Genre
Fuzzy clustering of distribution-valued data using adaptive L2 Wasserstein distances
Irpino, Antonio, De Carvalho, Francisco, Verde, Rosanna
Distributional (or distribution-valued) data are a new type of data arising from several sources and are considered as realizations of distributional variables. A new set of fuzzy c-means algorithms for data described by distributional variables is proposed. The algorithms use the $L2$ Wasserstein distance between distributions as dissimilarity measures. Beside the extension of the fuzzy c-means algorithm for distributional data, and considering a decomposition of the squared $L2$ Wasserstein distance, we propose a set of algorithms using different automatic way to compute the weights associated with the variables as well as with their components, globally or cluster-wise. The relevance weights are computed in the clustering process introducing product-to-one constraints. The relevance weights induce adaptive distances expressing the importance of each variable or of each component in the clustering process, acting also as a variable selection method in clustering. We have tested the proposed algorithms on artificial and real-world data. Results confirm that the proposed methods are able to better take into account the cluster structure of the data with respect to the standard fuzzy c-means, with non-adaptive distances.
Contrastive Structured Anomaly Detection for Gaussian Graphical Models
Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are probabilistic tools of choice for analyzing conditional dependencies between variables in complex systems. Finding changepoints in the structural evolution of a GGM is therefore essential to detecting anomalies in the underlying system modeled by the GGM. In order to detect structural anomalies in a GGM, we consider the problem of estimating changes in the precision matrix of the corresponding Gaussian distribution. We take a two-step approach to solving this problem:- (i) estimating a background precision matrix using system observations from the past without any anomalies, and (ii) estimating a foreground precision matrix using a sliding temporal window during anomaly monitoring. Our primary contribution is in estimating the foreground precision using a novel contrastive inverse covariance estimation procedure. In order to accurately learn only the structural changes to the GGM, we maximize a penalized log-likelihood where the penalty is the $l_1$ norm of difference between the foreground precision being estimated and the already learned background precision. We modify the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) algorithm for sparse inverse covariance estimation to perform contrastive estimation of the foreground precision matrix. Our results on simulated GGM data show significant improvement in precision and recall for detecting structural changes to the GGM, compared to a non-contrastive sliding window baseline.
Strong Coresets for Hard and Soft Bregman Clustering with Applications to Exponential Family Mixtures
Lucic, Mario, Bachem, Olivier, Krause, Andreas
Coresets are efficient representations of data sets such that models trained on the coreset are provably competitive with models trained on the original data set. As such, they have been successfully used to scale up clustering models such as K-Means and Gaussian mixture models to massive data sets. However, until now, the algorithms and the corresponding theory were usually specific to each clustering problem. We propose a single, practical algorithm to construct strong coresets for a large class of hard and soft clustering problems based on Bregman divergences. This class includes hard clustering with popular distortion measures such as the Squared Euclidean distance, the Mahalanobis distance, KL-divergence and Itakura-Saito distance. The corresponding soft clustering problems are directly related to popular mixture models due to a dual relationship between Bregman divergences and Exponential family distributions. Our theoretical results further imply a randomized polynomial-time approximation scheme for hard clustering. We demonstrate the practicality of the proposed algorithm in an empirical evaluation.
Tradeoffs for Space, Time, Data and Risk in Unsupervised Learning
Lucic, Mario, Ohannessian, Mesrob I., Karbasi, Amin, Krause, Andreas
Faced with massive data, is it possible to trade off (statistical) risk, and (computational) space and time? This challenge lies at the heart of large-scale machine learning. Using k-means clustering as a prototypical unsupervised learning problem, we show how we can strategically summarize the data (control space) in order to trade off risk and time when data is generated by a probabilistic model. Our summarization is based on coreset constructions from computational geometry. We also develop an algorithm, TRAM, to navigate the space/time/data/risk tradeoff in practice. In particular, we show that for a fixed risk (or data size), as the data size increases (resp. risk increases) the running time of TRAM decreases. Our extensive experiments on real data sets demonstrate the existence and practical utility of such tradeoffs, not only for k-means but also for Gaussian Mixture Models.
Provable Sparse Tensor Decomposition
Sun, Will Wei, Lu, Junwei, Liu, Han, Cheng, Guang
We propose a novel sparse tensor decomposition method, namely Tensor Truncated Power (TTP) method, that incorporates variable selection into the estimation of decomposition components. The sparsity is achieved via an efficient truncation step embedded in the tensor power iteration. Our method applies to a broad family of high dimensional latent variable models, including high dimensional Gaussian mixture and mixtures of sparse regressions. A thorough theoretical investigation is further conducted. In particular, we show that the final decomposition estimator is guaranteed to achieve a local statistical rate, and further strengthen it to the global statistical rate by introducing a proper initialization procedure. In high dimensional regimes, the obtained statistical rate significantly improves those shown in the existing non-sparse decomposition methods. The empirical advantages of TTP are confirmed in extensive simulated results and two real applications of click-through rate prediction and high-dimensional gene clustering.
Incorporating Knowledge into Structural Equation Models using Auxiliary Variables
Chen, Bryant, Pearl, Judea, Bareinboim, Elias
In this paper, we extend graph-based identification methods by allowing background knowledge in the form of non-zero parameter values. Such information could be obtained, for example, from a previously conducted randomized experiment, from substantive understanding of the domain, or even an identification technique. To incorporate such information systematically, we propose the addition of auxiliary variables to the model, which are constructed so that certain paths will be conveniently cancelled. This cancellation allows the auxiliary variables to help conventional methods of identification (e.g., single-door criterion, instrumental variables, half-trek criterion), as well as model testing (e.g., d-separation, over-identification). Moreover, by iteratively alternating steps of identification and adding auxiliary variables, we can improve the power of existing identification methods via a bootstrapping approach that does not require external knowledge. We operationalize this method for simple instrumental sets (a generalization of instrumental variables) and show that the resulting method is able to identify at least as many models as the most general identification method for linear systems known to date. We further discuss the application of auxiliary variables to the tasks of model testing and z-identification.
Learn R : 12 Books (Free PDFs!) and Online Resources - YOU CANalytics
This book is a high quality statistical text with R as the software of choice. If you want to be comfortable with fundamental concepts in parallel with learning R, then this is the book for you. Having said this, you will love this book even if you have studied advanced statistics. The book also covers some advanced machine learning concepts such as support machine learning (SVM) and regularization.
How PayPal beats the bad guys with machine learning
When Amazon Web Services announced a new machine learning service for its cloud last week, it was a sort of mini-milestone. Now all four of the top clouds -- Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and IBM -- will offer developers the means to build machine learning into their cloud applications. As InfoWorld's Andrew Oliver has observed, both machine learning and big data will eventually disappear as separate technology categories and insinuate themselves into many, many different aspects of computing. Fraud detection is first among them, because it addresses an urgent problem that would be impractical to solve if machine learning didn't exist. To get a sense of how machine learning is combating fraud, I interviewed Dr. Hui Wang, senior director of risk sciences for PayPal.
Data mining for clinical research - why so little use of machine learning?
Actually, It's pretty obvious why data mining is NOT part of *clinical trials*. In clinical trials you are NOT trying to discover something new, you are trying to test a hypothesis (that treatment A is better than B, or something like this). My question was about clinical research: why are so few new and meaningful hypothesis generated through machine learning? Why does t-test, multiple logistic regression and generalized linear models so dominant in clincal research? It may be difficult to provide a comfortable answer to the question.