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Counterfactual Control for Free from Generative Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We introduce a method by which a generative model learning the joint distribution between actions and future states can be used to automatically infer a control scheme for any desired reward function, which may be altered on the fly without retraining the model. In this method, the problem of action selection is reduced to one of gradient descent on the latent space of the generative model, with the model itself providing the means of evaluating outcomes and finding the gradient, much like how the reward network in Deep Q-Networks (DQN) provides gradient information for the action generator. Unlike DQN or Actor-Critic, which are conditional models for a specific reward, using a generative model of the full joint distribution permits the reward to be changed on the fly. In addition, the generated futures can be inspected to gain insight in to what the network 'thinks' will happen, and to what went wrong when the outcomes deviate from prediction.


Identifying Best Interventions through Online Importance Sampling

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Motivated by applications in computational advertising and systems biology, we consider the problem of identifying the best out of several possible soft interventions at a source node $V$ in an acyclic causal directed graph, to maximize the expected value of a target node $Y$ (located downstream of $V$). Our setting imposes a fixed total budget for sampling under various interventions, along with cost constraints on different types of interventions. We pose this as a best arm identification bandit problem with $K$ arms where each arm is a soft intervention at $V,$ and leverage the information leakage among the arms to provide the first gap dependent error and simple regret bounds for this problem. Our results are a significant improvement over the traditional best arm identification results. We empirically show that our algorithms outperform the state of the art in the Flow Cytometry data-set, and also apply our algorithm for model interpretation of the Inception-v3 deep net that classifies images.


Tunable GMM Kernels

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The recently proposed "generalized min-max" (GMM) kernel can be efficiently linearized, with direct applications in large-scale statistical learning and fast near neighbor search. The linearized GMM kernel was extensively compared in with linearized radial basis function (RBF) kernel. On a large number of classification tasks, the tuning-free GMM kernel performs (surprisingly) well compared to the best-tuned RBF kernel. Nevertheless, one would naturally expect that the GMM kernel ought to be further improved if we introduce tuning parameters. In this paper, we study three simple constructions of tunable GMM kernels: (i) the exponentiated-GMM (or eGMM) kernel, (ii) the powered-GMM (or pGMM) kernel, and (iii) the exponentiated-powered-GMM (epGMM) kernel. The pGMM kernel can still be efficiently linearized by modifying the original hashing procedure for the GMM kernel. On about 60 publicly available classification datasets, we verify that the proposed tunable GMM kernels typically improve over the original GMM kernel. On some datasets, the improvements can be astonishingly significant. For example, on 11 popular datasets which were used for testing deep learning algorithms and tree methods, our experiments show that the proposed tunable GMM kernels are strong competitors to trees and deep nets. The previous studies developed tree methods including "abc-robust-logitboost" and demonstrated the excellent performance on those 11 datasets (and other datasets), by establishing the second-order tree-split formula and new derivatives for multi-class logistic loss. Compared to tree methods like "abc-robust-logitboost" (which are slow and need substantial model sizes), the tunable GMM kernels produce largely comparable results.


Depth-Width Tradeoffs in Approximating Natural Functions with Neural Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We provide several new depth-based separation results for feed-forward neural networks, proving that various types of simple and natural functions can be better approximated using deeper networks than shallower ones, even if the shallower networks are much larger. This includes indicators of balls and ellipses; non-linear functions which are radial with respect to the $L_1$ norm; and smooth non-linear functions. We also show that these gaps can be observed experimentally: Increasing the depth indeed allows better learning than increasing width, when training neural networks to learn an indicator of a unit ball.


Universal adversarial perturbations

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Given a state-of-the-art deep neural network classifier, we show the existence of a universal (image-agnostic) and very small perturbation vector that causes natural images to be misclassified with high probability. We propose a systematic algorithm for computing universal perturbations, and show that state-of-the-art deep neural networks are highly vulnerable to such perturbations, albeit being quasi-imperceptible to the human eye. We further empirically analyze these universal perturbations and show, in particular, that they generalize very well across neural networks. The surprising existence of universal perturbations reveals important geometric correlations among the high-dimensional decision boundary of classifiers. It further outlines potential security breaches with the existence of single directions in the input space that adversaries can possibly exploit to break a classifier on most natural images.


Distribution-Specific Hardness of Learning Neural Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Although neural networks are routinely and successfully trained in practice using simple gradient-based methods, most existing theoretical results are negative, showing that learning such networks is difficult, in a worst-case sense over all data distributions. In this paper, we take a more nuanced view, and consider whether specific assumptions on the "niceness" of the input distribution, or "niceness" of the target function (e.g. in terms of smoothness, non-degeneracy, incoherence, random choice of parameters etc.), are sufficient to guarantee learnability using gradient-based methods. We provide evidence that neither class of assumptions alone is sufficient: On the one hand, for any member of a class of "nice" target functions, there are difficult input distributions. On the other hand, we identify a family of simple target functions, which are difficult to learn even if the input distribution is "nice". To prove our results, we develop some tools which may be of independent interest, such as extending Fourier-based hardness techniques developed in the context of statistical queries \cite{blum1994weakly}, from the Boolean cube to Euclidean space and to more general classes of functions.


