company and a novel big data architecture for both the training and scoring of predictive models. Our empirical study shows our solution to be effective at predicting user experience by inferring if a customer will place a call based on his current context. These promising results open new possibilities for improved customer service, which will help telcos to reduce churn rates and improve customer experience, both factors that directly impact their revenue growth.
An Asymptotically Optimal Policy for Uniform Bandits of Unknown Support
Cowan, Wesley, Katehakis, Michael N.
Consider the problem of a controller sampling sequentially from a finite number of $N \geq 2$ populations, specified by random variables $X^i_k$, $ i = 1,\ldots , N,$ and $k = 1, 2, \ldots$; where $X^i_k$ denotes the outcome from population $i$ the $k^{th}$ time it is sampled. It is assumed that for each fixed $i$, $\{ X^i_k \}_{k \geq 1}$ is a sequence of i.i.d. uniform random variables over some interval $[a_i, b_i]$, with the support (i.e., $a_i, b_i$) unknown to the controller. The objective is to have a policy $\pi$ for deciding, based on available data, from which of the $N$ populations to sample from at any time $n=1,2,\ldots$ so as to maximize the expected sum of outcomes of $n$ samples or equivalently to minimize the regret due to lack on information of the parameters $\{ a_i \}$ and $\{ b_i \}$. In this paper, we present a simple inflated sample mean (ISM) type policy that is asymptotically optimal in the sense of its regret achieving the asymptotic lower bound of Burnetas and Katehakis (1996). Additionally, finite horizon regret bounds are given.
Linear-time Learning on Distributions with Approximate Kernel Embeddings
Sutherland, Dougal J., Oliva, Junier B., Póczos, Barnabás, Schneider, Jeff
Many interesting machine learning problems are best posed by considering instances that are distributions, or sample sets drawn from distributions. Previous work devoted to machine learning tasks with distributional inputs has done so through pairwise kernel evaluations between pdfs (or sample sets). While such an approach is fine for smaller datasets, the computation of an $N \times N$ Gram matrix is prohibitive in large datasets. Recent scalable estimators that work over pdfs have done so only with kernels that use Euclidean metrics, like the $L_2$ distance. However, there are a myriad of other useful metrics available, such as total variation, Hellinger distance, and the Jensen-Shannon divergence. This work develops the first random features for pdfs whose dot product approximates kernels using these non-Euclidean metrics, allowing estimators using such kernels to scale to large datasets by working in a primal space, without computing large Gram matrices. We provide an analysis of the approximation error in using our proposed random features and show empirically the quality of our approximation both in estimating a Gram matrix and in solving learning tasks in real-world and synthetic data.
A marginal sampler for $\sigma$-Stable Poisson-Kingman mixture models
Lomelí, María, Favaro, Stefano, Teh, Yee Whye
We investigate the class of $\sigma$-stable Poisson-Kingman random probability measures (RPMs) in the context of Bayesian nonparametric mixture modeling. This is a large class of discrete RPMs which encompasses most of the the popular discrete RPMs used in Bayesian nonparametrics, such as the Dirichlet process, Pitman-Yor process, the normalized inverse Gaussian process and the normalized generalized Gamma process. We show how certain sampling properties and marginal characterizations of $\sigma$-stable Poisson-Kingman RPMs can be usefully exploited for devising a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for making inference in Bayesian nonparametric mixture modeling. Specifically, we introduce a novel and efficient MCMC sampling scheme in an augmented space that has a fixed number of auxiliary variables per iteration. We apply our sampling scheme for a density estimation and clustering tasks with unidimensional and multidimensional datasets, and we compare it against competing sampling schemes.
Minimum Weight Perfect Matching via Blossom Belief Propagation
Ahn, Sungsoo, Park, Sejun, Chertkov, Michael, Shin, Jinwoo
Max-product Belief Propagation (BP) is a popular message-passing algorithm for computing a Maximum-A-Posteriori (MAP) assignment over a distribution represented by a Graphical Model (GM). It has been shown that BP can solve a number of combinatorial optimization problems including minimum weight matching, shortest path, network flow and vertex cover under the following common assumption: the respective Linear Programming (LP) relaxation is tight, i.e., no integrality gap is present. However, when LP shows an integrality gap, no model has been known which can be solved systematically via sequential applications of BP. In this paper, we develop the first such algorithm, coined Blossom-BP, for solving the minimum weight matching problem over arbitrary graphs. Each step of the sequential algorithm requires applying BP over a modified graph constructed by contractions and expansions of blossoms, i.e., odd sets of vertices. Our scheme guarantees termination in O(n^2) of BP runs, where n is the number of vertices in the original graph. In essence, the Blossom-BP offers a distributed version of the celebrated Edmonds' Blossom algorithm by jumping at once over many sub-steps with a single BP. Moreover, our result provides an interpretation of the Edmonds' algorithm as a sequence of LPs.
IllinoisSL: A JAVA Library for Structured Prediction
Chang, Kai-Wei, Upadhyay, Shyam, Chang, Ming-Wei, Srikumar, Vivek, Roth, Dan
IllinoisSL is a Java library for learning structured prediction models. It supports structured Support Vector Machines and structured Perceptron. The library consists of a core learning module and several applications, which can be executed from command-lines. Documentation is provided to guide users. In Comparison to other structured learning libraries, IllinoisSL is efficient, general, and easy to use.
A review of learning vector quantization classifiers
Nova, David, Estevez, Pablo A.
In this work we present a review of the state of the art of Learning Vector Quantization (LVQ) classifiers. A taxonomy is proposed which integrates the most relevant LVQ approaches to date. The main concepts associated with modern LVQ approaches are defined. A comparison is made among eleven LVQ classifiers using one real-world and two artificial datasets.
Deep Temporal Sigmoid Belief Networks for Sequence Modeling
Gan, Zhe, Li, Chunyuan, Henao, Ricardo, Carlson, David, Carin, Lawrence
Deep dynamic generative models are developed to learn sequential dependencies in time-series data. The multi-layered model is designed by constructing a hierarchy of temporal sigmoid belief networks (TSBNs), defined as a sequential stack of sigmoid belief networks (SBNs). Each SBN has a contextual hidden state, inherited from the previous SBNs in the sequence, and is used to regulate its hidden bias. Scalable learning and inference algorithms are derived by introducing a recognition model that yields fast sampling from the variational posterior. This recognition model is trained jointly with the generative model, by maximizing its variational lower bound on the log-likelihood. Experimental results on bouncing balls, polyphonic music, motion capture, and text streams show that the proposed approach achieves state-of-the-art predictive performance, and has the capacity to synthesize various sequences.
Predicting Climate Variability over the Indian Region Using Data Mining Strategies
In this paper an approach based on expectation maximization (EM) clustering to find the climate regions and a support vector machine to build a predictive model for each of these regions is proposed. To minimize the biases in the estimations a ten cross fold validation is adopted both for obtaining clusters and building the predictive models. The EM clustering could identify all the zones as per the Koppen classification over Indian region. The proposed strategy when employed for predicting temperature has resulted in an RMSE of 1.19 in the Montane climate region and 0.89 in the Humid Sub Tropical region as compared to 2.9 and 0.95 respectively predicted using k-means and linear regression method. Keywords: support vector machine, expectation maximization, k-means, regression, climate regions, climate change, Koppen classification 1. Introduction Regionalization techniques are found to be effective in improving the prediction accuracies of the climate models.