Genre
Stochastic Process Bandits: Upper Confidence Bounds Algorithms via Generic Chaining
Contal, Emile, Vayatis, Nicolas
The paper considers the problem of global optimization in the setup of stochastic process bandits. We introduce an UCB algorithm which builds a cascade of discretization trees based on generic chaining in order to render possible his operability over a continuous domain. The theoretical framework applies to functions under weak probabilistic smoothness assumptions and also extends significantly the spectrum of application of UCB strategies. Moreover generic regret bounds are derived which are then specialized to Gaussian processes indexed on infinite-dimensional spaces as well as to quadratic forms of Gaussian processes. Lower bounds are also proved in the case of Gaussian processes to assess the optimality of the proposed algorithm.
Choice by Elimination via Deep Neural Networks
Tran, Truyen, Phung, Dinh, Venkatesh, Svetha
We introduce Neural Choice by Elimination, a new framework that integrates deep neural networks into probabilistic sequential choice models for learning to rank. Given a set of items to chose from, the elimination strategy starts with the whole item set and iteratively eliminates the least worthy item in the remaining subset. We prove that the choice by elimination is equivalent to marginalizing out the random Gompertz latent utilities. Coupled with the choice model is the recently introduced Neural Highway Networks for approximating arbitrarily complex rank functions. We evaluate the proposed framework on a large-scale public dataset with over 425K items, drawn from the Yahoo! learning to rank challenge. It is demonstrated that the proposed method is competitive against state-of-the-art learning to rank methods.
Bayesian generalized fused lasso modeling via NEG distribution
Shimamura, Kaito, Ueki, Masao, Kawano, Shuichi, Konishi, Sadanori
The fused lasso penalizes a loss function by the $L_1$ norm for both the regression coefficients and their successive differences to encourage sparsity of both. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian generalized fused lasso modeling based on a normal-exponential-gamma (NEG) prior distribution. The NEG prior is assumed into the difference of successive regression coefficients. The proposed method enables us to construct a more versatile sparse model than the ordinary fused lasso by using a flexible regularization term. We also propose a sparse fused algorithm to produce exact sparse solutions. Simulation studies and real data analyses show that the proposed method has superior performance to the ordinary fused lasso.
High-dimensional Time Series Prediction with Missing Values
Yu, Hsiang-Fu, Rao, Nikhil, Dhillon, Inderjit S.
High-dimensional time series prediction is needed in applications as diverse as demand forecasting and climatology. Often, such applications require methods that are both highly scalable, and deal with noisy data in terms of corruptions or missing values. Classical time series methods usually fall short of handling both these issues. In this paper, we propose to adapt matrix matrix completion approaches that have previously been successfully applied to large scale noisy data, but which fail to adequately model high-dimensional time series due to temporal dependencies. We present a novel temporal regularized matrix factorization (TRMF) framework which supports data-driven temporal dependency learning and enables forecasting ability to our new matrix factorization approach. TRMF is highly general, and subsumes many existing matrix factorization approaches for time series data. We make interesting connections to graph regularized matrix factorization methods in the context of learning the dependencies. Experiments on both real and synthetic data show that TRMF outperforms several existing approaches for common time series tasks.
Cells in Multidimensional Recurrent Neural Networks
Leifert, G., Strauß, T., Grüning, T., Labahn, R.
The transcription of handwritten text on images is one task in machine learning and one solution to solve it is using multi-dimensional recurrent neural networks (MDRNN) with connectionist temporal classification (CTC). The RNNs can contain special units, the long short-term memory (LSTM) cells. They are able to learn long term dependencies but they get unstable when the dimension is chosen greater than one. We defined some useful and necessary properties for the one-dimensional LSTM cell and extend them in the multi-dimensional case. Thereby we introduce several new cells with better stability. We present a method to design cells using the theory of linear shift invariant systems. The new cells are compared to the LSTM cell on the IFN/ENIT and Rimes database, where we can improve the recognition rate compared to the LSTM cell. So each application where the LSTM cells in MDRNNs are used could be improved by substituting them by the new developed cells.
Experimental analysis of data-driven control for a building heating system
Costanzo, Giuseppe Tommaso, Iacovella, Sandro, Ruelens, Frederik, Leurs, T., Claessens, Bert
Driven by the opportunity to harvest the flexibility related to building climate control for demand response applications, this work presents a data-driven control approach building upon recent advancements in reinforcement learning. More specifically, model assisted batch reinforcement learning is applied to the setting of building climate control subjected to a dynamic pricing. The underlying sequential decision making problem is cast on a markov decision problem, after which the control algorithm is detailed. In this work, fitted Q-iteration is used to construct a policy from a batch of experimental tuples. In those regions of the state space where the experimental sample density is low, virtual support samples are added using an artificial neural network. Finally, the resulting policy is shaped using domain knowledge. The control approach has been evaluated quantitatively using a simulation and qualitatively in a living lab. From the quantitative analysis it has been found that the control approach converges in approximately 20 days to obtain a control policy with a performance within 90% of the mathematical optimum. The experimental analysis confirms that within 10 to 20 days sensible policies are obtained that can be used for different outside temperature regimes.
Efficient Representation of Low-Dimensional Manifolds using Deep Networks
We consider the ability of deep neural networks to represent data that lies near a low-dimensional manifold in a high-dimensional space. We show that deep networks can efficiently extract the intrinsic, low-dimensional coordinates of such data. We first show that the first two layers of a deep network can exactly embed points lying on a monotonic chain, a special type of piecewise linear manifold, mapping them to a low-dimensional Euclidean space. Remarkably, the network can do this using an almost optimal number of parameters. We also show that this network projects nearby points onto the manifold and then embeds them with little error. We then extend these results to more general manifolds.
DR-ABC: Approximate Bayesian Computation with Kernel-Based Distribution Regression
Mitrovic, Jovana, Sejdinovic, Dino, Teh, Yee Whye
Performing exact posterior inference in complex generative models is often difficult or impossible due to an expensive to evaluate or intractable likelihood function. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is an inference framework that constructs an approximation to the true likelihood based on the similarity between the observed and simulated data as measured by a predefined set of summary statistics. Although the choice of appropriate problem-specific summary statistics crucially influences the quality of the likelihood approximation and hence also the quality of the posterior sample in ABC, there are only few principled general-purpose approaches to the selection or construction of such summary statistics. In this paper, we develop a novel framework for this task using kernel-based distribution regression. We model the functional relationship between data distributions and the optimal choice (with respect to a loss function) of summary statistics using kernel-based distribution regression. We show that our approach can be implemented in a computationally and statistically efficient way using the random Fourier features framework for large-scale kernel learning. In addition to that, our framework shows superior performance when compared to related methods on toy and real-world problems.
Maximin Action Identification: A New Bandit Framework for Games
Garivier, Aurélien, Kaufmann, Emilie, Koolen, Wouter
We study an original problem of pure exploration in a strategic bandit model motivated by Monte Carlo Tree Search. It consists in identifying the best action in a game, when the player may sample random outcomes of sequentially chosen pairs of actions. We propose two strategies for the fixed-confidence setting: Maximin-LUCB, based on lower-and upper-confidence bounds; and Maximin-Racing, which operates by successively eliminating the sub-optimal actions. We discuss the sample complexity of both methods and compare their performance empirically.