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Review of A Mathematical Theory of Evidence

AI Magazine

It may be argued that this, in principle, is a more realistic approach because it addresses, rather than finesses, the problem of incomplete information in the knowledge base. On the other hand, the Dempster-Shafer theory provides a basis-at least at present-for only a small subset of the rules of combination which are needed for inferencing in expert systems. In particular, the theory does not address the issue of chaining, nor does it come to grips with the fuzziness of probabilities and certainty factors. Thus, although the theory is certainly a step in the right direction, for it provides a framework for dealing with granular data, it does require a great deal of further development to become a broadly useful tool for the management of uncertainty in expert systems. Although not easy to understand, Shafer's book contains a wealth of significant results, and is a must for anyone who wants to do serious research on problems relating to the rules of combination of evidence in expert systems. Indeed, there is no doubt that, in the years to come, the Dempster-Shafer theory and its extensions will become an integral part of the theory of such systems and will certainly occupy an important place in knowledge engineering and related fields.


Letter to the Editor

AI Magazine

I suspect that their motive was summary 3. the agent can justify its belief that s is true, i e., rejection of newfangled techniques, not eymological In any case I answered them. Perhaps your readers may be interested in the knows s]). An agent's problem-solving behavior is intelligent if (and to the extent that) the agent's problemsolving Sincerely yours, An agent's problem-solving behavior is artificially intelligent if the behavior is intelligent and the Definition 1. An agent lcnows some statements if the agent is a machine. Remark: It is a consequence of this definition of artificial 1. s is true, i.e, s is either a logical truth (a theorem intelligence that artificial intelligence does not equal artificial or a tautology) or a factual truth (a correspondence endocrinology! with fact);


Artificial Intelligence Research at NASA Langley Research Center (Research in Progress)

AI Magazine

Research in the field of artificial intelligence is developing rapidly at the various NASA centers, including Langley research Center in Hampton, Virginia. AI studies at Langley involve research for application in aircraft flight management, remote space teleoperators and robots, and structural optimization.


Introduction to the COMTEX Microfiche Edition of Reports on Artificial Intelligence from Carnegie-Mellon University

AI Magazine

Originally it was Complex Information Processing. That was the name Herb Simon and I chose in 1956 to describe the area in which we are working. It didn't take long before it became Artificial Intelligence (AI). Coined by John McCarthy, that term has stuck firmly, despite continual grumblings that any other name would be twice as fair (though no grumblings by me; I like the present name). Complex Information processing lives on now only in the title of the CIP Working Papers, a series started by Herb Simon in 1956 and still accumulating entries (to 447). However, from about 1965 much of the work on artificial intelligence that was not related to psychology began to appear in technical reports of the Computer Science Department. These reports, never part of a coherent numbered series until 1978, proliferated in all directions. Starting in the early 1970s (on one can recall exactly when), they did become the subject of a general mailing and thus began to form what everyone thinks of as the CMU Computer Science Technical Reports.


Artificial Intelligence Research at GTE Laboratories (Research in Progress)

AI Magazine

GTE Laboratories is the central corporate research and development facility for the sixty subsidiaries of the worldwide GTE corporation. Located in the Massachusetts Route 128 high technology area, the five laboratories that comprise GTE Laboratories generate the ideas, products, systems, and services that provide technical leadership for GTE. The two laboratories which conduct artificial intelligence research are the Computer Science Laboratory (CSL) and the Fundamental Research Laboratory (FRL). Artificial Intelligence projects within the CSL are directed towards the research techniques used in expert systems, and their application to GTE products and services. AI projects within FRL have longer-term AI research goals.


R1 Revisited: Four Years in the Trenches

AI Magazine

In 1980, Digital Equipment Corporation began to use a rule-based system called R1 by some and XCON by others to configure VAX-11 computer systems. In the intervening years, R1's knowledge has increased substantially and its usefulness to Digital continues to grow. This article describes what is involved in extending R1's performance during the four year period.


Artificial Intelligence in Transition

AI Magazine

In the past fifteen years artificial intelligence has changed from being the preoccupation of a handful of scientists to a thriving enterprise that has captured the imagination of world leaders and ordinary citizens alike. While corporate and government officials organize new projects whose potential impact is widespread, to date few people have been more affected by the transition than those already in the field. I review here some aspects of this transition, and pose some issues that it raises for AI researchers, developers, and leaders.


EXPRS: A Prototype Expert System Using Prolog for Data Fusion

AI Magazine

During the past year, a prototype expert system for tactical data fusion has been under development,. This computer program combines various messages concerning electronic intelligence (ELINT) to aid in decision making concerning enemy actions and intentions. The prototype system is written in Prolog, a language that has proved to be very powerful and easy to use for problem /rule development. The resulting prototype system (called EXPRS-Expert Prolog System) uses English-like rule constructs of Prolog code. This approach enables the system to generate answers automatically to "why" a ruled fired, and "how" that rule fired. In addition, a rule clause construct is provided which allows direct access to Prolog code routines. This paper describes the structure of the rules used and provides typical user interactions.


Artificial Intelligence Research at Vanderbilt University (Research in Progress)

AI Magazine

At Vanderbilt University we are exploring the use of expert systems in a broad range of application areas. Programming is in Franz Lisp on a VAX 11/790, UCI LISP on a DEC-10, and IQ LISP on an IBM XT. Currently, personnel from four schools in the University are participating. Listed are brief descriptions of current projects.


Artificial Intelligence, Employment, and Income

AI Magazine

Artificial intelligence (AI) will have profound societal effects. It promises potential benefits (and may also pose risks) in education, defense, business, law and science. In this article we explore how AI is likely to affect employment and the distribution of income. We argue that AI will indeed reduce drastically the need of human toil. We also note that some people fear the automation of work by machines and the resulting of unemployment. Yet, since the majority of us probably would rather use our time for activities other than our present jobs, we ought thus to greet the work-eliminating consequences of AI enthusiastically. The paper discusses two reasons, one economic and one psychological, for this paradoxical apprehension. We conclude with discussion of problems of moving toward the kind of economy that will be enabled by developments in AI.