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Early Warning System for Seismic Events in Coal Mines Using Machine Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

N 2015, the mining industry in Poland reported 2158 dangerous incidents with 19 casualties and 12 severe injuries [1]. Underground mining work poses a number of threats including fires, methane outbreaks or seismic tremors and bumps. Monitoring and decision support systems might play an essential role in limiting the number of incidents and their prevention. Such systems, often based on machine learning or data mining techniques, can be effectively applied to lessen the danger to employees and prevent potential losses arising from lost and damaged equipment, see, e.g., [2], [3], [4]. In this paper, we present a model for predicting dangerous seismic events in coal mines.


Optimal Partial-Order Plan Relaxation via MaxSAT

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

Partial-order plans (POPs) are attractive because of their least-commitment nature, which provides enhanced plan flexibility at execution time relative to sequential plans. Current research on automated plan generation focuses on producing sequential plans, despite the appeal of POPs. In this paper we examine POP generation by relaxing or modifying the action orderings of a sequential plan to optimize for plan criteria that promote flexibility. Our approach relies on a novel partial weighted MaxSAT encoding of a sequential plan that supports the minimization of deordering or reordering of actions. Using a similar technique, we further demonstrate how to remove redundant actions from the plan, and how to combine this criterion with the objective of maximizing a POP's flexibility. Our partial weighted MaxSAT encoding allows us to compute a POP from a sequential plan effectively. We compare the efficiency of our approach to previous methods for POP generation via sequential-plan relaxation. Our results show that while an existing heuristic approach consistently produces the optimal deordering of a sequential plan, our approach has greater flexibility when we consider reordering the actions in the plan while also providing a guarantee of optimality. We also investigate and confirm the accuracy of the standard flex metric typically used to predict the true flexibility of a POP as measured by the number of linearizations it represents.


Nonparametric Bayesian Topic Modelling with the Hierarchical Pitman-Yor Processes

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The Dirichlet process and its extension, the Pitman-Yor process, are stochastic processes that take probability distributions as a parameter. These processes can be stacked up to form a hierarchical nonparametric Bayesian model. In this article, we present efficient methods for the use of these processes in this hierarchical context, and apply them to latent variable models for text analytics. In particular, we propose a general framework for designing these Bayesian models, which are called topic models in the computer science community. We then propose a specific nonparametric Bayesian topic model for modelling text from social media. We focus on tweets (posts on Twitter) in this article due to their ease of access. We find that our nonparametric model performs better than existing parametric models in both goodness of fit and real world applications.


On Data-Independent Properties for Density-Based Dissimilarity Measures in Hybrid Clustering

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Hybrid clustering combines partitional and hierarchical clustering for computational effectiveness and versatility in cluster shape. In such clustering, a dissimilarity measure plays a crucial role in the hierarchical merging. The dissimilarity measure has great impact on the final clustering, and data-independent properties are needed to choose the right dissimilarity measure for the problem at hand. Properties for distance-based dissimilarity measures have been studied for decades, but properties for density-based dissimilarity measures have so far received little attention. Here, we propose six data-independent properties to evaluate density-based dissimilarity measures associated with hybrid clustering, regarding equality, orthogonality, symmetry, outlier and noise observations, and light-tailed models for heavy-tailed clusters. The significance of the properties is investigated, and we study some well-known dissimilarity measures based on Shannon entropy, misclassification rate, Bhattacharyya distance and Kullback-Leibler divergence with respect to the proposed properties. As none of them satisfy all the proposed properties, we introduce a new dissimilarity measure based on the Kullback-Leibler information and show that it satisfies all proposed properties. The effect of the proposed properties is also illustrated on several real and simulated data sets.


Network-regularized Sparse Logistic Regression Models for Clinical Risk Prediction and Biomarker Discovery

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Molecular profiling data (e.g., gene expression) has been used for clinical risk prediction and biomarker discovery. However, it is necessary to integrate other prior knowledge like biological pathways or gene interaction networks to improve the predictive ability and biological interpretability of biomarkers. Here, we first introduce a general regularized Logistic Regression (LR) framework with regularized term $\lambda \|\bm{w}\|_1 + \eta\bm{w}^T\bm{M}\bm{w}$, which can reduce to different penalties, including Lasso, elastic net, and network-regularized terms with different $\bm{M}$. This framework can be easily solved in a unified manner by a cyclic coordinate descent algorithm which can avoid inverse matrix operation and accelerate the computing speed. However, if those estimated $\bm{w}_i$ and $\bm{w}_j$ have opposite signs, then the traditional network-regularized penalty may not perform well. To address it, we introduce a novel network-regularized sparse LR model with a new penalty $\lambda \|\bm{w}\|_1 + \eta|\bm{w}|^T\bm{M}|\bm{w}|$ to consider the difference between the absolute values of the coefficients. And we develop two efficient algorithms to solve it. Finally, we test our methods and compare them with the related ones using simulated and real data to show their efficiency.


