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Adaptive Selective Sampling for Online Prediction with Experts

Neural Information Processing Systems

We consider online prediction of a binary sequence with expert advice. For this setting, we devise label-efficient forecasting algorithms, which use a selective sampling scheme that enables collecting much fewer labels than standard procedures. For the general case without a perfect expert, we prove best-of-both-worlds guarantees, demonstrating that the proposed forecasting algorithm always queries sufficiently many labels in the worst case to obtain optimal regret guarantees, while simultaneously querying much fewer labels in more benign settings. Specifically, for a scenario where one expert is strictly better than the others in expectation, we show that the label complexity of the label-efficient forecaster is roughly upperbounded by the square root of the number of rounds. Finally, we present numerical experiments empirically showing that the normalized regret of the label-efficient forecaster can asymptotically match known minimax rates for pool-based active learning, suggesting it can optimally adapt to benign settings.







Grok tells researchers pretending to be delusional 'drive an iron nail through the mirror while reciting Psalm 91 backwards'

The Guardian

Researchers found X's AI assistant Grok 4 .1 was'the model most willing to operationalise a delusion, providing detailed real-world guidance'. Researchers found X's AI assistant Grok 4 .1 was'the model most willing to operationalise a delusion, providing detailed real-world guidance'. Grok tells researchers pretending to be delusional'drive an iron nail through the mirror while reciting Psalm 91 backwards' Elon Musk's AI chatbot'extremely validating' of delusional inputs and often went further, 'elaborating new material', study finds Elon Musk's AI chatbot Grok 4.1 told researchers pretending to be delusional that there was indeed a doppelganger in their mirror and they should drive an iron nail through the glass while reciting Psalm 91 backwards. Researchers at the City University of New York (Cuny) and King's College London have published a paper on how various chatbots protect - or fail to safeguard - users' mental health. Experts are increasingly warning that psychosis or mania can be fuelled by AI chatbots.


SoftBank prepares to manufacture batteries for AI data centers

The Japan Times

SoftBank Group's mobile unit plans to transform part of its factory in Osaka Prefecture into one of Japan's biggest production lines for large-scale batteries in an ambitious attempt at powering its own artificial intelligence data centers. SoftBank Corp. aims to bring that production online within the next five years, according to people familiar with the matter. They asked not to be named as deliberations remain private. After SoftBank executives mulled different purposes for the plant in the city of Sakai, including robotics manufacturing, they decided to pursue energy. The Tokyo-based group led by Masayoshi Son is one of the world's foremost supporters of AI, having committed hundreds of billions of dollars to investment in data centers, cloud services and bets on startups like OpenAI.


A new survey reveals the MLB's most foul-mouthed fanbase

FOX News

Sherrone Moore accuser Paige Shiver speaks out in new interview: he'had complete control over me' Megan Rapinoe calls on traditional WNBA media to be replaced with those who'understand queer culture' The NFL Draft continues to be one of the worst'sporting events' of the year New Russini-Vrabel photos raise ESPN conflict questions but the network won't answer them ESPN's Mad Dog Russo melts down over'U-S-A' chants at the RBC Heritage A piece of the UFC White House event's setup is sitting in Pennsylvania Amish country Viral Ottawa Senators fan blamed for team's 0-2 playoff start banished to Taiwan'First Take' host acts disgusted when she has to cover Vrabel-Russini drama Gen Jack Keane: You can't believe anything Iran says until it executes Will Cain: Everything about Hasan Piker is'communism wrapped in a Che Guevara T-shirt' Trump: 'Can I finish my question, wise guy?' DHS attorney speaks out after UCLA protest chaos and claims he received'death threats' Trump: Why would I use a nuclear weapon? A Vegas Insider study combed through all 30 MLB teams' subreddits to find which fanbases swear the most online When you start thinking about which MLB teams' fanbases have the filthiest mouths, there's a good chance a few cities instantly jump to mind. But a new survey from Vegas Insider has found the most foul-mouthed fanbases in the MLB, and the top team might surprise you a little at first... and then it will make total sense. A new survey has found that Athletics fans are the most foul-mouthed in Major League Baseball. Technically, a franchise that played in Philadelphia at one point, but is now in Sacramento limbonow in Sacramento limbo ahead of a move to Vegas: the Athletics.