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Pessimistic Data Integration for Policy Evaluation

Neural Information Processing Systems

This paper studies how to integrate historical control data with experimental data to enhance A/B testing, while addressing the distributional shift between historical and experimental datasets. We propose a pessimistic data integration method that combines two causal effect estimators constructed based on experimental and historical datasets. Our main idea is to conceptualize the weight function for this combination as a policy so that existing pessimistic policy learning algorithms are applicable to learn the optimal weight that minimizes the resulting weighted estimator's mean squared error. Additionally, we conduct comprehensive theoretical and empirical analyses to compare our method against various baseline estimators across five scenarios. Both our theoretical and numerical findings demonstrate that the proposed estimator achieves near-optimal performance across all scenarios.


Understanding Representation Dynamics of Diffusion Models via Low-Dimensional Modeling

Neural Information Processing Systems

Diffusion models, though originally designed for generative tasks, have demonstrated impressive self-supervised representation learning capabilities. A particularly intriguing phenomenon in these models is the emergence of unimodal representation dynamics, where the quality of learned features peaks at an intermediate noise level. In this work, we conduct a comprehensive theoretical and empirical investigation of this phenomenon. Leveraging the inherent low-dimensionality structure of image data, we theoretically demonstrate that the unimodal dynamic emerges when the diffusion model successfully captures the underlying data distribution. The unimodality arises from an interplay between denoising strength and class confidence across noise scales. Empirically, we further show that, in classification tasks, the presence of unimodal dynamics reliably reflects the diffusion model's generalization: it emerges when the model generate novel images and gradually transitions to a monotonically decreasing curve as the model begins to memorize the training data.


AgentNet: Decentralized Evolutionary Coordination for LLM-based Multi-Agent Systems

Neural Information Processing Systems

The rapid advancement of large language models (LLMs) has enabled the development of multi-agent systems where multiple LLM-based agents collaborate on complex tasks. However, existing systems often rely on centralized coordination, leading to scalability bottlenecks, reduced adaptability, and single points of failure. Privacy and proprietary knowledge concerns further hinder cross-organizational collaboration, resulting in siloed expertise. We propose AgentNet, a decentralized, Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG)-based framework that enables LLM-based agents to specialize, evolve, and collaborate autonomously in a dynamically structured Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG). Unlike prior approaches with static roles or centralized control, AgentNet allows agents to adjust connectivity and route tasks based on local expertise and context. AgentNet introduces three key innovations: (1) a fully decentralized coordination mechanism that eliminates the need for a central orchestrator, enhancing robustness and emergent intelligence; (2) dynamic agent graph topology that adapts in real time to task demands, ensuring scalability and resilience; and (3) a retrieval-based memory system for agents that supports continual skill refinement and specialization. By minimizing centralized control and data exchange, AgentNet enables fault-tolerant, privacy-preserving collaboration across organizations. Experiments show that AgentNet achieves higher task accuracy than both single-agent and centralized multi-agent baselines.


ABeyond-Worst-Case Analysis of Greedy k-means + +

Neural Information Processing Systems

Greedy k-means++ is a generalization of k-means++ where, in each iteration, a new seed is greedily chosen among multiple โ„“ 2points sampled, as opposed to a single seed being sampled in k-means++. While empirical studies consistently show the superior performance of greedy k-means++, making it a preferred method in practice, a discrepancy exists between theory and practice. No theoretical justification currently explains this improved performance. Indeed, the prevailing theory suggests that greedy k-means++ exhibits worse performance than k-means++ in worst-case scenarios. This paper presents an analysis demonstrating the outperformance of the greedy algorithm compared to k-means++ for a natural class of well-separated instances with exponentially decaying distributions, such as Gaussian, specifically when โ„“ = lnk +ฮ˜(1), a common parameter setting in practical applications.


Self-Training with Dynamic Weighting for Robust Gradual Domain Adaptation

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this paper, we propose a new method called Self-Training with Dynamic Weighting (STDW), which aims to enhance robustness in Gradual Domain Adaptation (GDA) by addressing the challenge of smooth knowledge migration from the source to the target domain. Traditional GDA methods mitigate domain shift through intermediate domains and self-training but often suffer from inefficient knowledge migration or incomplete intermediate data. Our approach introduces a dynamic weighting mechanism that adaptively balances the loss contributions of the source and target domains during training. Specifically, we design an optimization framework governed by a time-varying hyperparameter ฯฑ (progressing from 0 to 1), which controls the strength of domain-specific learning and ensures stable adaptation. The method leverages self-training to generate pseudo-labels and optimizes a weighted objective function for iterative model updates, maintaining robustness across intermediate domains. Experiments on rotated MNIST, color-shifted MNIST, portrait datasets, and the Cover Type dataset demonstrate that STDW outperforms existing baselines.