AMOS: An Automated Model Order Selection Algorithm for Spectral Graph Clustering

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The goal of graph clustering is to group the nodes into clusters of high similarity. Applications of graph clustering, also known as community detection [1, 2], include but are not limited to graph signal processing [3-11], multivariate data clustering [12-14], image segmentation [15, 16], and network vulnerability assessment [17]. Spectral clustering [12-14] is a popular method for graph clustering, which we refer to as spectral graph clustering (SGC). It works by transforming the graph adjacency matrix into a graph Laplacian matrix [18], computing its eigendecomposition, and performing K-means clustering [19] on the eigenvectors to partition the nodes into clusters. Although heuristic methods have been proposed to automatically select the number of clusters [12,13,20], rigorous theoretical justifications on the selection of the number of eigenvectors for clustering are still lacking and little is known about the capabilities and limitations of spectral clustering on graphs. Based on a recent development of clustering reliability analysis for SGC under the random interconnection model (RIM) [21], we propose a novel automated model order selection (AMOS) algorithm for SGC. AMOS works by incrementally increasing the number of clusters, estimating the quality of identified clusters, and providing a series of clustering reliability tests.


Clinical Tagging with Joint Probabilistic Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We describe a method for parameter estimation in bipartite probabilistic graphical models for joint prediction of clinical conditions from the electronic medical record. The method does not rely on the availability of gold-standard labels, but rather uses noisy labels, called anchors, for learning. We provide a likelihood-based objective and a moments-based initialization that are effective at learning the model parameters. The learned model is evaluated in a task of assigning a heldout clinical condition to patients based on retrospective analysis of the records, and outperforms baselines which do not account for the noisiness in the labels or do not model the conditions jointly.


Gaussian Process Pseudo-Likelihood Models for Sequence Labeling

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Several machine learning problems arising in natural language processing can be modeled as a sequence labeling problem. Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a Bayesian approach to learning such problems in a kernel based framework. We develop Gaussian process models based on pseudo-likelihood to solve sequence labeling problems. The pseudo-likelihood model enables one to capture multiple dependencies among the output components of the sequence without becoming computationally intractable. We use an efficient variational Gaussian approximation method to perform inference in the proposed model. We also provide an iterative algorithm which can effectively make use of the information from the neighboring labels to perform prediction. The ability to capture multiple dependencies makes the proposed approach useful for a wide range of sequence labeling problems. Numerical experiments on some sequence labeling problems in natural language processing demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed approach.


Identification of relevant subtypes via preweighted sparse clustering

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Cluster analysis methods are used to identify homogeneous subgroups in a data set. In biomedical applications, one frequently applies cluster analysis in order to identify biologically interesting subgroups. In particular, one may wish to identify subgroups that are associated with a particular outcome of interest. Conventional clustering methods generally do not identify such subgroups, particularly when there are a large number of high-variance features in the data set. Conventional methods may identify clusters associated with these high-variance features when one wishes to obtain secondary clusters that are more interesting biologically or more strongly associated with a particular outcome of interest. A modification of sparse clustering can be used to identify such secondary clusters or clusters associated with an outcome of interest. This method correctly identifies such clusters of interest in several simulation scenarios. The method is also applied to a large prospective cohort study of temporomandibular disorders and a leukemia microarray data set.


Autoregressive Moving Average Graph Filtering

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Abstract--One of the cornerstones of the field of signal processing on graphs are graph filters, direct analogues of classical filters, but intended for signals defined on graphs. This work brings forth new insights on the distributed graph filtering problem. We design a family of autoregressive moving average (ARMA) recursions, which (i) are able to approximate any desired graph frequency response, and (ii) give exact solutions for specific graph signal denoising and interpolation problems. The philosophy, to design the ARMA coefficients independently from the underlying graph, renders the ARMA graph filters suitable in static and, particularly, time-varying settings. The latter occur when the graph signal and/or graph topology are changing over time. We show that in case of a time-varying graph signal our approach extends naturally to a two-dimensional filter, operating concurrently in the graph and regular time domain. We also derive the graph filter behavior, as well as sufficient conditions for filter stability when the graph and signal are time-varying. The analytical and numerical results presented in this paper illustrate that ARMA graph filters are practically appealing for static and time-varying settings, as predicted by theoretical derivations. Keywords-- distributed graph filtering, signal processing on graphs, infinite impulse response graph filters, autoregressive moving average graph filters, time-varying graph signals, time-varying graphs. Due to their ability to capture the complex relationships present in many high-dimensional datasets, graphs have emerged as a favorite tool for data analysis.