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Towards Foundation Models: Evaluation of Geoscience Artificial Intelligence with Uncertainty

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence (AI) has transformed the geoscience community with deep learning models (DLMs) that are trained to complete specific tasks within workflows. This success has led to the development of geoscience foundation models (FMs), which promise to accomplish multiple tasks within a workflow or replace the workflow altogether. However, lack of robust evaluation frameworks, even for traditional DLMs, leaves the geoscience community ill prepared for the inevitable adoption of FMs. We address this gap by designing an evaluation framework that jointly incorporates three crucial aspects to current DLMs and future FMs: performance uncertainty, learning efficiency, and overlapping training-test data splits. To target the three aspects, we meticulously construct the training, validation, and test splits using clustering methods tailored to geoscience data and enact an expansive training design to segregate performance uncertainty arising from stochastic training processes and random data sampling. The framework's ability to guard against misleading declarations of model superiority is demonstrated through evaluation of PhaseNet, a popular seismic phase picking DLM, under 3 training approaches. Furthermore, we show how the performance gains due to overlapping training-test data can lead to biased FM evaluation. Our framework helps practitioners choose the best model for their problem and set performance expectations by explicitly analyzing model performance at varying budgets of training data.


Fast Multi-Party Open-Ended Conversation with a Social Robot

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents the implementation and evaluation of a conversational agent designed for multi-party open-ended interactions. Leveraging state-of-the-art technologies such as voice direction of arrival, voice recognition, face tracking, and large language models, the system aims to facilitate natural and intuitive human-robot conversations. Deployed on the Furhat robot, the system was tested with 30 participants engaging in open-ended group conversations and then in two overlapping discussions. Quantitative metrics, such as latencies and recognition accuracy, along with qualitative measures from user questionnaires, were collected to assess performance. The results highlight the system's effectiveness in managing multi-party interactions, though improvements are needed in response relevance and latency. This study contributes valuable insights for advancing human-robot interaction, particularly in enhancing the naturalness and engagement in group conversations.


The Mathematics of Artificial Intelligence

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This overview article highlights the critical role of mathematics in artificial intelligence (AI), emphasizing that mathematics provides tools to better understand and enhance AI systems. Conversely, AI raises new problems and drives the development of new mathematics at the intersection of various fields. This article focuses on the application of analytical and probabilistic tools to model neural network architectures and better understand their optimization. Statistical questions (particularly the generalization capacity of these networks) are intentionally set aside, though they are of crucial importance. We also shed light on the evolution of ideas that have enabled significant advances in AI through architectures tailored to specific tasks, each echoing distinct mathematical techniques. The goal is to encourage more mathematicians to take an interest in and contribute to this exciting field.


A Blockchain-Enabled Approach to Cross-Border Compliance and Trust

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As artificial intelligence (AI) systems become increasingly integral to critical infrastructure and global operations, the need for a unified, trustworthy governance framework is more urgent that ever. This paper proposes a novel approach to AI governance, utilizing blockchain and distributed ledger technologies (DLT) to establish a decentralized, globally recognized framework that ensures security, privacy, and trustworthiness of AI systems across borders. The paper presents specific implementation scenarios within the financial sector, outlines a phased deployment timeline over the next decade, and addresses potential challenges with solutions grounded in current research. By synthesizing advancements in blockchain, AI ethics, and cybersecurity, this paper offers a comprehensive roadmap for a decentralized AI governance framework capable of adapting to the complex and evolving landscape of global AI regulation.


Multimodal-to-Text Prompt Engineering in Large Language Models Using Feature Embeddings for GNSS Interference Characterization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Large language models (LLMs) are advanced AI systems applied across various domains, including NLP, information retrieval, and recommendation systems. Despite their adaptability and efficiency, LLMs have not been extensively explored for signal processing tasks, particularly in the domain of global navigation satellite system (GNSS) interference monitoring. GNSS interference monitoring is essential to ensure the reliability of vehicle localization on roads, a critical requirement for numerous applications. However, GNSS-based positioning is vulnerable to interference from jamming devices, which can compromise its accuracy. The primary objective is to identify, classify, and mitigate these interferences. Interpreting GNSS snapshots and the associated interferences presents significant challenges due to the inherent complexity, including multipath effects, diverse interference types, varying sensor characteristics, and satellite constellations. In this paper, we extract features from a large GNSS dataset and employ LLaVA to retrieve relevant information from an extensive knowledge base. We employ prompt engineering to interpret the interferences and environmental factors, and utilize t-SNE to analyze the feature embeddings. Our findings demonstrate that the proposed method is capable of visual and logical reasoning within the GNSS context. Furthermore, our pipeline outperforms state-of-the-art machine learning models in interference classification tasks.


