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Data-driven Traffic Simulation: A Comprehensive Review

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Autonomous vehicles (AVs) have the potential to significantly revolutionize society by providing a secure and efficient mode of transportation. Recent years have witnessed notable advancements in autonomous driving perception and prediction, but the challenge of validating the performance of AVs remains largely unresolved. Data-driven microscopic traffic simulation has become an important tool for autonomous driving testing due to 1) availability of high-fidelity traffic data; 2) its advantages of enabling large-scale testing and scenario reproducibility; and 3) its potential in reactive and realistic traffic simulation. However, a comprehensive review of this topic is currently lacking. This paper aims to fill this gap by summarizing relevant studies. The primary objective of this paper is to review current research efforts and provide a futuristic perspective that will benefit future developments in the field. It introduces the general issues of data-driven traffic simulation and outlines key concepts and terms. After overviewing traffic simulation, various datasets and evaluation metrics commonly used are reviewed. The paper then offers a comprehensive evaluation of imitation learning, reinforcement learning, deep generative and deep learning methods, summarizing each and analyzing their advantages and disadvantages in detail. Moreover, it evaluates the state-of-the-art, existing challenges, and future research directions.


The SocialAI School: Insights from Developmental Psychology Towards Artificial Socio-Cultural Agents

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Developmental psychologists have long-established the importance of socio-cognitive abilities in human intelligence. These abilities enable us to enter, participate and benefit from human culture. AI research on social interactive agents mostly concerns the emergence of culture in a multi-agent setting (often without a strong grounding in developmental psychology). We argue that AI research should be informed by psychology and study socio-cognitive abilities enabling to enter a culture too. We discuss the theories of Michael Tomasello and Jerome Bruner to introduce some of their concepts to AI and outline key concepts and socio-cognitive abilities. We present The SocialAI school - a tool including a customizable parameterized uite of procedurally generated environments, which simplifies conducting experiments regarding those concepts. We show examples of such experiments with RL agents and Large Language Models. The main motivation of this work is to engage the AI community around the problem of social intelligence informed by developmental psychology, and to provide a tool to simplify first steps in this direction. Refer to the project website for code and additional information: https://sites.google.com/view/socialai-school.


Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks for Predictive Learning in Urban Computing: A Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With recent advances in sensing technologies, a myriad of spatio-temporal data has been generated and recorded in smart cities. Forecasting the evolution patterns of spatio-temporal data is an important yet demanding aspect of urban computing, which can enhance intelligent management decisions in various fields, including transportation, environment, climate, public safety, healthcare, and others. Traditional statistical and deep learning methods struggle to capture complex correlations in urban spatio-temporal data. To this end, Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNN) have been proposed, achieving great promise in recent years. STGNNs enable the extraction of complex spatio-temporal dependencies by integrating graph neural networks (GNNs) and various temporal learning methods. In this manuscript, we provide a comprehensive survey on recent progress on STGNN technologies for predictive learning in urban computing. Firstly, we provide a brief introduction to the construction methods of spatio-temporal graph data and the prevalent deep-learning architectures used in STGNNs. We then sort out the primary application domains and specific predictive learning tasks based on existing literature. Afterward, we scrutinize the design of STGNNs and their combination with some advanced technologies in recent years. Finally, we conclude the limitations of existing research and suggest potential directions for future work.


Forecasting Cryptocurrency Prices Using Deep Learning: Integrating Financial, Blockchain, and Text Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper explores the application of Machine Learning (ML) and Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques in cryptocurrency price forecasting, specifically Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). Focusing on news and social media data, primarily from Twitter and Reddit, we analyse the influence of public sentiment on cryptocurrency valuations using advanced deep learning NLP methods. Alongside conventional price regression, we treat cryptocurrency price forecasting as a classification problem. This includes both the prediction of price movements (up or down) and the identification of local extrema. We compare the performance of various ML models, both with and without NLP data integration. Our findings reveal that incorporating NLP data significantly enhances the forecasting performance of our models. We discover that pre-trained models, such as Twitter-RoBERTa and BART MNLI, are highly effective in capturing market sentiment, and that fine-tuning Large Language Models (LLMs) also yields substantial forecasting improvements. Notably, the BART MNLI zero-shot classification model shows considerable proficiency in extracting bullish and bearish signals from textual data. All of our models consistently generate profit across different validation scenarios, with no observed decline in profits or reduction in the impact of NLP data over time. The study highlights the potential of text analysis in improving financial forecasts and demonstrates the effectiveness of various NLP techniques in capturing nuanced market sentiment.


Sensitivity-Aware Amortized Bayesian Inference

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Bayesian inference is a powerful framework for making probabilistic inferences and decisions under uncertainty. Fundamental choices in modern Bayesian workflows concern the specification of the likelihood function and prior distributions, the posterior approximator, and the data. Each choice can significantly influence model-based inference and subsequent decisions, thereby necessitating sensitivity analysis. In this work, we propose a multifaceted approach to integrate sensitivity analyses into amortized Bayesian inference (ABI, i.e., simulation-based inference with neural networks). First, we utilize weight sharing to encode the structural similarities between alternative likelihood and prior specifications in the training process with minimal computational overhead. Second, we leverage the rapid inference of neural networks to assess sensitivity to various data perturbations or pre-processing procedures. In contrast to most other Bayesian approaches, both steps circumvent the costly bottleneck of refitting the model(s) for each choice of likelihood, prior, or dataset. Finally, we propose to use neural network ensembles to evaluate variation in results induced by unreliable approximation on unseen data. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our method in applied modeling problems, ranging from the estimation of disease outbreak dynamics and global warming thresholds to the comparison of human decision-making models. Our experiments showcase how our approach enables practitioners to effectively unveil hidden relationships between modeling choices and inferential conclusions.