Decorrelated Jet Substructure Tagging using Adversarial Neural Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We describe a strategy for constructing a neural network jet substructure tagger which powerfully discriminates boosted decay signals while remaining largely uncorrelated with the jet mass. This reduces the impact of systematic uncertainties in background modeling while enhancing signal purity, resulting in improved discovery significance relative to existing taggers. The network is trained using an adversarial strategy, resulting in a tagger that learns to balance classification accuracy with decorrelation. As a benchmark scenario, we consider the case where large-radius jets originating from a boosted resonance decay are discriminated from a background of nonresonant quark and gluon jets. We show that in the presence of systematic uncertainties on the background rate, our adversarially-trained, decorrelated tagger considerably outperforms a conventionally trained neural network, despite having a slightly worse signal-background separation power. We generalize the adversarial training technique to include a parametric dependence on the signal hypothesis, training a single network that provides optimized, interpolatable decorrelated jet tagging across a continuous range of hypothetical resonance masses, after training on discrete choices of the signal mass.


Generalizing Skills with Semi-Supervised Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Deep reinforcement learning (RL) can acquire complex behaviors from low-level inputs, such as images. However, real-world applications of such methods require generalizing to the vast variability of the real world. Deep networks are known to achieve remarkable generalization when provided with massive amounts of labeled data, but can we provide this breadth of experience to an RL agent, such as a robot? The robot might continuously learn as it explores the world around it, even while deployed. However, this learning requires access to a reward function, which is often hard to measure in real-world domains, where the reward could depend on, for example, unknown positions of objects or the emotional state of the user. Conversely, it is often quite practical to provide the agent with reward functions in a limited set of situations, such as when a human supervisor is present or in a controlled setting. Can we make use of this limited supervision, and still benefit from the breadth of experience an agent might collect on its own? In this paper, we formalize this problem as semisupervised reinforcement learning, where the reward function can only be evaluated in a set of "labeled" MDPs, and the agent must generalize its behavior to the wide range of states it might encounter in a set of "unlabeled" MDPs, by using experience from both settings. Our proposed method infers the task objective in the unlabeled MDPs through an algorithm that resembles inverse RL, using the agent's own prior experience in the labeled MDPs as a kind of demonstration of optimal behavior. We evaluate our method on challenging tasks that require control directly from images, and show that our approach can improve the generalization of a learned deep neural network policy by using experience for which no reward function is available. We also show that our method outperforms direct supervised learning of the reward.


Joint Causal Inference from Observational and Experimental Datasets

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We introduce Joint Causal Inference (JCI), a powerful formulation of causal discovery from multiple datasets that allows to jointly learn both the causal structure and targets of interventions from statistical independences in pooled data. Compared with existing constraint-based approaches for causal discovery from multiple data sets, JCI offers several advantages: it allows for several different types of interventions in a unified fashion, it can learn intervention targets, it systematically pools data across different datasets which improves the statistical power of independence tests, and most importantly, it improves on the accuracy and identifiability of the predicted causal relations. A technical complication that arises in JCI is the occurrence of faithfulness violations due to deterministic relations. We propose a simple but effective strategy for dealing with this type of faithfulness violations. We implement it in ACID, a determinism-tolerant extension of Ancestral Causal Inference (ACI) (Magliacane et al., 2016), a recently proposed logic-based causal discovery method that improves reliability of the output by exploiting redundant information in the data. We illustrate the benefits of JCI with ACID with an evaluation on a simulated dataset.


Accelerated Gradient Temporal Difference Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The family of temporal difference (TD) methods span a spectrum from computationally frugal linear methods like TD({\lambda}) to data efficient least squares methods. Least square methods make the best use of available data directly computing the TD solution and thus do not require tuning a typically highly sensitive learning rate parameter, but require quadratic computation and storage. Recent algorithmic developments have yielded several sub-quadratic methods that use an approximation to the least squares TD solution, but incur bias. In this paper, we propose a new family of accelerated gradient TD (ATD) methods that (1) provide similar data efficiency benefits to least-squares methods, at a fraction of the computation and storage (2) significantly reduce parameter sensitivity compared to linear TD methods, and (3) are asymptotically unbiased. We illustrate these claims with a proof of convergence in expectation and experiments on several benchmark domains and a large-scale industrial energy allocation domain.