Country
Forecasting Demand for Electric Power
Our efforts proceed in the context of a problem suggested by the operational needs of a particular electric utility to make daily forecasts of short-term load or demand. Forecasts are made at midday (1 p.m.) on a weekday t ( Monday - Thursday), for the next evening peak e(t) (occuring usually about 8 p.m. in the winter), the daily minimum d(t
Extended Regularization Methods for Nonconvergent Model Selection
Finnoff, W., Hergert, F., Zimmermann, H. G.
Many techniques for model selection in the field of neural networks correspond to well established statistical methods. The method of'stopped training', on the other hand, in which an oversized network is trained until the error on a further validation set of examples deteriorates, then training is stopped, is a true innovation, since model selection doesn't require convergence of the training process. In this paper we show that this performance can be significantly enhanced by extending the'non convergent model selection method' of stopped training to include dynamic topology modifications (dynamic weight pruning) and modified complexity penalty term methods in which the weighting of the penalty term is adjusted during the training process. 1 INTRODUCTION One of the central topics in the field of neural networks is that of model selection. Both the theoretical and practical side of this have been intensively investigated and a vast array of methods have been suggested to perform this task. A widely used class of techniques starts by choosing an'oversized' network architecture then either removing redundant elements based on some measure of saliency (pruning), adding a further term to the cost function penalizing complexity (penalty terms), and finally, observing the error on a further validation set of examples, then stopping training as soon as this performance begins to deteriorate (stopped training).
A Hybrid Neural Net System for State-of-the-Art Continuous Speech Recognition
Zavaliagkos, G., Zhao, Y., Schwartz, R., Makhoul, J.
Untill recently, state-of-the-art, large-vocabulary, continuous speech recognition (CSR) has employed Hidden Markov Modeling (HMM) to model speech sounds. In an attempt to improve over HMM we developed a hybrid system that integrates HMM technology with neural networks. We present the concept of a "Segmental Neural Net" (SNN) for phonetic modeling in CSR. By taking into account all the frames of a phonetic segment simultaneously, the SNN overcomes the well-known conditional-independence limitation of HMMs. In several speaker-independent experiments with the DARPA Resource Management corpus, the hybrid system showed a consistent improvement in performance over the baseline HMM system. 1 INTRODUCTION The current state of the art in continuous speech recognition (CSR) is based on the use of hidden Markov models (HMM) to model phonemes in context.
Kohonen Feature Maps and Growing Cell Structures - a Performance Comparison
A performance comparison of two self-organizing networks, the Kohonen Feature Map and the recently proposed Growing Cell Structures is made. For this purpose several performance criteria for self-organizing networks are proposed and motivated. The models are tested with three example problems of increasing difficulty. The Kohonen Feature Map demonstrates slightly superior results only for the simplest problem.
The Computation of Stereo Disparity for Transparent and for Opaque Surfaces
Madarasmi, Suthep, Kersten, Daniel, Pong, Ting-Chuen
The classical computational model for stereo vision incorporates a uniqueness inhibition constraint to enforce a one-to-one feature match, thereby sacrificing the ability to handle transparency. Critics of the model disregard the uniqueness constraint and argue that the smoothness constraint can provide the excitation support required for transparency computation. However, this modification fails in neighborhoods with sparse features. We propose a Bayesian approach to stereo vision with priors favoring cohesive over transparent surfaces. The disparity and its segmentation into a multi-layer "depth planes" representation are simultaneously computed. The smoothness constraint propagates support within each layer, providing mutual excitation for non-neighboring transparent or partially occluded regions. Test results for various random-dot and other stereograms are presented.
An Object-Oriented Framework for the Simulation of Neural Nets
Linden, A., Sudbrak, Th., Tietz, Ch., Weber, F.
The field of software simulators for neural networks has been expanding very rapidly in the last years but their importance is still being underestimated. They must provide increasing levels of assistance for the design, simulation and analysis of neural networks. With our object-oriented framework (SESAME) we intend to show that very high degrees of transparency, manageability and flexibility for complex experiments can be obtained. SESAME's basic design philosophy is inspired by the natural way in which researchers explain their computational models. Experiments are performed with networks of building blocks, which can be extended very easily.
How Oscillatory Neuronal Responses Reflect Bistability and Switching of the Hidden Assembly Dynamics
Pawelzik, K., Bauer, H.-U., Deppisch, J., Geisel, T.
A switching between apparently coherent (oscillatory) and stochastic episodes of activity has been observed in responses from cat and monkey visual cortex. We describe the dynamics of these phenomena in two parallel approaches, a phenomenological and a rather microscopic one. On the one hand we analyze neuronal responses in terms of a hidden state model (HSM). The parameters of this model are extracted directly from experimental spike trains. They characterize the underlying dynamics as well as the coupling of individual neurons to the network. This phenomenological model thus provides a new framework for the experimental analysis of network dynamics.