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A Survey on Latent Tree Models and Applications

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

In data analysis, latent variables play a central role because they help provide powerful insights into a wide variety of phenomena, ranging from biological to human sciences. The latent tree model, a particular type of probabilistic graphical models, deserves attention. Its simple structure - a tree - allows simple and efficient inference, while its latent variables capture complex relationships. In the past decade, the latent tree model has been subject to significant theoretical and methodological developments. In this review, we propose a comprehensive study of this model. First we summarize key ideas underlying the model. Second we explain how it can be efficiently learned from data. Third we illustrate its use within three types of applications: latent structure discovery, multidimensional clustering, and probabilistic inference. Finally, we conclude and give promising directions for future researches in this field.


Scheduling a Dynamic Aircraft Repair Shop with Limited Repair Resources

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

We address a dynamic repair shop scheduling problem in the context of military aircraft fleet management where the goal is to maintain a full complement of aircraft over the long-term. A number of flights, each with a requirement for a specific number and type of aircraft, are already scheduled over a long horizon. We need to assign aircraft to flights and schedule repair activities while considering the flights requirements, repair capacity, and aircraft failures. The number of aircraft awaiting repair dynamically changes over time due to failures and it is therefore necessary to rebuild the repair schedule online. To solve the problem, we view the dynamic repair shop as successive static repair scheduling sub-problems over shorter time periods. We propose a complete approach based on the logic-based Benders decomposition to solve the static sub-problems, and design different rescheduling policies to schedule the dynamic repair shop. Computational experiments demonstrate that the Benders model is able to find and prove optimal solutions on average four times faster than a mixed integer programming model. The rescheduling approach having both aspects of scheduling over a longer horizon and quickly adjusting the schedule increases aircraft available in the long term by 10% compared to the approaches having either one of the aspects alone.


Online Portfolio Selection: A Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Online portfolio selection is a fundamental problem in computational finance, which has been extensively studied across several research communities, including finance, statistics, artificial intelligence, machine learning, and data mining, etc. This article aims to provide a comprehensive survey and a structural understanding of published online portfolio selection techniques. From an online machine learning perspective, we first formulate online portfolio selection as a sequential decision problem, and then survey a variety of state-of-the-art approaches, which are grouped into several major categories, including benchmarks, "Follow-the-Winner" approaches, "Follow-the-Loser" approaches, "Pattern-Matching" based approaches, and "Meta-Learning Algorithms". In addition to the problem formulation and related algorithms, we also discuss the relationship of these algorithms with the Capital Growth theory in order to better understand the similarities and differences of their underlying trading ideas. This article aims to provide a timely and comprehensive survey for both machine learning and data mining researchers in academia and quantitative portfolio managers in the financial industry to help them understand the state-of-the-art and facilitate their research and practical applications. We also discuss some open issues and evaluate some emerging new trends for future research directions.


The state-of-the-art in web-scale semantic information processing for cloud computing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Based on integrated infrastructure of resource sharing and computing in distributed environment, cloud computing involves the provision of dynamically scalable and provides virtualized resources as services over the Internet. These applications also bring a large scale heterogeneous and distributed information which pose a great challenge in terms of the semantic ambiguity. It is critical for application services in cloud computing environment to provide users intelligent service and precise information. Semantic information processing can help users deal with semantic ambiguity and information overload efficiently through appropriate semantic models and semantic information processing technology. The semantic information processing have been successfully employed in many fields such as the knowledge representation, natural language understanding, intelligent web search, etc. The purpose of this report is to give an overview of existing technologies for semantic information processing in cloud computing environment, to propose a research direction for addressing distributed semantic reasoning and parallel semantic computing by exploiting semantic information newly available in cloud computing environment.


Towards a theory of good SAT representations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We aim at providing a foundation of a theory of "good" SAT representations F of boolean functions f. We argue that the hierarchy UC_k of unit-refutation complete clause-sets of level k, introduced by the authors, provides the most basic target classes, that is, F in UC_k is to be achieved for k as small as feasible. If F does not contain new variables, i.e., F is equivalent (as a CNF) to f, then F in UC_1 is similar to "achieving (generalised) arc consistency" known from the literature (it is somewhat weaker, but theoretically much nicer to handle). We show that for polysize representations of boolean functions in this sense, the hierarchy UC_k is strict. The boolean functions for these separations are "doped" minimally unsatisfiable clause-sets of deficiency 1; these functions have been introduced in [Sloan, Soerenyi, Turan, 2007], and we generalise their construction and show a correspondence to a strengthened notion of irredundant sub-clause-sets. Turning from lower bounds to upper bounds, we believe that many common CNF representations fit into the UC_k scheme, and we give some basic tools to construct representations in UC_1 with new variables, based on the Tseitin translation. Note that regarding new variables the UC_1-representations are stronger than mere "arc consistency", since the new variables are not excluded from consideration.