HeavyWaterand SimplexWater: Distortion-free LLM Watermarks for Low-Entropy Distributions

Neural Information Processing Systems

Large language model (LLM) watermarks enable authentication of text provenance, curb misuse of machine-generated text, and promote trust in AI systems. Current watermarks operate by changing the next-token predictions output by an LLM. The updated (i.e., watermarked) predictions depend on random side information produced, for example, by hashing previously generated tokens. LLM watermarking is particularly challenging when next-token predictions are near-deterministic. In fact, over 90% of next-token distributions are low-entropy, with more than half of the probability mass on a single token.


LoTA-QAF: Lossless Ternary Adaptation for Quantization-Aware Fine-Tuning

Neural Information Processing Systems

Quantization and fine-tuning are crucial for deploying large language models (LLMs) on resource-constrained edge devices. However, fine-tuning quantized models presents significant challenges, primarily stemming from: First, the mismatch in data types between the low-precision quantized weights (e.g., 4-bit) and the high-precision adaptation weights (e.g., 16-bit). This mismatch limits the computational efficiency advantage offered by quantized weights during inference.


The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Entropy Minimization in LLMReasoning

Neural Information Processing Systems

Entropy minimization (EM) trains the model to concentrate even more probability mass on its most confident outputs. We show that this simple objective alone, without any labeled data, can substantially improve large language models' (LLMs) performance on challenging math, physics, and coding tasks. We explore three approaches: (1) EM-FT minimizes token-level entropy similarly to instruction finetuning, but on unlabeled outputs drawn from the model; (2) EM-RL: reinforcement learning with negative entropy as the only reward to maximize; (3) EM-INF: inference-time logit adjustment to reduce entropy without any training data or parameter updates. On Qwen-7B, EM-RL, without any labeled data, achieves comparable or better performance than strong RL baselines such as GRPO [68] and RLOO [1] that are trained on 60K labeled examples. Furthermore, EM-INF enables Qwen-32B to match or exceed the performance of proprietary models like GPT-4o, Claude 3 Opus, and Gemini 1.5 Pro on the challenging SciCode benchmark [78], while being 3x more efficient than self-consistency and sequential refinement. Our findings reveal that many pretrained LLMs possess previously underappreciated reasoning capabilities that can be effectively elicited through entropy minimization alone, without any labeled data or even any parameter updates. 1


On the Coexistence and Ensembling of Watermarks

Neural Information Processing Systems

Watermarking, the practice of embedding imperceptible information into media such as images, videos, audio, and text, is essential for intellectual property protection, content provenance and attribution. The growing complexity of digital ecosystems necessitates watermarks for different uses to be embedded in the same media. However, to detect and decode all watermarks, they need to coexist well with one another. We perform the first study of coexistence of deep image watermarking methods and, contrary to intuition, we find that various open-source watermarks can coexist with only minor impacts on image quality and decoding robustness. The coexistence of watermarks also opens the avenue for ensembling watermarking methods. We show how ensembling can increase the overall message capacity and enable new trade-offs between capacity, accuracy, robustness and image quality, without needing to retrain the base models.


Democratizing Clinical Risk Prediction with Cross-Cohort Cross-Modal Knowledge Transfer

Neural Information Processing Systems

Clinical risk prediction plays a crucial role in early disease detection and personalized intervention. While recent models increasingly incorporate multimodal data, their development typically assumes access to large-scale, multimodal datasets and substantial computational resources. In practice, however, most clinical sites operate under resource constraints, with access limited to EHR data alone and insufficient capacity to train complicated models. This gap highlights the urgent need to democratize clinical risk prediction by enabling effective deployment in dataand resource-limited local clinical settings. In this work, we propose a cross-cohort cross-modal knowledge transfer framework that leverages the multimodal model trained on a nationwide cohort and adapts it to local cohorts with only EHR data. We focus on EHR and genetic data as representative multimodal inputs and address two key challenges. First, to mitigate the influence of noisy or less informative biological signals, we propose a novel mixture-of-aggregations design to enhance the modeling of informative and relevant genetic features. Second, to support rapid model adaptation in low-resource sites, we develop a lightweight graph-guided fine-tuning method that adapts pretrained phenotypical EHR representations to local cohorts using limited patient data. Extensive experiments on real-world clinical data validate the effectiveness of our proposed model.