Dynamic Localisation of Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Network

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Spatial-temporal data, fundamental to many intelligent applications, reveals dependencies indicating causal links between present measurements at specific locations and historical data at the same or other locations. Within this context, adaptive spatial-temporal graph neural networks (ASTGNNs) have emerged as valuable tools for modelling these dependencies, especially through a data-driven approach rather than pre-defined spatial graphs. While this approach offers higher accuracy, it presents increased computational demands. Addressing this challenge, this paper delves into the concept of localisation within ASTGNNs, introducing an innovative perspective that spatial dependencies should be dynamically evolving over time. We introduce \textit{DynAGS}, a localised ASTGNN framework aimed at maximising efficiency and accuracy in distributed deployment. This framework integrates dynamic localisation, time-evolving spatial graphs, and personalised localisation, all orchestrated around the Dynamic Graph Generator, a light-weighted central module leveraging cross attention. The central module can integrate historical information in a node-independent manner to enhance the feature representation of nodes at the current moment. This improved feature representation is then used to generate a dynamic sparse graph without the need for costly data exchanges, and it supports personalised localisation. Performance assessments across two core ASTGNN architectures and nine real-world datasets from various applications reveal that \textit{DynAGS} outshines current benchmarks, underscoring that the dynamic modelling of spatial dependencies can drastically improve model expressibility, flexibility, and system efficiency, especially in distributed settings.


AI-based Identity Fraud Detection: A Systematic Review

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With the rapid development of digital services, a large volume of personally identifiable information (PII) is stored online and is subject to cyberattacks such as Identity fraud. Most recently, the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) enabled deep fake technologies has significantly increased the complexity of identity fraud. Fraudsters may use these technologies to create highly sophisticated counterfeit personal identification documents, photos and videos. These advancements in the identity fraud landscape pose challenges for identity fraud detection and society at large. There is a pressing need to review and understand identity fraud detection methods, their limitations and potential solutions. This research aims to address this important need by using the well-known systematic literature review method. This paper reviewed a selected set of 43 papers across 4 major academic literature databases. In particular, the review results highlight the two types of identity fraud prevention and detection methods, in-depth and open challenges. The results were also consolidated into a taxonomy of AI-based identity fraud detection and prevention methods including key insights and trends. Overall, this paper provides a foundational knowledge base to researchers and practitioners for further research and development in this important area of digital identity fraud.


Foundations of Large Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The development of neural sequence models, such as Transformers [Vaswani et al., 2017], along with the improvements in large-scale self-supervised learning, has opened the door to universal language understanding and generation. This achievement is largely motivated by pre-training: we separate common components from many neural network-based systems, and then train them on huge amounts of unlabeled data using self-supervision. These pre-trained models serve as foundation models that can be easily adapted to different tasks via fine-tuning or prompting. As a result, the paradigm of NLP has been enormously changed. In many cases, large-scale supervised learning for specific tasks is no longer required, and instead, we only need to adapt pre-trained foundation models.


Mantis Shrimp: Exploring Photometric Band Utilization in Computer Vision Networks for Photometric Redshift Estimation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present Mantis Shrimp, a multi-survey deep learning model for photometric redshift estimation that fuses ultra-violet (GALEX), optical (PanSTARRS), and infrared (UnWISE) imagery. Machine learning is now an established approach for photometric redshift estimation, with generally acknowledged higher performance in areas with a high density of spectroscopically identified galaxies over template-based methods. Multiple works have shown that image-based convolutional neural networks can outperform tabular-based color/magnitude models. In comparison to tabular models, image models have additional design complexities: it is largely unknown how to fuse inputs from different instruments which have different resolutions or noise properties. The Mantis Shrimp model estimates the conditional density estimate of redshift using cutout images. The density estimates are well calibrated and the point estimates perform well in the distribution of available spectroscopically confirmed galaxies with (bias = 1e-2), scatter (NMAD = 2.44e-2) and catastrophic outlier rate ($\eta$=17.53$\%$). We find that early fusion approaches (e.g., resampling and stacking images from different instruments) match the performance of late fusion approaches (e.g., concatenating latent space representations), so that the design choice ultimately is left to the user. Finally, we study how the models learn to use information across bands, finding evidence that our models successfully incorporates information from all surveys. The applicability of our model to the analysis of large populations of galaxies is limited by the speed of downloading cutouts from external servers; however, our model could be useful in smaller studies such as generating priors over redshift for stellar population synthesis.


Deep Learning Meets Queue-Reactive: A Framework for Realistic Limit Order Book Simulation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The Queue-Reactive model introduced by Huang et al. (2015) has become a standard tool for limit order book modeling, widely adopted by both researchers and practitioners for its simplicity and effectiveness. We present the Multidimensional Deep Queue-Reactive (MDQR) model, which extends this framework in three ways: it relaxes the assumption of queue independence, enriches the state space with market features, and models the distribution of order sizes. Through a neural network architecture, the model learns complex dependencies between different price levels and adapts to varying market conditions, while preserving the interpretable point-process foundation of the original framework. Using data from the Bund futures market, we show that MDQR captures key market properties including the square-root law of market impact, cross-queue correlations, and realistic order size patterns. The model demonstrates particular strength in reproducing both conditional and stationary distributions of order sizes, as well as various stylized facts of market microstructure. The model achieves this while maintaining the computational efficiency needed for practical applications such as strategy development through reinforcement learning or realistic backtesting.