RoboCup Rescue Robot and Simulation Leagues

AI Magazine

The RoboCup Rescue Robot and Simulation competitions have been held since 2000. The experience gained during these competitions has increased the maturity level of the field, which allowed deploying robots after real disasters (for example, Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster). This article provides an overview of these competitions and highlights the state of the art and the lessons learned.


Deployed Innovative Applications of Artificial Intelligence 2012

AI Magazine

Our selections for this issue describe deployed applications. They explain the context, requirements, and constraints of the application, how the technology was adapted to satisfy those factors, and the impact that this innovation brought to the operation in terms of cost and performance. The articles also supply useful insights into use cases that we hope can also be translated to other work that the AI community is engaged in. In the first of these deployed application articles, eBird: A Human/Computer Learning Network to Improve Biodiversity Conservation and Research by Steve Kelling, Carl Lagoze, Weng-Keen Wong, Jun Yu, Theodoros Damoulas, Jeff Gerbracht, Daniel Fink, and Carla Gomes, the authors describe an intriguing application that successfully combines the best in human and artificial computing capabilities with an active feedback loop between people and machines. The next two papers articles describe high-value industrial applications where diagnostic capabilities avoid considerable cost and accidents on a daily basis.


Statistical Anomaly Detection for Train Fleets

AI Magazine

The Swedish Institute of Computer Science (SICS) has for several years developed methods for statistical anomaly detection based on a framework called Bayesian principal anomaly (Holst and Ekman 2011). In this article we describe a novel application Addtrack is a tool developed originally by Bombardier domain for the anomaly-detection method: condition Transportation for general analysis, monitoring, monitoring of trains (Holst, Ekman, and and visualization of train conditions and Larsen 2006). It is "intelligent" in statistical models. There are currently many the sense that analysis modules, such as the one popular anomaly-detection methods based on described in this article, can be used to preprocess nonparametric models (see, for example, Ahmed, and visualize data sets. Addtrack, including the anomalydetection model is very general since the parametric module described in this article, is forms of the distributions need not be currently deployed in Sweden, India, China, and known.


Reports on the 2012 AAAI Fall Symposium Series

AI Magazine

The Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence was pleased to present the 2012 Fall Symposium Series, held Friday through Sunday, November 2–4, at the Westin Arlington Gateway in Arlington, Virginia. The titles of the eight symposia were as follows: AI for Gerontechnology (FS-12-01), Artificial Intelligence of Humor (FS-12-02), Discovery Informatics: The Role of AI Research in Innovating Scientific Processes (FS-12-03), Human Control of Bio-Inspired Swarms (FS-12-04), Information Retrieval and Knowledge Discovery in Biomedical Text (FS-12-05), Machine Aggregation of Human Judgment (FS-12-06), Robots Learning Interactively from Human Teachers (FS-12-07), and Social Networks and Social Contagion (FS-12-08). The highlights of each symposium are presented in this report.


Stochastic Simulation of Bayesian Belief Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper examines Bayesian belief network inference using simulation as a method for computing the posterior probabilities of network variables. Specifically, it examines the use of a method described by Henrion, called logic sampling, and a method described by Pearl, called stochastic simulation. We first review the conditions under which logic sampling is computationally infeasible. Such cases motivated the development of the Pearl's stochastic simulation algorithm. We have found that this stochastic simulation algorithm, when applied to certain networks, leads to much slower than expected convergence to the true posterior probabilities. This behavior is a result of the tendency for local areas in the network to become fixed through many simulation cycles. The time required to obtain significant convergence can be made arbitrarily long by strengthening the probabilistic dependency between nodes. We propose the use of several forms of graph modification, such as graph pruning, arc reversal, and node reduction, in order to convert some networks into formats that are computationally more efficient for simulation.