A comprehensive survey on rare event prediction

AIHub

Rare events are infrequent incidents characterized by scarcity, often presenting computational challenges in data analysis. These events don't happen often, as the name suggests, but they significantly impact when they do. For example, in pulp-and-paper manufacturing, paper breakage that occurs 1%, can cost $10,000/hour. Predicting such elusive occurrences is important in cost management, operational efficiency, and energy conservation. In fact, these rare events are hidden pieces that, when discovered and understood, can lead to better decision-making and more efficient models.


Artificial Intelligence in the Service of Entrepreneurial Finance: Knowledge Structure and the Foundational Algorithmic Paradigm

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

While the application of Artificial Intelligence in Finance has a long tradition, its potential in Entrepreneurship has been intensively explored only recently. In this context, Entrepreneurial Finance is a particularly fertile ground for future Artificial Intelligence proliferation. To support the latter, the study provides a bibliometric review of Artificial Intelligence applications in (1) entrepreneurial finance literature, and (2) corporate finance literature with implications for Entrepreneurship. Rigorous search and screening procedures of the scientific database Web of Science Core Collection resulted in the identification of 1890 relevant journal articles subjected to analysis. The bibliometric analysis gives a rich insight into the knowledge field's conceptual, intellectual, and social structure, indicating nascent and underdeveloped research directions. As far as we were able to identify, this is the first study to map and bibliometrically analyze the academic field concerning the relationship between Artificial Intelligence, Entrepreneurship, and Finance, and the first review that deals with Artificial Intelligence methods in Entrepreneurship. According to the results, Artificial Neural Network, Deep Neural Network and Support Vector Machine are highly represented in almost all identified topic niches. At the same time, applying Topic Modeling, Fuzzy Neural Network and Growing Hierarchical Self-organizing Map is quite rare. As an element of the research, and before final remarks, the article deals as well with a discussion of certain gaps in the relationship between Computer Science and Economics. These gaps do represent problems in the application of Artificial Intelligence in Economic Science. As a way to at least in part remedy this situation, the foundational paradigm and the bespoke demonstration of the Monte Carlo randomized algorithm are presented.


Revolutionizing Underwater Exploration of Autonomous Underwater Vehicles (AUVs) and Seabed Image Processing Techniques

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The oceans in the Earth's in one of the last border lines on the World, with only a fraction of their depths having been explored. Advancements in technology have led to the development of Autonomous Underwater Vehicles (AUVs) that can operate independently and perform complex tasks underwater. These vehicles have revolutionized underwater exploration, allowing us to study and understand our oceans like never before. In addition to AUVs, image processing techniques have also been developed that can help us to better understand the seabed and its features. In this comprehensive survey, we will explore the latest advancements in AUV technology and seabed image processing techniques. We'll discuss how these advancements are changing the way we explore and understand our oceans, and their potential impact on the future of marine science. Join us on this journey to discover the exciting world of underwater exploration and the technologies that are driving it forward.


Learning Safe Control for Multi-Robot Systems: Methods, Verification, and Open Challenges

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this survey, we review the recent advances in control design methods for robotic multi-agent systems (MAS), focussing on learning-based methods with safety considerations. We start by reviewing various notions of safety and liveness properties, and modeling frameworks used for problem formulation of MAS. Then we provide a comprehensive review of learning-based methods for safe control design for multi-robot systems. We start with various types of shielding-based methods, such as safety certificates, predictive filters, and reachability tools. Then, we review the current state of control barrier certificate learning in both a centralized and distributed manner, followed by a comprehensive review of multi-agent reinforcement learning with a particular focus on safety. Next, we discuss the state-of-the-art verification tools for the correctness of learning-based methods. Based on the capabilities and the limitations of the state of the art methods in learning and verification for MAS, we identify various broad themes for open challenges: how to design methods that can achieve good performance along with safety guarantees; how to decompose single-agent based centralized methods for MAS; how to account for communication-related practical issues; and how to assess transfer of theoretical guarantees to practice.


DNA-TEQ: An Adaptive Exponential Quantization of Tensors for DNN Inference

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Quantization is commonly used in Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to reduce the storage and computational complexity by decreasing the arithmetical precision of activations and weights, a.k.a. tensors. Efficient hardware architectures employ linear quantization to enable the deployment of recent DNNs onto embedded systems and mobile devices. However, linear uniform quantization cannot usually reduce the numerical precision to less than 8 bits without sacrificing high performance in terms of model accuracy. The performance loss is due to the fact that tensors do not follow uniform distributions. In this paper, we show that a significant amount of tensors fit into an exponential distribution. Then, we propose DNA-TEQ to exponentially quantize DNN tensors with an adaptive scheme that achieves the best trade-off between numerical precision and accuracy loss. The experimental results show that DNA-TEQ provides a much lower quantization bit-width compared to previous proposals, resulting in an average compression ratio of 40% over the linear INT8 baseline, with negligible accuracy loss and without retraining the DNNs. Besides, DNA-TEQ leads the way in performing dot-product operations in the exponential domain, which saves 66% of energy consumption on average for a set of widely used DNNs.